Risk of arterial thromboembolism, bleeding and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with comorbid cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer often co-exist. Each has been associated with an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. The aim of this meta-analysis was to synthesize available data regarding the incidence of arterial thromboembolism (TE), bleeding, and all-cause mortality in patients with AF with or without cancer.

METHODS

Literature search was conducted in PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, WebOfScience, Scopus, CENTRAL, OpenGrey, and EThOS databases to identify studies that included patients with AF and accounted for cancer status with the incidence of TE (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or arterial thrombosis), major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. A random-effects meta-analysis was used.

RESULTS

Overall, 17 studies were included (3,149,547 patients). The risk of TE was similar in patients with AF with comorbid cancer compared with that in AF alone (pooled odds ratio [pOR] 0.97, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.85-1.11, I2 = 87%). Major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding (pOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.35-2.02, I2 = 98%) and all-cause death (pOR 2.17, 95% CI 1.83-2.56, I2 = 98%) were significantly higher in patients with AF with cancer than in patients with AF only. The history of TE and hypertension and mean age were significant moderators of TE risk.

CONCLUSION

In patients with AF, the presence of cancer is associated with a similar risk of TE as well as an increased risk of bleeding and all-cause death compared with the absence of cancer.

Cardioselective versus Non-Cardioselective Beta-Blockers and Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been independently associated with increased mortality; however, there is no evidence regarding beta-blocker cardioselectivity and long-term outcomes in patients with AF and concurrent COPD. Methods: This post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial (NCT02941978) included patients hospitalized with comorbid AF. At discharge, all patients were classified according to the presence of COPD; patients with COPD on beta-blockers were classified according to beta-blocker cardioselectivity. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were calculated by using multivariable Cox regression models. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations. Results: Of 1103 patients with AF, 145 (13%) had comorbid COPD. Comorbid COPD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause (aHR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02 to 1.73) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.47; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.99), but not with increased risk of hospitalizations (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.48). The use of cardioselective versus non-cardioselective beta-blockers was associated with similar all-cause mortality (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.94), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.33; 95% CI, 0.71 to 2.51), and hospitalizations (aHR 1.65; 95% CI 0.80 to 3.38). Conclusions: In recently hospitalized patients with AF, the presence of COPD was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. No difference between cardioselective and non-cardioselective beta-blockers, regarding clinical outcomes, was identified.

Risk of arterial thromboembolism in patients with concomitant atrial fibrillation and cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background/Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer often co-exist and have been independently associated with increased risk of arterial thromboembolism (TE), all cause death and bleeding; however, no cumulative data exist regarding the clinical course of AF patients with comorbid cancer.

Purpose

The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to synthesize the available data regarding the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events in AF patients in association with concurrent cancer.

Methods

The composite outcome of any TE (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or arterial thrombosis) was defined as the primary study outcome, while all-cause mortality and major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding occurrence as the secondary ones. Literature search was conducted in PubMed (MEDLINE), WebOfScience, Scopus, CENTRAL, OpenGrey, and EThOS databases. A random-effects model meta-analysis was performed. Subgroup analyses were conducted assessing the effect of active cancer history and various cancer subtypes on the outcomes of interest. Meta-regression analyses were also performed to examine the relative impact of CHA2DS2VASC and HASBLED prognostic scores on the risk of TE and bleeding, respectively.

Results

Overall 17 studies were included in our analysis, encompassing a total of 3,151,861 AF patients. Comorbid cancer was non-significantly associated with lower odds of TE than AF alone (pooled odds ratio (pOR) = 0.85, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69–1.03, I2=87%). The likelihood for all-cause death and bleeding occurrence was significantly higher in AF patients with cancer (pOR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.69–3.06, I2=99%); pOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.26–1.97, I2=97% respectively) compared to those without cancer. Subgroup analysis on active cancer status did not yield any substantial difference, marginally improving the heterogeneity of our analysis. The highest all-cause mortality likelihood was observed in Liver-Pancreas-Gallbladder category (pOR = 10.58, 95% CI: 4.69–23.88, I2=98%) while the highest bleeding likelihood was encountered in Genitourinary cancer (pOR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.42–2.55, I2=71.9%). The performed meta-regression analyses did not yield any significant results.

Conclusions

Our meta-analysis of 17 eligible studies demonstrated that cancer does not seem to be associated with increased risk of TE, while with increased all-cause death and bleeding occurrence in AF patients. This correlation might be explained by higher cancer-driven mortality rates (competing risk), many cases of TE being left undiagnosed within the scope of palliative cancer care, misdiagnosed episodes of TE due to the presence of brain metastases, optimal cardio-oncology monitoring, and more frequent usage of prophylactic anticoagulation treatment for cancer-associated venous thromboembolism. Nonetheless, further competing-risk survival analyses are warranted before reaching definite conclusions.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Renal function and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation

AIM

The aim of this study is to examine the association of the presence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values with mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

This posthoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial consisted of hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation who were followed up for a median of 2.7 years after discharge. Kaplan-Meier curves, multivariate Cox-regression and spline curves were utilized to assess the association of CKD, CKD stages 2-5 according to the KDOQI guidelines, and the continuum of eGFR values with the primary outcome of all-cause death, and the secondary outcome of cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

Out of 1064 hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation, 465 (43.7%) had comorbid CKD. The presence of CKD was associated with an increased risk for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality following hospitalization [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.60; 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs): 1.25-2.05 and aHR: 1.74; 95% CI: 1.30-2.33, respectively]. The aHRs for all-cause mortality in CKD stages 2-5, as compared with CKD stage 1 were 2.18, 2.62, 4.20 and 3.38, respectively (all P < 0.05). In spline curve analyses, eGFR values lower than 50 ml/min/1.73 m2 were independent predictors of higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSION

In recently hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation, the presence of CKD was independently associated with decreased survival, which was significant across CKD stages 2-5, as compared with CKD stage 1. Values of eGFR lower than 50 ml/min/1.73 m2 were incrementally associated with worse prognosis.

Associations of Atrial Fibrillation Patterns With Mortality and Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the MISOAC-AF Trial

AIM

This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the prognostic implications of the distinct atrial fibrillation (AF) temporal patterns: first diagnosed, paroxysmal, and persistent or permanent AF.

METHODS

In this post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF trial (NCT02941978), a total of 1052 patients with AF (median age 76 years), discharged from the cardiology ward between 2015 and 2018, were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox-regression analyses were performed to compare the primary outcome of all-cause mortality, the secondary outcomes of stroke, major bleeding and the composite outcome of cardiovascular (CV) mortality or hospitalization among AF patterns.

RESULTS

Of patients, 121 (11.2%) had first diagnosed, 356 (33%) paroxysmal, and 575 (53.2%) persistent or permanent AF. During a median follow-up of 31 months (interquartile range 10 to 52 months), 37.3% of patients died. Compared with paroxysmal AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had higher mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.74, P = .009), but similar CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.91-1.31, P = .35). Compared with first diagnosed AF, patients with persistent or permanent AF had similar mortality (aHR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.87-1.82, P = .24), but higher CV mortality or hospitalization rates (aHR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.01-1.8, P = .04). Stroke and major bleeding events did not differ across AF patterns (all P > .05).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, in recently hospitalized patients with comorbid AF, the presence of persistent or permanent AF was associated with a higher incidence of mortality and morbidity compared with paroxysmal and first diagnosed AF.

Oral anticoagulation patterns and prognosis in octogenarian patients with atrial fibrillation

The relationship between oral anticoagulants (OACs) and prognosis in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been adequately explored. In this retrospective cohort study, we identified subjects aged over 80 from a database of 1140 AF patients discharged from the cardiology ward of a single tertiary center between 2015 and 2018. We examined the OAC treatment of octogenarian patients at discharge [VKA (vitamin K antagonist), NOAC (non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant), no OAC treatment]. We analyzed follow-up data of patients on OAC at discharge. The primary endpoint was all-cause death. The secondary endpoint was the incidence of stroke and major bleeding. The association of NOAC versus VKA treatment with these endpoints was assessed with multivariable Cox regression, using the VKA group as reference. A total of 330 octogenarian patients with AF were included with a mean (± SD) age of 83.9 ± 3.5 years. At discharge, 53.3% received a NOAC, 30% a VKA, and 16.7% no OAC. Patients on OAC were followed-up over a median of 2.6-years . The adjusted risk of all-cause death was not different in the NOAC group, compared with the VKA group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.72; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.50-1.03; P = 0.07). The risk of stroke or major bleeding was not different either (all P > 0.05). In conclusion, in this cohort of post-discharge octogenarian patients with AF, the risk for all-cause death was similar in NOAC versus VKA users, after adjustment for baseline covariates. No differences in stroke and major bleeding events among these treatment groups were revealed.

"Maternal diabetes mellitus and its impact on the risk of delivering a child with congenital heart disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis"

AIM

Maternal pregestational diabetes mellitus (PGDM), type 1 or type 2, has been established as a potential risk factor for congenital heart disease (CHD). At the same time, the correlation between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and increased risk of CHD has not been yet fully elucidated. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO number: CRD42020182390) was to analyze the existing evidence on PGDM and to attempt to fill, to the best of our ability, the remaining knowledge gap in the association of GDM with CHD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two authors have independently searched the Pubmed/Medline, Scopus, Cochrane, Web of Science, and Theses Global databases with keywords and Boolean operators. The search yielded 9333 relevant articles, which were later screened for eligibility. Original peer-reviewed (case-control or cohort) studies were included if they were published in English between 1997 and 2020. Thirteen studies on mothers with PGDM and seven studies on mothers with GDM were finally included in our meta-analysis to investigate the association of maternal diabetes with the risk of delivering a child with CHD. The selected studies were all assessed for their methodological quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Associations with p < .05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Our meta-analysis (I² > 75%, total population: n = 12,461,586) of 79,476 women with PGDM and 160,893 with GDM produced an odds ratio of 3.48 (2.36-4.61) and 1.55 (1.48-1.61), respectively. Additionally, we did not find any noticeable difference in the risk for CHD among diabetic women living in the USA and Europe. Nevertheless, it still needs to be clarified, whether or not the gestational diabetic population includes undiagnosed women with preexisting diabetes, which might account for the increased risk of delivering a child with CHD in women classified as suffering from GDM.

CONCLUSION

While both GDM and PGDM seem to significantly increase the risk of CHD in comparison with the general population, PDGM appears to have a greater association with CHD, being correlated with a 3.5-fold increase in the risk of malformation. Preconceptional and gestational diabetes care are, therefore, essential to mitigate the adverse effect of hyperglycemia on fetal heart formation during pregnancy.

Τhe association of heart failure across left ventricular ejection fraction with mortality in atrial fibrillation

Aims

The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic implications of the presence of heart failure (HF) across the range of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with comorbid atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods and results

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1063 patients (median age 76 years), discharged from the cardiology ward with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF between 2015 and 2018. We used Cox proportional‐hazards and spline models to examine the association of the presence of HF, across the range of LVEF, with the primary outcome of all‐cause mortality. HF was documented in 52.9% of patients at baseline. During a median follow‐up of 31 months (interquartile range 10 to 52 months), 37.3% of patients died. The presence of HF was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.17; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.70 to 2.77; P < 0.001], which was evident across HF with reduced (aHR 3.03; 95% CI 2.41 to 4.52), mid‐range (aHR 2.08; 95% CI 1.47 to 2.94), and preserved LVEF (aHR 1.94; 95% CI 1.47 to 2.55). Among patients with HF, the spline curve depicted a non‐linear association between LVEF and the risk of death, in which there was a steep and progressive increase in mortality for every 5% reduction in LVEF below 25% (aHR 1.97, 95% CI 1.04 to 3.73, P = 0.04).

Conclusions

In patients with AF who were discharged from the hospital, the presence of HF at baseline was independently associated with a twofold risk of death, which was significant across LVEF‐classified HF subtypes. Among patients with AF and HF, the risk of death rose significantly as LVEF was reduced below 25%.

Prognostic significance of diabetes mellitus in patients with atrial fibrillation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Despite the plethora of studies on atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM), there is still no sufficient data on the blood glucose regulation as a prognostic modifier in DM patients with AF.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of DM and levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with outcomes in patients with AF.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients who were recently hospitalized with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF from December 2015 through June 2018. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox-regression adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were calculated for the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and for the secondary outcomes of cardiovascular (CV) mortality, stroke and the composite outcome of CV death or hospitalization. Spline curve models were fitted to investigate associations of HbA1c values and mortality among patients with AF and DM.

Results

In total 1140 AF patients were included, of whom 373 (32.7%) had DM. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, 414 (37.3%) patients died. The presence of DM was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.44, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.12-1.85), CV mortality (aHR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.08-1.93), stroke (aHR = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.24-5.53) and the composite outcome of hospitalization or CV death (aHR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.06-1.54). In AF patients with comorbid DM, the spline curves showed a positive linear association between HbA1c levels and outcomes, with values &lt;6.2% predicting significantly decreased all-cause and CV mortality.

Conclusions

The presence of DM on top of AF was associated with a 1.5-fold increased risk for all-cause or CV mortality and excess morbidity. HbA1c levels lower than 6.2% were independently related to better survival rates. Follow-up outcomes by presence of DMOutcomeDMNon-DMAdjusted HR(95% CI)p-valueAll-cause death171/373 (45.8%)243/736 (33%)1.44 (1.12-1.85)&lt;0.001CV-death130/373 (34.9%)173/736 (23.5%)1.44 (1.08-1.93)&lt;0.001Major bleeding18/340 (5.3%)29/644 (4.5%)1.53 (0.71-3.28)0.291Stroke24/340 (7.1%)28/645 (4.3%)2.62 (1.24-5.53)0.013AF-related hospitalization59/340 (17.4%)115/645 (17.8%)1.20 (0.78-1.85)0.281HF-related hospitalization35/333 (10.5%)46/640 (7.2%)1.34 (0.83-2.19)0.235Hospitalization or CV-death243/373 (65.1%)399/736(54.2%)1.28 (1.06-1.54)&lt;0.001*Adjusted for: age, gender, smoking, BMI, history of hypertension, eGFR (CKD-EPI) and use of statin, ACEI-ARB, OAC and rate control medication after discharge.DM, diabetes mellitus; HR, hazard ratio; AF, atrial fibrillation; CV, cardiovascular; HF, heart failure.Abstract Figure. Visual overview of the study

Polypharmacy and major adverse events in atrial fibrillation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Polypharmacy has been defined as the daily use of more than 4 drugs, by an individual, regardless of the condition(s) they have been prescribed for and their efficacy. The burden of polypharmacy pertains to adverse drug reactions, disability, frequent and longtime hospitalization and long-term mortality. The prevalence of polypharmacy exceeds 10% in most adult age groups and particularly in the elderly. At the same time, atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent sustained cardiac arrhythmia, afflicting more than 8% of the elderly and those with multiple comorbidities.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to examine the association between the presence of polypharmacy and outcomes among AF patients.

Methods

This is a retrospective analysis among 1140 patients enrolled in the MISOAC-AF trial. All cause- and cardiovascular- mortality have been defined as primary endpoints. Independent clinical predictors of polypharmacy and of major adverse outcomes were identified via bootstrapped multivariate logistic and Cox regression analysis, respectively.

Results

The mean number of prescribed medications at patients’ discharge was 3.9 ± 1.6 and polypharmacy (use of more than 4 medications daily) was found in 36.9% of the patients. Smoking (p = 0.036), dyslipidemia (p &lt; 0.001), coronary artery disease (p &lt; 0.001), heart failure (HF; p = 0.003) and chronic kidney disease (p &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors of polypharmacy among AF paients. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that AF patients with polypharmacy have significantly greater risk of CV death (p = 0.040), while Cox regression analysis indicated polypharmacy as an independent predictor for all-cause and CV- mortality [adjusted hazard ratios: 1.31(1.03 - 1.67) and 1.39(1.05 - 1.84), respectively] and for the composite outcome of AF- or HF- related hospitalization or CV death [adjusted hazard ratio: 1.31 (1.05 - 1.63)].

Conclusion

This study highlights the implications of polypharmacy in the context of AF, a prevalent, chronic, life-threatening condition. Investigating polypharmacy is quite relevant in the era of pharmacovigilance, contributing to rational pharmacotherapy with regard to cardiovascular conditions and beyond. Abstract Figure. Mortality rates by polypharmacy presence

Prognostic significance of diabetes mellitus in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

There are limited data on the association of diabetes mellitus (DM) and levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients who were recently hospitalized with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF from December 2015 through June 2018. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox-regression adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were calculated for the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and for the secondary outcomes of cardiovascular (CV) mortality and the composite outcome of CV death or hospitalization. Competing-risk regression analyses were performed to calculate the cumulative risk of stroke, major bleeding, AF- or HF-hospitalizations adjusted for the competing risk of all-cause death. Spline curve models were fitted to investigate associations of HbA1c values and mortality among patients with AF and DM.

Results

In total 1109 AF patients were included, of whom 373 (33.6%) had DM. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, 414 (37.3%) patients died. The presence of DM was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.40 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.11–1.75), CV mortality (aHR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.07–1.81), sudden cardiac death (aHR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.19–2.52), stroke (aHR = 1.87, 95% CI 1.01–3.45) and the composite outcome of hospitalization or CV death (aHR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.06–1.53). In AF patients with comorbid DM, the spline curves showed a positive linear association between HbA1c levels and outcomes, with values 7.6–8.2% being independent predictors of increased all-cause mortality, and values < 6.2% predicting significantly decreased all-cause and CV mortality.

Conclusions

The presence of DM on top of AF was associated with substantially increased risk for all-cause or CV mortality, sudden cardiac death and excess morbidity. HbA1c levels lower than 6.2% were independently related to better survival rates suggesting that optimal DM control could be associated with better clinical outcomes in AF patients with DM.