Identifying predictors of Day 5 blastocyst utilization rate using an artificial neural network

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can artificial intelligence identify predictors of an increased Day 5 blastocyst utilization rate (D5BUR), which is one of the most informative key performance indicators in an IVF laboratory?

DESIGN

This retrospective, multicentre study evaluated six variables for predicting D5BUR using an artificial neural network (ANN): number of metaphase II (MII) oocytes injected (intracytoplasmic sperm injection); use of autologous/donated gametes; maternal age at oocyte retrieval; sperm concentration; progressive sperm motility rate; and fertilization rate. Cycles were divided into training and testing sets through stratified random sampling. D5BUR on Day 5 was grouped into <60% and ≥60% as per the Vienna consensus benchmark values.

RESULTS

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to predict the D5BUR groups was 80.2%. From the ANN model, all six independent variables were found to be of significant value for the prediction of D5BUR (P<0.0001), with the most important variable being the number of MII oocytes injected. Investigation of the effect of MII oocytes injected on D5BUR indicated an inverse correlation, with injection of an increasing number of MII oocytes resulting in a decreasing D5BUR (r=-0.344, P<0.001) and injection of up to six oocytes resulting in D5BUR ≥60%.

CONCLUSION

The number of MII oocytes injected is the most important predictor of D5BUR. Exploration of additional variables and further validation of models that can predict D5BUR can guide the way towards personalized treatment and increased safety.

P-164 COVID-19 vaccination does not impair fertilisation outcomes in IVF or ICSI cycles. A retrospective cohort study of patients’ cycle outcomes before and after vaccination

Study question

Does vaccination against Covid-19 affect fertilisation outcomes for patients returning for further IVF/ICSI cycle following vaccination?

Summary answer

Fertilisation outcome and selection of fertilisation method based on semen parameters are not altered after COVID-19 vaccination of both partners.

What is known already

There has been much speculation regarding the impact of the COVID-19 vaccine on fertility in both men and women. While vaccine hesitancy has been high amongst people of reproductive age, there is no current evidence that COVID-19 vaccines impact fertility. However, infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus can cause severe complications in pregnancy. Fertility may also be impacted as suggested by observation of decreased sperm count in some men, presence of SARS-CoV-2 virus in the testicles as well as invasion of SARS-CoV-2 in ovaries, uterus, vagina and placenta.

Study design, size, duration

The study included 89 returning, consenting couples undergoing IVF/ICSI in 2021 at Westmead Fertility Centre soon after receiving their COVID-19 vaccine. The fertilisation method and outcomes were compared to their most recent cycle preceding vaccination (2017-2021).

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Fertilisation method was decided based on semen parameters. Semen ejaculates on the day of oocyte retrieval were assessed according to WHO criteria (5th edition). Conventional IVF was performed for patients with normozoospermic samples above lower reference limits for concentration and motility and ICSI was done in patients falling below these criteria. Fertilisation method and outcomes for IVF and ICSI were compared to the most recent cycle performed prior to either partner receiving their COVID-19 vaccine.

Main results and the role of chance

89 couples returned for an IVF/ICSI cycle following vaccination against Covid-19. Fertilisation outcomes were not significantly different following COVID-19 vaccination (NS, p &gt; 0.05, c2). Average fertilisation rate (2PN/MII oocyte) per couple undergoing conventional IVF post-vaccination was 71.9±1.1% compared to 68.1±1.1% in the previous cycle (NS), while average fertilisation rate per couple undergoing ICSI post-vaccination was 51.7±1.2% compared to 47.6±1.2% pre-vaccination (NS). The average age of women/men at the time of OPU post-vaccination was 36.1±0.6/38.3±0.7 years, compared to 35.3±0.6/37.5±0.7 years in the treatment prior vaccination. In the post-vaccination cycle, 55 patients had normozoospermic samples on the day and underwent conventional IVF (61.8%), while 34 patients underwent ICSI (38.2%). Vaccination against COVID-19 did not affect fertilisation method selection with 82/89 (92.1%) of couples having the same method in pre- and post-vaccination cycles. Fertilisation method was different for seven couples (7.9%), with two choosing ICSI post-vaccination, and five being driven by change in semen parameters. Four couples had ICSI in the pre-vaccination cycle and IVF in the post-vaccination cycle, while one couple had IVF in the pre-vaccination cycle and ICSI in the post-vaccination cycle, all resulting in a non-significantly different fertilisation rate per couple (70.5±3.8% post-vaccination compared to 66.7±3.6% in the pre-vaccination cycle, NS).

Limitations, reasons for caution

The results represent the experience gained from current practice and not of a prospective controlled study. The developmental potential of embryos generated and clinical outcomes were not explored.

Wider implications of the findings

IVF/ICSI fertilisation outcomes are likely not affected by both partners being vaccinated against COVID-19 when considering fertilisation rates, semen characteristics and fertilisation method. This information may assist vaccine hesitant couples of reproductive age in making their choice regarding vaccination.

Trial registration number

2101-08 QA