Validation of a prediction model for post-chemotherapy fibrosis in nonseminoma patients

OBJECTIVE

To validate Vergouwe's prediction model using the Swedish and Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group (SWENOTECA) RETROP database and to define its clinical utility.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Vergouwe's prediction model for benign histopathology in post-chemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (PC-RPLND) uses the following variables: presence of teratoma in orchiectomy specimen; pre-chemotherapy level of alpha-fetoprotein; β-Human chorionic gonadotropin and lactate dehydrogenase; and lymph node size pre- and post-chemotherapy. Our validation cohort consisted of patients included in RETROP, a prospective population-based database of patients in Sweden and Norway with metastatic nonseminoma, who underwent PC-RPLND in the period 2007-2014. Discrimination and calibration analyses were used to validate Vergouwe's prediction model results. Calibration plots were created and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test was calculated. Clinical utility, expressed as opt-out net benefit (NBopt-out ), was analysed using decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, 284 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 130 (46%) had benign histology after PC-RPLND. Discrimination analysis showed good reproducibility, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.77-0.87) compared to Vergouwe's prediction model (AUC between 0.77 and 0.84). Calibration was acceptable with no recalibration. Using a prediction threshold of 70% for benign histopathology, NBopt-out was 0.098. Using the model and this threshold, 61 patients would have been spared surgery. However, only 51 of 61 were correctly classified as benign.

CONCLUSIONS

The model was externally validated with good reproducibility. In a clinical setting, the model may identify patients with a high chance of benign histopathology, thereby sparing patients of surgery. However, meticulous follow-up is required.

Unilateral or Bilateral Retroperitoneal Lymph Node Dissection in Nonseminoma Patients with Postchemotherapy Residual Tumour? Results from RETROP, a Population-based Mapping Study by the Swedish Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group

BACKGROUND

The distribution of retroperitoneal lymph node metastases for patients with nonseminoma and a residual tumour of 10-49 mm in a population-based setting is unknown. This information is needed to justify selection of patients for a unilateral template resection.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the location of retroperitoneal metastases and recurrences in patients with nonseminoma germ cell tumour (NSGCT) with a residual tumour of 10-49 mm.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

RETROP is a population-based prospective observational mapping study of 213 patients in Sweden and Norway with a retroperitoneal residual tumour of 10-49 mm who underwent postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection for metastatic NSGCT during 2007-2014 with median follow-up of 100 mo. Patients were classified according to the testis primary tumour and the distribution of unilateral or bilateral lymph node metastases (with reference to the aorta) present on pre- and/or postchemotherapy computed tomography (CT) scans.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The distribution and rate of teratoma or cancer in unilateral or bilateral retroperitoneal fields and the location and rate of retroperitoneal recurrence were measured.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

In total, 65% of the patients had unilateral retroperitoneal lymph node metastases (RLNMs) on CT scans. Patients with unilateral RLNMs had a low risk of contralateral teratoma or cancer (1.6% for right- and 2.6% for left-sided NSGCT) or retroperitoneal recurrence (0% for right- and 4% for left-sided NSGCT). A weakness of the study is that the pathology specimen could not be fully designated to one specific area for some of the patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Men with postchemotherapy residual disease of 10-49 mm and unilateral metastases on pre- and postchemotherapy CT scans have a low risk of contralateral disease and should be considered for a unilateral template resection.

PATIENT SUMMARY

The surgeon can use computed tomography (CT) scans in deciding on the extent of lymph node dissection in patients with testicular cancer.

AB0586 PREVALENCE OF EARLY SYMPTOMATIC KNEE OSTEOARTHRITIS ACCORDING TO THREE CLINICAL CLASSIFICATION CRITERIA

Background:

Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a heterogeneous disease. Different classification criteria for symptomatic KOA (SKOA) have been proposed. Determining the prevalence and comparing the different criteria of SKOA in patients with knee pain will serve as a base when studying the predictive ability of these criteria in a longer perspective.

Objectives:

To study the prevalence of SKOA in individuals with knee pain according to three different classification criteria: the American College of Rheumatology (ACR), (1), the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR)(2), and the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) (3).

Methods:

Baseline data from an ongoing longitudinal study (HALLOA) including 296 individuals with knee pain, recruited by advertisement, were analysed. The individuals were categorized according to the classification criteria of SKOA (ACR, EULAR and NICE) based on age, clinical examination (crepitation), and self-reported data from KOOS (pain, symptoms, ADL, and sport/recreation), and dichotomized as fulfilling the criteria (SKOA) or not (no SKOA). BMI was measured (kg/m2). Radiographic KOA (RKOA) was assessed according to Ahlbäck criteria (1-5), defined as RKOA with grade 1 or more in at least one knee. Prevalence was calculated (frequencies, %) for each criterion, and Chi-Square test or the Independent-Samples t-test were used for comparisons between individuals fulfilling SKOA or not.

Results:

The mean age was 52 (min-max 24-73) years, 70% were women and 22% were classified with RKOA. The prevalence of SKOA according to each criterion was 57% (ACR), 51% (EULAR) and 73% (NICE) respectively. In total, 48% had SKOA according to all three criteria and whereof 32% had RKOA, compared to 10% RKOA among individuals with no SKOA. Regardless of the criterion, significantly more individuals classified with SKOA also had RKOA compared to individuals with no SKOA, p<0.001. Those classified as SKOA were significantly older and had higher BMI compared with no SKOA (Table 1).

Conclusion:

Approximately 50-70% of the individuals with knee pain were classified as having SKOA, where EULAR criteria had the lowest prevalence. A better understanding of early knee pain classification according to different clinical criteria is essential for the ability to capture and follow the long-term prognosis of early SKOA. Further longitudinal studies are needed.

References:

[1]Altman R et al. Arthritis Rheum. 1986;29(8):1039-49.

[2]Zhang W et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2010;69(3):483-9.

[3]Health NIf, Excellence C. UK: National Institute for Clinical Excellence. 2014.

Table 1.

Comparisons between the ACR, EULAR and NICE criteria of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis, stratified for symptomatic knee osteoarthritis or not

ACREULARNICETotalOANo OAP-valueOANo OAP-valueOANo OAP-valueN(%)296 (100)170 (57.4)98 (33.1)152 (51.4)114 (38.5)215 (72.6)58 (19.6)Age(Y), Mean (SD)51.6 (8.7)53.3 (7.0)49.0 (10.3)<0.00154.5 (5.1)48.1 (10.8)<0.00154.7 (4.9)40.5 (9.8)<0.001Gender, female (%)208 (70.3)121 (71.2)66 (67.3)0.511108 (58.4)77 (67.5)0.538154 (71.6)36 (62.1)0.160BMI(kg/m2), Mean (SD)26.4 (4.6)26.5 (4.5)25.8 (4.3)0.17926.9 (4.5)25.4 (4.2)0.00526.7 (4.5)24.8 (3.8)0.004RKOA, n (%)64 (21.6) 45 (26.5)12 (12.2)0.00347 (30.9)10 (8.7)<0.00158 (27.0)1 (1.7)<0.001

Independent-samples t-test and Chi-2-test. Bold=Significant correlation (p≤0.05). OA = Osteoarthritis. ACR = American College of Rheumatology. EULAR = the European League Against Rheumatism. NICE = the National Institute of Care and Excellence. BMI = Body Mass Index. RKOA = Radiographic Knee Osteoarthritis (Ahlbäck, with grade ≥1 in ≥1 knee).

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared.

Set-up and preliminary results from the Patient-overview Prostate Cancer. Longitudinal registration of treatment of advanced prostate cancer in the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden

Introduction: Novel drugs have been shown to prolong life in men with metastatic prostate cancer (PCa) and castration resistant Pca (CRPC). The aim of Patient-overview Prostate cancer (PPC) is to register and report these treatments and their effect.Material and methods: In PPC, a new part of the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden data on start and stop of treatments, imaging, prostate specific antigen, clinical assessment of progression and patient reported outcome measures (PROM) are registered from initiation of hormonal treatment. Data are displayed in a graph to inform clinical decisions for individual patients. For research, data in PPC are linked to PCBaSe with information from NPCR and a number of health care registers.Results: In December 2019, 7 882 men had been registered in PPC out of whom 3 912 had reached the CRPC state. Median time to start of androgen receptor targeted drugs (ART) from start of ADT was 4 years (interquartile range IQR 6) for men with primary ADT, and 9 years (IQR 6) and for men with secondary ADT. Out of all men in PCBaSe with a prescription for ART in 2016-2017, PPC captured 1 480/4 055 (36%). There were small differences between men registered/not registered in PPC for cancer characteristics, primary treatment, comorbidity, and time on ADT before start of ART.Conclusion: In PPC, use and effects of novel therapies for advanced Pca are assessed in a real-life setting. PPC data are used as a decision aid, for quality assurance, and in research.

Surgical Complications in Postchemotherapy Retroperitoneal Lymph Node Dissection for Nonseminoma Germ Cell Tumour: A Population-based Study from the Swedish Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group

BACKGROUND

Reports on perioperative complications after postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (PC-RPLND) for nonseminoma germ cell tumour (NSGCT) are from experienced single centres, with a lack of population-based studies.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the complications of bilateral and unilateral PC-RPLND.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A prospective, population-based, observational multicentre study included all patients with NSGCT who underwent PC-RPLND in Norway and Sweden during 2007-2014. Of a total of 318 patients, 87 underwent bilateral PC-RPLND and 231 underwent unilateral PC-RPLND. The median follow-up was 6 yr.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Bilateral and unilateral PC-RPLND were compared for the outcomes of intra- and postoperative complications (graded by Clavien-Dindo) and retrograde ejaculation (with or without nerve-sparing surgery). Complications were reported as absolute counts and percentages. The χ² test was used for comparisons.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The incidence of intraoperative complications was higher for bilateral PC-RPLND than for unilateral PC-RPLND (14% vs 4.3%, p = 0.003), with ureteral injury as the most frequent reported complication (2% of the patients). Postoperative complications were more common after bilateral than after unilateral PC-RPLND (45% vs 25%, p = 0.001) with Clavien ≥3b reported in 8.3% and 2.2%, respectively (p = 0.009). Lymphatic leakage was the most common complication occurring in 11% of the patients. Retrograde ejaculation occurred more frequently after bilateral than after unilateral surgery (59% vs 32%, p < 0.001). Limitations of the study include reporting of retrograde ejaculation, which was based on a chart review.

CONCLUSIONS

Intra- and postoperative complications including retrograde ejaculation are more frequent after bilateral PC-RPLND than after unilateral PC-RPLND.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Lymph node dissection in patients with testicular cancer puts them at risk of complications. In this study, we present the complications after lymph node dissection.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor as a prognostic marker in men participating in prostate cancer screening

BACKGROUND

The urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) system is involved in tissue remodelling processes and is up-regulated in many types of malignancies. We investigated whether serum levels of different forms of soluble uPA receptor (suPAR) are associated with survival and in particular with prostate cancer and cardiovascular disease mortality.

METHODS

Using time-resolved fluorescence immunoassays, we measured intact suPAR [suPAR(I-III)] and intact plus cleaved suPAR [suPAR(I-III) + suPAR(II-III)] and thus calculated the amount of suPAR(II-III) in serum samples from 375 men participating in a prostate cancer screening trial. A total of 312 men were free of prostate cancer and 63 men had prostate cancer diagnosed at the time of screening. The cohort was followed for 15 years. We assessed survival using Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

The mean age at blood sampling was 64 years. In total, 152 men died during follow-up. SuPAR(I-III) and suPAR(II-III) were significantly positively associated with mortality (P = 0.001 and P < 0.0001, respectively). In a Cox regression model adjusting for age and prostate cancer status, an increase in suPAR(I-III) and suPAR(II-III) by 1-unit (ln-scale) was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.26 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-4.35] and 2.53 (95% CI 1.56-4.10), respectively. There was a trend towards an increased risk of death from prostate cancer in screening-detected prostate cancer patients with increased values of either suPAR form. However, this difference was not significant and the association disappeared after adjusting for age, tumour stage, tumour grade and prostate-specific antigen. Being in the highest quartile of any of the suPAR forms was associated with a highly significant increased risk of cardiovascular death, with HR adjusted for age of 3.27 (95% CI 1.38-7.73) for suPAR(I-III) quartile 4 versus quartile 1. Conclusions.  High concentrations of serum suPAR(I-III) and suPAR(II-III) were associated with poor overall survival. The association was particularly strong for death from cardiovascular disease. No similar association was found for prostate cancer after adjustment for other prognostic factors.

Prostate cancer diagnosed after prostate-specific antigen testing of men without clinical signs of the disease: a population-based study from the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effects of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing of men without clinical signs of prostate cancer on the incidence of prostate cancer in Sweden.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Information on the cause of diagnosis, tumour characteristics and primary treatment for patients diagnosed with prostate cancer between January 1999 and December 2007 was extracted from the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden. This register includes data for 95% of Swedish prostate cancer cases.

RESULTS

The total age-standardized annual incidence of prostate cancer per 100,000 men increased from 187 in 1999 to 233 in 2004, but decreased thereafter to 196 in 2007. The incidence of asymptomatic cases also peaked in 2004 (at 62 per 100,000 men), but varied six-fold between different counties in that year (16-98 per 100,000 men). Asymptomatic cases (n = 17,143) constituted 15% of all new cases in 2000 and 30% in 2007. Almost as many cases were diagnosed in stage T1c in men with symptoms, usually from the lower urinary tract. Together these two groups constituted 29% of all new cases in 2000 and 52% in 2007. It was estimated that at least one-third of all Swedish men aged 50-75 years had a PSA test between 2000 and 2007.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though screening for prostate cancer is not recommended in Sweden, PSA testing of men without clinical signs of prostate cancer is common. The effects on the Swedish incidence of prostate cancer were similar to those reported from the USA.

Geographical variation in incidence of prostate cancer in Sweden

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the geographical variation in prostate cancer incidence in Sweden, in particular the incidences of screening-detected tumours and curative treatment of prostate cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data were retrieved from the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden for all cases of prostate cancer diagnosed in the year 2000-01. There were a total of 14 376 cases of prostate cancer and the mean total annual age-adjusted incidence was 197/100 000 men. There were 3318 cases in tumour category T1c, i.e. non-palpable tumours diagnosed during work-up for an elevated serum level of prostate-specific antigen, 1006 of which (30%) were asymptomatic and detected at a health check-up.

RESULTS

The difference between the counties with the lowest and highest age-adjusted incidences per 100 000 men of total prostate cancer was almost twofold (128 vs 217). The corresponding variation in incidence of category T1c tumours was more than fourfold (13 vs 60); the difference in incidence of T1c tumours detected in asymptomatic men was up to 10-fold (2 vs 20); and there was more than a fourfold variation in incidence of curative treatment between counties (13 vs 67). Measured incidences were mostly highest in urban regions and in counties with university hospitals.

CONCLUSION

There are large geographical variations in prostate cancer incidence and in the frequency of curative treatment for prostate cancer in Sweden and there appear to be large geographical variations in the uptake of prostate cancer screening.

Oral oxycodone hydrochloride versus epidural anaesthesia for pain control after radical retropubic prostatectomy

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether combined oral intake of paracetamol (4 x 1 g) + oxycodone hydrochloride (2x10 mg) is adequate and equivalent to epidural anaesthesia (EDA) with respect to postoperative pain control and postoperative mobilization after radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Forty consecutive patients scheduled for RRP were randomized to either: EDA with ropivacaine + paracetamol (4 x 1 g tablet) + injected or oral morphine on demand (EDA group); or infiltration of 25-40 ml of 0.25% bupivacaine into the wound + oxycodone hydrochloride (2 x 10 mg tablet) + paracetamol (4x1 g tablet) + injected or oral morphine on demand (OXY group). The groups were compared with respect to pain control determined by means of a visual analogue scale (VAS), time to free mobilization, hospital stay, complications, operation time and bleeding.

RESULTS

Both analgesic regimens provided satisfactory analgesia, i.e. VAS scores remained significantly below 4 (p<0.0001). The EDA group experienced slightly less pain than the OXY group on the operation day but this was not significant: median VAS scores of 0.7 and 1.8, respectively (p=0.27). Median VAS scores during hospital stay were 1.7 in both treatment groups. VAS scores ranged from 0.1 to 3.3 and from 0.2 to 3.5 in the EDA and OXY groups, respectively. There was no significant difference in postoperative mobilization between the groups (p=0.06). The median duration of hospital stay was 3 nights in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative pain control after RRP with oral oxycodone hydrochloride, paracetamol and extra morphine on demand is preferable to EDA when pain control as well as mobilization and costs are taken into account.

The National Prostate Cancer Register in Sweden 1998—2002: Trends in incidence, treatment and survival

OBJECTIVES

To provide a descriptive review of the establishment of the National Prostate Cancer Register (NPCR) in Sweden, to present clinical characteristics at diagnosis and to calculate the relative survival of different risk groups after 5 years.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Since 1998, data on all newly diagnosed prostate cancers, including TNM classification, grade of malignancy, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level and treatment, have been prospectively collected. For the 35,223 patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2002, relative survival in different risk groups has been calculated.

RESULTS

Between 1998 and 2002, 96% of all prostate cancer cases diagnosed in Sweden were registered in the NPCR. The number of new cases increased from 6137 in 1998 to 7385 in 2002. The age-standardized rate rose in those aged < 70 years, while it was stable, or possibly declining from 1999, in the older age groups. The proportion of T1c tumours increased from 14% to 28% of all recorded cases. The age-adjusted incidence of advanced tumours (M1 or PSA > 100 ng/ml) decreased by 17%. The proportion of patients receiving curative treatment doubled. Patients with N1 or M1 disease or poorly differentiated tumours (G3 or Gleason score 8-10) had a markedly reduced relative 5-year survival rate.

CONCLUSIONS

It is possible to establish a nationwide prostate cancer register including basic data for assessment of the disease in the whole of Sweden. The introduction of PSA screening has increased the detection of early prostate cancer in younger men and, to a lesser extent, decreased the incidence of advanced disease. The effect of these changes on mortality is obscure but the NPCR in Sweden will serve as an important tool in such evaluation.

Individualized intensification of treatment based on tumor marker decline in metastatic nonseminomatous germ cell testicular cancer (NSGCT): A report from the Swedish Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group, SWENOTECA

5015

Background: From July 1995 to December 2003, 602 adult patients from Sweden and Norway with metastatic testicular NSGCT were included in a population-based multicenter SWENOTECA protocol with strict guidelines for staging, treatment and follow-up. Methods: The basic strategy of this protocol was to individualize treatment according to AFP and β-HCG decline (t1/2). Satisfactory response to treatment was defined as a t½ for AFP ≤ 7 days and/or β-HCG ≤ 3 days. Initial treatment for all patients was 2 courses of standard BEP. Tumor markers were analyzed once a week during treatment. Patients with satisfactory response went on with BEP while patients with unsatisfactory t1/2 received intensified treatment in two steps with addition of ifosfamide (BEP-if/PEI) in step 1. If still unsatisfactory response the treatment was intensified according to step 2 involving high-dose chemotherapy with stem cell rescue. Postchemotherapy surgery was performed according to protocol guidelines. Results: 99,7% (602 of 604) of all patients with metastatic testicular NSGCT in the population were included in the protocol. Median FU was 72 months. 75% of the patients were treated with BEP, median 4 courses, without intensification, 19% according to intensification step 1 and 6% according to intensification step 2. Five year progression free survival (PFS), cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) grouped according to IGCCCG prognostic score are given in the Table below. There was no significant difference in PFS between the good and intermediate risk group. Death due to all causes was 10,1% (n=61) and treatment related deaths were 1,3 % (n=8). Conclusions: Our results, in a population based patient material, with individualized treatment based on tumor marker decline, are highly encouraging in all risk groups, but most notably in the intermediate risk group.

[Table: see text]

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

15-year followup of a population based prostate cancer screening study

PURPOSE

We evaluated long-term survival in attendees and nonattendees of a 1-time screening for prostate cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 2,400 men 55 to 70 years old in 1988 were randomly selected and invited to a screening for prostate cancer. Of the invited men 1,782 (74%) attended. Screening attendees were examined with digital rectal examination, transrectal ultrasound and prostate specific antigen analysis. When cancer was suspected, prostate biopsies were taken. A total of 65 men with prostate cancer were detected by this procedure. The entire source population comprising 27,204 men, including 618 nonattendees (26%), was followed for prostate cancer diagnosis and survival for 15 years.

RESULTS

Incidence rate ratios were calculated using Poisson regression models. We found no effect of this screening procedure on the risk of death from prostate cancer and other causes of death (incidence rate ratio 1.10, 95% CI 0.83-1.46 and 0.98, 95% CI 0.92-1.05, respectively) when comparing all invited men with the source population. However, attending the screening program was associated with a significantly decreased risk of death from causes other than prostate cancer (vs source population incidence rate ratio 0.82, 95% CI 0.76-0.90). In contrast, the corresponding incidence rate ratio in nonattendees was 1.53 (95% CI 1.37-1.71).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no evidence of a beneficial effect of this specific screening procedure but strong evidence of a difference in overall survival in screening attendees and nonattendees. These findings should be considered when interpreting previous and upcoming studies of the effect of screening programs.

Clinical characteristics and primary treatment of prostate cancer in Sweden between 1996 and 2005

OBJECTIVE

The incidence of prostate cancer is rising rapidly in Sweden and there is a need to better understand the pattern of diagnosis, tumor characteristics and treatment.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Between 1996 and 2005, all new cases of adenocarcinoma of the prostate gland were intended to be registered in the National Prostate Cancer Register (NPCR). This register contains information on diagnosing unit, date of diagnosis, cause of diagnosis, tumor grade, tumor stage according to the TNM classification in force, serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels at diagnosis and primary treatment given within the first 6 months after diagnosis.

RESULTS

In total, 72,028 patients were registered, comprising >97% of all pertinent incident cases of prostate cancer in the Swedish Cancer Register (SCR). During the study period there was a considerable decrease in median age at the time of diagnosis, a stage migration towards smaller tumors, a decrease in median serum PSA values at diagnosis, a decrease in the age-standardized incidence rate of men diagnosed with distant metastases or with a PSA level of > 100 ng/ml at diagnosis and an increase in the proportion of tumors with Gleason score <6. Relatively large geographical differences in the median age at diagnosis and the age-standardized incidence of cases with category T1c tumors were observed. Treatment with curative intent increased dramatically and treatment patterns varied according to geographical region. In men with localized tumors and a PSA level of <20 ng/ml at diagnosis, expectant treatment was more commonly used in those aged > or =75 years than in those aged <75 years. Also, the pattern of endocrine treatment varied in different parts of Sweden.

CONCLUSIONS

All changes in the register seen over time are consistent with increased diagnostic activity, especially PSA testing, resulting in an increased number of cases with early disease, predominantly tumors in category T1c. The patterns of diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer vary considerably in different parts of Sweden. The NPCR continues to be an important source for research, epidemiological surveillance of the incidence, diagnosis and treatment of prostate cancer.

Dihydrotestosterone Levels and Survival in Screening-Detected Prostate Cancer: A 15-yr Follow-up Study

OBJECTIVES

It has been hypothesized that dihydrotestosterone (DHT), the main intracellular androgen in the prostate, affects prostatic tumour progression. In this study, we evaluated serum DHT levels at the time of prostate-cancer diagnosis in relation to survival.

METHODS

Sixty-five screening-detected patients diagnosed in 1988-1989 were followed for 15 yr. DHT levels at the time of diagnosis were determined through radio-immuno assay. Subjects were followed up through the nationwide tax register. Medical records of all dead subjects were reviewed, and cause of death was established by an endpoint committee. Data were analyzed through Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox proportional-hazards regression.

RESULTS

Seventeen of 41 deaths in the cohort during follow-up were attributed to prostate cancer. Patients with DHT above the median had a significant better prostate-cancer-specific survival than those with DHT below the median (log rank p=0.0075). In the univariate analyses, one unit increase in DHT was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.14 (95% CI=0.02-0.93). In the multivariate model, including prostate-specific antigen level, the association between DHT and prostate-cancer-specific survival was not significant (HR=0.18; 95% CI=0.02-1.6). DHT level below the median remained significantly associated with decreased survival in the multivariate model (HR=0.23; 95% CI=0.06-0.90). No association was found between DHT level and hazard of dying from causes other than prostate cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the prognostic value of DHT levels at diagnosis remains unclear, these results provides evidence of an association between low DHT and decreased survival in prostate cancer patients.

Lead time associated with screening for prostate cancer

Screening serum levels of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is now a major strategy for early detection of prostate cancer (PC). Quantification of the lead time thus obtained is important both for understanding the development of PC and for evaluating the advantages and disadvantages of widespread screening. In our study, 1,233 randomly selected men living in Stockholm in 1988 were invited to participate in an early detection (ED) program, in which suspicious findings provided by digital rectal examination (DRE), transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) and/or a PSA value >/=10.0 ng/mL were followed up by biopsy. The cumulative incidence (Kaplan-Meier) of PC in the 946 participants (ED) during 12 years of follow-up was compared to that of an age-matched, randomly selected reference population (RP) of 657 men for whom PSA values (from frozen serum samples) could also be obtained. The PC incidence in men in the RP with PSA values >/=3.0 ng/mL reached the corresponding level for the ED group after 10.6 years (the "catch-up" point). After 12 years of follow-up, the estimated median lead time for men with PSA values in this interval was 4.5 years in the ED population, compared to 7.8 years in the RP. With 20 years of follow-up, the estimated median lead time of the RP was enhanced to 10.7 years. The lead time in connection with PC was influenced by the initial PSA level (although with large variations), length of follow-up and sensitivity of the ED procedure employed. The ED program described here was not associated with major overdetection.

Variation in percentage-free prostate-specific antigen (PSA) with prostate volume, age and total PSA level

OBJECTIVE

To examine the correlation between prostate volume, patient age and total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) with the percentage-free PSA (f/tPSA) in a population-based cohort of men with no prostate cancer and with a tPSA of < 10.0 ng/mL.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Men who in 1988-1989, after randomized selection in the general population, participated in a population-based screening study for prostate cancer, were investigated. In all, 1622 of the men (aged 55-70 years) were considered free from prostate cancer and had a tPSA level of < 10.0 ng/mL. The f/tPSA and tPSA were determined in frozen sera from each individual, and related to prostate volume and age measured at the time of the study. The entire population was investigated, as were four subpopulations based on tPSA levels (< 2.0, 2.0-3.9, 4.0-6.9 and 7.0-9.9 ng/mL). Statistical calculations included multiple regression and correlation analysis.

RESULTS

The f/tPSA level varied with prostate volume and age, but the decisive factor for this variation was the tPSA level. The closest correlation was in the tPSA interval 7.0-9.9 ng/mL, where volume and age together explained 47% of the variation in f/tPSA. Also, for men with tPSA levels in each of the intervals 2.0-3.9, 4.0-6.9 and 7.0-9.9 ng/mL, the f/tPSA increased with higher prostate volumes and age. In men with tPSA levels of < 2.0 ng/mL the f/tPSA was not affected by variations in prostate volume or age.

CONCLUSION

The variation in f/tPSA with prostate volume, age and tPSA is highly dependent on the tPSA level. Volume and age in the tPSA interval 7.0-9.9 ng/mL can explain almost half the variation in f/tPSA, whereas this influence is insignificant in men with a tPSA of < 2.0 ng/mL.

The frequency of illegitimate TCRbeta/gamma gene recombination in human lymphocytes: influence of age, environmental exposure and cytostatic treatment, and correlation with frequencies of t(14;18) and hprt mutation

Chromosome translocations in lymphoid malignancies often involve V(D)J recombinase mediated events giving rise to aberrant T-cell receptor (TCR) and immunoglobulin genes, which have been suggested to be useful as markers of genomic instability, genotoxic exposure and cancer risk. Illegitimate rearrangements involving the TCRbeta/gamma loci on chromosome 7 create TCRbeta/gamma hybrid genes which occur at low frequency in peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBLs) of normal healthy individuals. To evaluate the utility of this marker, we studied the possible effects of age and genotoxic exposures on the TCRbeta/gamma gene variant frequency (VF), and compared the frequencies of hypoxanthine guanine phosphoribosyl transferase (hprt) mutation, hprt exon 2/3 deletion, t(14;18) and TCRbeta/gamma gene rearrangements in cells from the same donors. The TCRbeta/gamma VF ranged five-fold among 16 middle aged blood donors with a mean of 0.74+/-0.29/10(5) PBLs, which is consistent with our previous estimate in healthy subjects. The TCRbeta/gamma VF was found to increase from birth until early adult life, and then to decrease with increasing age. Four testis cancer patients, who 6 years earlier had been treated with etoposide and other cytostatic drugs, showed TCRbeta/gamma VF similar to that in healthy controls. No increase of the TCRbeta/gamma VF was found among non-smoking PAH-exposed aluminum smelter workers compared to non-smoking controls. Smoking smelter workers showed decreased TCRbeta/gamma VF compared to non-smoking workers and controls, but in a follow-up study 2 years later the difference was no longer statistically significant, although the smoking smelter workers still showed a lower TCRbeta/gamma VF than the controls. No correlation was obtained between the TCRbeta/gamma VF and the t(14;18) or hprt mutant frequency (MF) in a group of healthy individuals. However, there was a statistically significant correlation between the TCRbeta/gamma VF and the hprt exon 2/3 deletion frequency in PBL DNA from the same donors. These results show that the TCRbeta/gamma VF in healthy individuals changes with age and correlates with the frequency of hprt exon 2/3 deletion, another marker of aberrant V(D)J recombination in T-cells. However, no effect of smoking or present or previous exposure to genotoxic agents on TCRbeta/gamma VF was observed in this study. Thus, further studies are needed to prove the utility of TCRbeta/gamma gene rearrangement as a marker of genotoxic exposure.

Diagnostic value of percent free prostate-specific antigen: retrospective analysis of a population-based screening study with emphasis on men with PSA levels less than 3.0 ng/mL

OBJECTIVES

To retrospectively investigate the use of percent free prostate-specific antigen (PSA) compared with total PSA in serum as predictor of prostate cancer in men selected randomly from the general population who underwent biopsy on the basis of abnormal findings on digital rectal examination (DRE) or transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) and/or serum PSA levels greater than 10 ng/mL.

METHODS

A single intervention, population-based screening study was undertaken in 1988 and 1989. Of the 2400 men aged 55 to 70 years invited to participate, 1782 men responded and were examined with DRE, TRUS, and PSA testing (Tandem-Hybritech). In 1995, frozen serum samples from 1748 men were analyzed for percent free PSA (Prostatus, Wallac OY). Five-year follow-up data on new cancers in the screened population were obtained from the Swedish Cancer Registry (SCR).

RESULTS

Of the 1748 men, 367 underwent TRUS-guided biopsies because of abnormal findings on either DRE or TRUS or serum PSA levels of greater than 10 ng/mL. This resulted in the diagnosis of 64 cases of prostate cancer (3.7%). PSA levels of 3.0 ng/mL or greater were found in 55 (86%) of 64 cancer cases and in 399 (24%) of the 1684 benign cases. Among the 1294 men with PSA less than 3.0 ng/mL, 9 prostate cancers were diagnosed (14% of all prostate cancers). All 9 patients with cancer and with PSA less than 3.0 ng/mL had a percent free PSA of 18% or less. In the group of 1109 patients with PSA less than 3.0 ng/mL and a percent free PSA greater than 18%, 159 biopsies were performed because of abnormal DRE or TRUS. However, no prostate cancer was diagnosed in this category of patients. Five years after the screening intervention, 7 more cases of prostate cancer were clinically diagnosed in the screened population according to the SCR.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of PSA levels less than 3.0 ng/mL and percent free PSA greater than 18% defines a large part of the population at a very low risk of cancer of the prostate both at the time of screening and during the following 5 years. Men in this group may be spared DRE, and longer screening intervals may be considered. However, the risk of having prostate cancer is not negligible in men with PSA less than 3.0 ng/mL and percent free PSA of 18% or less. The results of this study indicate that biopsy should be recommended to men fulfilling these criteria, although these results should be confirmed in larger prospective studies because of the limited number of patients with prostate cancer in the present series.

Antibiotic prophylaxis for prostate biopsy: benefits and costs

Transrectal ultrasound-guided core biopsy is a widely used method to diagnose prostate cancer. It is generally considered a safe procedure but the main concern is that significant complications such as infections do occur. To evaluate the effect of a combined two-dosage antibiotic prophylaxis with ciprofloxacin and metronidazole, a prospective study of 289 patients undergoing core-biopsy of the prostate was performed. Five patients (1.7%) developed urinary tract infection and all did recover without any further complications. The infection rate was significantly lower compared to our historic controls receiving no prophylaxis at all. This prophylactic regime resulted in a low infection rate and it was feasible from the patient perspective. The total cost of antibiotic medication and additional costs due to complications was 18 USD per patient and the cost-effectiveness compared to no prophylactic therapy at all was considered good.

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA), PSA density and age-adjusted PSA reference values in screening for prostate cancer--a study of a randomly selected population of 2,400 men

Prostate cancer screening with DRE, TRUS, and PSA testing was offered to 2,400 randomly selected men 55-70 years old. Among 1,782 examined, 65 (3.6%) men with prostate cancer were diagnosed. The PSA results were correlated to the diagnosis, the men's age, and the prostate volume. Least square regression analysis was used to calculate the 95% upper confidence intervals for PSA in each year of age in men without prostate cancer. The PPV was calculated for: (i) PSA > 4 ng/ml, (ii) PSAD > 0.15, (iii) PSAD > 0.20 and (iv) age-adjusted PSA reference values. A significant correlation was found between PSA and prostate volume, between PSA and age, and between the prostate volume and age. The calculated annual growth of the prostate was 1.6% and the annual increase in PSA was 2.4%. The age-adjusted upper PSA reference values for the three age categories studied (55-59, 60-64 and 65-70 years) were 5.2, 5.8, and 6.7 ng/ml, respectively. The PPVs for PSA > 4 ng/ml, PSAD > 0.15, PSAD > 0.20, and the age-adjusted PSA reference values were 17%, 14%, 22%, and 27%, respectively. Age-adjusted PSA or PSAD may increase the PPV compared to PSA > 4 ng/ml. The detection rate is, however, inadequate. A PSA cut-off at 4 ng/ml could therefore be maintained in men 55-70 years old. The median PSA values and median prostate volumes calculated for men with benign findings may serve as a reference in future studies.

In-vitro fertilization and intracytoplasmic sperm injection in the treatment of infertility after testicular cancer

Treatment of testicular cancer (TC) may cause infertility due to reduced sperm quality with or without an ejaculation problem. In cases of anejaculation or retrograde ejaculation, spermatozoa can be obtained by transrectal electroejaculation (TE) or testicular sperm extraction (TESE) and used for in-vitro fertilization (IVF) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). In this study, 15 out of 17 couples evaluated for infertility after TC, underwent a total of 21 treatment cycles, resulting in 18 embryo transfers. Spermatozoa were obtained by TE in 16 cycles, by masturbation in three cycles and by TESE in one. In one cycle no spermatozoa were found using TESE. Fertilization and cleavage was achieved by IVF in seven cycles and ICSI in 11 cycles; average fertilization rates of 57 and 55% respectively were observed. Twelve clinical pregnancies occurred, of which 11 have been delivered or are ongoing. The ongoing pregnancy rate was 57% per cycle. These results show that infertility after testicular cancer can be treated effectively with IVF and that ICSI even permits treatment of patients who have severe oligozoospermia.

Transrectal electroejaculation in combination with in-vitro fertilization: an effective treatment of anejaculatory infertility after testicular cancer

Treatment of non-seminomatous testicular cancer often leads to infertility due to anejaculation/retrograde ejaculation and poor sperm quality. In these men spermatozoa may be obtained by transrectal electroejaculation (TE), but the optimal strategy for assisted procreation in these couples is not known. Our aim was to examine whether TE and conventional in-vitro fertilization (IVF) would be successful. A total of 10 couples, with long-standing infertility due to anejaculation or retrograde ejaculation after treatment for testicular cancer 5-14 years earlier, were referred to our unit. All men underwent diagnostic TE under general anaesthesia. Spermatozoa were recovered in nine cases. The antegrade fraction was prepared and used for IVF. Sperm quality was variable and conventional IVF was considered impossible in three cases. Altogether six IVF treatment cycles in six couples resulted in five pregnancies, of which four resulted in a delivery and one resulted in a spontaneous abortion. One additional pregnancy is ongoing after transfer of cryopreserved embryos. The fertilization rate was 54% (33/61) and the cleavage rate was 97% (32/33). No complications relating to the procedure have been encountered.

Folic acid as an adjunct in the treatment of children with the autism fragile-X syndrome (AFRAX)

Four boys with the combination of infantile autism and the fragile-X syndrome were given oral folic acid and placebo, according to a double-blind crossover design. One boy's behaviour appeared to improve on folic acid, but another boy did not seem to be affected at all. For the remaining two boys the results were equivocal. Further study of folic acid in the treatment of autistic boys with the fragile-X syndrome is warranted.