Lin Htun H, Lian W, Pin Phua H, Yidong Lim M, Peng Lim Quek T, Ek Kwang Chew Conceptualisation D, Lim WY. Glycated haemoglobin trajectories and one-year risk of potentially avoidable hospitalisations among adult type 2 diabetes patients seeking care at specialist outpatient clinics of a tertiary hospital: a cohort study.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2023:110737. [PMID:
37285967 DOI:
10.1016/j.diabres.2023.110737]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2023] [Revised: 05/15/2023] [Accepted: 05/28/2023] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
AIM
To evaluate the association between trajectories of glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and potentially avoidable hospitalisations (PAH).
METHODS
We performed a cohort study in a tertiary hospital in Singapore among adult type 2 diabetes patients with ≥3HbA1c tests over two years. Then, we followed up for one year after the last HbA1c reading. Glycaemic control was analysed by (1)HbA1c trajectories through group-based trajectory modelling, and (2)mean HbA1c. PAH was defined using the Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality criteria, categorising as overall, acute, chronic, diabetes-composites.
RESULTS
A total of 14923 patients (mean age:62.9±12.8 years;55.2% men)were included. Four HbA1c trajectories were observed; low-stable(n=9854,66.0%), moderate-stable(n=3125,20.9%), high-decrease(n=1017,6.8%) and high-persistent(n=927,6.2%). Compared to the low-stable trajectory, one-year risk ratio(RR) and 95%CI, respectively for moderate-stable, high-decrease and high-persistent trajectories were as follows:(1)overall PAH:1.15(1.00-1.31),1.53(1.31-1.80),1.96(1.58-2.43);(2)diabetes PAH:1.30(1.04-1.64),1.98(1.55-2.53),2.24(1.59-3.15);(3)acute PAH:1.14(0.90-1.44),1.29(0.95-1.77),1.75(1.17-2.62); and (4)chronic PAH:1.21(1.02-1.43),1.62(1.34-1.97),2.14(1.67-2.75). Mean HbA1c was significantly associated with overall and chronic-composites of PAH whilst evidence of a non-linear relationship with diabetes-composite of PAH was noted.
CONCLUSION
Patients with high-decrease trajectory had a risk lower than those with persistently-high HbA1c, highlighting that a greater risk of hospitalisation conferred by poor glycaemic control is potentially reversible. Determining HbA1c trajectories could help to identify the high-risk individuals for targeted and intensive management to improve care and reduce hospitalisations.
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