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Wang W, Yao W, Tang W, Li Y, Sun H, Ding W. Risk factors for urinary tract infection in geriatric hip fracture patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Med (Lausanne) 2024; 11:1360058. [PMID: 38405191 PMCID: PMC10884186 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2024.1360058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2023] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/27/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Urinary tract infection (UTI) is a prevalent and consequential complication in hip fracture patients, leading to significant disability and heightened healthcare expenditures. Consequently, there is a critical need for a comprehensive systematic review to identify risk factors and establish early and effective preventive measures. Methods A comprehensive search was performed across the PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus databases (up to August 31, 2023). Article screening, data extraction, and quality assessment were independently completed by two reviewers. Results Forty-four studies were eligible for inclusion, yielding an overall incidence rate of 11% (95% CI: 8%-14%). Our pooled analysis revealed 18 significant risk factors, including being female (OR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.89-2.63), advanced age (MD = 1.35, 95% CI: 0.04-2.66), obesity (OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.11-1.31), catheterization (OR = 3.8, 95% CI: 2.29-6.32), blood transfusion (OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.21-1.58), American Society of Anesthesiologists ≥III (OR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.18-1.40), general anesthesia (OR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.11-1.43), intertrochanteric fracture (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.01-1.54), hemiarthroplasty (OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.19-1.69), prolonged length of hospital stay (MD = 1.44, 95% CI: 0.66-2.23), delirium (OR = 2.66, 95% CI: 2.05-3.47), dementia (OR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.62-2.06), Parkinson's disease (OR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.46-1.61), diabetes (OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.13-1.43), hypertension (OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.03-1.26), congestive heart failure (OR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.10-1.66), history of sepsis (OR = 7.13, 95% CI: 5.51-9.22), and chronic steroid use (OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.06-1.57). Conclusion Our study identifies numerous risk factors strongly associated with UTI, offering compelling evidence and actionable strategies for improving clinical prediction, enabling early intervention, and facilitating targeted UTI management. Systematic review registration identifier [CRD42023459600], https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=459600.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Hongbo Sun
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, China
| | - Wenbo Ding
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, China
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Yao W, Tang W, Wang W, Lv Q, Ding W. Correlation between admission hypoalbuminemia and postoperative urinary tract infections in elderly hip fracture patients. J Orthop Surg Res 2023; 18:774. [PMID: 37838687 PMCID: PMC10576304 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-023-04274-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2023] [Accepted: 10/08/2023] [Indexed: 10/16/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between hypoalbuminemia upon admission and the incidence of postoperative urinary tract infections (UTIs) in elderly patients with hip fractures. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on the medical records of elderly patients who underwent surgical treatment for hip fractures at a level I trauma center from 2013 to 2023. Serum albumin levels were measured upon admission, and hypoalbuminemia was defined as a total albumin level < 35 g/L. Multivariable logistic regression and propensity score matching analysis were utilized to control and reduce potential confounding factors, aiming to obtain adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for UTIs to determine the strength of the association. RESULTS This observational cohort study included 1279 patients, among whom 298 (23.3%) developed UTIs. Patients with albumin levels < 35 g/L had significantly greater odds of developing UTIs compared to those with albumin levels ≥ 35 g/L (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.28-2.70). Further analysis, dividing albumin levels into quartiles, demonstrated that patients in the Q2 group (38.0-40.9 g/L; OR 1.38, 95% CI 0.88-2.17), Q3 group (35.0-37.9 g/L; OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.06-2.71), and Q4 group (15.3-34.9 g/L; OR 2.67, 95% CI 1.61-4.43) had notably higher odds of developing UTIs compared to those in the Q1 group (41.0-52.0 g/L). CONCLUSIONS The presence of hypoalbuminemia upon admission in elderly patients undergoing hip fracture surgery is strongly correlated with the occurrence of postoperative UTIs. Furthermore, this association exhibits a clear dose-response relationship.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Yao
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, No. 338 Jinshan Street, Zhenxing District, Dandong, 118002, Liaoning Province, People's Republic of China
| | - Wanyun Tang
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, No. 338 Jinshan Street, Zhenxing District, Dandong, 118002, Liaoning Province, People's Republic of China
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, No. 338 Jinshan Street, Zhenxing District, Dandong, 118002, Liaoning Province, People's Republic of China
| | - Qiaomei Lv
- Department of Oncology, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, People's Republic of China
| | - Wenbo Ding
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, No. 338 Jinshan Street, Zhenxing District, Dandong, 118002, Liaoning Province, People's Republic of China.
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Yao W, Zhang K, Lv Q, Deng Z, Ding W. D-dimer-albumin ratio (DAR) as a new biomarker for predicting preoperative deep vein thrombosis after geriatric hip fracture patients. J Orthop Surg Res 2023; 18:645. [PMID: 37653556 PMCID: PMC10470167 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-023-04139-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 08/25/2023] [Indexed: 09/02/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Hip fractures in the elderly are complicated by preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The objective of this study is to determine the usefulness of blood-based biomarkers, particularly the D-dimer-albumin ratio (DAR), in predicting preoperative DVT. METHODS A retrospective observational study was carried out on 1149 patients from a single hospital, and subsequently validated on an additional 626 patients from a separate hospital. The aim was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of 10 biomarkers, with a specific emphasis on DAR, in both cohorts. The primary measure of interest was the occurrence of preoperative DVT. RESULTS The ratio of D-dimer to albumin demonstrated superior predictive capability for preoperative DVT in older patients with hip fractures compared to other biomarkers (AUC = 0.677). Using the optimal cutoff point of 0.24, high DAR was significantly associated with preoperative DVT (OR 3.45, 95% CI 2.00-5.95). Notably, all the DAR definitions detailed above were successfully validated in an external, independent cohort. CONCLUSIONS DAR may be a valuable biomarker for predicting preoperative DVT in elderly patients with hip fractures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Yao
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, China
| | - Kaihua Zhang
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Affiliated Hospital of Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China
| | - Qiaomei Lv
- Department of Oncology, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, China
| | - Ziyang Deng
- Department of Orthopedics, Third Affiliated Hospital of Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China.
| | - Wenbo Ding
- Department of Orthopedics, Dandong Central Hospital, China Medical University, Dandong, China.
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Moloney GB, Boakye LAT, Cluts LM, Palmeri C. Administration of Prophylactic Enoxaparin on the Morning of Surgery Does Not Increase Risk of Blood Transfusion or Wound Drainage Following Internal Fixation of Geriatric Femur Fractures. J Am Acad Orthop Surg 2023; 31:305-11. [PMID: 36520993 DOI: 10.5435/JAAOS-D-22-00233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 10/23/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite standard use of chemoprophylaxis, 30-day incidence of venous thromboembolism after geriatric, those older than 60 years, femur fracture surgery is reported to be up to 10%. Missing one dose of enoxaparin has been proven to increase the risk of developing venous thromboembolism. It is commonplace to hold preoperative chemoprophylaxis the morning of surgery because of concern for intraoperative bleeding or wound drainage. We sought to determine whether administration of prophylactic enoxaparin the morning of surgery resulted in an increased rate of blood transfusion or wound drainage in geriatric patients undergoing femur fracture treatment. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed patients older than 60 years who underwent internal fixation of an isolated femur fracture, including femoral neck, intertrochanteric, subtrochanteric, femoral shaft, and distal femur fractures, at a Level 1 trauma center. Medical records, hospital billing data, and radiographs were reviewed to determine patient characteristics such as Charlson Comorbidity Index, enoxaparin dosing, packed red blood cell transfusion, and persistent wound drainage, defined as any drainage requiring utilization of closed incision negative pressure wound therapy. Thirty-day mortality served as the secondary outcome measure. RESULTS Five hundred seven patients were included. One hundred sixty-four (32%) received enoxaparin on the morning of surgery, whereas 343 (68%) did not. 27% of patients received PRBC transfusion, and this did not differ between groups (27% vs. 28%, P = 0.72). Subgroup analysis of fixation strategies revealed no difference in the frequency of blood transfusion for any fixation type as related to the timing of enoxaparin dosage. Utilization of closed incision negative pressure wound therapy for the treatment of postoperative wound drainage did not differ between dosing groups. No difference was observed in thirty-day mortality between groups (2.4% vs. 2.7%, P = 0.9). DISCUSSION Administration of a prophylactic dose of enoxaparin on the morning of surgery does not seem to increase the rate of postoperative blood transfusion or wound drainage after fixation of geriatric femur fracture. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, therapeutic.
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Bermejo Boixareu C, Ojeda-Thies C, Guijarro Valtueña A, Cedeño Veloz BA, Gonzalo Lázaro M, Navarro Castellanos L, Queipo Matas R, Gómez Campelo P, Royuela Vicente A, González-Montalvo JI, Sáez-López P. Clinical and Demographic Characteristics of Centenarians versus Other Age Groups Over 75 Years with Hip Fractures. Clin Interv Aging 2023; 18:441-451. [PMID: 36987460 PMCID: PMC10040167 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s386563] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2022] [Accepted: 01/19/2023] [Indexed: 03/30/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective The primary objective was to describe the clinical characteristics, management, and outcomes of centenarians with fragility hip fracture and compare them to other age groups. The secondary objective was to determine the variables associated with length of stay, in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality. Materials and Methods This is a secondary analysis of the Spanish National Hip Fracture Registry. We included patients ≥75 years admitted for fragility hip fractures in 86 Spanish hospitals between 2017 and 2019, dividing the sample into four age groups. The variables studied were baseline characteristics, type of fracture, management, length of stay, in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality. Results We included 25,938 patients (2888 were 75-79 years old; 14,762 octogenarians; 8,035 nonagenarians and 253 centenarians). Of the centenarians, 83% were women, 33% had severe dementia, 9% had severe dependency and 36% lived in residential care homes. Six out of ten had intertrochanteric fracture. Length of hospital stay was 8.6 days; in-hospital mortality was 10.3% and 30-day mortality 20.9%. Older age groups had more women, severe functional dependency, severe dementia, intertrochanteric fracture, living in care facilities and being discharged to nursing care. They had less frequent early mobilization, osteoporosis treatment and discharge to rehabilitation units. In-hospital and 30-day mortality were higher with increasing age. In centenarians, time to surgery >48 hours was independently associated with length of stay (correlation coefficient 3.99 [95% CI: 2.35-5.64; p<0.001]) and anaesthetic risk, based on an ASA score of V, was related to 30-day mortality (ASA score II [OR 0.25, 95% CI: 0.09-0.70; p=0.009] and ASA score III [OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.19-0.96; p=0.039]). Conclusion Centenarians had different clinical characteristics, management and outcomes. Although centenarians had worse outcomes, nearly 4 out of 5 centenarians were alive one month after surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristina Bermejo Boixareu
- Geriatrics Department, Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
- Correspondence: Cristina Bermejo Boixareu, Geriatrics Department, Puerta de Hierro University Hospital, Madrid, Spain, Email
| | - Cristina Ojeda-Thies
- Orthopaedic Surgery and Traumatology Department, 12 de Octubre University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
| | - Ainhoa Guijarro Valtueña
- Orthopaedic Surgery and Traumatology, Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | - Laura Navarro Castellanos
- La Paz Institute for Health Research - IdiPAZ, Hospital Universitario La Paz - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | - Rocío Queipo Matas
- La Paz Institute for Health Research - IdiPAZ, Hospital Universitario La Paz - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
- European University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | - Paloma Gómez Campelo
- La Paz Institute for Health Research - IdiPAZ, Hospital Universitario La Paz - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | - Ana Royuela Vicente
- Biostatistics Unit, Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda University Hospital, IDIPHISA, CIBERESP, Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan Ignacio González-Montalvo
- La Paz Institute for Health Research - IdiPAZ, Hospital Universitario La Paz - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
- Geriatrics Department, La Paz University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
| | - Pilar Sáez-López
- La Paz Institute for Health Research - IdiPAZ, Hospital Universitario La Paz - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
- Geriatrics Department, Fundación Alcorcón University Hospital, Madrid, Spain
- Spanish National Hip Fracture Registry, Madrid, Spain
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Lee SH, Kim KU. Risk Factors for Postoperative Pneumonia in the Elderly Following Hip Fracture Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Geriatr Orthop Surg Rehabil 2022; 13:21514593221083825. [PMID: 35634259 PMCID: PMC9133882 DOI: 10.1177/21514593221083825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2022] [Revised: 02/02/2022] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Pneumonia is a serious complication following hip fracture surgery in older people. However, the prevalence and risk factors of postoperative pneumonia (POP) are not well-established. This study identified pre- and peri-operative factors associated with the development of POP following hip fracture surgery. Methods: We searched the Cochrane library, PubMed, and Embase databases for relevant articles published up to June 2021. Studies involving older patients who underwent hip fracture surgery were considered if they detailed the demographic or surgical characteristics of the participants. For all analyses, the pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated. Results: A total of 24 studies (288819 participants) were included. The overall prevalence of POP following hip fracture surgery was 5.0%. There were 36 risk factors for POP, and the meta-analysis included the five most common: delayed surgery (OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.29-2.63), low serum albumin (OR: 2.34, 95% CI: .82-6.73), chronic respiratory diseases (OR: 2.42, 95% CI: 1.82-3.24), increased age (OR: 1.25, 95% CI:1.11-1.40), and male sex (OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 2.00-2.47). Conclusions: The prevalence of POP was 5.0% following hip fracture surgery in the elderly. Older age, male sex, chronic respiratory diseases, delayed surgery, and low serum albumin were significant risk factors. Clinicians treating hip fracture patients must remain be aware of these risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sang Hee Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Wonkwang University Sanbon Hospital, Gunpo-si, Republic of Korea.,Department of Internal Medicine, Wonkwang University College of Medicine, Iksan, Republic of Korea
| | - Ki Uk Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Republic of Korea
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Gösling T. [Subtrochanteric fractures]. Unfallchirurg 2022. [PMID: 35394157 DOI: 10.1007/s00113-022-01175-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/16/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
Subtrochanteric fractures represent a distinct entity. They are different from proximal femoral fractures as well as femoral shaft fractures. Nowadays, these fractures are mainly found in the geriatric population. Fractures in younger patients are indicative of high-energy trauma. Comorbidities are important in the geriatric population whereas accompanying injuries are most important in younger patients. Early surgical stabilization of subtrochanteric fractures is the treatment of choice, which under certain circumstances should also be carried out within the framework of damage control orthopedics. Long cephalomedullary nails represent the standard procedure. In geriatric patients the primary aim is weight bearing stability. The risk of complications with subtrochanteric fractures in the literature is relatively high. Classical compression plates play a role in the management of complications.
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Liu D, Liu H, Ma M, Zhou N, Wang H, Rajakani K. The Clinical Efficacy of Minimally Invasive Clamp-Assisted Reduction and Open Reduction with Wire Cerclage for Unstable Subtrochanteric Fractures. Journal of Healthcare Engineering 2022; 2022:1-10. [PMID: 35126929 PMCID: PMC8808220 DOI: 10.1155/2022/5340504] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2021] [Revised: 12/18/2021] [Accepted: 12/21/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to compare the clinical effectiveness of minimally invasive clamp-assisted reduction and open reduction with wire cerclage and intramedullary nails for unstable subtrochanteric fractures. Between January 2016 and October 2019, 68 patients who had unstable subtrochanteric fractures experienced intramedullary nail surgery in this retrospective study. There were 41 cases in the minimally invasive clamp or closed reduction group (group A) and 27 cases in the open reduction with wire cerclage group (group B). There were 3 cases of complications in group A and 2 cases of complications in group B. Remarkable distinction was observed between the two groups in the operation time (p < 0.05), quality of reduction (p < 0.05), and union time (p < 0.05). For the successful surgical treatment of unstable femoral subtrochanteric fractures, an anatomical reduction is crucial. Reduction and wire cerclage are cut to give medial support for the anatomical reduction, which has a positive effect on fracture healing.
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Richardson P, Panteli M, Giannoudis PV. Exchange nailing and medial wall reconstruction following implant failure in a subtrochanteric femoral fracture. Trauma Case Rep 2021; 36:100555. [PMID: 34841032 PMCID: PMC8605424 DOI: 10.1016/j.tcr.2021.100555] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/25/2021] [Indexed: 10/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Failure of fixation of subtrochanteric fractures has been reported in as high as 20% of cases. Several associations have been suggested to contribute to failed fixation. Discontinuity of the medial wall/column is considered to be one of the most significant risk factors for non-union and subsequent implant failure, especially if this defect is not addressed during the revision surgery. We present a case of failed fixation of a subtrochanteric fracture in an 86-year-old female where revision surgery paid special attention to restoring the medial wall continuity via bone grafting resulting in satisfactory union of the fracture. We advocate the necessity of reconstructing the medial column in similar cases in order to enhance healing and restore the biomechanical support of the subtrochanteric region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philippa Richardson
- Academic Department of Trauma & Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Michalis Panteli
- Academic Department of Trauma & Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Peter V. Giannoudis
- Academic Department of Trauma & Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
- NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Unit, Chapel Allerton Hospital, Leeds, United Kingdom
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Panteli M, Vun JSH, West RM, Howard AJ, Pountos I, Giannoudis PV. Development and Validation of a Post-Operative Non-Union Risk Score for Subtrochanteric Femur Fractures. J Clin Med 2021; 10:5632. [PMID: 34884334 DOI: 10.3390/jcm10235632] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2021] [Revised: 11/24/2021] [Accepted: 11/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Our objective was to develop and validate a predictive model for non-union following a subtrochanteric fracture of the femur. Methods: Following institutional board approval, 316 consecutive patients presenting to our institution (84 non-unions) who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were retrospectively identified. To identify potential unadjusted associations with progression to non-union, simple logistic regression models were used, followed by a revised adjusted model of multiple logistic regression. Results: Having established the risk factors for non-union, the coefficients were used to produce a risk score for predicting non-union. To identify the high-risk patients in the early post-operative period, self-dynamisation was excluded. The revised scoring system was the sum of the following: diabetes (6); deep wound infection (35); simple or severe comminution (13); presence of an atypical fracture (14); lateral cortex gap size ≥5 mm (11), varus malreduction (5–10 degrees) (9); varus malreduction (>10 degrees) (20). On the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve, the area under the curve (0.790) demonstrated very good discriminatory capability of the scoring system, with good calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow test; p = 0.291). Moreover, 5-fold cross validation confirmed good fit of the model and internal validity (accuracy 0.806; Kappa 0.416). The cut-point determined by Youden’s formula was calculated as 18. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that the risk of non-union can be reliably estimated in patients presenting with a subtrochanteric fracture, from the immediate post-operative period. The resulting non-union risk score can be used not only to identify the high-risk patients early, offering them appropriate consultation and in some cases surgical intervention, but also informs surgeons of the modifiable surgery related factors that contribute to this risk.
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