Cherrie M, Clemens T, Colandrea C, Feng Z, Webb DJ, Weller RB, Dibben C. Ultraviolet A radiation and COVID-19 deaths in the USA with replication studies in England and Italy.
Br J Dermatol 2021;
185:363-370. [PMID:
33834487 PMCID:
PMC8251104 DOI:
10.1111/bjd.20093]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
Background
Understanding factors impacting deaths from COVID‐19 is of the highest priority. Seasonal variation in environmental meteorological conditions affects the incidence of many infectious diseases and may also affect COVID‐19. Ultraviolet (UV) A (UVA) radiation induces release of cutaneous photolabile nitric oxide (NO) impacting the cardiovascular system and metabolic syndrome, both COVID‐19 risk factors. NO also inhibits the replication of SARS‐CoV2.
Objectives
To investigate the relationship between ambient UVA radiation and COVID‐19 deaths.
Methods
COVID‐19 deaths at the county level, across the USA, were modelled in a zero‐inflated negative‐binomial model with a random effect for states adjusting for confounding by demographic, socioeconomic and long‐term environmental variables. Only those areas where UVB was too low to induce significant cutaneous vitamin D3 synthesis were modelled. We used satellite‐derived estimates of UVA, UVB and temperature and relative humidity. Replication models were undertaken using comparable data for England and Italy.
Results
The mortality rate ratio (MRR) in the USA falls by 29% [95% confidence interval (CI) 40% to 15%) per 100 kJ m–2 increase in mean daily UVA. We replicated this in independent studies in Italy and England and estimate a pooled decline in MRR of 32% (95% CI 48% to 12%) per 100 kJ m–2 across the three studies.
Conclusions
Our analysis suggests that higher ambient UVA exposure is associated with lower COVID‐19‐specific mortality. Further research on the mechanism may indicate novel treatments. Optimized UVA exposure may have population health benefits.
Collapse