An interpretable knee replacement risk assessment system for osteoarthritis patients

Objective

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a complex disease with heterogeneous representations. Although it is modifiable to prevention and early treatment, there still lacks a reliable and accurate prognostic tool. Hence, we aim to develop a quantitative and self-administrable knee replacement (KR) risk stratification system for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) patients with clinical features.

Method

A total of 14 baseline features were extracted from 9592 cases in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) cohort. A survival model was constructed using the Random Survival Forests algorithm. The prediction performance was evaluated with the concordance index (C-index) and average receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A three-class KR risk stratification system was built to differentiate three distinct KR-free survival groups. Thereafter, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) was introduced for model explanation.

Results

KR incidence was accurately predicted by the model with a C-index of 0.770 (±0.0215) and an average AUC of 0.807 (±0.0181) with 14 clinical features. Three distinct survival groups were observed from the ten-point KR risk stratification system with a four-year KR rate of 0.79%, 5.78%, and 16.2% from the low, medium, and high-risk groups respectively. KR is mainly caused by pain medication use, age, surgery history, diabetes, and a high body mass index, as revealed by SHAP.

Conclusion

A self-administrable and interpretable KR survival model was developed, underscoring a KR risk scoring system to stratify KOA patients. It will encourage regular self-assessments within the community and facilitate personalised healthcare for both primary and secondary prevention of KOA.

Discriminatory accuracy of the SOFA score for determining clinical decompensation in patients presenting with COVID-19

Introduction

While the global dissemination of vaccines targeting the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has resulted in a decline in the incidence of infections, the case fatality rates have remained relative stable. A major objective of managing hospitalized patients with documented or suspected COVID-19 infection is the rapid identification of features associated with severe illness using readily available laboratory tests and clinical tools. The sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score is a validated tool to facilitate the identification of patients at risk of dying from sepsis.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to assess the discriminatory accuracy of the SOFA score in predicting clinical decompensation in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 infection.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis at a three-hospital health system, comprised of one tertiary and two community hospitals, located in the Chicago metropolitan area. All patients had positive SARS-CoV-2 testing and were hospitalized for COVID-19 infection. The primary outcome was clinical decompensation, defined as the composite endpoint of death, ICU admission, or need for intubation. We utilized the most abnormal laboratory values observed during the admission to calculate the SOFA score. Receiver Operating Curves (ROC) were then constructed to determine the sensitivity and specificity of SOFA scores.

Results

Between March 1st and May 31st 2020, 1029 patients were included in our analysis with 367 patients meeting the study endpoint. The median SOFA score was 2.0 IQR (Q1, Q3 1,4) for the entire cohort. Patients who had in-hospital mortality had a median SOFA score of 4.0 (Q1,Q3 3,7). In patients that met the primary composite endpoint, the median SOFA score was 3.0, IQR (Q1, Q3 2,6). The ROC was 0.776 (95% CI 0.746–0.806, p<0.01).

Conclusion

The SOFA score demonstrates strong discriminatory accuracy for prediction of clinical decompensation in patients presenting with COVID-19 at our urban hospital system.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Loyola University Medical Center

Predictors of clinical decompensation in patients presenting with COVID-19 in an urban hospital health system

Introduction

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has resulted in a pandemic which has infected more than 128 million people and led to over 2.8 million deaths worldwide. Although the introduction of efficacious vaccines has led to overall declines in the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, there has been a recent increase in infections once more due to the appearance of mutant strains with higher virulence. It therefore remains vital to identify predictors of poor outcomes in this patient population.

Purpose

The objective of our study was to identify predictors of prolonged hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, intubation, and death in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 at our health system that includes one tertiary care center and two community hospitals located in the Chicago metropolitan area. The main outcome was a composite endpoint of hospitalization >28 days, ICU admission, intubation, and death.

Explanatory variables associated with the primary outcome in the bivariate analysis (p<0.05) were included in the multivariable logistic regression model. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS 25.0.

Results

Between March 1, 2020 and May 31, 2020, 1029 patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 were included in our analysis. Of these patients, 379 met the composite endpoint. Baseline demographics are described in Table 1. Of note, our cohort consisted of a predominantly minority patient population including 47% Hispanic, 17% African American, 16% Caucasian, and 16% other.

In bivariate analysis, age, hypertension, tobacco and alcohol abuse, obesity, coronary artery disease, arrhythmias, valvular heart disease, dyslipidemia, hypertension, stroke, diabetes, documented thrombosis, troponin, CRP, ESR, ferritin, LDH, BNP, D-dimer >5x the upper limit of normal, lactate, and right ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral <9.5 were significant.

After multivariable adjustment, explanatory variables associated with the composite endpoint included troponin (OR 2.36; 95% CI 1.08–5.17, p 0.03), D-dimer (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.23–1.98, p<0.01, lactate (OR 1.58; 95% CI 1.28–1.95, p<0.01), and documented thrombosis (OR 3.56; 95% CI 1.30–8.70, p<.05). Race was not a predictor of poor outcomes in the bivariate or multivariate analysis (Table 2).

Conclusions

In a large urban cohort with a predominantly minority population, we identified several clinical predictors of poor outcomes. Of note, race was not a predictor of the primary endpoint in this study. While recent literature has demonstrated worse outcomes among racial minorities infected with SARS-CoV-2, our data suggests these variations are related to social determinants of health rather than biologic causes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Loyola University Medical Center

Estimating premorbid intelligence in persons with traumatic brain injury: an examination of the Test of Premorbid Functioning

Knowledge of intelligence is essential for interpreting cognitive performance following traumatic brain injury (TBI). The Test of Premorbid Functioning (ToPF), a word reading test co-normed with the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale 4th Edition (WAIS-IV), was examined as a tool for estimating premorbid intelligence in persons with a history of TBI. Fifty-two participants with mild, moderate, or severe TBI were administered the ToPF and WAIS-IV between two weeks and 19 months post-injury. The independent ability of the ToPF/demographic score and the Verbal Comprehension Index (VCI) to predict WAIS-IV Full Scale IQ (FSIQ) was examined, as were discrepancies between ToPF and WAIS-IV scores within and between participants. The ToPF/demographic predicted FSIQ accounted for a significant proportion of variability in actual FSIQ, above and beyond that accounted for by education or time since injury. ToPF and WAIS-IV scores did not differ by injury severity. In our sample, the ToPF/demographic predicted FSIQ underestimated intelligence in a substantial portion of our participants (31%), particularly in those with high average to superior intelligence. Finally, VCI scores were more predictive of actual FSIQ than the ToPF/demographic predicted FSIQ. The ToPF frequently underestimated post-injury intelligence and is therefore not accurately measuring premorbid intelligence in our sample, particularly in those with above average to superior intelligence. Clinicians are encouraged to administer the entire WAIS-IV, or at minimum the VCI subtests, for a more accurate measure of intelligence in those with above average intelligence and history of TBI.

P-296 Examining the link between environmental toxin exposure and uterine leiomyoma: a systematic review

Study question

Is there an association between exposure to certain environmental toxins and the prevalence of uterine leiomyoma in women?

Summary answer

Some evidence was obtained to suggest an association between phthalate esters, bisphenol A, heavy metals, persistent organic pollutants and the prevalence of uterine fibroids.

What is known already

Environmental toxins are naturally occurring, or human made chemicals that can act as endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) by binding and activating estrogen receptors in the body. Uterine fibroids, often called leiomyoma are non-cancerous growths occurring in the uterus. Though often asymptomatic, they can cause pain, infertility, pregnancy complications and are a leading cause for hysterectomy. The aetiology of leiomyoma is not fully understood but both estrogen and progesterone have been implicated in their growth. We aimed to investigate the epidemiological evidence for the association between EDCs and the prevalence of fibroids. 

Study design, size, duration

We undertook a systematic review and in keeping with PRISMA guidelines, a structured search of Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science was conducted (to October 2020). Case-control, cross-sectional, cohort and experimental studies were included. 

Participants/materials, setting, methods

The included studies analyzed the association between one or more toxins and the occurrence, or growth of leiomyoma in humans, including human cell lines. The types of toxins, patient characteristics, association and outcome, body concentration of toxin and confounding variables were extracted and analyzed. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

Main results and the role of chance

In total, 34 studies were included. The majority (76%) of studies revealed a significant association between the exposure studied and the prevalence of uterine leiomyoma. In examining body burden in cases vs controls, phthalate esters showed an association with increased odds of uterine leiomyoma, except in one case where a negative association was observed. In vitro experimental studies examining the effect of alkyl-phenols such as bisphenol A (BPA), octylphenol (OP) and nonylphenol (NP) demonstrated that these environmental estrogens can act to promote the proliferation of leiomyoma cells through a number of mechanisms, typically including the estrogen receptor alpha (ERa) signalling pathway. There were conflicting results for the association between alkyl-phenols and fibroids in case-control studies. A positive association between cadmium was demonstrated in only two studies. There were conflicting results for the association between lead, mercury, arsenic and uterine fibroids. Several metabolites of organophosphate esters, alternative plasticizers, and persistent organic pollutants were associated with an increased risk of uterine fibroids. 

Limitations, reasons for caution

Separating these exposures from the multiple other factors that could affect the outcome of leiomyoma is challenging, but an important issue for future research. 

Wider implications of the findings

The link between some environmental toxins and uterine fibroids discussed is in agreement with previous literature. However, our review provides a more in depth analysis on specific dosage effects, odds ratios, and potential gene mechanisms of the exposures. This information could contribute to more accurate preventative measures.

Trial registration number

not applicable

P–296 Examining the link between environmental toxin exposure and uterine leiomyoma: a systematic review

Study question

Is there an association between exposure to certain environmental toxins and the prevalence of uterine leiomyoma in women?

Summary answer

Some evidence was obtained to suggest an association between phthalate esters, bisphenol A, heavy metals, persistent organic pollutants and the prevalence of uterine fibroids.

What is known already

Environmental toxins are naturally occurring, or human made chemicals that can act as endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) by binding and activating estrogen receptors in the body. Uterine fibroids, often called leiomyoma are non-cancerous growths occurring in the uterus. Though often asymptomatic, they can cause pain, infertility, pregnancy complications and are a leading cause for hysterectomy. The aetiology of leiomyoma is not fully understood but both estrogen and progesterone have been implicated in their growth. We aimed to investigate the epidemiological evidence for the association between EDCs and the prevalence of fibroids.

Study design, size, duration

We undertook a systematic review and in keeping with PRISMA guidelines, a structured search of Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science was conducted (to October 2020). Case-control, cross-sectional, cohort and experimental studies were included.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

The included studies analyzed the association between one or more toxins and the occurrence, or growth of leiomyoma in humans, including human cell lines. The types of toxins, patient characteristics, association and outcome, body concentration of toxin and confounding variables were extracted and analyzed. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

Main results and the role of chance

In total, 34 studies were included. The majority (76%) of studies revealed a significant association between the exposure studied and the prevalence of uterine leiomyoma. In examining body burden in cases vs controls, phthalate esters showed an association with increased odds of uterine leiomyoma, except in one case where a negative association was observed. In vitro experimental studies examining the effect of alkyl-phenols such as bisphenol A (BPA), octylphenol (OP) and nonylphenol (NP) demonstrated that these environmental estrogens can act to promote the proliferation of leiomyoma cells through a number of mechanisms, typically including the estrogen receptor alpha (ERa) signalling pathway. There were conflicting results for the association between alkyl-phenols and fibroids in case-control studies. A positive association between cadmium was demonstrated in only two studies. There were conflicting results for the association between lead, mercury, arsenic and uterine fibroids. Several metabolites of organophosphate esters, alternative plasticizers, and persistent organic pollutants were associated with an increased risk of uterine fibroids.

Limitations, reasons for caution

Separating these exposures from the multiple other factors that could affect the outcome of leiomyoma is challenging, but an important issue for future research.

Wider implications of the findings: The link between some environmental toxins and uterine fibroids discussed is in agreement with previous literature. However, our review provides a more in depth analysis on specific dosage effects, odds ratios, and potential gene mechanisms of the exposures. This information could contribute to more accurate preventative measures.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Dynamic CTA-Derived Perfusion Maps Predict Final Infarct Volume: The Simple Perfusion Reconstruction Algorithm

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Infarct core volume measurement using CTP (CT perfusion) is a mainstay paradigm for stroke treatment decision-making. Yet, there are several downfalls with cine CTP technology that can be overcome by adopting the simple perfusion reconstruction algorithm (SPIRAL) derived from multiphase CTA. We compare SPIRAL with CTP parameters for the prediction of 24-hour infarction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Seventy-two patients had admission NCCT, multiphase CTA, CTP, and 24-hour DWI. All patients had successful/quality reperfusion. Patient-level and cohort-level receiver operator characteristic curves were generated to determine accuracy. A 10-fold cross-validation was performed on the cohort-level data. Infarct core volume was compared for SPIRAL, CTP-time-to-maximum, and final DWI by Bland-Altman analysis.

RESULTS

When we compared the accuracy in patients with early and late reperfusion for cortical GM and WM, there was no significant difference at the patient level (0.83 versus 0.84, respectively), cohort level (0.82 versus 0.81, respectively), or the cross-validation (0.77 versus 0.74, respectively). In the patient-level receiver operating characteristic analysis, the SPIRAL map had a slightly higher, though nonsignificant (P < .05), average receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (cortical GM/WM, r = 0.82; basal ganglia  = 0.79, respectively) than both the CTP-time-to-maximum (cortical GM/WM = 0.82; basal ganglia = 0.78, respectively) and CTP-CBF (cortical GM/WM = 0.74; basal ganglia = 0.78, respectively) parameter maps. The same relationship was observed at the cohort level. The Bland-Altman plot limits of agreement for SPIRAL and time-to-maximum infarct volume were similar compared with 24-hour DWI.

CONCLUSIONS

We have shown that perfusion maps generated from a temporally sampled helical CTA are an accurate surrogate for infarct core.

Analysis of complications following multidisciplinary functional intervention in paediatric craniomaxillofacial deformities

Paediatric craniomaxillofacial (CMF) surgery requires a multidisciplinary team approach to ensure the optimal and holistic management of children with craniofacial deformities. The aim of this retrospective study was to analyse the complications following functional interventions among 34 CMF deformity patients in a single multidisciplinary craniofacial centre. Electronic data including patient demographic characteristics and clinical entry were analysed. Inclusion criteria were all paediatric patients with CMF deformities who underwent various functional interventions. A total of 64 interventions (48 intermediate and 16 definitive) were conducted. Based on the Sharma classification of complications, 20.3% were type I, 4.7% were type II, 1.6% were type III, and 4.7% were type IV . Most complications were type I, which included local infection (3.1%) and premature opening of tarsorrhaphy (3.1%). More serious complications (types III and IV) included temporary visual loss (1.6%) and intraoperative haemorrhage (1.6%). Although a low complication rate was observed in intermediate interventions, a higher complication rate was observed in more complex definitive interventions such as monobloc distraction osteogenesis. Although most complications were manageable, effective prevention remains mandatory, as serious complications may lead to permanent damage and mortality. This analysis highlights the importance of a multidisciplinary team approach to optimize the outcomes in CMF patient management.

Perioperative intravenous contrast administration and the incidence of acute kidney injury after major gastrointestinal surgery: prospective, multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the impact of preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast for CT and the risk of developing postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

This prospective, multicentre cohort study included adults undergoing gastrointestinal resection, stoma reversal or liver resection. Both elective and emergency procedures were included. Preoperative exposure to intravenous contrast was defined as exposure to contrast administered for the purposes of CT up to 7 days before surgery. The primary endpoint was the rate of AKI within 7 days. Propensity score-matched models were adjusted for patient, disease and operative variables. In a sensitivity analysis, a propensity score-matched model explored the association between preoperative exposure to contrast and AKI in the first 48 h after surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 5378 patients were included across 173 centres. Overall, 1249 patients (23·2 per cent) received intravenous contrast. The overall rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery was 13·4 per cent (718 of 5378). In the propensity score-matched model, preoperative exposure to contrast was not associated with AKI within 7 days (odds ratio (OR) 0·95, 95 per cent c.i. 0·73 to 1·21; P = 0·669). The sensitivity analysis showed no association between preoperative contrast administration and AKI within 48 h after operation (OR 1·09, 0·84 to 1·41; P = 0·498).

CONCLUSION

There was no association between preoperative intravenous contrast administered for CT up to 7 days before surgery and postoperative AKI. Risk of contrast-induced nephropathy should not be used as a reason to avoid contrast-enhanced CT.

1118 Examining the Role of Serum and Exosomal Biomarkers in Symptoms of Fatigue and Daytime Sleepiness Following Traumatic Brain Injury

Introduction

Fatigue and daytime sleepiness are two of the most common chronic symptoms reported after traumatic brain injury (TBI). However, there is limited understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms following TBI that result in these symptoms. Previous research has observed elevations in peripheral blood levels of proteins in TBI patients versus controls, including neurofilament light chain (NFL)—predominantly expressed in long myelinated subcortical axons—and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP)—predominantly expressed in reactive astrocytes responding to central nervous system injuries. This study examines the relationship between serum and exosomal NFL and GFAP, and symptoms of fatigue and daytime sleepiness in TBI patients 1-year after injury.

Methods

Sixty-seven patients with TBIs ranging from mild to severe were included in this study. Blood samples were collected from all participants 1-year post TBI, with concentrations of GFAP and NFL measured in serum and exosomes using Single Molecule Array technology (Simoa), an ultrasensitive assay. Participants reported fatigue using the Fatigue Severity Scale (FSS), and daytime sleepiness using the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS).

Results

A linear regression model of fatigue symptoms and exosomal NFL controlling for age revealed that fatigue was negatively associated with exosomal NFL concentrations (β = -.317, p = .041, ηp2 = -.343) and accounted for 20.2% of the change in NFL. Serum NFL concentrations were not associated with fatigue, nor were GFAP serum or exosomes. No significant associations were found between NFL, GFAP, and daytime sleepiness.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that exosomal NFL may be related to mechanisms underlying TBI-related fatigue and the potential of NFL as a biomarker of fatigue. To our knowledge, this study is the first to examine the relationship between post-TBI NFL levels and fatigue symptoms. Further investigation into serum and exosome biomarkers of TBI-related fatigue and daytime sleepiness is warranted.

Support

National Institutes of Health and Center for Neuroscience and Regenerative Medicine

Cardiopulmonary exercise test indices of respiratory buffering before and after aerobic exercise training in women with pulmonary hypertension: Differentiation by magnitudes of change in six-minute walk test performance

While aerobic exercise training (AET) has generally been shown to improve 6-min walk test (6MWT) distance (6MWD) in patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH), a substantial number of patients appear to adapt differently, with minimal or even negative changes in 6MWT distance being reported.

PURPOSE

To compare post-aerobic exercise training adaptations in cardiorespiratory functional capacity across three groups of patients with PH: those with high (HI), low (LI) and negative (NEG) post-training increases in 6MWD.

METHODS

Participants were 25 females (age 54 ± 11 years; BMI 31 ± 7 kg/m²) who completed a vigorous, 10-week, thrice weekly, supervised treadmill walking exercise program. Cardiopulmonary exercise tests (CPET) and 6MWT were completed before and after training. Ten of the 25 participants were classified as HI (range = 47-143 m), 11 were classified as LI (range = 4-37 m) and 4 were classified as NEG (range = -17 to -53 m).

RESULTS

Peak CPET duration, WR and time to anaerobic threshold (AT) were significantly higher (p < 0.05) after training in both the LI and HI groups but not in the NEG group. There was a significant improvement in VE/VCO₂ (p = 0.042), PETCO₂ (p = 0.011) and TV (p = 0.050) in the HI group after training, but not in the NEG or LI group.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that sustained ventilatory inefficiency and restricted respiratory buffering may mediate exercise intolerance and impede the ability to adapt to exercise training in some patients with PH.

Bispectral Index during Modified Rapid Sequence Induction Using Thiopentone or Propofol and Rocuronium

This randomized controlled trial compared Bispectral Index (BIS) values in 40 patients after a modified rapid sequence induction using thiopentone 4 mg/kg or propofol 2 mg/kg with rocuronium 0.6 mg/kg as muscle relaxant. Endotracheal intubation was performed at 60 seconds from induction of anaesthesia and BIS values were recorded for three minutes after induction. At the 120, 150 and 180 second measurements there was a significantly greater proportion of subjects with BIS values ≤ 60 (“anaesthetized”) in the propofol group compared with the thiopentone group (P values <0.02, <0.01 and <0.01 respectively).

All intubations were completed within two minutes. No explicit recall of intubation was detected clinically with either induction agent. The BIS scores we have measured suggest that thiopentone 4 mg/kg is more likely to be associated with lighter planes of anaesthesia and consequent risk of awareness than propofol 2 mg/kg, if intubation is delayed or prolonged.

Sensitivity of various body indices and visceral adiposity index in predicting metabolic syndrome among Chinese patients with adult growth hormone deficiency

AIM

Adult growth hormone deficiency (AGHD) refers to decreased secretion of growth hormones in the adults, which is associated with increased clustering of conventional cardiovascular risk factors such as central obesity, insulin resistance and dyslipidemia. Metabolic syndrome (MetS), a recognized risk factor of cardiovascluar diseases, shares some clinical features. Given that the prevalence of MetS is on the rise in patients with AGHD, and that cardiovascular disease (CVD) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in that population, the alternative, simple, non-invasive methods of assessing MetS among this population are needed. This study aims to determine the sensitivity of five anthropometric indices [Body mass index (BMI), Waist circumference (WC), Waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) and Visceral adiposity index (VAI)] in predicting metabolic syndrome in Chinese population-based patients with adult growth hormone deficiency.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 96 Chinese patients with adult growth hormone deficiency were included in this study. They were compared with equal number of apparently healthy persons with similar characteristics (matched with age and gender) to the previous group. Anthropometric measurements including weight, height, serum lipids indices, blood pressure (BP), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), WC were measured. BMI, WHR, WHtR, and VAI were calculated.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

AGHD patients with MetS had higher WC (91.00 ± 8.28 vs 78.01 ± 7.12), BMI (24.95 ± 2.91 VS 23.30 ± 2.80), WHR (0.92 ± 0.06 VS 0.87 ± 0.07), WHtR (0.53 ± 0.06 VS 0.47 ± 0.05), VAI [(5.59 (4.02, 7.55) VS 1.69 (0.87, 3.05)] levels in comparison to those without MetS. Meantime WC, BMI, WHR, WHtR, VAI was positively correlated to MetS components. ROC curve for participants with AGHD showed that VAI had the highest SS of 92% (BMI 0.812; WHR 0.706; WHtR 0.902; VAI 0.920, respectively) for prediction of MetS in AGHD. The optimal cutoff values for different adiposity markers in predicting MetS were as follows: WC (79.65), BMI (23.46); WHR (0.89); WHtR (0.54); VAI (2.29).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our study showed all adiposity measures of interest present themselves as easy and practical tools for use in population studies and clinical practice for evaluating MetS in AGDH and VAI was identified as the best in Chinese AGHD patients among them.

Gene Expression in Biopsies of Acute Rejection and Interstitial Fibrosis/Tubular Atrophy Reveals Highly Shared Mechanisms That Correlate With Worse Long-Term Outcomes

Interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) is found in approximately 25% of 1-year biopsies posttransplant. It is known that IFTA correlates with decreased graft survival when histological evidence of inflammation is present. Identifying the mechanistic etiology of IFTA is important to understanding why long-term graft survival has not changed as expected despite improved immunosuppression and dramatically reduced rates of clinical acute rejection (AR) (Services UDoHaH. http://www.ustransplant.org/annual_reports/current/509a_ki.htm). Gene expression profiles of 234 graft biopsy samples were obtained with matching clinical and outcome data. Eighty-one IFTA biopsies were divided into subphenotypes by degree of histological inflammation: IFTA with AR, IFTA with inflammation, and IFTA without inflammation. Samples with AR (n = 54) and normally functioning transplants (TX; n = 99) were used in comparisons. A novel analysis using gene coexpression networks revealed that all IFTA phenotypes were strongly enriched for dysregulated gene pathways and these were shared with the biopsy profiles of AR, including IFTA samples without histological evidence of inflammation. Thus, by molecular profiling we demonstrate that most IFTA samples have ongoing immune-mediated injury or chronic rejection that is more sensitively detected by gene expression profiling. These molecular biopsy profiles correlated with future graft loss in IFTA samples without inflammation.

Lipid Accumulation Product: a Simple and Accurate Index for Predicting Metabolic Syndrome in Patients with Adult Growth Hormone Deficiency

PURPOSE

It has been demonstrated that metabolic risk factors were increased in adult growth hormone deficiency (AGHD) patients. Lipid accumulation product (LAP) is a novel biomarker of central lipid accumulation related to risk of metabolic syndrome (MS), diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The aim of this study was to investigate the ability of LAP to identify MS in AGHD Patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, 75 AGHD patients and 75 controls matched with age and gender were enrolled. The general anthropometries and blood biochemical indexes were measured. Body mass index(BMI), waist-hip ratio (WHR), LAP, HOMA-IR were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to find out the cut-off points of LAP to predict MS.

RESULTS

Compared with control group, waist circumference (WC), WHR, Systolic blood pressure (SBP), Diastolic blood pressure (DBP), total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG) and LAP were increased in AGHD group, while high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) level was lower in AGHD group (P<0.05). The prevalence of MS was 41.3% in AGHD patients. AGHD patients with MS had significantly higher LAP levels compared to those without MS. LAP was highly correlated with components of MS. ROC analysis showed that LAP was a significant discriminator for MS in AGHD patients, and the optimal cutoff point of LAP to predict MS was 44.96 (96.8% sensitivity, 86.4% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

LAP was associated with MS and had a strong and reliable diagnostic accuracy for MS in AGHD patients.