Predicting a live birth by artificial intelligence incorporating both the blastocyst image and conventional embryo evaluation parameters

Interpretable artificial intelligence-assisted embryo selection improved single-blastocyst transfer outcomes: a prospective cohort study

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the pregnancy and neonatal outcomes of an interpretable artificial intelligence (AI) model for embryo selection in a prospective clinical trial?

DESIGN

This single-centre prospective cohort study was carried out from October 2021 to March 2022. A total of 330 eligible patients were assigned to their preferred groups, with 250 patients undergoing a fresh single-blastocyst transfer cycle after the exclusion criteria had been applied. For the AI-assisted group (AAG), embryologists selected the embryos for transfer based on the ranking recommendations provided by an interpretable AI system, while with the manual group, embryologists used the Gardner grading system to make their decisions.

RESULTS

The implantation rate was significantly higher in the AAG than the manual group (80.87% versus 68.15%, P = 0.022). No significant difference was found in terms of monozygotic twin rate, miscarriage rate, live birth rate and ectopic pregnancy rate between the groups. Furthermore, there was no significant difference in terms of neonatal outcomes, including gestational weeks, premature birth rate, birth height, birthweight, sex ratio at birth and newborn malformation rate. The consensus rate between the AI and retrospective analysis by the embryologists was significantly higher for good-quality embryos (i.e. grade 4BB or higher) versus poor-quality embryos (i.e. less than 4BB) (84.71% versus 25%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These prospective trial results suggest that the proposed AI system could effectively help embryologists to improve the implantation rate with single-blastocyst transfer compared with traditional manual evaluation methods.

Modeling three sources of uncertainty in assisted reproductive technologies with probabilistic graphical models

Embryo selection is a critical step in assisted reproduction: good selection criteria are expected to increase the probability of inducing a pregnancy. Machine learning techniques have been applied for implantation prediction or embryo quality assessment, which embryologists can use to make a decision about embryo selection. However, this is a highly uncertain real-world problem, and current proposals do not model always all the sources of uncertainty. We present a novel probabilistic graphical model that accounts for three different sources of uncertainty, the standard embryo and cycle viability, and a third one that represents any unknown factor that can drive a treatment to a failure in otherwise perfect conditions. We derive a parametric learning method based on the Expectation-Maximization strategy, which accounts for uncertainty issues. We empirically analyze the model within a real database consisting of 604 cycles (3125 embryos) carried out at Hospital Donostia (Spain). Embryologists followed the protocol of the Spanish Association for Reproduction Biology Studies (ASEBIR), based on morphological features, for embryo selection. Our model predictions are correlated with the ASEBIR protocol, which validates our model. The benefits of accounting for the different sources of uncertainty and the importance of the cycle characteristics are shown. Considering only transferred embryos, our model does not further discriminate them as implanted or failed, suggesting that the ASEBIR protocol could be understood as a thorough summary of the available morphological features.

Embryo selection with artificial intelligence: how to evaluate and compare methods?

Embryo selection within in vitro fertilization (IVF) is the process of evaluating qualities of fertilized oocytes (embryos) and selecting the best embryo(s) available within a patient cohort for subsequent transfer or cryopreservation. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been used extensively to improve and automate the embryo ranking and selection procedure by extracting relevant information from embryo microscopy images. The AI models are evaluated based on their ability to identify the embryo(s) with the highest chance(s) of achieving a successful pregnancy. Whether such evaluations should be based on ranking performance or pregnancy prediction, however, seems to divide studies. As such, a variety of performance metrics are reported, and comparisons between studies are often made on different outcomes and data foundations. Moreover, superiority of AI methods over manual human evaluation is often claimed based on retrospective data, without any mentions of potential bias. In this paper, we provide a technical view on some of the major topics that divide how current AI models are trained, evaluated and compared. We explain and discuss the most common evaluation metrics and relate them to the two separate evaluation objectives, ranking and prediction. We also discuss when and how to compare AI models across studies and explain in detail how a selection bias is inevitable when comparing AI models against current embryo selection practice in retrospective cohort studies.

Recognition of facial expression of fetuses by artificial intelligence (AI)

OBJECTIVES

The development of the artificial intelligence (AI) classifier to recognize fetal facial expressions that are considered as being related to the brain development of fetuses as a retrospective, non-interventional pilot study.

METHODS

Images of fetal faces with sonography obtained from outpatient pregnant women with a singleton fetus were enrolled in routine conventional practice from 19 to 38 weeks of gestation from January 1, 2020, to September 30, 2020, with completely de-identified data. The images were classified into seven categories, such as eye blinking, mouthing, face without any expression, scowling, smiling, tongue expulsion, and yawning. The category in which the number of fetuses was less than 10 was eliminated before preparation. Next, we created a deep learning AI classifier with the data. Statistical values such as accuracy for the test dataset and the AI confidence score profiles for each category per image for all data were obtained.

RESULTS

The number of fetuses/images in the rated categories were 14/147, 23/302, 33/320, 8/55, and 10/72 for eye blinking, mouthing, face without any expression, scowling, and yawning, respectively. The accuracy of the AI fetal facial expression for the entire test data set was 0.985. The accuracy/sensitivity/specificity values were 0.996/0.993/1.000, 0.992/0.986/1.000, 0.985/1.000/0.979, 0.996/0.888/1.000, and 1.000/1.000/1.000 for the eye blinking, mouthing, face without any expression, scowling categories, and yawning, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The AI classifier has the potential to objectively classify fetal facial expressions. AI can advance fetal brain development research using ultrasound.