Trends for the Association between Body Mass Index and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease among the Japanese Population: The Circulatory Risk in Communities Study (CIRCS)

Epidemiology of cardiovascular disease in Japan: An overview study

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), such as heart disease and stroke, have a significant impact on life expectancy, healthy life expectancy, and medical costs in Japan. Each prefecture is currently promoting measures in accordance with the Japanese National Plan for Promotion of Measures Against Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Disease, which was established by the government. In recent years, the crude mortality rate of heart disease in Japan has been increasing year by year with the aging population. Meanwhile, the age-adjusted mortality rate has leveled off or shown a downward trend. In addition, the proportion of acute myocardial infarction has decreased, whereas the proportion of heart failure has increased. By contrast, both the crude and age-adjusted mortality rates of stroke have a declining trend. Nevertheless, considering the potential variations in death certificates issued for patients with myocardial infarction across different prefectures, it is crucial to determine the incidence of CVD in each prefecture for the accurate assessment of CVD trends. However, as for the incidence of CVD, not many prefectures have yet implemented registration programs. The age-adjusted incidence rate of acute myocardial infarction has been increasing in some areas and decreasing in others since 1990. The age-adjusted incidence rate of stroke has consistently declined since the 1960s. Nevertheless, the possible increase in the incidence rate of cerebral embolism and thrombotic cerebral infarction among patients with different stroke subtypes is a cause of concern. The impact of heart failure on the incidence of heart disease has increased. Therefore, relevant academic societies and prefectures must collaborate in registering the incidence of heart failure as well as myocardial infarction and implementing countermeasures.

Associations between metabolic score for visceral fat and the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses

AIMS

To investigate the associations between metabolic score for visceral fat (METS-VF) and clinical outcomes among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses.

METHODS

We analysed 6827 participants aged ≥ 40 years with different glucose tolerance statuses from a cohort study. The associations between METS-VF and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox regression, restricted cubic spline and receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

During a follow-up of 5.00 years, there were 338 CVD events and 307 subjects experienced all-cause death. The METS-VF quartile (Quartile 4 versus 1) was significantly related to CVD events [adjusted HRs and 95% CIs: 5.75 (2.67-12.42), 2.80 (1.76-4.48), and 3.31 (1.28-8.54) for subjects with normal glucose tolerance, prediabetes and diabetes, respectively] and all-cause mortality [adjusted HRs and 95% CIs: 2.80 (1.43-5.49), 4.15 (2.45-7.01), and 4.03 (1.72-9.42), respectively]. Restricted cubic spline suggested a dose-response association of METS-VF with the risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality. The area under curve for CVD events and all-cause mortality was higher for METS-VF than for the other obesity and IR indexes in subjects with different glucose tolerance statuses.

CONCLUSIONS

The METS-VF was associated with an increased risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality and could be used as a predictive index of the risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses.