Short-term association between air temperature and mortality in seven cities in Norway: A time series analysis

BACKGROUND

The association between ambient air temperature and mortality has not been assessed in Norway. This study aimed to quantify for seven Norwegian cities (Oslo, Bergen, Stavanger, Drammen, Fredrikstad, Trondheim and Tromsø) the non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases mortality burden due to non-optimal ambient temperatures.

METHODS

We used a historical daily dataset (1996-2018) to perform city-specific analyses with a distributed lag non-linear model with 14 days of lag, and pooled results in a multivariate meta-regression. We calculated attributable deaths for heat and cold, defined as days with temperatures above and below the city-specific optimum temperature. We further divided temperatures into moderate and extreme using cut-offs at the 1st and 99th percentiles.

RESULTS

We observed that 5.3% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0-8.3) of the non-accidental related deaths, 11.8% (95% CI 6.4-16.4) of the cardiovascular and 5.9% (95% CI -4.0 to 14.3) of the respiratory were attributable to non-optimal temperatures. Notable variations were found between cities and subgroups stratified by sex and age. The mortality burden related to cold dominated in all three health outcomes (5.1%, 2.0-8.1, 11.4%, 6.0-15.4, and 5.1%, -5.5 to 13.8 respectively). Heat had a more pronounced effect on the burden of respiratory deaths (0.9%, 0.2-1.0). Extreme cold accounted for 0.2% of non-accidental deaths and 0.3% of cardiovascular and respiratory deaths, while extreme heat contributed to 0.2% of non-accidental and to 0.3% of respiratory deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Most of the burden could be attributed to the contribution of moderate cold. This evidence has significant implications for enhancing public-health policies to better address health consequences in the Norwegian setting.

The burden of hospital-attended influenza in Norwegian children

BACKGROUND

Norwegian health authorities do not recommend universal pediatric vaccination against seasonal influenza. We aimed to estimate the incidence of influenza by age and underlying medical conditions in hospitalized Norwegian children aged <18 years.

METHODS

Active surveillance for influenza in children <18 years was implemented in five hospitals during 2015-18. Children with respiratory symptoms and/or fever were prospectively enrolled and tested for influenza. Surveillance data were linked to health registry data to estimate the national burden of influenza in hospitals.

RESULTS

In 309 (10%) out of 3,010 hospital contacts, the child tested positive for influenza, corresponding to an average incidence of 0.96 hospital-attended influenza cases per 1,000 children <18 years of age. Children <1 year of age (3.8 per 1,000 children) and children with underlying medical conditions (17 per 1,000 children with bronchopulmonary dysplasia) had the highest average incidence. Among <1 year old children, 3% tested positive for influenza, compared to 25% for children aged 6-17. Few children were vaccinated against influenza.

CONCLUSIONS

Children <1 year of age and children with underlying medical conditions had a higher incidence of influenza requiring hospital treatment compared to the general population. Effective interventions against seasonal influenza for children in Norway should be considered.

Risk factors associated with severe disease in respiratory syncytial virus infected children under 5 years of age

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate risk factors for severe disease in children under 59 months of age hospitalized with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection.

STUDY DESIGN

We prospectively enrolled 1,096 cases of laboratory confirmed RSV infection during three consecutive RSV seasons in 2015-2018. Potential risk factors for severe disease were retrieved through patient questionnaires and linkage to national health registries. Need for respiratory support (invasive ventilation, bi-level positive airway pressure, or continuous positive airway pressure), and length of stay exceeding 72 h were used as measures of disease severity. Associations were investigated using multivariable logistic regression analyses. Multiple imputation was used to avoid bias and inference induced by missing data.

RESULTS

Risk factors associated with a need for respiratory support included age younger than 3 months of age [aOR: 6.73 (95% CI 2.71-16.7)], having siblings [aOR: 1.65 (95% CI 1.05-2.59)] and comorbidity [aOR: 2.40 (95% CI 1.35-4.24)]. The length of hospital stay >72 h was significantly associated with being younger than 3 months of age [aOR: 3.52 (95% CI 1.65-7.54)], having siblings [aOR: 1.45 (95% CI 1.01-2.08)], and comorbidity [aOR: 2.18 (95% CI 1.31-3.61)]. Sub-group analysis of children younger than 6 months of age confirmed the association between both young age and having siblings and the need for respiratory support.

CONCLUSION

In a large cohort of children <59 months hospitalized with RSV infection, young age, comorbidity, and having siblings were associated with more severe disease.

The burden of respiratory syncytial virus in children under 5 years of age in Norway

OBJECTIVES

To estimate age-specific incidence of medically attended respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections in hospitalised Norwegian children and describe disease epidemiology.

METHODS

Active prospective hospital surveillance for RSV in children <59 months of age was conducted during 2015-2018. All febrile children 12-59 months of age were enrolled, whereas children <12 months were enrolled based on respiratory symptoms regardless of fever. Surveillance data were linked to national registry data to estimate the clinical burden of RSV.

RESULTS

Of the children enrolled, 1096 (40%) were infected with RSV. The highest incidence rates were found in children 1 month of age, with a peak incidence of 43 per 1000 during the 2016-2017 season. In comparison, children 24-59 months of age had an infection rate of 1.4 per 1000 during the same winter season. The peak season was during the 2016-2017 winter, with an incidence rate of 6.0 per 1000 children 0-59 months of age. In the study population a total of 168 (15%) of the infected children had pre-existing medical conditions predisposing for more severe disease. High infection rates were found in this population.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with comorbidities showed high hospital contact rates, but the majority of children in need of medical attention associated with RSV infection were previously healthy.