Quick model-based viscoelastic clot strength predictions from blood protein concentrations for cybermedical coagulation control

Cybermedical systems that regulate patient clotting in real time with personalized blood product delivery will improve treatment outcomes. These systems will harness popular viscoelastic assays of clot strength such as thromboelastography (TEG), which help evaluate coagulation status in numerous conditions: major surgery (e.g., heart, vascular, hip fracture, and trauma); liver cirrhosis and transplants; COVID-19; ICU stays; sepsis; obstetrics; diabetes; and coagulopathies like hemophilia. But these measurements are time-consuming, and thus impractical for urgent care and automated coagulation control. Because protein concentrations in a blood sample can be measured in about five minutes, we develop personalized, phenomenological, quick, control-oriented models that predict TEG curve outputs from input blood protein concentrations, to facilitate treatment decisions based on TEG curves. Here, we accurately predict, experimentally validate, and mechanistically justify curves and parameters for common TEG assays (Functional Fibrinogen, Citrated Native, Platelet Mapping, and Rapid TEG), and verify results with trauma patient clotting data.

Personalized modulation of coagulation factors using a thrombin dynamics model to treat trauma-induced coagulopathy

Current trauma-induced coagulopathy resuscitation protocols use slow laboratory measurements, rules-of-thumb, and clinician gestalt to administer large volumes of uncharacterized, non-tailored blood products. These one-size-fits-all treatment approaches have high mortality. Here, we provide significant evidence that trauma patient survival 24 h after hospital admission occurs if and only if blood protein coagulation factor concentrations equilibrate at a normal value, either from inadvertent plasma-based modulation or from innate compensation. This result motivates quantitatively guiding trauma patient coagulation factor levels while accounting for protein interactions. Toward such treatment, we develop a Goal-oriented Coagulation Management (GCM) algorithm, a personalized and automated ordered sequence of operations to compute and specify coagulation factor concentrations that rectify clotting. This novel GCM algorithm also integrates new control-oriented advancements that we make in this work: an improvement of a prior thrombin dynamics model that captures the coagulation process to control, a use of rapidly-measurable concentrations to help predict patient state, and an accounting of patient-specific effects and limitations when adding coagulation factors to remedy coagulopathy. Validation of the GCM algorithm's guidance shows superior performance over clinical practice in attaining normal coagulation factor concentrations and normal clotting profiles simultaneously.