Association between Dairy Product intake and Risk of Osteoporotic Fractures in Postmenopausal Japanese Women: Secondary Analysis of 15-Year Follow-Up data from the Japanese Population-Based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Few prospective cohort studies have evaluated the relationship between dairy product intake frequency and risk of osteoporotic fractures in Asians. This study aimed to investigate the association between habitual dairy product intake and risk of osteoporotic fractures.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Five municipalities of Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

This study included 1,429 postmenopausal Japanese women (age ≥45 years at baseline).

MEASUREMENTS

Baseline milk-intake frequency was obtained using nurse-administered questionnaires. Intakes of yogurt and cheese, and estimated calcium intake, were assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Osteoporotic fracture was defined as a clinical fracture diagnosed using radiography. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 15.1 years (interquartile range [IQR], 10.1-15.4 years; total, 18,118 person-years), 172 women sustained at least one osteoporotic fracture. The proportions of participants with milk intakes <1, 1, and ≥2 cups/d were 34.4%, 48.0%, and 17.6%, respectively. After adjustment for age, frequency of yogurt intake, frequency of cheese intake, body mass index, history of osteoporotic fractures, and frequency of natto intake, the HRs compared with that for milk intake <1 cup/d were 0.71 (95% CI: 0.51-0.98) and 0.57 (95% CI: 0.35-0.92) for 1 cup/d and ≥2 cups/d, respectively. After adjustment for bone mineral density, HR significance for milk intakes ≥2 cups/d remained significant. Yogurt and cheese intakes were not related to the risk of osteoporotic fractures.

CONCLUSION

High habitual milk intake, but not a habitual yogurt or cheese intake is associated with a decreased risk of osteoporotic fractures, independent of bone mineral density, in postmenopausal Japanese women.

Impact of right ventricular reserve on exercise capacity and quality of life in patients with left ventricular assist device

Background

Right heart failure following left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation is a major complication which significantly impairs functional capacity and quality of life (QoL). Right ventricular (RV) reserve function may limit exercise capacity and QoL in LVAD patients; however, most patients show normal RV haemodynamics at rest.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to investigate whether RV reserve assessed by the changes of RV function during exercise is correlated with exercise capacity and QoL in patients with LVAD.

Methods

We prospectively examined 20 consecutive LVAD patients who were admitted to our university hospital between June 2020 and November 2021 after excluding those who were unable to perform exercise (n=8). All patients underwent invasive exercise right heart catheterisation with simultaneous echocardiography in the supine position. RV stroke work index (RVSWI) was calculated as 0.0136 × stroke volume index × (mean pulmonary artery pressure [mPAP] − right atrial pressure [RAP]) at rest and during exercise. Exercise capacity and QoL were assessed by 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and peak oxygen consumption (VO2) in cardiopulmonary exercise testing, and the EuroQol visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS), respectively. The patients were divided into two groups according to the median ΔRVSWI (RVSWI change from rest to peak exercise) of 1.45 (interquartile range [IQR] −0.31 to 8.25) g/m2.

Results

Patients were predominantly male (75%) and the median age was 47 (IQR 38–60) years. Patients with lower ΔRVSWI had significantly higher change on RAP (P=0.019), but significantly lower change on mPAP (P&lt;0.001) compared to those with higher ΔRVSWI. There were no significant differences in age, gender, primary aetiology of heart failure, type of LVAD devices, or echocardiographic parameters including tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, and RVSWI at rest between the groups. ΔRVSWI during exercise were positively correlated with 6MWD (R=0.69, P&lt;0.01) and peak VO2 (R=0.66, P&lt;0.01) (Figure A). In addition, ΔRVSWI during exercise were positively correlated with the EQ-VAS (R=0.48, P=0.031). On the other hand, there was no significant correlation between RVSWI at rest and 6MWD (R=−0.11, P=0.63) and peak VO2 (R=0.13, P=0.95), and the EQ-VAS (R=0.11, P=0.61). During a median follow-up period of 312 (IQR 176–369) days, adverse events occurred in 3 patients (15%), including 1 death and 2 hospitalisations for major bleeding and right heart failure. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the adverse events more frequently occurred in patients with lower ΔRVSWI compared to those with higher ΔRVSWI (Figure B).

Conclusions

ΔRVSWI was positively correlated with 6MWD, peak VO2 and EQ-VAS irrespective of RV function at rest. Our findings suggest that the assessment of RV reserve function using ΔRVSWI would be useful for risk stratification in patients with LVAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Trends and outcomes of early rehabilitation in intensive care unit for patients with cardiovascular disease – a cohort study with propensity score-matched analysis

Background

Early rehabilitation in the intensive care unit (ICU), including early mobility therapy, is known to improve the clinical outcomes in patients with critically ill. However, the effectiveness of acute-phase cardiovascular rehabilitation (CR) during ICU treatment have not been thoroughly evaluated in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the trends and outcomes of acute-phase CR in the ICU for patients with CVD, including in-hospital and long-term clinical outcomes.

Methods

We reviewed 1948 consecutive patients with CVD admitted to tertiary academic ICU at a university hospital. Patients were arbitrarily assessed by an ICU team consisting of medical and surgical doctors, nurses and physiotherapists within 24 hours after admission to ICU to discover whether their rehabilitation could be initiated according to the specific clinical trial and statement. As clinical characteristics, disease aetiology, comorbid conditions, and ICU treatment were obtained from an electronic database. We evaluated the probability of return to walking independence and return to home as in-hospital clinical outcomes. All patients were followed for five years and investigated all-cause and cardiovascular events after hospital discharge as long-term clinical outcomes. The associations between the implementation of CR during ICU treatment (ICU-CR) and clinical outcomes were evaluated using propensity score-matched analysis with adjustment for clinical characteristics in all matched patients and various subgroups, including aged &gt;65 years, surgical patients, emergency, and length of ICU stay ≥48 hours.

Results

Out of studied patients, 1092 patients received ICU-CR, the number of which positively correlated with year-trend (r=0.986, P&lt;0.001). After propensity score matching with adjustment for clinical characteristics including calendar years, 758 patients were included for analysis (pairs of n=379 ICU-CR and non-ICU-CR). The ICU-CR was significantly associated with a higher probability of return to walking independence (incident rate ratio [IRR], 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.77–2.36) and return to home (IRR, 1.22 95% CI, 1.05–1.41). These associations were consistently observed in various subgroups regarding CVD conditions (Figure 1). During the median follow-up periods of 2.6 years, all-cause clinical events and cardiovascular events occurred in 289 patients (38.1%) and 153 patients (20.2%), respectively. The ICU-CR showed significantly lower rates of five-year all-cause and cardiovascular events than non-ICU-CR (hazard ratio [95% CI] for all-cause events and cardiovascular events, 0.71 [0.56–0.89] and 0.69 [0.50–0.95], respectively, Figure 2).

Conclusions

The implementation of acute-phase CR in the ICU increased with year-trend, considered beneficial to improve in-hospital and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with CVD and various subgroups of relatively severe disease conditions.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Association between the changes in walking speed during 6 months after discharge and subsequent prognosis in older patients with heart failure: report from a multicenter prospective cohort study

Background

Walking speed (WS) is one of the key components of physical frailty associated with a prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF). However, the prognostic impact of changes in WS after discharge in patients with HF remains to be examined.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to examined the association between the change in WS during 6 months after discharge and subsequent prognosis in older patients with HF.

Methods

This study was performed as a sub-analysis of the multicenter cohort study in Japan (FLAGSHIP). We analyzed patients hospitalized for HF aged ≥65 years whose WS was measured at discharge and after 6 months of discharge. Based on the patterns of WS at the two points, patients were divided into four groups (A: WS ≥0.98 m/s both at discharge and 6-month; B: ≥0.98 m/s at discharge, &lt;0.98 m/s at 6-month; C: &lt;0.98 m/s at discharge, ≥0.98 m/s at 6-month; D: &lt;0.98 m/s both at discharge and 6-month). WS &lt;0.98 m/s has been identified as a cut-off value predicting the prognosis of HF in the main analysis of the FLAGSHIP. Kruskal - Wallis test was used to compare among groups. Furthermore, Cox proportional hazards model was performed to evaluate the association between the WS subgroups and HF rehospitalization after 6-month of discharge. Additionally, adjustments were made for age and sex in model 1, and for age, sex, cognitive function (Mini-mental state examination, MMSE ≤23), past HF hospitalization, rehospitalization within 6 months after discharge, and variables with a p value &lt;0.05 both at discharge and 6 months in univariate analysis in model 2.

Results

A total of 890 patients were included in this study (Group A: n=386, B: n=51, C: n=143, D: n=310). There was a significant difference in HF rehospitalization after 6-month of discharge among the four groups (Log-rank test, p=0.01, Figure 1). In the crude model, hazard ratio (HR) of group B compared with A was 2.26 [95% confidence interval: 1.19–4.27, p=0.013], HR of C was 1.00 [0.56–1.77, p=0.988], and HR of D was 1.66 [1.11–2.47, p=0.013]. In model 1, HR of B was 2.12 [1.11–4.07, p=0.023], HR of C was 0.99 [0.56–1.75, p=0.964], and HR of D was 1.56 [1.01–2.42, p=0.047]. In model 2, HR of B was 0.95 [0.45–1.97, p=0.897], HR of C was 0.67 [0.35–1.26, p=0.212], and HR of D was [0.25–0.80, p=0.007].

Conclusion

Although slow WS is associated with poor prognosis, the prognosis might be improved if WS increases by 6 months after discharge.

Funding

This study is supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) from the Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science [16H01862].

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science

Perme ICU Mobility Score as a comprehensive assessment tool of acute-phase rehabilitation is correlated with clinical outcomes in patients after cardiovascular surgery

Background

Early mobility therapy in the intensive care unit (ICU) is widely employed to improve the physical function and prognosis of patients with critically ill. On the other hand, patients who undergo cardiovascular surgery frequently suffer from disabilities after ICU care due to their cardiopulmonary conditions and treatments. However, few studies have reported the procedures and assessments of acute-phase rehabilitation in these patients. Recently, the Perme ICU Mobility Score (Perme Score) was developed as a reliable tool to assess comprehensive mobility status of patients in the ICU. We hypothesised that the Perme Score is a useful tool for assessing the mobility levels in the ICU and predicting clinical outcomes in patients undergoing acute-phase rehabilitation after cardiovascular surgery.

Purpose

To investigate the associations between the Perme Score within the second days after cardiovascular surgery and the patients' clinical outcomes, including physical function and the incidence of clinical events.

Methods

We studied 224 consecutive patients (34.4% female; aged 65±13 years) who were admitted to the ICU of a tertiary academic hospital after cardiac and/or major vascular surgery. Clinical characteristics including patient profiles, comorbidities, surgical details and APACHE II and SOFA scores were evaluated on ICU admission. The Perme Score contains categories on mental status, potential mobility barriers, muscle strength and mobility level, with higher scores indicating greater activity levels in the ICU. We assessed the Perme Score within the second days after the surgery. As a physical function at hospital discharge, we measured the six-minute walk distance (6MWD). The primary endpoint was a composite outcome of the number of all-cause mortality and/or all-cause unplanned readmission. We analysed the associations of the Perme Score with the 6MWD and the incidence of clinical events using multiple regression analysis and multivariate Poisson regression analysis, respectively.

Results

After adjusting for clinical confounding factors, a higher Perme Score was an independent factor of a higher 6MWD (Table 1). During the median follow-up period of 1.3 years, 51 cases of all-cause mortality/readmission occurred in 37 (16.5%) patients, with an incidence rate of 18.6/100 person-years. In the multivariate Poisson regression analysis, even after adjusting for the severity score in the ICU, a higher Perme Score was significantly and independently associated with lower rates of all-cause clinical events (adjusted incident rate ratio: 0.96, 95% confidence interval: 0.93–0.99, P=0.008, Figure 1).

Conclusions

The Perme Score within the second days after cardiovascular surgery is correlated with physical function at hospital discharge and the incidence of clinical events after discharge. Thus, a comprehensive assessment of acute-phase rehabilitation after cardiovascular surgery may be useful in predicting clinical outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Cancer as a risk factor for physical dysfunction and poor prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease

Introduction

The emerging interdisciplinary field of cardio-oncology is of interest to clinicians because a history of cancer or cancer treatment is considered a severe risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Both cancer and CVD can reduce skeletal muscle mass; together, they can lead to a poorer prognosis. However, it is unclear whether a patient's cancer history can lower physical function and lead to a poor prognosis with the coexistence of cancer history and physical dysfunction in patients with CVD. This study aimed to identify the relationship between cancer history and physical function, as well as the prognostic value of their combination, in patients with CVD.

Methods

We reviewed 3,640 patients with CVD (mean age, 67.9±13.5 years) who underwent physical-function tests (gait speed and 6-min walking distance [6MWD]). We performed multivariate linear regression analysis to assess potential associations between cancer history and physical-function tests in patients with CVD. Additionally, we used the Kaplan–Meier curve and Cox regression analyses to assess survival and prognostic significance for patients divided into four groups according to the presence or absence of cancer history and high or low physical function.

Results

In multivariate linear regression analysis, cancer history was independently associated with lower gait speed and 6MWD (gait speed, P=0.048 and 6MWD, P=0.040). A total of 581 deaths occurred over a median follow-up period of 3.08 years (interquartile range: 1.36–5.27). For all-cause mortality, patients with a history of cancer and reduced physical function were found to have a significantly higher mortality risk even after adjusting for several covariates (gait speed, HR: 1.66, P=0.003 and 6MWD, HR: 1.71, P=0.003).

Conclusion

Cancer history was correlated with physical dysfunction in patients with CVD. Moreover, the coexistence of cancer history and physical dysfunction resulted in poorer prognosis in patients with CVD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Sex differences in frequency of instrumental activities of daily living after cardiac rehabilitation and its impact on long-term mortality in patients with heart failure

Introduction

While the major outcome of cardiac rehabilitation for heart failure (HF) is the improvement of exercise tolerance, prognosis, and quality of life, instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) has also been focused on as one of the its outcomes. IADL has been reported to be associated with all-cause mortality and quality of life in community-dwelling people and in patients with stable heart disease, but no report has examined the relationship between IADL after cardiac rehabilitation for HF and prognosis. In addition, it is assumed that sex differences may affect the frequency of performing each component of IADL, but there are no reports examining the association with prognosis by sex.

Purpose

The present study aimed to investigate the sex differences in frequency of IADL and its impact on outcomes.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 490 consecutive patients who were admitted due to acute decompensated HF and participated in outpatient cardiac rehabilitation after discharge. The study was performed in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki, and the protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of our institution. IADL frequency was assessed using the questionnaire-based Frenchay Activities Index (FAI). The primary endpoint was all-cause death and secondary endpoint was combined events (all-cause death and/or readmission due to HF). We performed the Kaplan–Meier and log-rank tests and multivariable Cox regression analysis to evaluate the prognostic predictive capability of the FAI.

Results

The study population had a median age of 69 (interquartile range [IQR]: 58–76) years, and 33.9% of patients were females. The median FAI score was 24 (IQR: 16–29) points. According to the Youden index based on the area under the curve calculated by the receiver operating characteristics curve, the cut-off values of FAI for all-cause death in all-over, females, and males were 23, 22, and 23 points, respectively. Over a median follow-up period of 4.8 years (IQR: 2.3–6.6 years), all-cause death and combined events were occurred in 95 (19.4%) and 213 (43.5%), respectively. After adjustment for several pre-existing prognostic factors, IADL assessed by the FAI was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.961, 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.937–0.986) and combined events (HR: 0.968, 95% CI: 0.952–0.985), respectively. In addition, there was no interaction between sex in prognostic capability (P=0.664).

Conclusion

Lower IADL frequency assessed by FAI at the end of outpatient cardiac rehabilitation was shown to be associated with poorer prognosis in patients with HF, regardless of sex. The IADL level is generally higher in females than in males but seems to be a useful marker for risk stratification at the end of cardiac rehabilitation in both females and males.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid [JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number JP 19K19884]

Impact of small-airway disease on exercise intolerance and long-term outcomes in patients with heart failure and reduced or preserved ejection fraction

Introduction

Exercise intolerance in patients with heart failure (HF) is a strong indicator of a poor prognosis. As the respiratory impairment in HF patients, the small airway is reportedly more susceptible than central airways, which results in increased airway resistance and may cause poor outcomes. However, the impact of small-airway disease (SAD) on exercise intolerance and prognosis in patients with HF is still unclear.

Purpose

We investigated the associations between SAD and exercise intolerance in patients with HF, and the clinical significance of SAD for long-term clinical events with a reduced or preserved ejection fraction.

Methods

We reviewed 1015 patients with HF (mean age, 66.9±14.6 years; male, 64.5%) admitted for medical treatment. Patients with a prior history of chronic respiratory disease or an obstructive lung pattern – defined as the forced expiratory volume (%) in 1 s relative to &lt;70% forced vital capacity using spirometry – were excluded. Characteristics including HF aetiology, comorbidities conditions, medications, blood parameters, and echocardiographic variables were obtained from clinical records. All patients underwent spirometry at hospital discharge, and SAD was defined as the maximum mid-expiratory flow (%) relative to a &lt;60% predicted value. At hospital discharge, we measured 6-min walk distance (6MWD), and &lt;300 m was considered as exercise intolerance. The primary endpoint was a composite clinical event of all-cause death and/or unplanned readmission for HF. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between SAD and exercise intolerance. The multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to clarify whether SAD was an independent predictor for the incidence of clinical events. We also performed subgroup analyses in each multivariate analysis based on a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 40%.

Result

SAD was observed in 479 (47.2%) patients. LVEF subgroups included 458 (45.1%) and 518 (51.0%) patients with LVEF &lt;40% and ≥40%, respectively. After adjusting for clinical characteristics, SAD was independently associated with 6MWD &lt;300 m (Figure 1). Moreover, this association was consistently observed in the LVEF &lt;40% and ≥40% (Figure 1). During the median follow-up period of 1.5 years, all-cause death/readmission occurred in 431 patients (42.5%), and the incidence rate was 17.5/100 person-years. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, SAD was independently associated with lower event-free survival rates in all patients and the LVEF &lt;40% subgroup, but not LVEF ≥40% subgroup (Figure 2A, B, and C, respectively).

Conclusion

This study is the first to reveal that SAD is associated with exercise intolerance in patients with HF regardless of LVEF. Moreover, SAD may have a predictive significance for long-term outcomes in patients with HF and subgroups with reduced, but not preserved ejection fraction.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

ACTIVATION OF HUMAN FIBROBLASTS BY CHRONIC RADIATION RATHER THAN ACUTE RADIATION

Cancer-associated fibroblast (CAF), an activated type of fibroblast, is a major stromal cell that contributes to tumor initiation and development in the tumor microenvironment (TME). We previously reported that fractionated radiation rather than acute radiation causes progressive damage to mitochondria and increases the generation of reactive oxygen species, playing an important role in the fibroblast activation in normal tissue injury. Activated fibroblasts then become CAF by interacting with tumor cells, promoting tumor growth in vivo. We here examined the chronic radiation effect on fibroblast activation. Acute radiation (<2.5 Gy) did not increase alpha-Smooth muscle actin, a CAF marker expression in healthy human cells, whereas chronic radiation (2.5 Gy) did. It can be concluded that the induction of fibroblast activation changes across acute radiation, fractionated radiation, and chronic radiation depending on the irradiation technique. This study highlights that radiation activates fibroblasts, playing a role in radiation-related tumor development via TME formation.

Relationship between the spread of coronavirus disease 2019, social frailty and depressive symptoms in patients with heart failure

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI

Background

Owing to the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), people have refrained from going out unnecessarily and have been maintaining social distance. These new lifestyle approaches have affected people physically, psychologically, and socially. Patients with heart failure (HF) are more likely to have social frailty, physical frailty, cognitive impairment, and depressive symptoms, and an overlap of these conditions leads to adverse events. Therefore, multi-domain assessment and understanding of the condition of patients with HF are important for disease management. The spread of COVID-19 is a predicted risk factor for these events, but its impact in patients with HF has not been investigated.

Purpose

We investigated whether the spread of COVID-19 is associated with the development of the multi-domain of frailty in patients with HF.

Methods

Patients who were independent in their daily activities before admission were included in the study. The presence of social frailty (Makizako’s five items), physical frailty (Fried phenotype model), cognitive impairment (Mini-Cog), and depressive symptoms (the Patient Health Questionnaire-2) in patients with HF were assessed at hospital discharge. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine the impact of the spread of COVID-19 on the development of the multi-domain of frailty in patients with HF.

Results

We included 482 patients in this study. Median patient age was 74 years, and 64.5% were male. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, the spread of COVID-19 was significantly associated with the development of social frailty (odds ratio [OR]: 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.30) and depressive symptoms (OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02–1.27) but not with the development of physical frailty (OR: 1.24, 95% CI: 0.51–3.02) and cognitive impairment (OR: 1.72, 95% CI: 0.80–3.73).

Conclusion

The spread of COVID-19 was associated with the development of social frailty and depressive symptoms in patients with HF. Evaluation of social frailty and depressive symptoms during hospitalization would support disease management and understand their social and psychological conditions specific to the spread of COVID-19.

Prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and its association with physical function in patients with acute coronary syndrome

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): JSPS KAKENHI

Background

It is widely known that patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are at increased risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is linked to sarcopenia and physical dysfunction. However, the relationship between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and physical dysfunction remains unclear.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prevalence of MAFLD in patients with ACS to assess the relationship between MAFLD and muscle strength, walking speed, and 6-minute walking distance (6 MWD).

Methods

We reviewed patients with ACS who were assessed for hepatic steatosis using the fatty liver index, and the results were further assessed to determine the presence of MAFLD. Multiple regression analysis was used to examine the association between MAFLD and physical function.

Results

Among 479 enrolled hospitalized patients, MAFLD was identified in 234 (48.9%) patients. We conducted a multiple regression analysis in which MAFLD was independently associated with lower leg strength, gait speed, and 6 MWD (leg strength, P = 0.023; gait speed, P = 0.002 and 6 MWD, P = 0.017). Furthermore, having more metabolic impairment was still associated with lower physical function decline (leg strength, P for trend = 0.002; gait speed, P for trend = 0.019 and 6 MWD, P for trend = 0.003).

Conclusions

MAFLD is common in hospitalized patients with ACS, and most patients with MAFLD have many overlapping metabolic abnormalities. MAFLD is associated with impaired physical function, and the greater the number of overlapping metabolic abnormalities, the worse the motor function.

Skeletal muscle mass metrics as factors in the prognosis of heart failure patients

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): JSPS KAKENHI Grant

Background

Sarcopenia is a chronic condition that is characterized by the loss of skeletal muscle mass with declining muscle strength and/or performance that occurs gradually with aging. It has been reported that sarcopenia is highly prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF) and is a poor prognostic factor. Therefore, it is important to accurately assess skeletal muscle mass in patients with HF. However, there are no reports that have simultaneously examined different skeletal muscle mass metrics as factors in the prognosis of HF patients.

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine if the different skeletal muscle mass metrics are associated with the prognosis of HF patients.

Methods

We examined a total of 869 patients with HF, aged ≥20 years (73 [63, 80] years; 537 males), who were admitted to our hospital and participated in an inpatient cardiac rehabilitation program. We used skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) as measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA), mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), arm muscle circumference (AMC), and calf circumference (CC) as metrics of skeletal muscle mass. The primary outcome was all-cause deaths, and secondary outcome was HF readmission. To investigate the association between each skeletal muscle mass metric and prognosis, patients were divided into three groups according to the tertiles of SMI, MUAC, AMC, and CC. In addition, cumulative event rates of survival curves, Gray test, and Fine & Gray test were performed to evaluate the prognostic predictive capability.

Results

Over a median follow-up period of 0.9 years (interquartile 0.4–1.9) years, a total of 80 deaths and 195 HF readmissions occurred in the patients. Cumulative event rates of survival curves and Gray test showed that there was a significant decrease in all-cause mortality and HF readmission in the high MUAC group and high AMC group compared to their respective low groups (P &lt; 0.05). Fine & Gray test after multivariate adjustment showed significantly better prognosis in the high MUAC group and high AMC group compared to their respective low groups (All-cause mortality: high MUAC group, subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] = 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.20-0.88, P &lt; 0.05; high AMC group, sHR = 0.34, 95%CI = 0.16-0.72 P &lt; 0.05, HF readmission: high MUAC group, sHR = 0.69, 95%CI = 0.47-1.00, P &lt; 0.05; high AMC group, sHR = 0.63, 95%CI = 0.43-0.93, P &lt; 0.05).

Conclusion

Patients with HF who maintained high MUAC and high AMC had a good prognosis. CC and SMI were not associated with the prognosis of HF patients. This suggests the importance of evaluating MUAC and AMC in HF patients.

Guideline adherence by physicians for management of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis in Japan: a nationwide health insurance claims database study

Risk of fracture due to glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis (GIO) can be reduced by anti-osteoporosis (OP) medications. The proportion of patients on long-term glucocorticoid therapy who received anti-OP medications according to the GIO management guidelines has increased in recent years, but is still suboptimal.

INTRODUCTION

Adherence of physicians to guidelines for glucocorticoid (GC)-induced osteoporosis (GIO) management is currently unclear. This study aimed to clarify the state of guideline adherence by physicians in Japan and identify factors associated with guideline adherence using a nationwide health insurance claims database (NDBJ).

METHODS

Patients aged ≥ 50 years who were prescribed GC for ≥ 90 days after 180 days without a GC prescription and who were followed up for osteoporosis (OP) management for the subsequent 360 days during the period spanning 2012-2018 were selected from the NDBJ. Guideline adherence was evaluated with the proportion of patients who received OP management as recommended by the Japanese guidelines. Information on previous vertebral and hip fractures, dementia, and polypharmacy was obtained. Factors associated with OP management were evaluated by logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 512,296 patients were considered to be at high risk of fracture according to the guidelines. Proportions of patients receiving OP management (BMD testing or anti-OP medications) have increased in recent years. In 2017, 33.7% of men and 55.3% of women received OP management in the initial 90 days of GC therapy. Female sex, previous anti-OP medications, polypharmacy, and higher GC dose were significantly associated with receiving OP management, while dementia showed an inverse association. A prior history of hip fracture, a strong risk factor for future fracture, was not significantly associated with receiving OP management.

CONCLUSIONS

Although guideline adherence by physicians has increased in recent years, it remains suboptimal. Further efforts to improve guideline adherence are necessary.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

The present study is not registered.

Predictive ability of novel volumetric and geometric indices derived from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometric images of the proximal femur for hip fracture compared with conventional areal bone mineral density: the Japanese Population-based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study

Areal BMD (aBMD) from DXA is not a sufficiently accurate predictor of fracture. Novel volumetric BMD derived from 3D modeling of the hip from DXA images significantly improved the predictive ability for hip fracture relative to aBMD at the femoral neck, but not aBMD at the total hip.

INTRODUCTION

To clarify whether volumetric and geometric indices derived from novel three-dimensional (3D) modeling of the hip using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometric (DXA) images improve hip fracture prediction relative to areal bone mineral density (aBMD).

METHODS

We examined 1331 women who had completed the baseline survey and at least one follow-up survey over 20 years (age 40-79 years at baseline). Each survey included aBMD measurement at the hip by DXA. Volumetric and geometric indices of the hip at baseline and the 10-year follow-up were estimated from DXA images using a 3D modeling algorithm. Incident hip fractures during the 20-year follow-up period were identified through self-report. Cox proportional hazards regression models allowing for repeated measurements of predictors and outcomes were constructed, and their predictive ability for hip fracture was evaluated using areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) over aBMD at the femoral neck (FN) and total hip (TH) as references.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 19.8 years, 68 incident hip fractures were identified (2.22/1000 person-years). A significantly larger AUC of trabecular volumetric BMD (vBMD) at the total hip (AUC = 0.741), femoral neck (AUC = 0.748), and intertrochanter (AUC = 0.738) and significant NRI (0.177, 0.149, and 0.195, respectively) were observed compared with FN-aBMD (AUC = 0.701), but not TH-aBMD.

CONCLUSIONS

vBMD obtained from 3D modeling using routinely obtained hip DXA images significantly improved hip fracture risk prediction over conventional FN-aBMD, but not TH-aBMD.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Japanese Population-Based Osteoporosis (JPOS) Cohort Study was retrospectively registered as UMIN000032869 in the UMIN Clinical Trials Registry on July 1, 2018.

Validation of the HFA-PEFF and the H2FPEF scores for the diagnosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in Japanese patients:a report from the Japanese multicentre registry

Background

The standard diagnosis of heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is based on the following: 1) symptoms of HF, 2) preserved left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (LVEF, &gt;50%), and 3) presence of LV diastolic dysfunction confirmed by echocardiography or cardiac catheterisation. However, there are limits to the diagnostic accuracy of individual parameters, and what cut-off values should be applied and how they should be combined remain unclear. Diagnostic algorithms for HFpEF such as the HFA-PEFF algorithm and the H2FPEF score have been proposed; however, previous validation studies were conducted in stable chronic HF and did not include an invasive haemodynamic assessment. Thus, the diagnostic accuracy for HFpEF lacked robustness. Moreover, information on their applicability in the Asian population is limited.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to investigate these scores' diagnostic validity for HFpEF in Japanese patients recently hospitalised due to acute decompensated HF.

Methods

We examined patients with HFpEF recently hospitalised with acute decompensated HF whose HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF scores could be calculated at discharge from a nationwide HFpEF-specific multicentre registry (HFpEF group) and control patients who underwent echocardiography to investigate the cause of dyspnoea in our hospital (Non-HFpEF group). We calculated the HFA-PEFF and the H2FPEF scores among the studied population. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) were computed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of these scores.

Results

The studied population included 372 consecutive patients (194 HFpEF group and 178 Non-HFpEF group; HFpEF prevalence, 52%). The HFA-PEFF score classified 155 (42%) of all patients into the high likelihood category (5–6 points) and only 19 (5%) into the low likelihood category (0–1 point). A high HFA-PEFF score could diagnose HFpEF with a high specificity of 84% and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 82%, and a low HFA-PEFF score could rule out HFpEF with a high sensitivity of 99% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 89%. The H2FPEF score classified 86 (23%) of all patients into the high likelihood category (6–9 points) and 84 (23%) into the low likelihood category (0–1 point). HFpEF could be diagnosed with a high H2FPEF score (specificity, 97%; PPV, 94%) or ruled out with a low H2FPEF score (sensitivity, 97%; NPV, 93%). The diagnostic accuracy for the HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF scores was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78–0.86) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.86–0.93), respectively, by the AUC of the ROC curve (P=0.004) (Figure 1A). In the HFA-PEFF sub-scores, the functional score showed little diagnostic value, while the morphological and biomarker scores showed moderate diagnostic value (Figure 1B).

Conclusions

The H2FPEF score may be more useful than the HFA-PEFF score in diagnosing HFpEF in Japanese patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS KAKENHI) Figure 1

Associations between kidney function and outcomes following cardiac rehabilitation in patients with heart failure

Background

Kidney dysfunction is considered one of the most prevalent comorbidities in patients with heart failure (HF). A combination of HF and kidney dysfunction is associated with peripheral muscle impairment, exercise intolerance, and poor prognosis. Conversely, cardiac rehabilitation (CR) for HF patients has been recognized to improve their clinical outcomes. However, the impact of kidney function on responses to CR in patients with HF is still unclear.

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the associations between baseline kidney function and outcomes following CR including changes in physical function and prognosis in HF patients.

Methods

We reviewed a total of 3,727 patients who were admitted for HF treatment and underwent comprehensive CR during hospitalization. In addition to clinical characteristics, we assessed the kidney function using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on serum creatinine level at hospital discharge as baseline. The quadriceps strength (QS) and 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) were measured as muscle strength and functional capacity, respectively, at baseline. We also remeasured these parameter 5 months after hospital discharge in patients who participated in outpatient CR. The association between participation in outpatient CR and composite outcome of all-cause death and/or unplanned readmission were assessed using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard models in a subgroup of baseline eGFR. We also compared the changes in QS and 6MWD (ΔQS and Δ6MWD) between the eGFR stages.

Results

During the median follow-up period of 1.9 years, all-cause death/readmission occurred in 1604 (43.0%) patients, and their rate of incidence was 20.9/100 person-years. Out of studied patients, 1,585 (42.5%) patients participated in outpatient CR that was significantly associated with lower incidences of all-cause clinical events in patients with both eGFR ≥60 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.60–0.89, P=0.002) and eGFR &lt;60 (adjusted HR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.78–0.99, P=0.045), but those with an eGFR &lt;60 showed significant interaction between CR participation and adverse clinical events (interaction P&lt;0.035, Figure 1). Among the outpatient CR participants, QS and 6MWD were significantly higher after 5-month CR than those at baseline (P&lt;0.001, respectively), but the low baseline eGFR correlated with low ΔQS and Δ6MWD (trend P&lt;0.001, respectively) even after adjustment for clinical confounding factors (Figure 2).

Conclusions

Although the outcomes following CR is affected by baseline kidney function, outpatient CR is significantly associated with the positive change in physical function and better prognosis in HF patients with low kidney function.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Effects of cardiac rehabilitation on the two-year prognosis of patients with heart failure: a multicentre prospective cohort study

Background

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a comprehensive disease management program highly recommended by heart failure (HF) guidelines. However, the prognostic effects of outpatient CR are inconsistent among recent meta-analyses which enrolled mainly younger HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). With an aging population, an increased importance of CR has been put on patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

Purpose

This study aimed to examine the prognostic effects of regularly undergoing CR for 6 months after discharge analysing nationwide cohort data including older population with HFrEF and HFpEF.

Methods

We analysed 2876 patients who hospitalised for acute HF or worsening chronic HF and capable of walking at discharge in the multicentre prospective cohort study. Frequency of outpatient CR participation of each patient was collected using medical records. We assessed CR frequency within 6 months of discharge since most collaborating hospitals conducted final follow-up examinations at 6 months. The CR group was defined as patients who underwent outpatient CR once or more per week for 6 months after discharge. The main study endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality and HF rehospitalisation during a 2-year follow-up. We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to compare survival rates between the CR and non-CR groups. Propensity scores for each patient were produced by a logistic regression analysis with the CR group as the dependent variable and 33 potential confounders as independent variables. To evaluate events beyond 6 months, we also conducted landmark analyses at 6 months.

Results

Of the 2876 enrolled patients, 313 underwent CR for 6 months. After propensity score matching using confounding factors, 626 patients (313 pairs) were included in the survival analysis (median age: 74 years, men: 59.6%, median left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF]: 42%). During 1006.1 person-years of follow-up, 137 patients were rehospitalised due to HF exacerbation, and 50 patients died in the matched cohort. In Cox proportional hazards model (Figure 1), CR was associated with a reduced risk of composite outcomes (hazard ratio [HR] 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48–0.91), all-cause mortality (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.30–0.95), and HF rehospitalisation (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.47–0.92). A subgroup analysis showed similar CR effects in patients with HFpEF (LVEF ≥50%) and HFrEF (LVEF &lt;40%). However, in a landmark analysis, CR did not reduce the adverse outcomes beyond 6 months after discharge (Figure 2).

Conclusions

The findings of this study demonstrate the needs that CR should become a standard treatment for HF regardless of HF type and the necessity of periodical follow-up after completing CR program to maintain its prognostic effects.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Figure 1. Prognostic effects of CRFigure 2. Landmark analysis

Applicability of the AHA/ACC/HRS guideline for implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation in Japanese patients with cardiac sarcoidosis

Background

Sarcoidosis is a systemic granulomatous disease that affects multiple organs. Cardiac involvement is a key determinant of poor clinical outcomes in the patients with sarcoidosis, as it causes congestive heart failure, conduction abnormalities, ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation (VT/VF), and sudden cardiac death (SCD). Although implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) are used to prevent SCD from VT/VF in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS), the generalizability of the AHA/ACC/HRS guidelines for the Japanese CS patients remains unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to assess, among Japanese patients with CS, the ICD recommendations from the 2017 AHA/ACC/HRS Guidelines for Management of Patients with Ventricular Arrhythmias and the Prevention of Sudden Cardiac Death.

Methods

We examined 188 consecutive patients with CS in two tertiary hospitals between 1979 and 2020. The primary outcome was defined as a composite outcome involving SCD or ventricular arrhythmic events. Ventricular arrhythmic events were defined as either emergency treatment for VF or sustained VT, which included appropriate ICD therapy.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 5.68 (IQR: 4.87–6.70) years, the primary outcome occurred in 44 patients (23%), which included 6 cases of SCD and 38 cases of VT/VF. ICD implant was indicated based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of ≤35% (class I recommendation) in 62 patients, with an annualized event rate of 3.93%. A LVEF of &gt;35% with a need for a permanent pacemaker (class IIa recommendation) was observed for 53 patients, with an annualized event rate of 2.54%. A LVEF of &gt;35% with late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) during cardiovascular magnetic resonance (class IIa recommendation) was observed for 62 patients, with an annualized event rate of 2.38% (Figure A). Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that patients with a class I recommendation for ICD implantation had a significant higher incidence of the primary outcome, compared to patients with a class IIa recommendation and patients with no indication for ICD implantation (P=0.03). However, there were no significant differences in the incidence of the primary outcome between patients with a LVEF of &gt;35% and a need for a permanent pacemaker and patients with a class I recommendation (P=0.08) or patients with a LVEF of ≤35% (P=0.31). Moreover, there was no significant difference in the incidence of the primary outcome between patients with a LVEF of &gt;35% and LGE on cardiovascular magnetic resonance and patients with a class I recommendation (P=0.054) or patients with a LVEF of ≤35% (P=0.22) (Figure B).

Conclusions

The American guideline recommendations for ICD implantation might be applicable to Japanese patients with CS. Implantation of an ICD may need to be considered in these patients if they require a permanent pacemaker or have LGE, regardless of LVEF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

Association of high serum soluble interleukin 2 receptor levels with risk of adverse events in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis

Background

Sarcoidosis is a systemic granulomatous disease that affects multiple organs. Among these, the presence of cardiac involvement is recognised as a determinant of worse clinical outcomes. Soluble interleukin 2 receptor (sIL-2R) is a potentially useful biomarker in the diagnosis and evaluation of disease severity in patients with sarcoidosis. However, it remains to be seen whether sIL-2R is associated with the severity and activity of disease in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS).

Purpose

The aims of this study were to investigate whether sIL-2R was associated with clinical outcomes and to clarify the relationship between sIL-2R levels and disease activity evaluated by 18F-fluorideoxyglucose in positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) in patients with CS.

Methods

We examined 101 consecutive patients with CS who were admitted to our University HospitalbetweenMay 2003 and February 2020. Patients who had no data of serum sIL-2R levels before initiation of immunosuppressive therapy (n=18) were excluded. Ultimately, 83 patients were examined in this study. The primary outcome was a composite of advanced atrioventricular block (AVB), ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF), heart failure hospitalisation, and all-cause death. Inflammatory activity in the myocardium and lymph nodes were assessed by18F-FDG PET/CT. We used a published program to analyse the cardiac metabolic activity (CMA), and total lymph node glycolysis (TLyG), which are quantitative measures of FDG volume-intensity.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 2.96 (interquartile range 2.24–4.27) years, the primary outcome occurred in 24 patients (29%), including 1 advanced AVB, 13 VT/VF, 5 hospitalisations for heart failure, and 5 all-cause deaths. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that the primary outcome occurred more frequently in patients with higher sIL-2R levels (&gt;538 U/mL, the median) than in those with lower sIL-2R levels (Figure). A multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that a higher sIL-2R level was independently associated with an increased subsequent risk of adverse events (hazard ratio 3.71, 95% confidence interval 1.63–8.44, p=0.002), even after adjustments for age, plasma B-type natriuretic peptide, estimated glomerular filtration rate, left ventricular ejection fraction, and late gadolinium enhancement, which are known to be strong determinants of worse clinical outcomes in patients with CS (Table). Furthermore, sIL-2R levels were significantly correlated with TLyG, the inflammatory activity in lymph nodes (r=0.346, p=0.003) but not with CMA, the inflammatory activity in myocardium (r=0.131, p=0.27).

Conclusions

Increased sIL-2R is associated with worse long-term clinical outcomes accompanied by increased systemic inflammatory activity in CS patients. These findings suggest the importance of assessing sIL-2R as a surrogate marker for further risk stratification in these patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

Associations of severity of liver damages with physical function and prognosis in patients with heart failure

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) and liver dysfunction often coexist because of complex cardiohepatic interactions, which adversely affects prognosis. However, the association between liver dysfunction and physical dysfunction, and between coexistence of both and prognosis in HF patients remains unclear.

Purpose

We evaluated the associations of severity of liver damage and physical function and prognosis in patients with HF.

Methods

The study population consisted of 895 patients with HF (mean age, 69.4 ± 14.2 years) who underwent liver function test using model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score and physical function test (grip strength, leg strength, gait speed, and 6-minute walking distance [6MWD]). The associations between MELD-XI score and physical function were assessed by multivariate linear regression model analysis. Moreover, we investigated the prognostic value of coexistence of liver dysfunction and physical dysfunction. The endpoint was all-cause mortality.

Results

After adjusting for covariates, MELD-XI score was independently associated with lower grip strength, leg strength, gait speed, and 6MWD (P &lt; 0.001). In addition, hierarchical multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that adding MELD-XI scores or BNP explained additional variance in the physical function measures. The MELD-XI score added to the clinical model was significantly more predictive of physical function (grip strength, change in F: 27.105, P &lt; 0.001; leg strength, change in F: 33.980, P &lt; 0.001; gait speed, change in F: 22.826, P &lt; 0.001; 6MWD, change in F: 59.193, P &lt; 0.001) than BNP added to the clinical model. Eighty-six deaths occurred over a median follow-up period of 1.67 years (interquartile range: 0.62 – 3.04). Patients with high MELD-XI score and reduced physical function were found to have significantly higher mortality risk even after adjusting for several covariates (grip strength, hazard ratio [HR] = 3.80 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.04 – 7.08], P &lt; 0.001; leg strength, HR = 4.65 [95% CI = 2.47 - 8.75], P &lt; 0.001 and gait speed, HR = 2.49 [95% CI = 1.43 - 4.33], P = 0.001; 6MWD, HR = 5.48 [95% CI = 2.88 - 10.41], P &lt; 0.001).

Conclusions

Liver dysfunction was correlated with reduced physical function. Moreover, the coexistence of lower physical function and liver dysfunction considerably affected prognosis in patients with HF.

Abstract Figure. Kaplan–Meier survival curves

Low skeletal muscle density combined with muscle dysfunction predicts adverse events after adult cardiovascular surgery

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This study was supported by the Grant for Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI.

Introduction

Although muscle dysfunction is widely known as a poor prognostic factor in patients with cardiovascular disease, no study has examined whether the addition of low skeletal muscle density (SMD) assessed by computed tomography (CT) to muscle dysfunction is useful.

Purpose

The present study aimed to examine whether SMDs can strengthen the predictive ability of muscle dysfunction for adverse events in patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 853 patients (median age: 69 years, 65.1% male) aged ≥40 years who had preoperative CT for risk management purposes and muscle dysfunctions measured during postoperative cardiac rehabilitation. Muscle dysfunctions were determined from weakness (low grip strength) and slowness (slow gait speed) based on the Asia Working Group for Sarcopenia. Low SMD based on transverse abdominal CT images was defined as a mean Hounsfield unit of the psoas muscle &lt;45. To examine the complementary prognostic value for all-cause deaths, all-cause events, and cardiovascular-related events when low SMDs were added to four patterns of muscle dysfunction (weakness only, slowness only, weakness or slowness, and weakness and slowness), the continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index were calculated.

Results

For all definitions of muscle dysfunction, the addition of SMDs was shown to significantly improve the cNRI (estimates: 0.377 to 0.468 for all-cause death, 0.220 to 0.248 for all-cause events, 0.308 to 0.322 for cardiovascular-related events) and IDI (estimates: 0.005 to 0.011 for all-cause death, 0.005 to 0.010 for all-cause events, 0.009 to 0.012 for cardiovascular-related events) in all analyses. Low SMDs combined with muscle dysfunctions were associated with the highest risk of all-cause death (Figure 1: A-D). Patients with neither low SMDs nor muscle dysfunction had the lowest risk of all-cause events and cardiovascular-related events (Figure1: E-L).

Conclusion

The predictive ability of muscle dysfunction for adverse events was consistently increased by addition of SMDs in patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery. Our results suggest that when CT is performed for any clinical investigation, the addition of the organic assessment of skeletal muscle can strengthen the diagnostic accuracy of muscle wasting.

Abstract Figure 1

Influence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction on occurrence of pulsus tardus in patients with aortic stenosis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

The time between left ventricular (LV) and aortic systolic pressure peaks (TLV-Ao) which could reflect pulsus tardus (PT) is reported to be a marker of severity and be associated with poor prognosis in patients with aortic stenosis (AS). Despite its worldwide recognition, physiological mechanism of PT has not been well elucidated. We hypothesized that not only severity of the AS but also LV systolic dysfunction could be associated with occurrence of PT.

Methods

TLV-Ao and mean trans-aortic valvular pressure gradient (mean PG) were measured by simultaneous pressure tracing of left ventricle and basal aorta in 74 AS patients with at least moderate severity (78 ± 8 years old). Effective orifice area index (EOAI) was estimated by using continuity equation from transthoracic echocardiography and severe AS was defined as EOAI ± 0.60 cm²/m². Global longitudinal strain (GLS) was measured by using speckle-tracking method and expressed as an absolute value.

Results

TLV-Ao, mean PG, and EOAI was 87 ± 30 msec, 51 ± 21 mmHg, and 0.51 ± 0.14 cm² respectively. A weak correlation was observed between EOAI and TLV-Ao (Figure). In 9 out of 17 moderate AS patients (A in Figure), TLV-Ao was prolonged over the previously reported cut-off value (≥66 msec), on the other hand, it was not prolonged in 11 out of 57 severe AS patients (D in Figure). When the patients were divided by TLV-Ao of 66 msec, mean PG was not different between patients with prolonged TLV-Ao and those without in moderate AS patients (Figure, A vs B; NS), whereas GLS was significantly reduced in prolonged TLV-Ao group (P = 0.0383). In patients with severe AS, mean PG was significantly higher (P &lt; 0.0001) in patients with prolonged TLV-Ao than in those without (Figure, C vs D), whereas GLS was comparable between the groups. In overall patients, multivariable analysis revealed that not only mean PG (β=0.54) but also GLS (β=-0.23) was an independent determinant of TLV-Ao.

Conclusion

The occurrence of pulsus tardus could be associated not only with severity of the AS but also with LV systolic dysfunction in patients with AS.

Abstract Figure

Presence and significance of mid-systolic notch on right ventricular outflow tract velocity envelopes in pulmonary hypertension due to heart failure

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

 A mid-systolic notch (MSN) of the right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) pulsed-wave Doppler envelope, which is recognized as a characteristic finding in pre-capillary pulmonary hypertension (PH), is often observed in heart failure (HF) patients. However, clinical significance of MSN formation in HF has not been elucidated.

Methods

 Consecutive 233 HF patients who underwent right heart catheterization and echocardiography within 24 hours were enrolled. Isolated post-capillary PH (IpcPH) was defined as mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) &gt;20 mmHg, mean pulmonary artery wedge pressure (mPAWP) &gt;15 mmHg, and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) &lt;3 Wood units and combined pre- and post-capillary PH (CpcPH) was as mPAP &gt;20 mmHg, mPAWP &gt;15 mmHg, and PVR ≥3 Wood units. Pulmonary arterial capacitance (PAC) was calculated as stroke volume / pulmonary arterial pulse pressure [mL/mmHg]. MSN was defined as formation of notch within first half of the RVOT pulsed-wave Doppler envelope.

Results

 Prevalence of IpcPH, CpcPH, and without PH were 87 (37%), 45 (19%), and 101 (43%), respectively and MSN was observed in 8 (9%) of IpcPH, 17 (38%) of CpcPH, and 1 (1%) of patients without PH. Among the hemodynamic and echocardiographic parameters, mPAP and PAC independently determined occurrence of MSN in all the multivariable models (Table). Interestingly, when the PH patients were dimidiated according to median PAC (3.2 mL/mmHg), 25 out of 102 PH patients (25%) with low PAC showed MSN whereas any of PH patients with high PAC did not (Figure).

Conclusion

 MSN was frequently observed in HF patients showing CpcPH. Combination of elevated pressure and reduced compliance of the pulmonary circulation could determine occurrence of MSN in HF.

Determinants of MSN occurrence Univariable analysis Multivariable analysis Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 variables OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p LV ejection fraction 0.97 (0.94-0.99) 0.007 1.00 (0.96-1.03) 0.795 LV mass index 1.00 (1.00-1.02) 0.143 PAW pressure 1.13 (1.08-1.18) &lt;0.001 0.92 (0.82-1.03) 0.135 Mean PA pressure 1.14 (1.09-1.19) &lt;0.001 1.08 (1.02-1.14) 0.006 1.15 (1.04-1.27) 0.004 1.08 (1.00-1.17) 0.030 1.07 (1.01-1.14) 0.025 Mean RA pressure 1.14 (1.06-1.22) &lt;0.001 1.00 (0.90-1.11) 0.978 Pulmonary vascular resistance 1.97 (1.45-2.67) &lt;0.001 1.20 (0.88-1.63) 0.225 Pulmonary arterial capacitance 0.27 (0.15-0.48) &lt;0.001 0.49 (0.26-0.92) 0.010 0.44 (0.23-0.85) 0.004 0.47 (0.24-0.93) 0.011 0.49 (0.26-0.93) 0.011 Abstract Figure.

Weight loss early after discharge predicts the risk of rehospitalization in non-obese patients with heart failure preserved ejection fraction

Background

Weight loss (WL) has been considered as a prognostic factor in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, the prognosis and associated factors of WL in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) have remained unclear.

Purpose

This study aimed to examine the prevalence, prognosis, and clinical characteristics of worse prognosis based on the identified WL after discharge in HFpEF.

Methods

The study was conducted as a part of a multicenter cohort study (Flagship). The cohort study enrolled ambulatory HF who hospitalized due to acute HF or exacerbation of chronic HF. Patients with severe cognitive, psychological disorders or readmitted within 6-month after discharge were excluded in the study. WL was defined as ≥5% weight loss in 6-month after discharge and HFpEF was defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50% at discharge. Age, gender, etiology, prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal-proBNP (NT-proBNP), anemia (hemoglobin; male &lt;13g/dL, female &lt;12g/dL), serum albumin, Geriatric Depression Scale, hand grip strength and comorbidities were collected at discharge. Patients were stratified according to their body mass index (BMI) at discharge as non-obese (BMI &lt;25) or obese (BMI ≥25). We analyzed the association between WL and HF rehospitalization from 6 month to 2 years after discharge using Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and Cox regression analysis adjusted for age and gender, and clinical characteristics associated to worse prognosis in WL using logistic regression analysis adjusted for potential confounders in HFpEF.

Results

A total of 619 patients with HFpEF were included in the analysis. The prevalence of WL was 12.9% in 482 non-obese and 15.3% in 137 obese patients. During 2 years, 72 patients were readmitted for HF (non-obese: 48, obese: 24). WL in non-obese independently associated with poor prognosis (hazard ratio: 2.2: 95% confidence interval: 1.13–4.25) after adjustment for age and sex, while WL in obese patients did not. Logistic regression analysis chose age (odds ratio 1.02 per 1 year; 1.00–1.05), anemia (2.14; 1.32–3.48), and BNP ≥200pg/mL or NT-proBNP ≥900pg/mL (1.83; 1.18–2.86) as independent associated factors for worse prognosis of WL in non-obese patients.

Conclusion

In HFpEF, WL in early after discharge in non-obese elderly patients may be a prognostic indicator for HF rehospitalization. HF management including WL prevention along with controlling anemia is likely to improve prognosis in this population.

Kaplan Meier survival curves

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): A Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol does not predict future cardiovascular events in patients treated with statins for secondary prevention: an observation from the REAL-CAD study

Background

The relation between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) level after statin therapy and cardiovascular events in patients with stable coronary artery disease remains unclear.

Purpose

We sought to determine the association of the HDL-C level after statin therapy with cardiovascular events in stable coronary artery disease patients.

Methods

This study was a post-hoc analysis of the Randomized Evaluation of Aggressive or Moderate Lipid Lowering Therapy with Pitavastatin in Coronary Artery Disease (REAL-CAD) study, which is randomised, open-label, blinded endpoint, physician-initiated, superiority clinical trial. Enrollment was from January 2010 to March 2013, and follow-up was through January 2016. From the main study, we excluded the patients without either HDL-C data at baseline or 6 months, with occurrence of the primary outcome at 6 months and reported poor adherence for pitavastatin. The primary outcome of interest was a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischemic stroke, or unstable angina requiring emergent admission after 6 months from randomisation, consistent with the primary analysis of the trial. We constructed landmark Cox proportional hazards regression models with the 18 selected clinically relevant risk-adjusting variables during the entire follow-up period starting at 6 months after randomisation. Absolute and relative changes of HDL-C level were defined as (6 months value – baseline value) and (absolute change / baseline value) × 100, respectively.

Results

Among 14,774 participants in the REAL-CAD study, 9,221 patients were included in this analysis (7652 [83.0%] male; median [IQR] age, 70 [63–75] years; median [IQR] HDL-C, 49 [42–57] mg/dL; median [IQR] low-density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDL-C], 88 [75–101] mg/dL). During a median follow-up period of 4.0 (IQR 3.2–4.7) years, the primary outcome occurred in 417 (4.5%) patients. There was no significant difference in crude and adjusted cumulative incidence of the primary outcome among the quartiles of HDL-C level at 6 months (Figure 1). The adjusted risks of all the HDL-C related variables (baseline value, 6 months value, absolute and relative changes) for the primary outcome were not significant (Figure 2). Furthermore, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) as HDL-C level at 6 months increased by 10 mg/dL remained non-significant for the primary outcome for each on-treatment LDL-C level at 6 months (&lt;70 mg/dL [HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.82–1.15], 70–100 mg/dL [HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.98–1.24], and ≥100 mg/dL [HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.78–1.13]). There was also no significant association between HDL-C level at 6 months and the primary outcome both in the low (1 mg/day [HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.91–1.14], increased by 10 mg/dL) dose and high (4 mg/day [HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.91–1.19]) dose pitavastatin groups

Conclusion

After statin therapy with modestly controlled LDL-C, HDL-C level has little prognostic value in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Comprehensive Support Project for Clinical Research of Lifestyle-Related Disease of the Public Health Research Foundation

Correlation between respiratory muscle weakness and frailty status as risk markers for prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease

Background

Respiratory muscle weakness (RMW), frequently observed in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD), is documented as a predictor for exercise intolerance and poor prognosis. On the other hand, frailty is commonly associated with disease condition, leading to increased risk of morbidity and mortality. Although the developmental mechanism of RMW and frailty is partly similar, the relationship between these statuses remains unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the correlation between RMW and frailty and its impact on prognosis in patients with CVD.

Methods

We studied 771 consecutive patients (68.5±13.1 years, 256 females) who were hospitalized for CVD treatment and underwent cardiac rehabilitation during hospitalization. Patients who received thoracic surgery within the last 3 months or could not perform respiratory function test were excluded from this study. As patient characteristics, we obtained body mass index, comorbidity conditions, smoking history, blood examinations, echocardiographical variables, and lung function from medical database. The frailty status on admission was assessed using frailty score consisting of 5 items including gait speed, nutrition/shrinking, physical activity, forgetfulness, and emotions/exhaustion, and patients who had 3 items were defined as frailty. We also measured maximal inspiratory pressure (PImax) as respiratory muscle strength at hospital discharge, and RMW was defined with PImax &lt;70% of predicted value. Primary end-point was all-cause clinical events including all-cause death and/or unplanned readmission after hospital discharge. We examined the prevalence of RMW and frailty and the correlation between these statuses. The relationships of RMW with the clinical events for each presence or absence of frailty were also investigated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models.

Results

RMW and frailty were defined in 163 (33.5%) and 126 (28.7%) patients, respectively, and 95 patients (12.4%) among them showed an overlap of both statuses (Figure 1). Frailty was detected as a significant indicator of RMW after adjusting for confounding factors (adjusted odds ratio: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.12–2.19, P=0.009). Over the median follow-up periods of 1.2 years, all-cause clinical events occurred in 154 patients (20.0%). RMW was significantly and independently associated with increased incidence of all-cause clinical events in patients with both non-frailty (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.09–2.46, P=0.017) and frailty (adjusted HR: 1.97, 95% CI: 1.14–3.42, P=0.015) even after adjusting for clinical confounding factors (Figure 2).

Conclusions

This study is the first to demonstrate that RMW correlated to frailty in patients with CVD, and 12.4% of patients had overlap status. Moreover, RMW was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause clinical events in patients with CVD and frailty.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grant-in-Aid

Prognostic significance of 2019 Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia update on definition of sarcopenia

Background/Introduction

Sarcopenia plays a major role in the pathophysiology of frailty and is associated with worse outcome in the elderly population including patients with heart failure. A recent update of the most common definition of sarcopenia in Asia, Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS2019), included significant changes in the diagnostic algorithm with newly dividing sarcopenia into severe and “non-severe” sarcopenia.

Purpose

The objective of this study was to evaluate the differences between AWGS2014 and AWGS2019 in patients with heart failure.

Methods

In the multicenter prospective FRAGILE-HF registry, which included elderly (≥65 years old) patients who were hospitalized with heart failure, we studied 865 patients (80±8 years old, 42% female). All-cause death in 1-year follow-up was tracked.

Results

Based on the original version of AWGS (AWGS2014), 183 patients (21%) were diagnosed with sarcopenia, which was associated with higher age, lower physical performance, less muscle mass, and greater heart failure risk (all p&lt;0.001) as well as higher rate of all-cause death (HR 1.90, p=0.004 after adjustment by multivariable regression). Those patients with sarcopenia by AWGS2014 were reclassified mainly to severe sarcopenia (155, 84.7%) by AWGS2019, and 25 (13.7%) and 2 (1.1%) were classified into sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia. Meanwhile, 24 (3.5%) and 4 (0.6%) of patients without sarcopenia by AWGS2014 were reclassified into sarcopenia and severe sarcopenia, respectively. Although severe sarcopenia by AWGS2019 was associated with higher age, lower physical performance, less muscle mass, and greater heart failure risk (all p&lt;0.001), patients with “non-severe” sarcopenia was rather younger (p&lt;0.001) and had better physical performance (p=0.021) despite less muscle mass (p&lt;0.001) than those without sarcopenia. Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated severe sarcopenia by AWGS2019 was an independent prognostic factor (HR 1.77, p=0.014), but “non-severe” sarcopenia was not (HR 1.52, p=0.37). The prognosis of patients who were reclassified from non-sarcopenia to sarcopenia or severe sarcopenia were comparable to those remained non-sarcopenia. When added to other risk factors, the prognostic predictability of AWGS2019 was significantly lower than AWGS2014 (net reclassification improvement −0.26, p=0.025).

Conclusions

About a half of “non-severe” sarcopenia in AWGS2019 were patients without sarcopenia in AWGS2014. The prognosis of such patients who were newly diagnosed as sarcopenia was good, resulting in low overall prognostic predictability of AWGS2019. A further consideration for diagnostic algorithms of sarcopenia may be warranted in patients with heart failure.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Japan Heart Foundation

Negative impact of skeletal muscle impairment in older patients with heart failure with reduced versus preserved ejection fraction

Background/Introduction

Reduced functional capacity is an important phenotype of heart failure (HF), even though it may be considered multifactorial, especially in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Impairment in skeletal muscle may be one of extra-cardiac factors for reduced functional capacity and subsequent poor outcome.

Purpose

We sought to investigate the impact of the impairment in skeletal muscle, defined by the cut-offs proposed by the international consensus, on functional capacity and clinical outcome, in HF patients with preserved and reduced EF (HFrEF).

Methods

This is a multicenter prospective study including 1317 consecutive older (≥65 years) hospitalized patients with HF [HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥45%, n=675, 82±7 years, 46.4% male) and HFrEF (ejection fraction &lt;45%, n=642, 78±8 years, 68.4% male)].

Results

HFrEF patients were more likely to have low skeletal muscle mass measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis (30.9% vs 22.1%, p=0.003) whereas less likely to have low muscle strength (handgrip strength; 62.9% vs 73.8%, p&lt;0.001) than HFpEF, resulting in similar prevalence of sarcopenia between the two groups (21.6% vs 18.1%, p=0.19). In HFrEF, presence of sarcopenia was an independent predictor of reduced functional capacity assessed by a 6-minute walk distance (standardized beta=−0.093, p=0.039 in multivariate linear regression analysis) and 1-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% CI; 2.14 (1.22–3.70), p=0.009 in multivariate Cox-regression analysis). In patients with HFpEF, sarcopenia could predict mortality (aHR and 95% CI; 2.23 (1.23–3.91), p=0.009), though its association with reduced functional capacity was not significant after multivariate adjustment (standardized beta=−0.059, p=0.20). Kaplan-Meier survival curves in HFpEF and HFrEF are shown (Figure).

Conclusion(s)

In older patients with HF, sarcopenia was similarly contributed to mortality in HFpEF and HFrEF whereas its influence on functional capacity was pronounced in HFrEF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Japan Heart Foundation Research Grant

Simple echocardiographic scoring system to estimate left ventricular filling pressure based on visual assessment of time sequence of mitral and tricuspid valve opening

Introduction

In the presence of elevated left ventricular (LV) filling pressure, mitral valve (MV) becomes to open early and precedes tricuspid valve (TV) opening in early diastole. Accordingly, time-delay of right ventricular inflow relative to LV inflow assessed by dual Doppler system was recently reported as a parameter of LV filling pressure. We assumed that visually-assessed time-delay of TV relative to MV opening could be a simple and alternative marker of elevated LV filling pressure.

Purpose

This study aimed to elucidate the clinical usefulness of the 2-dimensional echocardiographic scoring system, Visual assessment of time-difference between Mitral and Tricuspid valve opening (VMT) score, in patients with heart failure (HF).

Methods

We analyzed 119 consecutive HF patients who underwent echocardiography and cardiac catheterization within a day. Elevated LV filling pressure was defined as mean pulmonary arterial wedge pressure (PAWP) ≥15 mmHg. LV diastolic function was graded according to the ASE/EACVI recommendations. Time sequence of opening of MV and TV was visually assessed in the apical 4-chamber view and scored to 3 grades (0: TV opening first, 1: simultaneous, 2: MV opening first). When the inferior vena cava diameter was &gt;21 mm and collapsed &lt;20% during normal respiration, 1 point was added and VMT score was calculated as 4 grades from 0 to 3. We also investigated 113 patients without worsening HF at VMT scoring for cardiac events defined as worsening HF, LV assist device implantation, or cardiac death for 1 year after the echocardiography.

Results

VMT was scored as 0 in 20 patients, 1 in 50 patients, 2 in 37 patients, and 3 in 12 patients. PAWP was elevated in patients with VMT score of 2 and 3 (0: 10±5, 1: 12±4, 2: 22±8, 3: 28±4 mmHg, ANOVA P&lt;0.001) (Figure). In overall patients, VMT≥2 predicted elevated PAWP with accuracy of 86%. When the accuracy was tested in patients with reduced (&lt;40%, HFrEF) and preserved LV ejection fraction (≥40%) respectively, the accuracy was excellent in HFrEF (96% and 77%, respectively). Importantly, VMT≥2 also had good accuracy of 82% for elevated PAWP in 33 patients in whom recommendations usually cannot grade diastolic function due to monophasic LV inflow. In the sequential Cox models, the addition of VMT score to the model including the plasma brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) level and LV diastolic grading improved the predictive power for elevated PAWP (P&lt;0.001). During the follow-up, 20 cardiac events were observed (6 worsening HF, 9 LV assist device implantation and 5 cardiac death). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the patients with VMT≥2 were at higher risk of cardiac events than those with VMT≤1 (log-rank test P&lt;0.001) (Figure).

Conclusions

The VMT score was a simple and accurate marker of elevated LV filling pressure and has an incremental benefit over BNP and LV diastolic function grading. Moreover, it could be a novel prognostic marker in patients with HF.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Social frailty provides additive prognostic impact on one-year outcome in aged patients with congestive heart failure

Background

Frailty is associated with multisystem declines in physiologic reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors, resulting in increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). Although frailty is conceptualized as an accumulation of deficits in multiple areas, most of the studies have focused mainly on physical frailty, and the social domains is one of the least investigated area.

Objectives

We prospectively evaluated the incidence and prognostic implication of social frailty (SF) in older patients with HF.

Methods

The FRAGILE-HF is a multicenter, prospective cohort study including patients hospitalized for HF and aged ≥65 years old. We defined SF by Makizako's 5 items, which are 5 questions proposed and validated to be associated with future disability. The primary endpoint of this study was a composite of death from any cause and rehospitalization due to HF. The impact of SF on all-cause mortality alone was also evaluated.

Results

Among 1,240 hospitalized HF patients, 5 simple questions revealed that 825 (66.5%) were in SF. During 1-year observation period after the discharge, the combined endpoint was observed in 399 (32.2%) patients, and 145 (11.7%) patients died. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that SF patients had significantly higher rates of both the combined endpoint and all-cause mortality than those without SF (Log-rank test: p&lt;0.05 for both, Figures). Moreover, SF remained independently associated with higher event rate of the combined endpoint (hazard ratio: 1.30; 95% confidence interval: 1.02 to 1.66; p=0.038) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.53; 95% confidence interval: 1.01 to 2.30; p=0.044), even after adjusting for other covariates. Significant incremental prognostic value was shown when information on social frailty was added to known risk factors for combined endpoint (NRI: 0.189, 95% confidence interval: 0.063–0.316, p=0.003) and all-cause mortality (NRI: 0.234, 95% confidence interval: 0.073–0.395, p=0.004).

Conclusions

Among older hospitalized patients with heart failure, two-thirds of the population was with SF. Evaluating SF provides additive prognostic information in elderly patients with heart failure.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Novartis Pharma Research Grants, Japan Heart Foundation Research Grant

Long-term prognostic significance of dispersion of ventricular repolarization in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis

Background

Although the presence of cardiac involvement is recognised as a determinant of worse clinical outcomes in sarcoidosis patients, the determinants of adverse outcomes in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) have not been well understood. T-peak to T-end interval (TpTe) on the surface electrocardiogram (ECG) was proposed as a marker of dispersion of ventricular repolarisation. Prolonged TpTe to QT interval ratio (TpTe/QT) represents a period of potential vulnerability to reentrant ventricular arrhythmias. Notably, prolonged TpTe/QT has been associated with increased risk of mortality in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, congenital long-QT syndrome, and Brugada syndrome. However, its prognostic implication in patients with CS is unclear.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether TpTe/QT was associated with long-term clinical outcomes in patients with CS.

Methods

A total of 108 consecutive CS patients between August 1986 and March 2019 in two academic hospitals who had ECG data before initiation of immunosuppressive therapy were examined. We excluded patients who received pacemaker (n=15) or cardiac resynchronization therapy (n=3) at the time of ECG. Ultimately, 90 CS patients were included in this study. All standard 12-lead ECGs were recorded at 25 mm/s with an amplification of 10 mm/mV. TpTe was measured from the peak of T wave to the end of T wave which defined as the intersection of the tangent to the down slope of the T wave and the isoelectric line. Lead V5 was selected for the analyses. If V5 is not suitable for analyses, V4 was selected. The primary outcome was the composite of advanced atrioventricular block (AVB), ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF), heart failure hospitalisation and all-cause death.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 4.70 (interquartile range [IQR] 2.06–7.23) years, adverse events occurred in 21 patients (23.3%), including 2 advanced AVB, 12 VT/VF, 4 heart failure hospitalisation and 3 all-cause death. Events group had higher TpTe/QT compared to no events group (0.231 [IQR 0.193–0.261] vs. 0.282 [IQR 0.263–0.304] P&lt;0.001). Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that the primary outcome, especially VT/VF or sudden cardiac death more frequently occurred in patients with higher TpTe/QT (≥0.242, the median) compared to those with lower TpTe/QT (Figure 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that higher TpTe/QT was independently associated with increased subsequent risk of adverse events (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02–1.17, P=0.014) even after adjustment for age, sex and left ventricular ejection fraction. Furthermore, the optimal cut-off value of TpTe/QT for the discriminatory of primary outcome was 0.257, and c-index was 0.77 (95% CI 0.64–0.89).

Conclusions

Higher TpTe/QT was associated with worse long-term clinical outcomes in patients with CS. Our findings indicate the importance of assessing TpTe/QT for risk stratification in patients with CS.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

P2634Prognostic value of admission left ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral in hospitalized heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction: a report from the JASPER registry

Background

There are little effective treatment strategies for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) to achieve a reduction of morbidity and mortality. Thus, accurate prognostication of patients with HFpEF could help improve their outcomes by identifying high-risk patients who might potentially benefit from intensive inpatient and outpatient monitoring and early referral for advanced HFpEF therapy. The left ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral (LVOT-VTI) is a representative non-invasive parameter for evaluating stroke volume, which can be a determinant of adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients with heart failure. However, the prognostic implication of admission LVOT-VTI for hospitalized HFpEF patients is undetermined.

Purpose

The aim of the present study was to investigate whether admission LVOT-VTI could predict poor clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with HFpEF.

Methods

We examined consecutive 535 hospitalized HFpEF patients (left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50%) due to acute decompensated heart failure from the JASPER (JApanese heart failure Syndrome with Preserved Ejection fRaction) multicenter registry, obtained between November 2012 and March 2015. Patients without accessible LVOT-VTI data on admission were excluded. Finally, 214 patients were examined. The primary outcome of interest was composite of all-cause death and rehospitalization due to heart failure.

Results

Mean age was 78±11 years, 100 were male, and median plasma brain-type natriuretic peptide level was 400 (interquartile range [IQR] 223–711) pg/ml. During a median follow-up period of 688 (IQR 162–810) days, adverse events occurred in 83 patients (39%), including 47 (22%) all-cause death, 51 (24%) rehospitalization due to heart failure. The c-index of LVOT-VTI for predicting the composite of adverse events was 0.59 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.67), and the optimal cut-off value of LVOT-VTI was 15.8 cm. Low LVOT-VTI (≤15.8 cm) was significantly associated with higher adverse events compared to high LVOT-VTI (>15.8 cm) (Figure). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVOT-VTI was an independent determinant of adverse events (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.98, P=0.005) even after adjustment for pre-specified confounders including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, serum sodium, albumin, plasma brain-type natriuretic peptide and renal function.

Figure 1

Conclusions

Lower admission LVOT-VTI was an independent determinant of worse clinical outcomes in hospitalized HFpEF patients, indicating that LVOT-VTI on admission could be a useful marker for risk stratification in these patients.

P6331Influence of dynapenia and obesity on prognoses of elderly heart failure patients

Background

In elderly people, a decline in activities of daily living is more closely associated with low muscle strength (dynapenia) than with low muscle mass. Moreover, the combination of low muscle strength and obesity (dynapenic obesity) is associated with a higher risk of mortality than dynapenia or obesity alone, but its influence on prognosis is still unknown in elderly heart failure (HF) patients. To clarify these relationships may contribute to the development of rehabilitation programs for elderly HF patients and the improvement their prognoses in the future.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the influence of dynapenia and obesity on prognoses of elderly HF patients.

Methods

We evaluated 1006 elderly HF patients aged ≥65 years (76.5±6.9 years, 579 males) who were admitted to our hospital and participated in an inpatient cardiac rehabilitation program. We assessed patients' characteristics, including body mass index (BMI) and handgrip strength during hospitalization. Patients with low handgrip strength (<26 kg and <18 kg in males and females, respectively) and high BMI (≥25 kg/m2) were considered to have dynapenia and obesity, respectively. Moreover, patients fulfilling the above two criteria (dynapenia, obesity) were considered to have dynapenic obesity. Patients were divided into four groups: normal, dynapenia only, obesity only, and dynapenic obesity. We compared survival rates among the four groups using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. To identify predictors for all-cause mortality, we performed Cox regression analysis.

Results

During the 8-year follow-up period, 228 patients (21.2%) died. Eight-year cumulative incidences of mortality were 35.4%, 26.0%, 62.6%, and 33.1% in the normal, obesity only, dynapenia only, and dynapenic obesity groups, respectively. Significantly lower survival rates were observed in the dynapenia only group than in the other 3 groups (log-rank: 28.893, P<0.001). Cox regression analysis, after adjusting for age and sex, showed significantly poor prognosis in the dyanapenia only group than in the other 3 groups (normal group, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.684, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.488–0.959, P=0.028; obesity only group, HR = 0.330, 95% CI = 0.182–0.598, P<0.001; dynapenic obesity group, HR = 0.390, 95% CI = 0.206–0.739, P=0.004).

Conclusion

Elderly HF patients with dynapenia alone had poor prognoses. Obesity may have protective effects on the survival of dynapenia patients with HF.

P2514Pupillary area predicts all-cause mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease

Background

Autonomic dysfunction is among the most important pathophysiological factors involved in the high mortality rate associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Autonomic function is generally evaluated by heart rate variability, which is obtained by Holter electrocardiography. However, the measurement of heart rate variability requires continuous electrocardiographic monitoring for 24 h, which is time consuming and not always feasible. The pupillary area is controlled by the autonomic nervous system; however, limited data are available regarding the utility of the pupillary area for predicting prognosis in patients with CVD.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate whether pupillary area can be used as a novel prognostic marker in patients with CVD.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 1342 consecutive Japanese patients hospitalized for CVD. The study was performed in accordance with the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki, and the protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of our University Hospital. The pupillary area measurement was performed on both eyes at least 7 days after hospitalization for CVD using a portable videopupillography system (Iriscorder Dual C10641; Hamamatsu Photonics, Hamamatsu, Japan) consisting of a goggle-shaped measurement portion with a charge-coupled device camera and a control portion with a video monitor and microcomputer with software for data analysis. After securing the goggles on the patient's face and fully covering the patient's eyes, a 5-minute period was allowed for dark adaptation. All patients were tested once between 09:00 and 12:00 h. The primary outcome of this study was all-cause mortality, and the endpoint time was calculated as the number of days from the date of pupillary area measurement up to three years. We performed the Kaplan–Meier and log-rank tests and multivariable Cox regression analysis to evaluate the prognostic predictive capability of the pupillary area.

Results

The study population had a mean age of 65±13 years, and 69.4% of the patients were male. The median of the pupillary area was 18.5 mm2 (interquartile range: 13.3–23.4 mm2). Over a median follow-up period of 1.9 years (interquartile range: 1.0–3.0 years), a total of 114 deaths occurred in the patient population. The Kaplan–Meier and log-rank tests revealed that all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the small pupillary area group than in the large pupillary area group (P<0.0001, Figure). Furthermore, Cox regression analysis indicated that the pupillary area was an independent predictor of mortality (Hazard ratio: 0.96; 95% confidence interval: 0.93–0.98; P=0.006) even after adjusting for several preexisting prognostic factors.

Kaplan-Meire Curve

Conclusion

The pupillary area can be an independent predictor of prognosis in patients with CVD, and our observations suggest that the assessment of the pupillary area can be useful as a new noninvasive prognostic predictor in patients with CVD.

4089Prognostic value of cardiac metabolic activity assessed by 18F-FDG PET in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis

Background

Sarcoidosis is a systemic granulomatous disease that affects multiple organs. Among these,the presenceof cardiac involvementis recognized as a determinant of worse clinical outcomes. 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) is a valuable modality for detecting active inflammatory lesions associated with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS). Generally,the maximum standardized uptake value (SUV) is suitable for evaluating disease activity in CS, but this quantitative method had limitations because it does not integrate both volume and intensity of FDG uptake simultaneously. Cardiac metabolic activity (CMA), which is quantitative measures of FDG volume-intensity, could be a diagnostic tool in the evaluation of CS. However, its prognostic implication in patients with CS is unclear.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether CMA assessed by FDG-PET was associated with long-term worse clinical outcomes in patients with CS.

Methods

A total of 76 consecutive patients suspected CS who underwent FDG-PET between January 2010 and April 2018 in our university hospital were registered. We excluded patients whodid not meet the Japanese Ministry of Health and Welfare 2007 criteria (n=9) and those who received oral corticosteroids at the time of FDG-PET (n=5). Ultimately, 62 CS patients with definitively diagnosed were included in this study.We used a dedicated software to analyze SUV. Cardiac metabolic volume (CMV) was defined as the volume within the boundary determined by the threshold (SUV mean of blood pool × 1.5). CMA was calculated by multiplying CMV by SUV mean. The primary outcome of interest was the composite of advanced atrioventricular block, ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation, heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause death.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 1287 (IQR 806–1809) days after the first FDG-PET, the adverse events occurred in 12 patients (19%). Events group had significantly higher CMA compared to no events group (83 [IQR 11–330] vs. 354 [IQR 70–577]) (Figure A). Based on ROC analysis, the optimal cut-off value of CMA for the discrimination of the adverse events was 244 ml, and c-index was 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55–0.87). Patients with high CMA (≥244 ml, n=23) had lower LVEF, and higher prevalence of New York Heart Association functional class III or IV, and higher plasma BNP level compared to those with low CMA (<244 ml, n=39). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that composite adverse events more frequently occurred in patients with high CMA compared to those with low CMA (Figure B).Univariable Cox regression analysis showed that higher CMA was associated with increased subsequent risk of adverse events (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.06–2.24).

Conclusions

Higher CMA assessed by FDG-PET was associated with worse clinical long-term outcomes in patients with CS, suggesting that measurement of the volume-intensity of abnormal FDG uptake may be useful for risk stratification in patients with CS.

298Change in respiratory muscle strength predicts clinical events in patients with chronic heart failure

Background

Respiratory muscle weakness, frequently observed in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF), has been documented as a predictor for poor prognosis. Several studies have reported that respiratory muscle training increases respiratory muscle strength and consequently improves exercise tolerance and quality of life in these patients. However, the relationship between the change in respiratory muscle strength and prognosis is still unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate whether the change in respiratory muscle strength following cardiac rehabilitation predicts the incidence of clinical events in CHF patients.

Methods

We studied 348 patients with CHF who were hospitalized because of decompensated heart failure and received 5-month cardiac rehabilitation during hospitalization and after hospital discharge. Clinical characteristics including aetiology of heart failure, comorbidity conditions, medications, blood examination and echocardiographic variables were obtained from clinical records. We also measured maximal inspiratory pressure (PImax) as respiratory muscle strength at hospital discharge and 5 months later. The change of PImax (ΔPImax) between the 5-month observation period was examined. We followed up the patients after the observation period and investigated the incidence of all-cause mortality or all-cause unplanned readmission. In statistical analysis, patients were divided into two groups based on the median value of ΔPImax. We compared the event-free survival rate between the two groups using the Kaplan-Meier method with a log-rank test. We also performed the Cox proportional hazard model to clarify whether the ΔPImax was an independent predictor for the incidence of clinical events.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 1.6 years, 121 patients (34.8%) died or readmitted, and their rate of incidence was 21.7/100 person-years. The higher ΔPImax was associated significantly with a higher rate of event-free survival (Log-rank: 8.085, P=0.004, Figure 1). In univariate Cox proportional hazard model, ΔPImax was a significant predictor for the all-cause mortality/readmission (unadjusted hazard ratio for PImax increase of 10 cmH2O: 0.842, 95% CI: 0.763 - 0.931, P=0.001). Even after adjustment for clinical confounding factors including baseline PImax, ΔPImax remained significant and independent predictor for the all-cause mortality/readmission (adjusted hazard ratio for PImax increase of 10 cmH2O: 0.862, 95% CI: 0.763 - 0.974, P=0.017, Figure 2).

Conclusion

This study is the first to demonstrate that the change in respiratory muscle strength following cardiac rehabilitation independently predicts the incidence of clinical events in patients with CHF. The increase in PImax of 10 cmH2O was associated significantly with a 14% decrease in the rate of all-cause mortality or readmission.

Acknowledgement/Funding

JSPS KAKENHI JP16K16442

P3106Atrial fibrillation is not associated with the responses to exercise training in heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is known as a common arrhythmia in heart failure patients with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF). Several studies have reported that HFpEF patients with AF show lower exercise tolerance and poorer prognosis as compared with those with sinus rhythm (SR). On the other hand, exercise training is documented to improve peripheral muscle function and exercise tolerance in HFpEF patients. However, the relationship between AF status and outcomes due to exercise training is still unclear in these patients.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the influence of AF on the responses to outcomes with exercise training in HFpEF patients.

Methods

We studied 426 patients with HFpEF who received 5-month cardiac rehabilitation including exercise training during hospitalization and after hospital discharge. As clinical characteristics, we obtained body mass index, disease aetiology, comorbidity conditions, blood examination and echocardiographic variables from medical records. We also measured isometric quadriceps strength (QS) and 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) as peripheral muscle strength and exercise tolerance, respectively. The QS and 6MWD were assessed at hospital discharge as the baseline and 5 months later. AF status was determined by the presence on electrocardiogram at baseline 6MWD or medical history of AF during hospitalization. In statistical analysis, we compared baseline clinical characteristics, QS and 6MWD between the rhythm status (SR group or AF group). We also examined the changes in QS and 6MWD from baseline to the 5-month observation period (ΔQS and Δ6MWD) and compared them between the 2 groups using analysis of covariance with adjustment for baseline clinical confounding factors.

Results

At baseline, 289 patients (68%) were in SR, and 111 patients (26%) had AF. The AF was associated significantly with older age (P<0.001) and lower levels of estimated glomerular filtration rate (P=0.013), QS (P<0.001) and 6MWD (P<0.001) at baseline. The QS increased significantly from 25.2±11.0 kg at baseline to 30.8±13.0 kg after 5-month cardiac rehabilitation in the SR group, and from 21.1±8.3 kg to 26.0±9.4 kg in the AF group (P<0.001, respectively). The 6MWD also increased significantly from 394.8±129.2 to 463.5±133.5 meters in the SR, and from 343.7±107.9 to 403.0±114.5 meters in the AF (P<0.001, respectively). There were no significant differences in ΔQS and Δ6MWD between the SR and AF groups even after adjustment for clinical confounding factors including baseline QS or 6MWD (Figure).

Conclusions

The AF status in HFpEF patients was associated with older age, lower peripheral muscle function and also lower exercise tolerance at baseline, but not associated with the responses to exercise training.

Acknowledgement/Funding

JSPS KAKENHI JP16K16442

P4516Incremental prognostic values of cognitive impairment diagnosed by mini-mental state examination and mini-cog in older hospitalized patients with heart failure

Introduction

Cognitive impairment (CI) is associated with worse prognosis in patients with heart failure, especially in the elderly; however, its incremental prognostic ability in pre-existing prognostic models has not been well elucidated. Moreover, although some tools have been proposed for evaluating cognitive function, their difference in prognostic prediction has not been explicitly compared.

Methods

A total of 352 heart failure patients aged ≥75 years admitted to three hospitals were evaluated for their cognitive function using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Mini-cog during index hospitalization. We diagnosed CI if MMSE and Mini-cog were ≤23 and ≤2, respectively. The primary endpoint was all-cause death.

Results

The median age of the entire cohort was 85 (IQR: 80–88) years, and 47.7% of the subjects were male. Based on the MMSE and Mini-cog, the CI was diagnosed in 167 (47.4%) and 159 (45.2%) patients, respectively. The two diagnostic tools showed poor to moderate agreement (Cohen's kappa coefficient: 0.37, 95% CI: 0.27–0.47). During the follow-up period of median 346 (IQR: 195–489) days, 53 patients (15.1%) died. Although the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that CI diagnosed using Mini-cog (CI-MC) was associated with significantly higher mortality (P=0.001), this association was not significant for CI diagnosed using MMSE (CI-MMSE) (P=0.059). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, CI-MMSE and CI-MC were individually associated with worse prognosis in older heart failure patients even after adjustment for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk model and log B-type natriuretic peptide levels (CI-MMSE, HR: 2.05 [95% CI: 1.16–3.61]; and CI-MC, HR: 2.57 [95% CI: 1.46–4.53]). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for Mini-cog showed significantly higher area under the curve (AUC) than that for MMSE (0.61 vs. 0.52, p=0.045). To test the incremental prognostic capability, models were constructed by individually adding each score to the MAGGIC risk model, and the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were evaluated. CI-MMSE did not show incremental prognostic predictability (NRI: 0.28, p=0.069; IDI: 0.01, p=0.090), whereas CI-MC (NRI: 0.45, p=0.001; IDI: 0.03, p=0.001) did. Adding CI-MC instead of CI-MMSE to the MAGGIC risk model showed significant reclassification improvement (NRI: 0.45, p=0.002, IDI: 0.02, p=0.041).

Conclusion

In older patients with heart failure, CI defined by Mini-Cog is superior in providing additive prognostic value than that defined by CI based on MMSE.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study is partially funded by Japan Heart Foundation Research Grant and Novartis Research Grants.

Estimates of hip fracture incidence in Japan using the National Health Insurance Claim Database in 2012-2015

Using the nationwide health insurance claims database, we found that the age-standardized hip fracture incidence rates in Japan indicated significant increase in males but no significant change in females during 2012-2015. The fracture risk in subjects aged 75-84 years indicated decrease in females but no change in males.

INTRODUCTION

Nationwide registry data on hip fractures have not yet been established in Japan. Using the newly developed National Database of Health Insurance Claims (NDB), which covers the entire Japanese population, we investigated the incidence rates of hip fractures and the associated regional differences. We also assessed the frequency of osteoporosis prescriptions, bone turnover marker (BTM) level, and bone mineral density (BMD) measurements.

METHODS

The annual numbers of hip fractures, osteoporosis prescriptions, and BTM level and BMD measurements by prefecture from 2012 to 2015 were obtained from NDB data. We calculated the standardized claims-data ratio (SCR) in each prefecture.

RESULTS

The age-standardized incidence rates from 2012 to 2015 indicated no significant change in females and significant increase in males (p value for trend; 0.920, 0.002, respectively). The fracture risk decreased in females aged 75-84 years and indicated no increase in females aged 85-89 years during 2012-2015, while the fracture risk indicated no change in males aged 75-84 years and increased in males aged 85-89 years. The frequency of osteoporosis prescriptions, BTM level measurements, and BMD measurements in the general population in the corresponding period increased with statistical or marginal significance in females and males. West-east regional differences were observed in the incidence rates; the highest SCR values in the western prefectures were approximately double the lowest values in the eastern prefectures.

CONCLUSIONS

The age-standardized hip fracture incidence rates indicated no significant change in females and significant increase in males in Japan from 2012 to 2015.

Angular and Abundance Distribution of High-energy Gamma Rays and Neutrons Simulated by GEANT4 Code for Solar Flares

In the solar flare observed on June 3, 2012, high energy gamma-rays and neutrons were observed. The event includes a remarkable feature of a high neutron/gamma-ratio in the secondary particles. We have examined whether this high n/γ-ratio can be explained by simulation. As a result of simulations using the GEANT4 program, the high n/γ-ratio may be reproduced for the case that helium and other heavy ions were dominantly accelerated in the flare.