Assessing the effect of a regional integrated care model over ten years using quality indicators based on claims data - the basic statistical methodology of the INTEGRAL project

BACKGROUND

The regional integrated health care model "Healthy Kinzigtal" started in 2006 with the goal of optimizing health care and economic efficiency. The INTEGRAL project aimed at evaluating the effect of this model on the quality of care over the first 10 years.

METHODS

This methodological protocol supplements the study protocol and the main publication of the project. Comparing quality indicators based on claims data between the intervention region and 13 structurally similar control regions constitutes the basic scientific approach. Methodological key issues in performing such a comparison are identified and solutions are presented.

RESULTS

A key step in the analysis is the assessment of a potential trend in prevalence for a single quality indicator over time in the intervention region compared to the corresponding trends in the control regions. This step has to take into account that there may be a common - not necessarily linear - trend in the indicator over time and that trends can also appear by chance. Conceptual and statistical approaches were developed to handle this key step and to assess in addition the overall evidence for an intervention effect across all indicators. The methodology can be extended in several directions of interest.

CONCLUSIONS

We believe that our approach can handle the major statistical challenges: population differences are addressed by standardization; we offer transparency with respect to the derivation of the key figures; global time trends and structural changes do not invalidate the analyses; the regional variation in time trends is taken into account. Overall, the project demanded substantial efforts to ensure adequateness, validity and transparency.

Ten-Year Evaluation of the Population-Based Integrated Health Care System "Gesundes Kinzigtal"

BACKGROUND

The population-based integrated health care system called "Gesundes Kinzigtal" (Integrierte Versorgung Gesundes Kinzigtal, IVGK) was initiated more than 10 years ago in the Kinzig River Valley region, which is located in the Black Forest in the German state of Baden-Württemberg. IVGK is intended to optimize health care while maximizing cost-effectiveness. It consists of programs for promoting health and for enabling cooperation among service providers, as well as of a shared-savings contract that has enabled resources to be saved every year. The goal of the present study was to investigate trends in the quality of care provided by IVGK over the past ten years in comparison to conventional care.

METHODS

This is a non-randomized observational study with a control-group design (Kinzig River Valley versus 13 structurally comparable control regions), employing data collected by AOK, a large statutory health-insurance provider in Germany, over the period 2006-2015. Quality assessment was conducted with the aid of a set of indicators, developed by the authors, that was based exclusively on claims data. The statistical analysis of the trends in these indicators over time was conducted with preset criteria for the relevance of any observed changes, as well as preset mechanisms of controlling for confounding factors.

RESULTS

For 88 of the 101 evaluable indicators, no relevant difference was seen between the trend over time in the region of the intervention and the average trend in the control regions. Relevant differences in favor of the IVGK were observed for six indicators, and negatively divergent trends compared to the controls were observed for seven indicators. In the main summarizing statistical analysis, no positive or negative difference was found between the Kinzig River Valley and the other regions with respect to trends in the health-care indicators over time.

CONCLUSION

An evaluation based on 101 indicators derived from health-insurance data did not reveal any improvement of the quality of care by IVGK and the totality of the programs that were implemented under it. However, under the conditions of the shared-savings contract, no relevant diminution in the quality of care was observed over a period of 10 years either, compared with structurally similar control regions without an integrated care model.

Changes in incidence of severe hypoglycaemia in people with type 2 diabetes from 2006 to 2016: analysis based on health insurance data in Germany considering the anti-hyperglycaemic medication

AIM

To investigate the incidence of severe hypoglycaemia over the past 10 years, taking into account changes in anti-hyperglycaemic therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective population-based study used German health insurance data. All adults diagnosed with documented type 2 diabetes (extrapolated to the German population: 6.6 million in 2006; 7.9 million in 2011; 8.86 million in 2016) were screened for severe hypoglycaemia. Anti-hyperglycaemic agents were identified by Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code.

RESULTS

The event rate for severe hypoglycaemia was 460 per 100 000 people in 2006, 490 per 100 000 in 2011 and 360 per 100 000 in 2016. The proportion of people with severe hypoglycaemia receiving sulfonylureas, as well as receiving combination therapy of metformin and sulfonylureas decreased from 2006 to 2016 (23.6% vs. 6.2%) Among those with severe hypoglycaemia in 2006, there were no prescriptions for dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists or sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) agonists. The proportions of people with severe hypoglycaemia receiving DPP-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists or SGLT2 agonists in 2011 and 2016 were low. The proportion of people receiving human insulin also decreased (from 11.3% in 2006 to 10.3% in 2011 and 4.3% in 2016); the proportion of people receiving insulin analogues increased from 5.4% in 2006 to 11.5% in 2016. Therapy with mixed insulins was used by 19.7% of people with severe hypoglycaemia in 2006, by 14.0% in 2011 and by 7.3% in 2016. People undergoing therapy with insulin analogues have the highest risk of severe hypoglycaemia adjusted by age, gender, nephropathy diagnosis and year of survey [odds ratio (OR) 14.4, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 13.5-15.5].

CONCLUSION

The incidence of severe hypoglycaemic events in Germany increased between 2006 and 2011, and decreased in 2016.

Study protocol for a quasi-experimental claims-based study evaluating 10-year results of the population-based integrated healthcare model 'Gesundes Kinzigtal' (Healthy Kinzigtal): the INTEGRAL study

INTRODUCTION

Patients often experience interface problems when treated by different specialists and in different healthcare sectors. Integrated care concepts aim to reduce these problems. While most integrated healthcare models focus on individual diseases, the integrated care model 'Gesundes Kinzigtal' applies a population-based approach and addresses the full spectrum of morbidities for a population defined by area of residence-the Kinzigtal. A special feature of the model is the joint savings contract between the regional management company and the statutory health insurers. The INTEGRAL study aims at assessing the effectiveness of 'Gesundes Kinzigtal' under routine conditions in comparison to conventional care over a period of 10 years in order to understand the benefits but also the potential for (unintended) harms. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Database Claims data from statutory health insurance funds 2005-2015. The evaluation consists of a quasi-experimental study, with Kinzigtal as intervention region, at least 10 further regions with a similar population and healthcare infrastructure as primary controls and an additional random sample of insurees from the federal state of Baden-Württemberg as secondary controls. Model-specific and 'non-specific' indicators adopted from the literature and enriched by focus group interviews will be used to evaluate the model's effectiveness and potential unintended consequences by analysing healthcare utilisation in general. Temporal trends per indicator in the intervention region will be compared with those in each control region. The overall variation in trends for the indicators across all regions provides information about the potential to modify an indicator due to local differences in the healthcare system.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethic Commission of the Faculty of Medicine, Philipps-University Marburg (ek_mr_geraedts_131117). Results will be discussed in workshops, submitted for publication in peer-review journals and presented at conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

DRKS00012804.

[Autoimmune haemolytic anaemia, thrombocytopenia and thyroiditis: an immunopathological triad (author's transl)]

A 37-year-old woman developed acquired haemolytic anaemia and thrombocytopenic purpura. At the same time there were signs of hypothyroidism. Incomplete heat antibodies (direct Coombs test) were demonstrated as cause of the haemolytic changes, while high-titre thyroglobulin and microsomal thyroid antibodies as cause of the immunothyroiditis explained the hypothyroidism. Although serological demonstration of platelet antibodies did not succeed, the clinical and haematological findings suggested immunothrombocytopenia. Antibodies against smooth muscle produced no clinical symptoms. The activity of the incomplete heat autoantibodies was diminished as result of immunosuppressive treatment and haemolytic signs regressed. Platelet count rose and the haemorrhagic diathesis disappeared. Thyroid antibody titre rose at first but then markedly decreased. There was no demonstrable effect on the hypothyroidism so that it was necessary to administer thyroid hormones. This is the first published case of such immunopathological triad resulting from immunothyroiditis.