Associations between DAPT score and long-term mortality post PCI

Introduction

The dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) score was developed to identify patients more likely to derive benefit (score ≥2) or harm (score <2) from DAPT beyond 1-year post PCI. There is no study which looked at the DAPT score and long term outcomes post PCI in Australia.

Purpose

We sought to examine long-term mortality after PCI by the DAPT score in patients treated with DAPT per local guidelines.

Methods

We examined data from the MIG PCI database from 2005 to 2018 in whom the DAPT score could be derived and grouped them as score ≥2 or <2. Long-term mortality was assessed from National Death Index linkage. The primary endpoint was long-term mortality examined using survival analysis. Secondary endpoints included 30-day ischaemic outcomes and in-hospital major bleeding.

Results

Out of 27,740 patients in the study, 9,401 (33.9%) had DAPT score ≥2. They were younger and included more females and higher prevalence of renal impairment. DAPT score ≥2 patients had higher in-hospital major bleeding, 30-day mortality, MI and target vessel revascularisation. DAPT score ≥2 patients had lower long-term survival to 12 years (p<0.001 for all).

Conclusion

A third of all-comer PCI patients had DAPT score ≥2 with greater short-term risk of ischaemic and bleeding outcomes, as well as long-term mortality. Theoretically, those with DAPT score ≥2 would benefit from longer duration of DAPT as ischaemic risk outweighs bleeding risk. However, given our finding of increased short-term bleeding risk and long-term mortality, dynamic bleeding risk assessment should be undertaken to guide pharmacotherapy strategies.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

1005 HEALTH-RELATED QUALITY OF LIFE AND FUTURE RISK OF HEALTH OUTCOMES AMONG OLDER ADULTS LIVING IN AUSTRALIA AND THE UNITED STATES

Introduction

Poor health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is associated with higher morbidity and mortality in patient populations. However, whether HRQoL is associated with health outcomes among community-dwelling older people requires further investigation. This study aimed to examine whether HRQoL predicts cognitive decline, dementia, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality in community-dwelling older people living in Australia and the United States.

Method

A cohort of 19,106 individuals from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study, aged 65–98 years, initially free of dementia or CVD, and who completed the HRQoL 12-item short form (SF-12, version-2) at baseline (2010–2014), were followed until June 2017. The physical (PCS) and mental component scores (MCS) of SF-12 were generated using standardized norm-based method.

Results

Over a median of 4.7 years, there were 2,412 cognitive declines, 574 dementia, 922 incident CVD events, and 1,052 deaths. Using Cox proportional-hazard regression adjusted for a range of covariates, every 10-unit increase in PCS was associated with a 6% lower risk of cognitive decline, a 14% lower risk of incident CVD, and 17% lower risk of all-cause mortality, but was not associated with incident dementia. In contrast, higher MCS was only associated with a 12% and 15% lower risk of cognitive decline and dementia, respectively. Findings did not differ by sex.

Conclusion

Our study provides some of the first evidence that HRQoL can be used in combination with clinical data to identify the future risks of health outcomes among older individuals living in the community. Our findings support the decision of the Australian Commission on Safety and Quality in Health Care to incorporate the SF-12 into the annual Patient-Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs assessment.

Outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with prior coronary artery bypass grafting (cabg)

Background

In patients with prior CABG requiring subsequent PCI there is uncertainty whether bypass grafts or native coronary arteries should be targeted.

Methods

We analysed data from 2,764 patients with prior CABG in the Melbourne Interventional Group registry (2005–2018), divided into two groups: those undergoing PCI to a native vessel (n=1,928) and those with PCI to a graft vessel (n=836).

Results

Patients with a graft vessel PCI were older, had more high-risk clinical characteristics (prior MI, heart failure, ejection fraction <50%, renal impairment, peripheral and cerebrovascular disease), and high-risk procedural features (ACC/AHA types B2/C lesions). However, patients in the native vessel group were more likely to have PCI to a chronic total occlusion. The majority of graft PCI were to saphenous vein grafts (84%), with 10% to radial and 6% to LIMA/RIMA grafts. Distal embolic protection devices were used in 30% of graft PCI. Patients with graft PCI had higher rates of no reflow (6.3% vs. 1.5%; p<0.001), coronary perforation (p=0.016) and inpatient stent thrombosis (p=0.028). However, 30-day mortality and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) were similar. Unadjusted long-term mortality (median follow up 4.8 years) was higher in patients who had undergone a graft PCI (44% vs. 32%, p<0.001), but following Cox proportional hazards modelling, PCI vessel type was not a predictor of long-term mortality (HR 1.13; 95% CI 0.96–1.33, p=0.14).

Conclusions

Early clinical outcomes and risk-adjusted long-term mortality are similar for patients with prior CABG undergoing PCI to a native vessel or a bypass graft.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): The Alfred Hospital

Trends in intra-aortic balloon pump use in cardiogenic shock in the post-SHOCK II trial era

Background

Myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock (MI-CS) has a poor prognosis, even with early revascularisation. Previously, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use was thought to improve outcomes, but the SHOCK-II trial in 2012 found no survival benefit.

Purpose

This study aimed to determine the trends in IABP use in patients with MI-CS undergoing percutaneous intervention (PCI) over time and characteristics associated with use.

Methods

Between 2005–2018, patients presenting with MI-CS that underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at a hospital participating in the Melbourne Interventional Group Registry were included. The primary outcome was the trend in IABP use over time. Secondary outcomes included mortality, 30-day MACCE (major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events) and predictors of outcome, determined via logistic regression.

Results

Of the 1,110 patients identified, IABP was used in 478 (43%). IABP was used more in patients with left main and left anterior descending culprit lesions (62% vs. 46%), lower ejection fraction (<35%; 18% vs. 11%), and pre-procedural inotrope use (81% vs. 73%), all p<0.05. IABP use was associated with higher inpatient bleeding (18% vs. 13%) and 30-day MACCE (58% vs. 51%), both p<0.05. The rate of MI-CS increased over time, but after 2012 there was a decline in IABP use (Figure 1). IABP use was a predictor of 30-day MACCE (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.18–2.29, p=0.003). However, IABP was not associated with in-hospital, 30-day or long-term mortality (45% vs. 47%, p=0.44; 46% vs. 50%, p=0.25; 60% vs. 62%, p=0.39).

Conclusions

Consistent with the SHOCK II trial, IABP use is not associated with reduced short- or long-term mortality, but in this study was associated with increased short-term adverse events. IABP use is declining, but is still used in sicker patients with greater myocardium at risk, given limited alternatives.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Melbourne interventional group

National cardiac registries: a systematic review

Background

Over the last thirty years, there has been exponential growth in the number and scale of national cardiovascular disease registries. We aimed to provide a comprehensive outline of contemporary national cardiac registries across all subspecialties.

Methods

We performed a systematic literature review by searching OvidMedline in August 2019 to identify registries relating to six pre-specified domains (Table). For inclusion, registries had to be national in nature, actively collecting data, and publishing either peer-reviewed publications or online reports.

Results

A total of 24,076 records were identified from six domain-specific Medline searches; 24,057 abstracts were screened with 19,435 non-relevant records excluded; 4,624 full texts were screened with 4,473 non-relevant texts excluded; and 151 registries met inclusion criteria representing 51 countries. Of these, 15 related to cardiac surgery, 27 to arrhythmia (17 device, 5 ablation, 7 atrial fibrillation), 21 to congenital heart disease (14 general, 2 interventional, 4 surgical, and 1 disease specific), 43 to coronary disease or percutaneous coronary intervention (22 PCI, 21 CAD), 27 to heart failure (13 heart failure, 5 transplant, 2 mechanical support, 7 disease specific), and 18 related to structural intervention (3 any, 13 transcatheter aortic valve replacement, 2 mitral intervention). Nine national registries (USA, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, UK, Portugal, Norway, Taiwan, and Singapore) covered multiple domains. Quality scoring using the Monash University Clinical Quality Registry Grading System (a composite score of recruitment, and data completeness, definitions, reliability and validation), demonstrated marked heterogeneity in quality between registries.

Conclusions

Cardiac registries have seen rapid growth, however the use and quality among various subspecialties differs markedly across world regions. Given the multiple benefits, clinicians, funders and health bureaucrats should be encouraged to focus on the range, quality and uptake of national registries.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Long-term outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention for patients with rheumatoid arthritis

Background

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is the most common inflammatory arthritis and is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. Despite this, data regarding long-term outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are limited.

Methods

We identified 756 patients with RA from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI registry (2005–2018) and compared outcomes to the remaining cohort (N=38,579). Cox regression analysis was performed to assess risk of adverse cardiac events including long-term mortality (derived from linkage with the National Death Index [NDI]).

Results

Patients with RA were older (68.9±10.0 vs. 64.6±12.0 years) and more often female (40% vs. 23%), with higher rates of hypertension (70% vs 67%), previous stroke (9% vs 6%), peripheral vascular disease (9% vs 6%), obstructive sleep apnoea (10% vs 5%), chronic lung disease (22% vs 12%), prior myocardial infarction (32% vs 27%), and impaired renal function (eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2 in 31% vs 24%), while rates of current smoking were lower (20% vs. 25%), all p<0.05. Lesions were more frequently complex (ACC/AHA type B2/C in 61% vs 57%), required longer stents (>20mm in 39% vs 35%), and rates of no reflow were higher (5% vs 3%), all p<0.05. 30-day mortality was higher (4.4% vs. 3.3%, p=0.04) mainly owing to higher non-cardiac mortality (1.6% vs. 0.8%, p=0.01). National Death Index-linked long-term mortality was 28% vs. 19% (p<0.01) with mean follow-up 4.6 vs. 5.4 years. Risk of 30-day and long-term mortality (including by indication subgroup) are presented in the Table.

Conclusions

Patients with RA undergoing PCI have more comorbidities and longer, more complex coronary lesions. After adjustment, risk of short-term adverse outcomes are similar, while risk of long-term mortality is higher, particularly among patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

The significance of internal calcifications on perinatal post-mortem radiographs

AIM

To determine whether the presence of internal calcifications on perinatal post-mortem skeletal surveys (PMSS) are associated with certain diagnoses of fetal loss.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A 6-month retrospective, single-centre, cohort study was conducted on PMSS performed for perinatal death assessment. One reader re-reviewed all PMSS images for the presence and location of internal calcifications, and noted whether these were included within the original radiology report. Findings at autopsy were then reviewed independently by a second researcher and cause of fetal loss or main diagnosis recorded. Chi-squared tests were conducted to identify differences between those with and without internal calcifications at PMSS.

RESULTS

Two hundred and thirty perinatal deaths (mean gestational age 18 weeks; average 12–35 weeks) were included in the study, of which 42 (18.3%) demonstrated intra-abdominal calcifications, and 16/42 (38.1%) were mentioned in the radiology reports. Most calcifications were found to be within the lumen of the gastrointestinal tract, and in the left upper quadrant of the abdomen. There was no statistical difference between identifiable causes for fetal loss at autopsy in cases with and without calcification at PMSS (59.5% versus 58.5% respectively, p=0.904). Nevertheless, where calcification and a cause for fetal loss were found, the aetiology was more likely to be due a fetal rather than placental issue.

CONCLUSION

The presence of internal calcifications on PMSS was not associated with an increased likelihood of explainable fetal loss or particular diagnosis at autopsy.

•

Fetal calcifications on post-mortem skeletal surveys are not significantly associated with causes of fetal loss.

•

When present, internal calcifications were usually seen in lower gestational aged fetuses, intra-abdominal in location, with the majority being intraluminal.

•

The majority of radiologists do not report internal fetal calcifications on radiographs, without significant consequences for final outcome at autopsy.