Accuracy of quick sequential organ failure assessment score to predict mortality in hospitalized patients with suspected infection in an HIV/AIDS reference centre in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

OBJECTIVES

To compare the discriminatory capacity of the quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) vs. the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) score for predicting 30-day mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with suspicion of infection at an HIV reference centre.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study including consecutive adult patients who had suspected infection and who were subsequently admitted to the medical ward. Variables related to qSOFA and SIRS were measured at admission. The performance (area under the receiver operating curve, AUROC) of qSOFA (score ≥2) and SIRS (≥2 criteria) as a predictor of 30-day mortality and ICU admission was evaluated.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy-three patients (mean ± standard deviation age, 42.6 ± 12.4 years) were included in the analysis; 107 (61.8%) were male, and 111 (64.2%) were HIV positive. Respiratory and gastrointestinal infections occurred in 49 (28.3%) and 23 (13.3%), respectively. The 30-day mortality rate was 9 (5.2%) of 173. The prognostic performance of qSOFA was similar compared to SIRS, with an AUROC of 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.81) and 0.69 (95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.86) (p 0.96). Twenty patients (11%) were admitted to the ICU; qSOFA and SIRS had a similar discriminatory capacity for ICU admission (AUROC 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.51-0.75) and 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.76)), respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a poor prognostic accuracy of the qSOFA to predict 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients suspected of infection in a setting with a high burden of HIV infection.

Critical analysis of the current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for cutaneous melanoma and proposal of a new staging system

PURPOSE

To critically review the accuracy of the current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for cutaneous melanoma and propose a more useful staging system.

METHODS

Retrospective evaluation of the published data as well as a reanalysis of the University of Alabama and Sydney Melanoma Unit (UAB/SMU) data bases (n = 4,568) for patients with primary melanoma was performed to examine specifically the impact of level of invasion and ulceration on the prognostic value of tumor thickness. In addition, an overlay graphic technique was used to compare the Kaplan-Meier survival curves of patients with local recurrences, satellites, in-transit metastases, and nodal metastases reported in the literature.

RESULTS

Tumor thickness and ulceration remained the most powerful prognostic indicators in patients with stage I and II disease. Level of invasion provided statistically significant prognostic information only in the subgroup of patients with tumor thickness < or = 1 mm, but the absolute 10-year survival differences were small and inconsistent (level II, 95%; level III, 85%; level IV, 89%). The best statistical fit for tumor thickness cutoffs was at 1 versus 2 versus 4 mm. The overlay graphic technique showed that patients who developed satellite lesions or local recurrence had prognoses similar to those of patients with stage III disease. The most important prognostic factor for patients with nodal metastases was number of involved nodes rather than size.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis showed that the current AJCC staging system has many inaccuracies that should be modified to conform to published data. On the basis of our analysis and review of the literature, we propose a new and more accurate staging system.

Role of computed tomography in the staging of patients with local-regional metastases of melanoma

PURPOSE

To determine the value of computed tomographic (CT) scans in the staging of asymptomatic melanoma patients who presented with or developed local-regional disease as the first site of recurrence and had both a normal chest radiograph and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The records of 99 patients with local-regional disease were reviewed. Of these, 89 met the study criteria and are the subjects of this analysis. Radiologic findings were categorized into the following four groups: (1) true-positive (TP), when the scan identified either regional or distant disease that was not appreciated on physical examination; (2) false-positive (FP), when the scan showed a radiologic abnormality that either did not change for at least 6 months or was proven to be histologically benign; (3) false-negative (FN), when a patient had symptoms suggestive of or suspicious for metastases and was subsequently found to have metastases, but all imaging studies were nondiagnostic; and (4) true-negative (TN), when all imaging studies were negative for metastases in an asymptomatic patient.

RESULTS

Findings on CT scan were TP for six patients (7%), FP for 20 (22%), and TN for 63 (71%). Of the six patients with TP findings, CT of the chest identified disease that was not visible on chest radiograph in only one and CT of the abdomen or pelvis showed metastases in five. CT or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain showed no evidence of brain metastases in any patient, although it showed asymptomatic skull metastases in one patient. The most common FP findings were hypodense hepatic lesions and noncalcified lung nodules.

CONCLUSION

TP findings are observed in approximately 7% of patients with local-regional disease, which indicates a low yield but definite usefulness of CT scans in this subset of patients. Because FP are more common than TP findings, histologic diagnosis of recurrence is advisable. CT scan or MRI of the brain is not necessary in asymptomatic patients. CT of the chest adds little to a chest radiograph. In light of today's more cost-conscious health-care environment, our results are of practical importance.