Estimating PM2.5 Concentrations Based on MODIS AOD and NAQPMS Data over Beijing⁻Tianjin⁻Hebei

24-hour average PM2.5 concentration caused by aircraft in Chinese airports from Jan. 2006 to Dec. 2023

Since 2006, the rapid development of China's aviation industry has been accompanied by a significant increase in one of its emissions, namely, PM2.5, which poses a substantial threat to human health. However, little data is describing the PM2.5 concentration caused by aircraft activities. This study addresses this gap by initially computing the monthly PM2.5 emissions of the landing-take-off (LTO) stage from Jan. 2006 to Dec. 2023 for 175 Chinese airports, employing the modified BFFM2-FOA-FPM method. Subsequently, the study uses the Gaussian diffusion model to measure the 24-hour average PM2.5 concentration resulting from flight activities at each airport. This study mainly draws the following conclusions: Between 2006 and 2023, the highest recorded PM2.5 concentration data at all airports was observed in 2018, reaching 5.7985 micrograms per cubic meter, while the lowest point was recorded in 2022, at 2.0574 micrograms per cubic meter. Moreover, airports with higher emissions are predominantly located in densely populated and economically vibrant regions such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Chengdu, and Shenzhen.

Application of satellite remote sensing data and random forest approach to estimate ground-level PM2.5 concentration in Northern region of Thailand

Numerous epidemiological studies have shown that particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter up to 2.5 μm (PM2.5) is associated with many health consequences, where PM2.5 concentration obtained from the monitoring station was normally applied as the exposure level, so that the concentration of PM2.5 in unmonitored areas has not been captured. The satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) product is then used to spatially predict ground truth of PM2.5 concentration that covers the locations with no air quality monitoring station, but this method has seldom been developed in Thailand. This study aimed at estimating ground-level PM2.5 concentration at 3 km × 3 km spatial resolution over Northern region of Thailand in 2021 using the random forest model integrating the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) AOD products from Terra and Aqua satellites, meteorological factors, and land use data. A random forest model contained 100 decision trees was utilized to train the model, and 10-fold cross-validation approach was implemented to validate the model performance. The good consistency between actual (observed) and predicted concentrations of PM2.5 in Northern region of Thailand was observed, where a coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of the model fitting were 0.803 and 14.30 μg/m3, respectively, and those of 10-fold cross-validation approach were 0.796 and 14.64 μg/m3, respectively. The three most important predictors for estimating the ground-level concentrations of PM2.5 in this study were normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), relative humidity, and number of fire hotspot, respectively. Findings from this study revealed that integrating the MODIS AOD, meteorological variables, and land use data into the random forest model precisely and accurately estimated ground-level PM2.5 concentration over Northern region of Thailand that can be further used to investigate the effects of PM2.5 exposure on health consequences, even in unmonitored locations, in epidemiological studies.

A PPG-Based Calibration-Free Cuffless Blood Pressure Estimation Method Using Cardiovascular Dynamics

Traditional cuff-based sphygmomanometers for measuring blood pressure can be uncomfortable and particularly unsuitable to use during sleep. A proposed alternative method uses dynamic changes in the pulse waveform over short intervals and replaces calibration with information from photoplethysmogram (PPG) morphology to provide a calibration-free approach using a single sensor. Results from 30 patients show a high correlation of 73.64% for systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 77.72% for diastolic blood pressure (DBP) between blood pressure estimated with the PPG morphology features and the calibration method. This suggests that the PPG morphology features could replace the calibration stage for a calibration-free method with similar accuracy. Applying the proposed methodology on 200 patients and testing on 25 new patients resulted in a mean error (ME) of -0.31 mmHg, a standard deviation of error (SDE) of 4.89 mmHg, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.32 mmHg for DBP and an ME of -4.02 mmHg, an SDE of 10.40 mmHg, and an MAE of 7.41 mmHg for SBP. These results support the potential for using a PPG signal for calibration-free cuffless blood pressure estimation and improving accuracy by adding information from cardiovascular dynamics to different methods in the cuffless blood pressure monitoring field.

PM2.5 concentration prediction based on WD-SA-LSTM-BP model: a case study of Nanjing city

PM_2.5 concentration is an important indicator to measure the concentration of air pollutants, and it is of important social significance and application value to realize accurate prediction of PM_2.5 concentration. To further improve the accuracy of PM_2.5 concentration prediction, this paper proposes a hybrid machine learning model (WD-SA-LSTM-BP model) based on simulated annealing (SA) optimization and wavelet decomposition. Firstly, the wavelet decomposition algorithm was used to realize the multiscale decomposition and single-branch reconstruction of PM_2.5 concentrations to weaken the prediction error caused by time series data. Secondly, the SA optimization method was used to optimize the super-parameters of each machine learning model under each reconstructed component, so as to solve the problem that it is difficult to determine the parameters of machine learning model. Thirdly, the optimized machine learning model was used to predict the PM_2.5 concentration, and the error value was calculated from the actual measured value. Then, the optimized machine learning model was used to predict the error value. Finally, the predicted error value was added to the predicted PM_2.5 concentration to obtain the final predicted PM_2.5 concentration. The study is experimentally validated based on daily PM_2.5 data collected from Nanjing air quality monitoring stations. The experimental results showed that the RMSE and MAE values of the constructed WD-SA-LSTM-BP model were 5.26 and 3.72, respectively, which were superior to those of the WD-LSTM and LSTM models, indicating that the hybrid machine learning model based on SA optimization and wavelet decomposition could better predict the PM_2.5 concentration.

Estimating ground-level PM2.5 over Bangkok Metropolitan Region in Thailand using aerosol optical depth retrieved by MODIS

A number of previous studies have shown that statistical model with a combination of satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) and PM_2.5 measured by the monitoring stations could be applied to predict spatial ground-level PM_2.5 concentration, but few studies have been conducted in Thailand. This study aimed to estimate ground-level PM_2.5 over the Bangkok Metropolitan Region in 2020 using linear regression model that incorporates the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) AOD measurements and other air pollutants, as well as various meteorological factors and greenness indicators into the model. The 12-fold cross-validation technique was used to examine the accuracy of model performance. The annual mean (standard deviation) concentration of observed PM_2.5 was 22.37 (± 12.55) µg/m³ and the mean (standard deviation) of PM_2.5 during summer, winter, and rainy season was 18.36 (± 7.14) µg/m³, 33.60 (± 14.48) µg/m³, and 15.30 (± 4.78) µg/m³, respectively. The cross-validation yielded R ² of 0.48, 0.55, 0.21, and 0.52 with the average of predicted PM_2.5 concentration of 22.25 (± 9.97) µg/m³, 21.68 (± 9.14) µg/m³, 29.43 (± 9.45) µg/m³, and 15.74 (± 5.68) µg/m³ for the year round, summer, winter, and rainy season, respectively. We also observed that integrating NO₂ and O₃ into the regression model improved the prediction accuracy significantly for a year round, summer, winter, and rainy season over the Bangkok Metropolitan Region. In conclusion, estimating ground-level PM_2.5 concentration from the MODIS AOD measurement using linear regression model provided the satisfactory model performance when incorporating many possible predictor variables that would affect the association between MODIS AOD and PM_2.5 concentration.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11869-022-01238-4.

Estimating Full-Coverage PM2.5 Concentrations Based on Himawari-8 and NAQPMS Data over Sichuan-Chongqing

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has attracted extensive attention due to its harmful effects on humans and the environment. The sparse ground-based air monitoring stations limit their application for scientific research, while aerosol optical depth (AOD) by remote sensing satellite technology retrieval can reflect air quality on a large scale and thus compensate for the shortcomings of ground-based measurements. In this study, the elaborate vertical-humidity method was used to estimate PM2.5 with the spatial resolution 1 km and the temporal resolution 1 hour. For vertical correction, the scale height of aerosols (Ha) was introduced based on the relationship between the visibility data and extinction coefficient of meteorological observations to correct the AOD of the Advance Himawari Imager (AHI) onboard the Himawari-8 satellite. The hygroscopic growth factor (f(RH)) was fitted site-by-site and month by month (1–12 months). Meanwhile, the spatial distribution of the fitted coefficients can be obtained by interpolation assuming that the aerosol properties vary smoothly on a regional scale. The inverse distance weighted (IDW) method was performed to construct the hygroscopic correction factor grid for humidity correction so as to estimate the PM2.5 concentrations in Sichuan and Chongqing from 09:00 to 16:00 in 2017–2018. The results indicate that the correlation between “dry” extinction coefficient and PM2.5 is slightly improved compared to the correlation between AOD and PM2.5, with r coefficient values increasing from 0.12–0.45 to 0.32–0.69. The r of hour-by-hour verification is between 0.69 and 0.85, and the accuracy of the afternoon is higher than that of the morning. Due to the missing rate of AOD in the southwest is very high, this study utilized inverse variance weighting (IVW) gap-filling method combine satellite estimation PM2.5 and the nested air-quality prediction modeling system (NAQPMS) simulation data to obtain the full-coverage hourly PM2.5 concentration and analyze a pollution process in the fall and winter.

Prediction of COVID-19 Cases from the Nexus of Air Quality and Meteorological Phenomena: Bangladesh Perspective

An integrated approach was used to estimate the number of COVID-19 patients related to air quality and meteorological phenomena. Additionally, the air quality during pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown stages of the COVID-19 pandemic was assessed to determine the effect of the infection containment measures taken in Bangladesh during the pandemic. The air quality was assessed based on measurements of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), ozone (O₃), carbon monoxide (CO), black carbon, particulate matter (PM_2.5 and PM₁₀), and aerosol optical depth. Time-averaged maps of these parameters have been generated from NASA's (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) website. Values of these parameters have also been collected from a continuous air monitoring station (CAMS) located in Bangladesh's north-western city Rajshahi. The comparison shows that lockdown during the pandemic has brought significant improvements in air quality. However, the improvement was not sustained, since rapid increases in the air pollutant concentrations were observed in the post-lockdown period. Furthermore, Pearson correlation coefficients between each air quality variable and the daily new COVID-19 case rates were calculated. Different meteorological variables during the same time periods were determined to observe the variation in Rajshahi city. Relationships of these variables with the case rates were also established. Additionally, statistical analyses of the obtained data have been conducted for the measured variables using the Kruskal-Wallis test to assess the differences in the observed data among the pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown periods. Dunn's "Q" test was employed to test if the variables showed significance statistical difference during the Kruskal-Wallis test for pairwise comparisons. From the study, it has been observed that both meteorological variables and air quality parameters have significant relationship with daily new COVID-19 case rates. Both positive and negative associations of these parameters with the COVID-19 case rates have been observed. Very high air pollution has been observed in the post-lockdown period. Thus, it is recommended that appropriate authorities undertake corrective measures to protect the environment in cities with large populations. This study provides guidance for decision makers and health officials for future research and potentially reducing the spread of COVID-19.

An IoT enabled system for enhanced air quality monitoring and prediction on the edge

Air pollution is a major issue resulting from the excessive use of conventional energy sources in developing countries and worldwide. Particulate Matter less than 2.5 µm in diameter (PM2.5) is the most dangerous air pollutant invading the human respiratory system and causing lung and heart diseases. Therefore, innovative air pollution forecasting methods and systems are required to reduce such risk. To that end, this paper proposes an Internet of Things (IoT) enabled system for monitoring and predicting PM2.5 concentration on both edge devices and the cloud. This system employs a hybrid prediction architecture using several Machine Learning (ML) algorithms hosted by Nonlinear AutoRegression with eXogenous input (NARX). It uses the past 24 h of PM2.5, cumulated wind speed and cumulated rain hours to predict the next hour of PM2.5. This system was tested on a PC to evaluate cloud prediction and a Raspberry P i to evaluate edge devices' prediction. Such a system is essential, responding quickly to air pollution in remote areas with low bandwidth or no internet connection. The performance of our system was assessed using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), coefficient of determination (R 2), Index of Agreement (IA), and duration in seconds. The obtained results highlighted that NARX/LSTM achieved the highest R 2 and IA and the least RMSE and NRMSE, outperforming other previously proposed deep learning hybrid algorithms. In contrast, NARX/XGBRF achieved the best balance between accuracy and speed on the Raspberry P i .

Particulate Air Pollution and Osteoporosis: A Systematic Review

Air pollution is associated with inflammation and oxidative stress, which predispose to several chronic diseases in human. Emerging evidence suggests that the severity and progression of osteoporosis are directly associated with inflammation induced by air pollutants like particulate matter (PM). This systematic review examined the relationship between PM and bone health or fractures. A comprehensive literature search was conducted from January until February 2021 using the PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar and Cochrane Library databases. Human cross-sectional, cohort and case-control studies were considered. Of the 1500 papers identified, 14 articles were included based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The air pollution index investigated by most studies were PM2.5 and PM10. Current studies demonstrated inconsistent associations between PM and osteoporosis risk or fractures, which may partly due to the heterogeneity in subjects' characteristics, study design and analysis. In conclusion, there is an inconclusive relationship between osteoporosis risk and fracture and PM exposures which require further validation.

SAMIRA-SAtellite Based Monitoring Initiative for Regional Air Quality

The satellite based monitoring initiative for regional air quality (SAMIRA) initiative was set up to demonstrate the exploitation of existing satellite data for monitoring regional and urban scale air quality. The project was carried out between May 2016 and December 2019 and focused on aerosol optical depth (AOD), particulate matter (PM), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2). SAMIRA was built around several research tasks: 1. The spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI) AOD optimal estimation algorithm was improved and geographically extended from Poland to Romania, the Czech Republic and Southern Norway. A near real-time retrieval was implemented and is currently operational. Correlation coefficients of 0.61 and 0.62 were found between SEVIRI AOD and ground-based sun-photometer for Romania and Poland, respectively. 2. A retrieval for ground-level concentrations of PM2.5 was implemented using the SEVIRI AOD in combination with WRF-Chem output. For representative sites a correlation of 0.56 and 0.49 between satellite-based PM2.5 and in situ PM2.5 was found for Poland and the Czech Republic, respectively. 3. An operational algorithm for data fusion was extended to make use of various satellite-based air quality products (NO2, SO2, AOD, PM2.5 and PM10). For the Czech Republic inclusion of satellite data improved mapping of NO2 in rural areas and on an annual basis in urban background areas. It slightly improved mapping of rural and urban background SO2. The use of satellites based AOD or PM2.5 improved mapping results for PM2.5 and PM10. 4. A geostatistical downscaling algorithm for satellite-based air quality products was developed to bridge the gap towards urban-scale applications. Initial testing using synthetic data was followed by applying the algorithm to OMI NO2 data with a direct comparison against high-resolution TROPOMI NO2 as a reference, thus allowing for a quantitative assessment of the algorithm performance and demonstrating significant accuracy improvements after downscaling. We can conclude that SAMIRA demonstrated the added value of using satellite data for regional- and urban-scale air quality monitoring.

An Improved Attention-Based Integrated Deep Neural Network for PM2.5 Concentration Prediction

The air quality prediction is a very important and challenging task, especially PM2.5 (particles with diameter less than 2.5 μm) concentration prediction. To improve the accuracy of the PM2.5 concentration prediction, an improved integrated deep neural network method based on attention mechanism is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the influence of exogenous series of other sites on the central site is considered to determine the best relevant site. Secondly, the data of all relevant sites are input into the improved dual-stage two-phase (DSTP) model, then the PM2.5 prediction result of each site is obtained. Finally, with the PM2.5 prediction result of each site, the attention-based layer predicts the PM2.5 concentration at the central site. The experimental results show that the proposed model is superior to most of the latest models.

Retrieval and Validation of AOD from Himawari-8 Data over Bohai Rim Region, China

The geostationary satellite Himawari-8, possessing the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI), which features 16 spectral bands from the visible to infrared range, is suitable for aerosol observations. In this study, a new algorithm is introduced to retrieve aerosol optical depth (AOD) over land at a resolution of 2 km from the AHI level 1 data. Considering the anisotropic effects of complex surface structures over land, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) bidirectional reflectance distribution function (BRDF) model parameters product (MCD19A3) is used to calculate the surface reflectance for Himawari-8’s view angle and band. In addition, daily BRDF model parameters are calculated in areas with dense vegetation, considering the rapid variation of surface reflectance caused by vegetation growth. Moreover, aerosol models are constructed based on long duration Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) single scattering albedo (SSA) values to stand for aerosol types in the retrieval algorithm. The new algorithm is applied to AHI images over Bohai Rim region from 2018 and is evaluated using the newest AERONET version 3 AOD measurements and the latest MODIS collection 6.1 AOD products. The AOD retrievals from the new algorithm show good agreement with the AERONET AOD measurements, with a correlation coefficient of 0.93 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.12. In addition, the new algorithm increases AOD retrievals and retrieval accuracy compared to the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) aerosol products. The algorithm shows stable performance during different seasons and times, which makes it possible for use in climate or diurnal aerosol variation studies.

Estimation of ground-level PM2.5 concentration using MODIS AOD and corrected regression model over Beijing, China

To establish a new model for estimating ground-level PM2.5 concentration over Beijing, China, the relationship between aerosol optical depth (AOD) and ground-level PM2.5 concentration was derived and analysed firstly. Boundary layer height (BLH) and relative humidity (RH) were shown to be two major factors influencing the relationship between AOD and ground-level PM2.5 concentration. Thus, they are used to correct MODIS AOD to enhance the correlation between MODIS AOD and PM2.5. When using corrected MODIS AOD for modelling, the correlation between MODIS AOD and PM2.5 was improved significantly. Then, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), surface temperature (ST) and surface wind speed (SPD) were introduced as auxiliary variables to further improve the performance of the corrected regression model. The seasonal and annual average distribution of PM2.5 concentration over Beijing from 2014 to 2016 were mapped for intuitively analysing. Those can be regarded as important references for monitoring the ground-level PM2.5 concentration distribution. It is obviously that the PM2.5 concentration distribution over Beijing revealed the trend of "southeast high and northwest low", and showed a significant decrease in annual average PM2.5 concentration from 2014 to 2016.

Robust Confidence Intervals for PM2.5 Concentration Measurements in the Ecuadorian Park La Carolina

In this article, robust confidence intervals for PM2.5 (particles with size less than or equal to 2.5 μm) concentration measurements performed in La Carolina Park, Quito, Ecuador, have been built. Different techniques have been applied for the construction of the confidence intervals, and routes around the park and through the middle of it have been used to build the confidence intervals and classify this urban park in accordance with categories established by the Quito air quality index. These intervals have been based on the following estimators: the mean and standard deviation, median and median absolute deviation, median and semi interquartile range, a-trimmed mean and Winsorized standard error of order a, location and scale estimators based on the Andrew's wave, biweight location and scale estimators, and estimators based on the bootstrap-t method. The results of the classification of the park and its surrounding streets showed that, in terms of air pollution by PM2.5, the park is not at caution levels. The results of the classification of the routes that were followed through the park and its surrounding streets showed that, in terms of air pollution by PM2.5, these routes are at either desirable, acceptable or caution levels. Therefore, this urban park is actually removing or attenuating unwanted PM2.5 concentration measurements.