A risk score for prediction of recurrence in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (DAMOVES)

BACKGROUND

In patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE), the optimal duration of anticoagulation is anchored on estimating the risk of disease recurrence. We aimed to develop a simple risk assessment model that improves prediction of the recurrence risk.

METHODS

In a prospective cohort study, 398 patients with a first unprovoked VTE were followed up for a median of 21.3months after discontinuation of anticoagulation. We excluded patients with a strong thrombophilic defect. Preselected clinical and laboratory variables were analyzed based on the independent confirmation of the impact on the recurrence risk, simplicity of assessment, and reproducibility. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to develop a recurrence score that was subsequently internally validated by bootstrap analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 65 patients (16.3%) had recurrent VTE. In all patients, VTE recurred spontaneously. Male sex (HR=2.89 [95% CI 1.21-6.90] P=0.016), age (HR=1.0310 per additional decade [95% CI 1.01-1.07] P=0.011), obesity (HR=3.92 [95% CI 1.75-8.75] P=0.0001), varicose veins (HR=4.14 [95% CI 1.81-9.43] P=0.0001), abnormal D-dimer during anticoagulation (HR=13.66 [95% CI 4.74-39.37] P=0.0001), high factor VIII coagulant activity (HR=1.01 [95% CI 1.00-1.02] P=0.028) and heterozygous of factor V Leiden and/or Prothrombin G20210A mutation (HR=13.86 [95% CI 5.87-32.75] P=0.0001) were related to a higher recurrence risk. Using these variables, we developed a nomogram [hereafter referred to as DAMOVES score (D-dimer, Age, Mutation, Obesity, Varicose veins, Eight, Sex)] for prediction of recurrence in an individual patient.

CONCLUSIONS

The DAMOVES score can be used to predict recurrence risk in patients with a first unprovoked VTE and may be useful to decide whether anticoagulant therapy should be continued indefinitely or stopped after an initial treatment period of at least 3months.

[Study of the conpsumption of innapropiate medicaments in elder hospitalized in the Internal Medicine Service]

BACKGROUND

The elderly patients are characterized by the high degree of polymedication. This factor is the most important in the appearance of adverse effects (EAD). The study of the medicaments helps to establish which are inappropriate and therefore they must move back, diminishing of this form EAD's possibility.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Prospective and observacional Study. Criterion of incorporation: patients of > 64 years old, hospitalized in an Internal Medicine Service. There were defined as inappropriate medicament the medicines of low therapeutic utility, them not indicated, and the inadequate ones for the elder. By means of the SPSS 11.5 program the possible variables related with the consumption were analyzed.

RESULTS

172 elders were included in the study. The average of medicines for person and day belonged to 5.34 (0-15). 52.5% was consuming an inappropriate medicament (36.6% inadequate for the elder, 15% not indicated, and 12% UTBs). The analysis multivariant associates the consumption of these medicaments with a major number of diseases (p < 0.012), to a major consumption of medicines (p < 0.001) and to the origin of the nursing residences (p < 0.001). Only the consumption of medicaments not adapted for the elder is associated with increase of EAD.

CONCLUSION

The half of the elders takes at least a medicament of unnecessary form, and the majority of these medicaments favors appearance of EAD.