Computable phenotype for diagnostic error: developing the data schema for application of symptom-disease pair analysis of diagnostic error (SPADE)

OBJECTIVES

Diagnostic errors are the leading cause of preventable harm in clinical practice. Implementable tools to quantify and target this problem are needed. To address this gap, we aimed to generalize the Symptom-Disease Pair Analysis of Diagnostic Error (SPADE) framework by developing its computable phenotype and then demonstrated how that schema could be applied in multiple clinical contexts.

METHODS

We created an information model for the SPADE processes, then mapped data fields from electronic health records (EHR) and claims data in use to that model to create the SPADE information model (intention) and the SPADE computable phenotype (extension). Later we validated the computable phenotype and tested it in four case studies in three different health systems to demonstrate its utility.

RESULTS

We mapped and tested the SPADE computable phenotype in three different sites using four different case studies. We showed that data fields to compute an SPADE base measure are fully available in the EHR Data Warehouse for extraction and can operationalize the SPADE framework from provider and/or insurer perspective, and they could be implemented on numerous health systems for future work in monitor misdiagnosis-related harms.

CONCLUSIONS

Data for the SPADE base measure is readily available in EHR and administrative claims. The method of data extraction is potentially universally applicable, and the data extracted is conveniently available within a network system. Further study is needed to validate the computable phenotype across different settings with different data infrastructures.

Sex Differences in the Role of Multimorbidity on Poststroke Disability: The Taiwan Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Multimorbidity is common in patients who experience stroke. Less is known about the effect of specific multimorbidity patterns on long-term disability in patients with stroke. Furthermore, given the increased poststroke disability frequently seen in female vs male patients, it is unknown whether multimorbidity has a similar association with disability in both sexes. We assessed whether specific multimorbidity clusters were associated with greater long-term poststroke disability burden overall and by sex.

METHODS

In the Taiwan Stroke Registry, an ongoing nationwide prospective registry, patients with first-ever ischemic stroke were enrolled; this analysis is restricted to those individuals surviving to at least 6 months poststroke. Using a hierarchical clustering approach, clusters of prestroke multimorbidity were generated based on 16 risk factors; the algorithm identified 5 distinct clusters. The association between clusters and 12-month poststroke disability, defined using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), was determined using logistic regression models, with additional models stratified by sex. The longitudinal association between multimorbidity and functional status change was assessed using mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

Nine-thousand eight hundred eighteen patients with first-ever ischemic stroke were included. The cluster with no risk factors was the reference, "healthier" risk group (N = 1,373). Patients with a cluster profile of diabetes, peripheral artery disease (PAD), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (N = 1882) had significantly greater disability (mRS ≥ 3) at 1 month (OR [95% CI] = 1.36 [1.13-1.63]), 3 months (OR [95% CI] = 1.27 [1.04-1.55]), and 6 months (OR [95% CI] = 1.30 [1.06-1.59]) but not at 12 months (OR [95% CI] = 1.16 [0.95-1.42]) than patients with a healthier risk factor profile. In the sex-stratified analysis, the associations with this risk cluster remained consistent in male patients (OR [95% CI] = 1.42 [1.06-1.89]) at 12 months, who also had a higher comorbidity burden, but not in female patients (OR [95% CI] = 0.95 [0.71-1.26]), who had higher proportions of severe strokes and severe disability (p-interaction = 0.04).

DISCUSSION

Taiwanese patients with multimorbidity, specifically the concurrent presence of diabetes, PAD, and CKD, had higher odds of a worse functional outcome in the first 6 months poststroke. Clusters of multimorbidity may be less informative for long-term disability in female patients. Further studies should evaluate other mechanisms for worse disability in female patients poststroke.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Stroke Subtype and Risk of Subsequent Hospitalization: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Risk of readmission after stroke differs by stroke (sub)type and etiology, with higher risks reported for hemorrhagic stroke and cardioembolic stroke. We examined the risk and cause of first readmission by stroke subtype over the years post incident stroke.

METHODS

Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants (n = 1,412) with first-ever stroke were followed up for all-cause readmission after incident stroke. Risk of first readmission was examined by stroke subtypes (cardioembolic, thrombotic/lacunar, and hemorrhagic [intracerebral and subarachnoid]) using Cox and Fine-Gray proportional hazards models, adjusting for sociodemographic and cardiometabolic risk factors.

RESULTS

Among 1,412 participants (mean [SD] age 72.4 [9.3] years, 52.1% women, 35.3% Black), 1,143 hospitalizations occurred over 41,849 person-months. Overall, 81% of participants were hospitalized over a maximum of 26.6 years of follow-up (83% of participants with thrombotic/lacunar stroke, 77% of participants with cardioembolic stroke, and 78% of participants with hemorrhagic stroke). Primary cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diagnoses were reported for half of readmissions. Over the entire follow-up period, compared with cardioembolic stroke, readmission risk was lower for thrombotic/lacunar stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.95) and hemorrhagic stroke (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58-0.93) in adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. By contrast, there was no statistically significant difference among subtypes when adjusting for atrial fibrillation and competing risk of death. Compared with cardioembolic stroke, thrombotic/lacunar stroke was associated with lower readmission risk within 1 month (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.46-0.93) and during 1 month-1 year (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62-0.97), and hemorrhagic stroke was associated with lower risk during 1 month-1 year (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.41-0.87). There was no significant difference between subtypes in readmission risk during later periods.

DISCUSSION

Over 26 years of follow-up, 81% of stroke participants experienced a readmission. Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diagnoses at readmission were most common across stroke subtypes. Though cardioembolic stroke has previously been reported to confer higher risk of readmission, in this study, the readmission risk was not statistically significantly different between stroke subtypes or over different periods when accounting for the competing risk of death.

Trajectory of Cognitive Function After Incident Heart Failure

Background

The size/magnitude of cognitive changes after incident heart failure (HF) are unclear. We assessed whether incident HF is associated with changes in cognitive function after accounting for pre-HF cognitive trajectories and known determinants of cognition.

Methods

This pooled cohort study included adults without HF, stroke, or dementia from six US population-based cohort studies from 1971-2019: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Offspring Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Northern Manhattan Study. Linear mixed-effects models estimated changes in cognition at the time of HF (change in the intercept) and the rate of cognitive change over the years after HF (change in the slope), controlling for pre-HF cognitive trajectories and participant factors. Change in global cognition was the primary outcome. Change in executive function and memory were secondary outcomes. Cognitive outcomes were standardized to a t-score metric (mean [SD], 50 [10]); a 1-point difference represented a 0.1-SD difference in cognition.

Results

The study included 29,614 adults (mean [SD] age was 61.1 [10.5] years, 55% female, 70.3% White, 22.2% Black 7.5% Hispanic). During a median follow-up of 6.6 (Q1-Q3: 5-19.8) years, 1,407 (4.7%) adults developed incident HF. Incident HF was associated with an acute decrease in global cognition (-1.08 points; 95% CI -1.36, -0.80) and executive function (-0.65 points; 95% CI -0.96, -0.34) but not memory (-0.51 points; 95% CI -1.37, 0.35) at the time of the event. Greater acute decreases in global cognition after HF were seen in those with older age, female sex and White race. Individuals with incident HF, compared to HF-free individuals, demonstrated faster declines in global cognition (-0.15 points per year; 95% CI, -0.21, -0.09) and executive function (-0.16 points per year; 95% CI -0.23, -0.09) but not memory ( -0.11 points per year; 95% CI -0.26, 0.04) compared with pre-HF slopes.

Conclusions

In this pooled cohort study, incident HF was associated with an acute decrease in global cognition and executive function at the time of the event and faster declines in global cognition and executive function over the following years.

Cerebral Microbleed Patterns and Cortical Amyloid-β: The ARIC-PET Study

BACKGROUND

Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with cognitive decline, but their importance outside of cerebral amyloid angiopathy and the mechanisms of their impact on cognition are poorly understood. We evaluated the cross-sectional association between CMB patterns and cerebral Aβ (amyloid-β) deposition, by florbetapir positron emission tomography.

METHODS

The longitudinal ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) recruited individuals from 4 US communities from 1987 to 1989. From 2012 to 2014, the ARIC-PET (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities - Positron Emission Tomography) ancillary recruited 322 nondemented ARIC participants who completed 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging with T2*GRE as part of ARIC visit 5 to undergo florbetapir positron emission tomography imaging. Magnetic resonance imaging images were read for CMBs and superficial siderosis; on positron emission tomography, global cortical standardized uptake value ratio >1.2 was considered a positive Aβ scan. Multivariable logistic regression models evaluated CMB characteristics in association with Aβ positivity. Effect modification by sex, race, APOE status, and cognition was evaluated.

RESULTS

CMBs were present in 24% of ARIC-PET participants. No significant associations were found between CMBs and Aβ positivity, but a pattern of isolated lobar CMBs or superficial siderosis was associated with over 4-fold higher odds of elevated Aβ when compared with those with no CMBs (odds ratio, 4.72 [95% CI, 1.16-19.16]). A similar elevated risk was not observed in those with isolated subcortical or mixed subcortical and either lobar CMBs or superficial siderosis. Although no significant interactions were found, effect estimates for elevated Aβ were nonsignificantly lower (P>0.10, odds ratio, 0.4-0.6) for a mixed CMB pattern, and odds ratios were nonsignificantly higher for lobar-only CMBs for 4 subgroups: women (versus men); Black participants (versus White participants), APOE ε4 noncarriers (versus carriers), and cognitively normal (versus mild cognitive impairment).

CONCLUSIONS

In this community-based cohort of nondemented adults, lobar-only pattern of CMBs or superficial siderosis is most strongly associated with brain Aβ, with no elevated risk for a mixed CMB pattern. Further studies are needed to understand differences in CMB patterns and their meaning across subgroups.

Association Between Ischemic Stroke Subtype and Stroke Severity: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Disability after stroke occurs across ischemic stroke subtypes, with a suggestion that embolic strokes are more devastating. Whether this difference is as a result of differences in comorbidities or differences in severity at the time of the stroke event is not known. The primary hypothesis was that participants with embolic stroke would have more severe stroke at the time of admission and a higher risk of mortality, compared with thrombotic stroke participants even with consideration of confounders over time, with a secondary hypothesis that this association would differ by race and sex.

METHODS

Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants with incident adjudicated ischemic stroke, stroke severity and mortality data, and complete covariates were included. Multinomial logistic regression models determined the association between stroke subtype (embolic vs thrombotic) and admission NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) category (minor [≤5], mild [6-10], moderate [11-15], severe [16-20], and very severe [>20]) adjusted for covariates from visits most proximal to the stroke. Separate ordinal logistic models evaluated for interaction by race and sex. Adjusted Cox proportional hazard models estimated the association between stroke subtype and all-cause mortality (through December 31, 2019).

RESULTS

Participants (N = 940) were mean age 71 years (SD = 9) at incident stroke, 51% female, and 38% Black. Using adjusted multinomial logistic regression, the risk of having a more severe stroke (reference NIHSS ≤5) was higher among embolic stroke vs thrombotic stroke patients, with a step-wise increase for embolic stroke patients when moving from mild (odds ratio [OR] 1.95, 95% CI 1.14-3.35) to very severe strokes (OR 4.95, 95% CI 2.34-10.48). After adjusting for atrial fibrillation, there was still a higher risk of having a worse NIHSS among embolic vs thrombotic strokes but with attenuation of effect (very severe stroke OR 3.91, 95% CI 1.76-8.67). Sex modified the association between stroke subtype and severity (embolic vs thrombotic stroke, p interaction = 0.03, per severity category, females OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.55-3.66; males OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.09-2.82). The risk of death (median follow-up 5 years, interquartile range 1-12) was also increased for embolic vs thrombotic stroke patients (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% CI 1.41-1.97).

DISCUSSION

Embolic stroke was associated with greater stroke severity at the time of the event and a higher risk of death vs thrombotic stroke, even after careful adjustment for patient-level differences.

Improved cardiorespiratory fitness is associated with lower incident ischemic stroke risk: Henry Ford FIT project

BACKGROUND

Change in cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) modulates vascular disease risk; however, it's unclear if this adds further prognostic information, particularly for ischemic stroke. The objective of this analysis is to describe the association between the change in CRF over time and subsequent incident ischemic stroke.

METHODS

This is a retrospective, longitudinal, observational cohort study of 9,646 patients (age=55±11 years; 41% women; 25% black) who completed 2 clinically indicated exercise tests (> 12 months apart) and were free of any stroke at the time of test 2. CRF was expressed as metabolic-equivalents-of-task (METs). Incident ischemic stroke was identified using ICD codes. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) was determined for risk of ischemic stroke associated with change in CRF.

RESULTS

Mean time between tests was 3.7 years (IQR, 2.2, 6.0). During a median of 5.0 years (IQR, 2.7, 7.6 y) of follow-up, there were 873 (9.1%) ischemic stroke events. Each 1 MET increase between tests was associated with a 9% lower ischemic stroke risk (aHR 0.91 [0.88-0.94]; n = 9.646). There was an interaction effect by baseline CRF category, but not for sex or race. A sensitivity analysis which removed those who experienced an incident diagnosis known to be associated with an increased risk of ischemic vascular disease, validated our primary findings (aHR 0.91 [0.88, 0.95]; n= 6,943).

CONCLUSIONS

Improvement in CRF over time is independently and inversely associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke. Encouragement of regular exercise focused on improving CRF may reduce ischemic stroke risk.

Optimizing measurement of misdiagnosis-related harms using symptom-disease pair analysis of diagnostic error (SPADE): comparison groups to maximize SPADE validity

Diagnostic errors in medicine represent a significant public health problem but continue to be challenging to measure accurately, reliably, and efficiently. The recently developed Symptom-Disease Pair Analysis of Diagnostic Error (SPADE) approach measures misdiagnosis related harms using electronic health records or administrative claims data. The approach is clinically valid, methodologically sound, statistically robust, and operationally viable without the requirement for manual chart review. This paper clarifies aspects of the SPADE analysis to assure that researchers apply this method to yield valid results with a particular emphasis on defining appropriate comparator groups and analytical strategies for balancing differences between these groups. We discuss four distinct types of comparators (intra-group and inter-group for both look-back and look-forward analyses), detailing the rationale for choosing one over the other and inferences that can be drawn from these comparative analyses. Our aim is that these additional analytical practices will improve the validity of SPADE and related approaches to quantify diagnostic error in medicine.

Association Between Acute Myocardial Infarction and Cognition

Importance

The magnitude of cognitive change after incident myocardial infarction (MI) is unclear.

Objective

To assess whether incident MI is associated with changes in cognitive function after adjusting for pre-MI cognitive trajectories.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included adults without MI, dementia, or stroke and with complete covariates from the following US population-based cohort studies conducted from 1971 to 2019: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Offspring Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Northern Manhattan Study. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to January 2022.

Exposures

Incident MI.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was change in global cognition. Secondary outcomes were changes in memory and executive function. Outcomes were standardized as mean (SD) T scores of 50 (10); a 1-point difference represented a 0.1-SD difference in cognition. Linear mixed-effects models estimated changes in cognition at the time of MI (change in the intercept) and the rate of cognitive change over the years after MI (change in the slope), controlling for pre-MI cognitive trajectories and participant factors, with interaction terms for race and sex.

Results

The study included 30 465 adults (mean [SD] age, 64 [10] years; 56% female), of whom 1033 had 1 or more MI event, and 29 432 did not have an MI event. Median follow-up was 6.4 years (IQR, 4.9-19.7 years). Overall, incident MI was not associated with an acute decrease in global cognition (-0.18 points; 95% CI, -0.52 to 0.17 points), executive function (-0.17 points; 95% CI, -0.53 to 0.18 points), or memory (0.62 points; 95% CI, -0.07 to 1.31 points). However, individuals with incident MI vs those without MI demonstrated faster declines in global cognition (-0.15 points per year; 95% CI, -0.21 to -0.10 points per year), memory (-0.13 points per year; 95% CI, -0.22 to -0.04 points per year), and executive function (-0.14 points per year; 95% CI, -0.20 to -0.08 points per year) over the years after MI compared with pre-MI slopes. The interaction analysis suggested that race and sex modified the degree of change in the decline in global cognition after MI (race × post-MI slope interaction term, P = .02; sex × post-MI slope interaction term, P = .04), with a smaller change in the decline over the years after MI in Black individuals than in White individuals (difference in slope change, 0.22 points per year; 95% CI, 0.04-0.40 points per year) and in females than in males (difference in slope change, 0.12 points per year; 95% CI, 0.01-0.23 points per year).

Conclusions

This cohort study using pooled data from 6 cohort studies found that incident MI was not associated with a decrease in global cognition, memory, or executive function at the time of the event compared with no MI but was associated with faster declines in global cognition, memory, and executive function over time. These findings suggest that prevention of MI may be important for long-term brain health.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation With Stroke and Dementia Accounting for Left Atrial Function and Size

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risks of ischemic stroke (IS) and dementia. Whether alterations in left atrial (LA) function or size-atrial myopathy-confound these associations remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine the association of prevalent and incident AF with ischemic stroke and dementia in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study, adjusting for LA function and size.

METHODS

Participants at visit 5 (2011-2013) with echocardiographic LA function (reservoir, conduit, contractile strain, and emptying fraction) and size (maximal, minimal volume index) data, and without prevalent stroke or dementia were followed through 2019. For analysis, we used time-varying Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 5,458 participants (1,193 with AF, mean age of 76 years) in the stroke analysis and 5,461 participants (1,205 with AF, mean age of 75 years) in the dementia analysis, 209 participants developed ischemic stroke, and 773 developed dementia over 7.1 years (median). In a demographic and risk factor-adjusted model, AF was significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.63; 95% CI: 1.11-2.37) and dementia (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.13-1.70). After additionally adjusting for LA reservoir strain, these associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant (stroke [HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 0.88-2.00], dementia [HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.92-1.43]). Associations with ischemic stroke and dementia were also attenuated and not statistically significant after adjustment for LA contractile strain, emptying fraction, and minimal volume index.

CONCLUSIONS

AF-ischemic stroke and AF-dementia associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for measures of atrial myopathy. This proof-of-concept analysis does not support AF as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke and dementia.

The Future of Ischemic Stroke Diagnosis and a Review of Underrecognized Ischemic Stroke Etiologies

Accurate ischemic stroke etiologic determination and diagnosis form the foundation of excellent cerebrovascular care as from it stems initiation of the appropriate secondary prevention strategy as well as appropriate patient education regarding specific risk factors for that subtype. Recurrent stroke rates are highest among those patients who receive an incorrect initial stroke diagnosis. Patient distrust and patient reported depression are also higher. The cause of the ischemic stroke also informs predicted patient outcomes and the anticipated recovery trajectory. Finally, determining the accurate cause of the ischemic stroke provides the patient the opportunity to enroll in appropriate research studies studying mechanism, or targeting treatment approaches for that particular disease process. Advances in ischemic stroke research, imaging techniques, biomarkers, and the ability to rapidly perform genetic sequencing over the past decade have shown that classifying patients into large etiologic buckets may not always be appropriate and may represent one reason why some patients are labeled as cryptogenic, or for whom an underlying etiology is never found. Aside from the more traditional stroke mechanisms, there is new research emerging regarding clinical findings that are not normative, but the contributions to ischemic stroke are unclear. In this article, we first review the essential steps to accurate ischemic stroke etiologic classification and then transition to a discussion of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and other new entities that have been postulated as causal in ischemic stroke (i.e., genetics and subclinical atherosclerosis). We also discuss the limitations that are inherent in the current ischemic stroke diagnostic algorithms and finally review the most recent studies regarding more uncommon diagnoses and the future of stroke diagnostics and classification.

Abstract P468: Time Trends in Severity of Incident Ischemic Stroke in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study From 1987 to 2018

Background: Stroke severity at hospital admission is the most important clinical predictor of short- and long-term functional outcome and mortality after stroke. Decreases in stroke severity over the last two decades have been reported in some countries; however, data on stroke severity from large prospective cohort studies in the US are not available for recent years. We studied trends in stroke severity of incident ischemic stroke from 1987 to 2018 in the prospective Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

Methods: Severity of stroke on admission was determined through review of ARIC hospital charts for incident ischemic strokes using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). Events with inadequate information for NIHSS score determination were excluded (n=209). Severity was categorized as minor, NIHSS≤5; mild, 6-10; moderate, 11-15; and severe, ≥16. Mean NIHSS scores by year were presented by age group (Figure) and trends in NIHSS score from 1987 to 2018 were studied with linear regression model. Changes in the proportion of minor stroke compared to more severe stroke (NIHSS>5) were assessed using logistic regression. Multivariable models included age at stroke, sex, race-center, and baseline education level, hypertension, BMI, diabetes and smoking status as covariates.

Results: Among 15,661 participants (age 45-64) free of stroke at baseline (1987-89), 1,036 incident stroke cases with severity scores (NIHSS: 638 [61.6%] minor, 222 [21.4%] mild, 88 [8.5%] moderate and 88 [8.5%] severe) were included. Mean age (SD) at incident stroke was 69.5 (9.9) years, 55.2% women and 26.8% Black. For each 1-year calendar time, the adjusted estimate for the continuous NIHSS score was -0.026 (SE=0.040), p=0.5109, and the adjusted OR (95% CI) for NIHSS≤5 compared to NIHSS>5 was 0.99 (0.97, 1.01).

Conclusion: Among participants with incident ischemic stroke in the prospective ARIC study, no clear decrease in severity of stroke was observed from 1987 to 2018.

Abstract P469: Risk of Long-Term All-Cause Mortality After Incident Ischemic Stroke of Different Severity in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background: Stroke is associated with increased risk of mortality. However, studies on the association between stroke severity and mortality using prospective cohort data with details on cardiovascular risk factors at midlife have not been published in recent years in the US. We studied the association between stroke severity and subsequent all-cause mortality in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) study.

Hypothesis: Risk of all-cause mortality increases after incident ischemic strokes with greater risk at higher stroke severity.

Methods: Severity of incident ischemic strokes in ARIC from 1987 to 2018 was assessed through review of hospital records using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and categorized as minor, (NIHSS ≤5), mild (6-10), moderate (11-15), and severe (≥16). Deaths were ascertained through linkage with the National Death Index. We used Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for demographic variables and baseline risk factors to determine the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality associated with each category of stroke severity, in participants after incident ischemic stroke compared to those who remained stroke-free throughout the study period.

Results: Among 15661 participants free of stroke at baseline (1987-1989), 1036 developed incident ischemic stroke. There were 757 deaths among participants with incident ischemic stroke during the follow-up after stroke (median=16.1 years). Mean baseline age was 54.16 years, 55.2% women and 26.8% black participants. Cox proportional HRs of mortality after incident ischemic stroke controlling for demographics (Model 1) and further adjusted for risk factors at midlife (age 45-64) are displayed in Table 1.

Conclusion: Compared to participants free from ischemic stroke, after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors at midlife, risk of all-cause mortality was 2 to 12-folds higher in ARIC participants after incident ischemic stroke, with a greater risk of mortality observed in those with higher stroke severity.

Abstract TMP36: Determining The Association Between Characteristics Of Congestive Heart Failure And Cognition

Introduction: It is not well known if specific measures of congestive heart failure (CHF) severity are associated with cognitive performance. We therefore aim to determine if there is an association between CHF characteristics and cognitive test scores, controlling for risk factors.

Methods: 230 CHF outpatients presenting to an outpatient CHF clinic with no dementia, preceding transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within 1 year, and ability to provide consent were included. A trained psychometrist administered the Mini Mental State Exam (MMSE), Rey Complex Figure (RCF) Copy and Immediate Recall test, and Letter Number Sequencing (LNS) test. The New York Heart Association (NYHA) heart failure classification and heart failure type (HFpEF vs HFrEF) were collected at time of consent and verified with medical records. Two measures of diastolic function (deceleration time (DT), E/A ratio) were collected from TTEs. Multivariable linear regression models were used to estimate the association between each cardiac function measure and cognitive test (Z scores), adjusted for confounders, in distinct models.

Results: Patients were mean age 67 years (SD 13.6), 34% Black, and 49% female. Median time from TTE to cognitive test was 97 days (IQR 31.5 - 198). NYHA class 3-4 patients had on average a worse LNS score when compared to NYHA class 1-2 patients, which remained significant after adjusting for covariates (β: -0.52; 95%CI: -0.87, -0.17). A worse NYHA class was associated with a worse RCF copy score, but only in univariate analysis (Table 1) and not with RCF immediate recall. HFpEF was associated with a worse immediate recall but not after adjustment. Diastolic dysfunction measures had no association with any cognitive test, nor any CHF measure with MMSE.

Conclusion: In a cohort of CHF patients, we found an association between a worse stage of heart failure and worse performance on some, but not all cognitive tests. These data suggest that brain health is a critical outcome in CHF care.

Left Atrial Mechanical Dysfunction and the Risk for Ischemic Stroke in People Without Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation or Stroke : A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial myopathy-characterized by changes in left atrial function and size-may precede and promote atrial fibrillation (AF) and cardiac thromboembolism. In people without prior AF or stroke, whether analysis of left atrial function and size can improve ischemic stroke prediction is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of echocardiographic left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) and left atrial size (left atrial volume index) with ischemic stroke and determine whether these measures can improve the stroke prediction achieved by CHA2DS2-VASc score variables.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study.

PARTICIPANTS

4917 ARIC participants without prevalent stroke or AF.

MEASUREMENTS

Ischemic stroke events (2011 to 2019) were adjudicated by physicians. Left atrial strain was measured using speckle-tracking echocardiography.

RESULTS

Over 5 years, the cumulative incidences of ischemic stroke in the lowest quintiles of left atrial reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain were 2.99% (95% CI, 1.89% to 4.09%), 3.18% (CI, 2.14% to 4.22%), and 2.15% (CI, 1.09% to 3.21%), respectively, and that of severe left atrial enlargement was 1.99% (CI, 0.23% to 3.75%). On the basis of the Akaike information criterion, left atrial reservoir strain plus CHA2DS2-VASc variables was the best predictive model. With the addition of left atrial reservoir strain to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, 11.6% of the 112 participants with stroke after 5 years were reclassified to higher risk categories and 1.8% to lower risk categories. Among the 4805 participants who did not develop stroke, 12.2% were reclassified to lower and 12.7% to higher risk categories. Decision curve analysis showed a predicted net benefit of 1.34 per 1000 people at a 5-year risk threshold of 5%.

LIMITATION

Underascertainment of subclinical AF.

CONCLUSION

In people without prior AF or stroke, when added to CHA2DS2-VASc variables, left atrial reservoir strain improves stroke prediction and yields a predicted net benefit, as shown by decision curve analysis.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

Normal left atrial diameter is associated with better performance on a cognitive screener among a cohort of ischemic stroke patients

Background

Cardiac structure is an important determinant of ischemic stroke (IS) etiology; however, whether an association between cardiac structural markers and cognition post-IS exists is not yet established. The aim of this study is to examine the association between LAD and LVEF with cognitive performance among IS patients.

Methods

IS patients admitted to the Johns Hopkins Hospital (2017-2019) underwent transthoracic echocardiography. IS was classified (TOAST) by a masked reviewer. Left atrial diameter (LAD) was evaluated as a non-linear continuous variable with one spline knot at 4 cm; left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) was dichotomized, then further evaluated as a non-linear continuous variable with spline knots at 50% and 70%. Patients were contacted by telephone on average 422 days post-stroke and administered the Six-Item Screener (SIS) to assess for dementia. SIS scores were dichotomized into low and high, imputing low scores for non-answerers. Multivariable logistic regression determined the association of SIS category with LAD or LVEF. A sensitivity analysis re-evaluated the association between SIS category and LAD, excluding participants with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Results

Participants (N = 108) were on average 61 years old (range = 18-89 years), 55% male, and 63% Black. Among patients considered to have a normal LAD (≤ 4 cm), a 1 mm larger LAD was associated with 1.20 greater odds (95%CI = 1.05-1.38) of scoring in the high SIS category in the final adjustment model. This association remained significant when excluding participants with prevalent AF. There was no association between a 1 mm larger LAD and SIS category among patients with a LAD >4 cm in both the primary analysis and the sensitivity analysis. There was no association between LVEF and SIS category.

Conclusions

In this prospective study, among ischemic stroke patients with a LAD within the normal range, a 1 mm increase in LAD was associated with higher scores on a telephone cognitive battery, without an association found among those with a LAD >4 cm.

Atrial cardiopathy is associated with cerebral microbleeds in ischemic stroke patients

Objective

Cerebral microbleeds (CMB) are small accumulations of hemosiderin associated with cerebrovascular risk factors, but whether they are associated with atrial cardiopathy is not known. The goal of this study is to determine, among ischemic stroke patients, the association between study-defined atrial cardiopathy and CMB presence, location, and number.

Methods

Ischemic stroke patients admitted to Johns Hopkins (2015–2019) with transthoracic echocardiography and electrocardiography were included. Cerebral microbleeds were defined as small, round hypo-intensities on T2* susceptibility weighted imaging or gradient recalled echo magnetic resonance imaging sequences. Atrial cardiopathy was defined as the presence of ≥1: left atrium diameter >4.0 cm (males) or >3.8 cm (females), PR interval >200 ms, or N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide >250 pg/ml. Binary/Ordinal logistic regression models were used to determine the association between atrial cardiopathy, and cerebral microbleed presence, location (lobar/deep), or number, each, adjusted for potential confounders.

Results

Patients (N = 120) were mean age 60 years (range 22–98), 46% female, 62% black, and 39% were on anti-thrombotic medication at time of admission. 39 (32%) participants had ≥1 cerebral microbleeds. Forty-six (38%) patients had atrial cardiopathy. Atrial cardiopathy was associated with higher odds of having cerebral microbleeds (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.02–6.15). Atrial cardiopathy was associated with lobar cerebral microbleeds (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.01–5.37) in univariate analysis but not with deep cerebral microbleeds (OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.13–1.54), with neither association significant after adjustment. There was no difference in risk of having 1 vs. no cerebral microbleeds (RRR 2.51, 95% CI 0.75–8.37) and >1 cerebral microbleed vs none (RRR 2.57, 95% CI 0.87–7.60) among those with atrial cardiopathy.

Conclusions

Atrial cardiopathy is associated with the presence, but not burden, of cerebral microbleeds in ischemic stroke patients. We cautiously suggest that atrial cardiopathy, either directly or through shared vascular risk, may contribute to the presence of CMB.

Risk of Dementia Associated With Atrial Cardiopathy: The ARIC Study

Background The contribution of atrial cardiopathy to dementia risk is uncharacterized. We aimed to evaluate the association of atrial cardiopathy with incident dementia and potential mediation by atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke. Methods and Results We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study attending visit 5 (2011-2013). We used Cox regression to determine the association between atrial cardiopathy and risk of dementia. Structural equation modeling methods were used to determine potential mediation by AF and/or stroke. Atrial cardiopathy was defined if ≥1 of the following at visit 5: P-wave terminal force >5000 mV·ms in ECG lead V1, NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) >250 pg/mL or left atrial volume index ≥34 mL/m² by transthoracic echocardiography. We repeated our analysis necessitating ≥2 markers to define atrial cardiopathy. The prevalence of atrial cardiopathy was 34% in the 5078 participants (mean age 75 years, 59% female, 21% Black adults), with 763 participants developing dementia. Atrial cardiopathy was significantly associated with dementia (adjusted HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.16-1.58]), with strengthening of the effect estimate when necessitating ≥2 biomarkers (adjusted HR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.25-1.89]). There was an increased risk of dementia among those with atrial cardiopathy when excluding those with AF (adjusted HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.12-1.55]) or stroke (adjusted HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.09-1.52]). The proportion of the effect mediated by AF was 4% (P=0.005), and 9% was mediated by stroke (P=0.048). Conclusions Atrial cardiopathy was significantly associated with an increased risk of dementia, with only a small percent mediation of the effect by AF or stroke.

Apolipoprotein E Polymorphism, Cardiac Remodeling, and Heart Failure in the ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

β-Amyloid has recently been discovered in the myocardium of patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD). Whether genetic variation in apolipoprotein E (APOE) ɛ4, a common variant associated with Alzheimer's disease, is associated with incident heart failure (HF), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and cardiac structure and function is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied 15,064 White and Black participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, relating genotype status at visit 1 (1987-1989) to incident HF hospitalization using Cox regression. At visits 2, 4, and 5, we assessed NT-proBNP levels by genotype. At visits 3 and 5, we related Aβ peptides to incident HF. At visit 5 (2011-2013, n = 6251), we assessed the relationship of genotype with prevalent HF and echocardiographic parameters. The mean participant age was 54.7 ± 5.8 years, 45% were men, and 73% were White. At visit 5, there was no difference in prevalent HF by genotype. The APOE ε4 carriers did not have increased risk for HF hospitalization. The APOE ε4 genotype was not associated with cardiac structure and function or NT-proBNP levels. The Aβ peptides were not associated with incident HF after multivariable adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

A genetic predisposition to Alzheimer's disease through APOE ε4 is not associated with an increased prevalence of HF, HF hospitalization, myocardial remodeling, or biochemical evidence of HF.

Association of Vascular Properties With the Brain White Matter Hyperintensity in Middle-Aged Population

Background The periventricular white matter is more sensitive to the systemic hemodynamic alterations than the deep white matter because of differences in its vascular structure and systemic circulation relationship. We hypothesize that periventricular white matter hyperintensity (PVWMH) volume shows greater association than deep white matter hyperintensity (DWMH) volume with vascular properties (VPs) reflecting arterial stiffness and cardiovascular remodeling, indicators of the systemic circulation. Methods and Results A total of 426 participants (age, 59.0±6.1 years; 57.5% women; and 39.7% Black race) in the Genetic Study of Atherosclerosis Risk who were aged ≥50 years and had brain magnetic resonance imaging were studied. VPs included pulse pressure, hypertensive response to exercise, diastolic brachial artery diameter, diastolic common carotid artery diameter, common carotid artery distensibility coefficient, and left ventricular function. The relative associations of VPs with PVWMH and DWMH as multiple measures within the same individual were determined using multilevel linear models. We also determined if age modified the differences in VPs associations with PVWMH and DWMH. Our findings indicated that, within the same subject, PVWMH volume had greater association than DWMH volume with pulse pressure (P=0.002), hypertensive response to exercise (P=0.04), diastolic brachial artery diameter (P=0.012), and diastolic common carotid artery diameter (P=0.04), independent of age and cardiovascular risk factors. The differences of PVWMH versus DWMH associations with VPs did not differ at any age threshold. Conclusions We show, for the first time, that PVWMH has greater association than DWMH, independent of age, with vascular measurements of arterial stiffness and cardiovascular remodeling suggesting that changes in the systemic circulation affect the PVWMH and DWMH differently.

Left Atrial Remodeling and Stroke in Patients With Sinus Rhythm and Normal Ejection Fraction: ARIC-NCS

Background Age-related left atrial (LA) structural and functional abnormalities may be related to subclinical cerebral infarcts (SCIs) and stroke. We evaluated the association of 3-dimensional echocardiographic LA contractility parameters with SCIs and stroke across the spectrum of tertiles of age increment in elderly patients with sinus rhythm, normal ejection fraction, and no history of atrial fibrillation. Methods and Results We enrolled 407 participants (mean age, 76±8 years; 40% men) from ARIC-NCS (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study) undergoing a brain magnetic resonance imaging and 3-dimensional echocardiographic examinations in 2011 to 2013. The sample was analyzed among age tertiles and subgroups: no cerebral magnetic resonance imaging-detectable infarcts (n=315), magnetic resonance imaging-diagnosed SCIs (n=58), and clinically diagnosed stroke (n=34). The frequency of SCIs significantly increased over age tertiles (P trend 0.023). LA global longitudinal strain-a 3-dimensional echocardiographic index of LA reservoir function-and E/e' divided by LA global longitudinal strain-an index of LA stiffness-worsened across age tertiles (P trend 0.014 and 0.001, respectively), and only in the categories of SCIs (P trend <0.001 and 0.045, respectively) and stroke (P trend 0.001 and 0.011, respectively). LA global longitudinal strain was negatively associated with increased odds of SCIs (P=0.036, P=0.008, and P=0.001, respectively) and strokes (P=0.043, P=0.015, and P=0.001, respectively) over age tertiles, with a significant interaction between age tertiles (interaction P=0.043 and P=0.010, respectively). E/e' divided by LA global longitudinal strain was positively associated with the presence of SCIs (P=0.037, P=0.007, and P=0.001, respectively) and strokes (P=0.045, P=0.007, and P=0.003, respectively) over age tertiles, with a significant interaction only for SCIs (interaction P=0.040) and not for clinical stroke. Conclusions In a large cohort study of elderly patients, among participants with sinus rhythm, normal ejection fraction, and no history of atrial fibrillation, measures of worse age-related LA reservoir function and stiffness are associated with higher odds of SCIs and stroke.

Associations of Peripheral Neuropathy Defined by Monofilament Insensitivity with Mild Cognitive Impairment and Dementia in Older Adults

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to assess the association of peripheral neuropathy (PN) as defined by monofilament insensitivity with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia in older adults with and without diabetes.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 3,362 Black and White participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS) who underwent monofilament testing at visit 6 (2016-2017, age 71-94 years). Participants' cognitive status was classified by an adjudication committee as cognitively normal, MCI, or dementia after completing a comprehensive battery of neurocognitive assessments. We used logistic regression to evaluate the association of PN with MCI or dementia overall and stratified by diabetes status after adjusting for traditional dementia risk factors. We also compared age-adjusted brain MRI measures among a subset (N = 1,095) of participants with versus without PN.

RESULTS

Overall, the prevalence of MCI (21.9% vs. 16.7%) and dementia (7.8% vs. 3.9%) were higher among participants with versus without PN (both p < 0.05). After adjustment, PN was positively associated with MCI or dementia in the overall study population (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.23, 1.73). Results were similar by diabetes status (diabetes: OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.03-1.87; no diabetes: OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.20-1.83; p-for-interaction = 0.46). Age-adjusted total and lobar brain volumes were significantly lower in participants with versus without PN (both, p < 0.05).

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS

PN as defined by monofilament insensitivity was associated with cognitive status independent of vascular risk factors and regardless of diabetes status. Our findings support a connection between PN and cognitive impairment, even in the absence of diabetes.

Association of Echocardiographic Measures of Left Atrial Function and Size With Incident Dementia

IMPORTANCE

Atrial myopathy-characterized by alterations in left atrial (LA) function and size-is associated with ischemic stroke, independent of atrial fibrillation (AF). Electrocardiographic markers of atrial myopathy are associated with dementia, but it is unclear whether 2-dimensional echocardiographic (2DE)-defined LA function and size are associated with dementia.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of LA function and size with incident dementia.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study is a community-based prospective cohort. An exploratory, retrospective analysis was conducted. ARIC centers are located in Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; Washington County, Maryland; and suburban Minneapolis, Minnesota. For this analysis, visit 5 (2011-2013) served as the baseline. Participants without prevalent AF and stroke and who had 2DEs in 2011-2013 were included and surveilled through December 31, 2019.

EXPOSURES

LA function (reservoir strain, conduit strain, contractile strain, emptying fraction, passive emptying fraction, and active emptying fraction), and LA size (maximal and minimal volume index) as evaluated by 2DE.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Dementia cases were identified using in-person and phone cognitive assessments, hospitalization codes, and death certificates. Cox proportional hazards models were used.

RESULTS

Among 4096 participants (mean [SD] age, 75 [5] years; 60% women; 22% Black individuals), 531 dementia cases were ascertained over a median follow-up of 6 years. Dementia incidence for the lowest LA quintile was 4.80 for reservoir strain, 3.94 for conduit strain, 3.29 for contractile strain, 4.20 for emptying fraction, 3.67 for passive emptying fraction, and 3.27 for active emptying fraction per 100 person-years. After full-model adjustments, there were statistically significant associations between measures of LA function and dementia; the hazard ratios (HRs) from the lowest vs highest quintile for reservoir strain were 1.98 (95% CI, 1.42-2.75); for conduit strain, 1.50 (95% CI, 1.09-2.06); for contractile strain, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.16-2.14); for emptying fraction, 1.87 (95% CI, 1.31-2.65); and for active emptying fraction, 1.43 (95% CI, 1.04-1.96). LA passive emptying fraction was not significantly associated with dementia (HR, 1.26 [95% CI, 0.93-1.71]). Dementia incidence for the highest LA maximal volume index quintile was 3.18 per 100 person-years (HR for highest vs lowest quintile, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.58-1.02]) and for the highest minimal volume index quintile was 3.50 per 100 person-years (HR for the highest vs lowest quintile, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.71-1.28]). Both measures were not significantly associated with dementia. These findings were robust to sensitivity analyses that excluded participants with incident AF or stroke.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this exploratory analysis of a US community-based cohort, several echocardiographic measures of lower LA function were significantly associated with an increased risk of subsequent dementia. Measures of LA size were not significantly associated with dementia risk. These findings suggest that impaired LA function may be a risk factor associated with dementia.

Abstract WP23: Determining The Association Between Atrial Cardiopathy And Cerebral Microbleeds In Ischemic Stroke Patients

Introduction: Cerebral microbleeds (CMB) are frequently found in individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF) or ischemic stroke (IS), but whether atrial cardiopathy among IS patients is associated with CMB is unknown. We hypothesize that atrial cardiopathy is associated with increased risk of CMB.

Methods: Inclusion criteria were IS patients admitted to Johns Hopkins (2015-2019) with transthoracic echocardiography, and electrocardiography. CMB were defined per established criteria as small, round hypo-intensities on T2* susceptibility weighted imaging or gradient recalled echo MRI sequences. Atrial cardiopathy was defined as the presence of ≥1: left atrium (LA) diameter >4.0 cm (males) or >3.8 cm (females), PR interval >200 ms, or NT-pro BNP >250 pg/mL. Multivariable or multinomial logistic regression was used to determine the association between atrial cardiopathy, and CMB presence or number, each, adjusted for potential confounders.

Results: Patients (N=150) were mean age 61 years (range 22-98), 42% female, 59% black, and 42% were on anti-thrombotic medications. 54 (36%) participants had ≥1 CMB (range 0-10, IQR 0-7). 65 (43%) patients had atrial cardiopathy (46 with enlarged LA diameter, 15 with elongated PR interval, 16 with elevated NT-pro BNP). Age (67 years vs. 57 years, p<0.001) and AF (N=18 vs. N=12, p=0.032) differed based on atrial cardiopathy status. Atrial cardiopathy was associated with higher odds of any CMB (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.22-4.79) but not after adjustment (Table 1). Atrial cardiopathy was associated with lobar CMB (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.01-5.37, Model 3) but not with deep (OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.13-1.54, Model 3). There was a non-statistically significant higher relative risk of having 1 or >1 CMBs (vs. none) among those with atrial cardiopathy.

Conclusion: In this study, we found a significant association between atrial cardiopathy and lobar CMB in IS patients, suggesting that atrial cardiopathy may increase subclinical embolic risk.

Abstract WP14: Association Of Vascular Properties With The Periventricular And Deep White Matter Hyperintensity In Middle-age Population

Introduction: The periventricular white matter is more sensitive to alterations in the hemodynamics of the systemic circulation than the deep white matter due to differences in its vascular supply and relationship to systemic circulation. We hypothesize that periventricular white matter hyperintensity volume (PVWMH) shows greater association than deep white matter hyperintensity (DWMH) volume with vascular property measures of arterial stiffness (AS) and cardiovascular remodeling, important indicators of the systemic circulation.

Methods: Participants in the Genetic Study of Atherosclerosis Risk ≥ 50 years of age with brain MRI were selected. Vascular property measures included pulse pressure (PP), hypertension response to exercise (HRE), diastolic brachial artery (BA) diameter, diastolic common carotid artery (CCA) diameter, CCA distensibility coefficient, and left ventricular function. PVWMH and DWMH were measured using semi-automated segmentation approach. The relative associations of these parameters with PVWMH and DWMH volumes as multiple measures within the same individual further nested within families were determined using multilevel linear models. We also determined if differences between PVWMH and DWMH associations were modified by age.

Results: 426 participants (age 59.0±6.1 years, 57.5% females, and 39.7% African American) were included. Within the same subject, PVWMH volume showed greater association than DWMH volume with PP (P=0.002), HRE (p=0.04), diastolic BA diameter (p=0.012), and diastolic CCA diameter (p=0.04) independent of age and cardiovascular risk factors. This difference in PVWMH versus DWMH association with vascular properties did not differ at any age threshold.

Conclusions: We show for the first time that PVWMH volume has greater association than DWMH volume, independent of age, with vascular property measurements of AS and cardiovascular remodeling. Our findings suggest that changes in the systemic circulation may affect PVWMH and DWMH differently adding to a growing body of literature that PVWMH and DWMH may represent different phenotypes of cerebral small vessel disease.

Abstract WP228: Normal Left Atrial Diameter Is Associated With Better Performance On A Telephone Cognition Screening Tool Among Ischemic Stroke Survivors

Background: Cardiac structure and function are important in determining ischemic stroke (IS) etiology, but whether there is an association with cognition post IS is unknown.

Methods: IS patients admitted to Johns Hopkins Hospital (2017-2019) underwent transthoracic echocardiography. IS was classified (TOAST) by a masked reviewer. Parasternal short axis left atrial (LA) diameter was evaluated as a continuous variable with a spline at 4cm (normal ≤4cm versus enlarged >4cm); left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) was evaluated as a nonlinear continuous variable with two spline knots at 40% and 65%. Cognition was assessed by telephone using the Six Item Screener (SIS), which tests orientation (day, month, year) and recall (grass, paper, shoe) and was dichotomized into low (0-3, worse score) and high (4-6, better score), and conservatively imputing low category scores for non-answerers. Multivariable logistic regression determined the association of SIS category with LA or LVEF, each, adjusted for covariates.

Results: Participants (N=119) were on average 60 (18-89) years, 60% male, and 59% Black. Mean LA diameter was 3.9cm ( SD =0.8) and mean LVEF 61.4% ( SD =10.5). For LA diameter ≤4cm, each 1cm increase was associated with 5.93 greater odds (95% CI=1.49-23.65) of scoring in the high SIS category, while for LA diameter >4cm each 1cm increase was associated with lower odds (OR=0.88, 95% CI=0.39-1.99) of scoring in the high SIS category (Figure 1). Decreased (OR=0.91, 95% CI=0.74-1.11), normal (OR=0.98, 95% CI=0.91-1.06) or hyperdynamic LVEF (OR=1.02, 95% CI=0.90-1.14) showed no relationship with SIS category.

Conclusions: In this study, a 1cm change in LA diameter was significantly associated with a higher score on a telephone cognition screening test, if patients had a LA diameter within normal range, but without the same association with SIS if the LA diameter was >4cm. We cautiously suggest that LA function may be associated with cognition post-stroke.

Abstract 68: Acute Myocardial Infarction Is Associated With Acute And Progressive Decline In Global Cognition: A Pooled Cohort Analysis Of The Aric, Mesa, Cardia, Chs, Fos And Nomas Studies

Introduction: Apart from stroke, cognitive change after incident myocardial infarction (MI) is unclear. We aim to determine associations between incident MI and acute and long-term changes in cognitive function, controlling for risk factors and pre-MI cognitive trajectories, censoring for stroke.

Methods: We performed a pooled analysis of 31,377 participants, ≥18 years, free of MI and dementia, from 6 longitudinal cohort studies (1971-2017): Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Framingham Offspring Study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and Northern Manhattan Study. Outcomes were changes in global cognition (primary), memory, and executive function. Linear mixed-effects models were used to estimate the association between incident MI and acute cognitive decline at the time of MI (Model A), and decline in cognition over the years after MI (Model B).

Results: Median study follow up was 6.4 years (IQR 4.9-19.7 years) and 1,047 participants had incident MI. Incident MI was associated with significant acute decline in global cognition and executive function, but not memory, after the MI event (Models A, Table 1). After including change in cognitive function (slope) after incident MI in the model, the effect estimates indicating acute declines in global cognition and executive function were not significant (Models B, Table 1). However, participants with incident MI demonstrated significantly faster declines in global cognition (-0.15 points/year faster [95% CI, -0.21 to -0.10]), memory (-0.13 points/year faster [95% CI, -0.23 to -0.04]), and executive function (-0.14 points/year faster [95% CI, -0.20 to -0.08]) compared to those without MI (Models B, Table 1).

Conclusions: Incident MI is associated with faster declines in global cognition, memory, and executive function over years following the MI event.

Associations Between Atrial Arrhythmias and Brain Amyloid Deposition: The ARIC-PET Study

The aim of this study is to determine if there is an association between atrial arrhythmias and brain amyloid-β (Aβ), measured on florbetapir (FBP) PET. 346 nondemented participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study underwent FBP-PET, 185 also wore Zio® XT Patch. The associations between global cortical Aβ (> 1.2 standardized uptake value ratio) and history of atrial fibrillation, zio-defined atrial tachycardia and premature atrial contractions, each, were evaluated. Among nondemented community-dwelling older adults, we did not find an association between atrial arrhythmias and Aβ. Other brain pathology may underlie the association described between atrial arrhythmias and cognition.

Bleeding risk in patients with cardiac disease from ischaemic stroke reperfusion therapy: an update

Background

Intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA) and arterial endovascular therapy (ET) rapidly restore cerebral perfusion in eligible patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke (AIS). It is unknown whether patients who had an AIS with premorbid cardiac disease respond differently to reperfusion therapies than those without. These patients may have risk factors that worsen outcomes or may represent those who would most benefit from reperfusion therapy.

Objective

To determine whether patients who had an AIS with the most frequently encountered pre-existing cardiac conditions, atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), left ventricular assist devices (LVADs), or taking anticoagulation for cardiac indications, are at increased risk for poor outcome, such as symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (sICH), after reperfusion therapy.

Results

Although AF is an independent risk factor for poor poststroke outcomes, intravenous rtPA is not associated with increased risk of sICH for those not on anticoagulants. Likewise, HF is independently associated with mortality post stroke, yet these patients benefit from reperfusion therapies without increased rates of sICH. Patients with LVADs or who are on anticoagulation should not be given IV rtPA; however, ET remains a viable option in those who meet criteria, even patients with LVAD.

Conclusion

There is no evidence of an increased risk for sICH after intravenous rtPA or ET for those with AF or HF. Intravenous rtPA should not be given to patients on anticoagulation or with LVADs, but ET should be offered to them when eligible. Whenever possible, future AIS reperfusion research should include patients with premorbid cardiac disease as they are frequently excluded, representing a gap in evidence.

Cerebral Small-Vessel Disease in Individuals with a Family History of Coronary Heart Disease: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

INTRODUCTION

The degree to which a family history of coronary heart disease (FHCHD) is associated with silent cerebral small-vessel disease (cSVD) among healthy adults, independent of prevalent CHD and traditional risk factors, is unknown.

METHODS

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study is a community-based cohort study with self-reported family history data and brain magnetic resonance imaging (ages 68-88). The association between markers of cSVD (lacunar infarcts and cerebral microbleeds), or log-transformed white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume, and FHCHD, or the number of affected relatives was examined using separate adjusted logistic or linear regression models, respectively. Race interaction terms were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 1,639 participants without prevalent CHD (76 ± 5 years, 62% female, 29% black), 686 (42%) had FHCHD. There were higher odds of lacunar infarct (OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.07-1.84) among those with parental FHCHD and higher odds of microhemorrhages (lobar OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.13-3.06; subcortical OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01-2.15) among those with sibling FHCHD. A greater number of any relative affected was associated with higher odds of lacunar infarct (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.47) and lobar microhemorrhages (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.05-1.64) but not subcortical microhemorrhages (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.92-1.28). Odds of having a lacunar infarct were higher among blacks (p-interaction 0.04) with paternal FHCHD (OR 2.20, CI 1.35-3.58) than whites with paternal FHCHD (OR 1.17, CI 0.87-1.56). There was no association with WMH.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

Markers of cSVD, specifically lacunar infarcts and microhemorrhages, appear to be associated with FHCHD, potentially representing shared mechanisms in different vascular beds, and perhaps a genetic propensity for vascular disease.

Thoracic Aortic Calcium for the Prediction of Stroke Mortality (from the Coronary Artery Calcium Consortium)

Thoracic aortic calcium(TAC) is an important marker of extracoronary atherosclerosis with established predictive value for all-cause mortality. We sought to explore the predictive value of TAC for stroke mortality, independent of the more established coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. The CAC Consortium is a retrospectively assembled database of 66,636 patients aged ≥18 years with no previous history of cardiovascular disease, baseline CAC scans for risk stratification, and follow-up for 12 ± 4 years. CAC scans capture the adjacent thoracic aorta, enabling assessment of TAC from the same images. TAC was available in 41,066 (62%), and was primarily analyzed as present or not present. To account for competing risks for nonstroke death, we utilized multivariable-adjusted Fine and Gray competing risk regression models adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and CAC score. The mean age of participants was 53.8 ± 10.3 years, with 34.4% female. There were 110 stroke deaths during follow-up. The unadjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) for stroke mortality in those who had TAC present compared with those who did not was 8.80 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.97, 12.98). After adjusting for traditional risk factors and CAC score, the SHR was 2.21 (95% CI:1.39,3.49). In sex-stratified analyses, the fully adjusted SHR for females was 3.42 (95% CI: 1.74, 6.73) while for males it was 1.55 (95% CI: 0.83, 2.90). TAC was associated with stroke mortality independent of CAC and traditional risk factors, more so in women. The presence of TAC appears to be an independent risk marker for stroke mortality.

Abstract MP26: Silent Small-vessel Cerebrovascular Disease In Individuals With A Family History Of Coronary Heart Disease: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study

Background: It is established that a family history of coronary heart disease (FHCHD) is associated with coronary atherosclerosis in healthy first-degree relatives, but the extent to which FHCHD is associated with silent cerebrovascular disease (cSVD) is unknown. We hypothesized a higher prevalence of cSVD in healthy persons with FHCHD, independent of traditional risk factors, compared to those without FHCHD.

Methods: ARIC is a community-based cohort study with self-reported family history data and brain magnetic resonance imaging (visit 5; 2011-13). The association between binary markers of cSVD (lacunar infarcts and/or cerebral microbleeds), or log-transformed white matter hyperintensity volume (WMH), and FHCHD (parent and/or sibling), or number of relatives was examined using separate adjusted multivariable logistic or linear regression models respectively. Sensitivity analysis (N=183) excluded prevalent CHD. Race interaction terms were included.

Results: Of 1828 participants (76±5yo, 60% female, 28% black), 787 had FHCHD (699 parental, 209 sibling FHCHD). There were increased adjusted odds of lacunar infarct among those with parental FHCHD (Table). An increased odds of cerebral microbleeds were seen among those with sibling history but not parental. Effect estimates were similar when excluding those with prevalent CHD (Table). Greater number of siblings affected was associated with higher odds of lacunar infarct (OR 1.35, CI 1.04-1.74), lobar (OR 1.53, CI 1.12-2.09) and subcortical microbleeds (OR 1.30, CI 1.01-1.66). Odds of a lacunar infarct being present were higher among blacks (p-interaction 0.04) with paternal FHCHD (OR 2.20, CI 1.35-3.58) compared to whites (OR 1.17, CI 0.87-1.56). Neither FHCHD nor number of affected relatives was associated with WMH.

Conclusions: Our results suggest that some cSVD manifestations are associated with FHCHD, potentially representing shared mechanisms in different vascular beds, and perhaps a genetic propensity for vascular disease.

Association of Coronary Artery Atherosclerosis With Brain White Matter Hyperintensity

[Figure: see text].

Cardiac Structure and Function Is Associated With Hemispatial Neglect Severity

Background: Hemispatial neglect is a debilitating consequence of right hemispheric ischemic stroke (RIS), with evidence that patient-level factors influence neglect severity. Study objective: Determine if cardiac function is associated with presence and severity of neglect, independent of infarct size.

Methods: Two hundred and eighteen non-demented, RIS with cerebral MRI and echocardiography who completed ≥1 of 4 tests evaluating neglect were included. Age- and sex- adjusted Z-scores defined neglect with severity categorized as no neglect, neglect on one or neglect on ≥2 tests. The dependent variable was presence of neglect (multivariable logistic regression), or neglect severity (multinomial logistic regression). The association with left ventricular (LV) structure/function (independent variable) was evaluated using separate nested adjustment models.

Results: Patients were on average 61 yo (21–95), female (50%), black (53%), with an ejection fraction of 60% (IQR 20–75%). Fifty eight (27%) had neglect. Each 1 cm increase in LV systolic diameter was associated with a higher relative risk of having neglect on two tests compared to those with no neglect (RRR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.01–3.32), but not after adjusting for education and DWI volume (RRR = 1.68, 95% CI 0.89–3.19). Per 1 cm increase in left atrial (LA) diameter, the relative risk of having neglect on 2 tests vs. no neglect was over two times higher (95% CI 1.04–4.77), but lost significance in the final model (RRR = 1.73, 95% CI 0.76–3.94).

Conclusions: We found an association between markers of diastolic dysfunction (enlarging LV, compensatory enlarging LA) and severity of neglect, suggesting that cardiac structure, and function affects not only lesion volume, but also the functional consequences of infarct volume.

Transcranial Doppler in Acute COVID-19 Infection: Unexpected Associations

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Stroke may complicate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection based on clinical hypercoagulability. We investigated whether transcranial Doppler ultrasound has utility for identifying microemboli and clinically relevant cerebral blood flow velocities (CBFVs) in COVID-19.

METHODS

We performed transcranial Doppler for a consecutive series of patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 infection admitted to 2 intensive care units at a large academic center including evaluation for microembolic signals. Variables specific to hypercoagulability and blood flow including transthoracic echocardiography were analyzed as a part of routine care.

RESULTS

Twenty-six patients were included in this analysis, 16 with confirmed COVID-19 infection. Of those, 2 had acute ischemic stroke secondary to large vessel occlusion. Ten non-COVID stroke patients were included for comparison. Two COVID-negative patients had severe acute respiratory distress syndrome and stroke due to large vessel occlusion. In patients with COVID-19, relatively low CBFVs were observed diffusely at median hospital day 4 (interquartile range, 3-9) despite low hematocrit (29.5% [25.7%-31.6%]); CBFVs in comparable COVID-negative stroke patients were significantly higher compared with COVID-positive stroke patients. Microembolic signals were not detected in any patient. Median left ventricular ejection fraction was 60% (interquartile range, 60%-65%). CBFVs were correlated with arterial oxygen content, and C-reactive protein (Spearman ρ=0.28 [P=0.04]; 0.58 [P<0.001], respectively) but not with left ventricular ejection fraction (ρ=-0.18; P=0.42).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of critically ill patients with COVID-19 infection, we observed lower than expected CBFVs in setting of low arterial oxygen content and low hematocrit but not associated with suppression of cardiac output.

Cerebrovascular Disease and Cognitive Outcome in Patients with Cardiac Disease

The pace of understanding cognitive decline and dementia has rapidly accelerated over the past decade, with constantly evolving insights into the vascular contributions to cognitive impairment and dementia (VCID). Notably, more overlap has been discovered in the pathophysiology between what was previously understood to be Alzheimer's disease and VCID, leading to a heightened emphasis on disease prevention through early and aggressive control of vascular risk factors. One particularly vulnerable population may be those with cardiac disease, as they are at risk for cerebrovascular disease, which itself can lead to dementia, and increasing evidence supports cognitive impairment in disease processes such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation, independent of ischemic stroke, suggesting other potential mechanisms. In this article, we review the evidence supporting the relationship between cardiac disease, cerebrovascular disease, and cognitive decline and discuss the ongoing and future research efforts aimed at defining the important relationship between these entities.

Clinical and Economic Burden of Stroke Among Young, Midlife, and Older Adults in the United States, 2002-2017

Objective

To assess trends of stroke hospitalization rates, inpatient mortality, and health care resource use in young (aged ≤44 years), midlife (aged 45-64 years), and older (aged ≥65 years) adults.

Patients and Methods

We studied the National Inpatient Sample database (January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2017) to analyze stroke-related hospitalizations. We identified data using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth/Tenth Revision codes.

Results

Of 11,381,390 strokes, 79% (n=9,009,007) were ischemic and 21% (n=2,372,383) were hemorrhagic. Chronic diseases were more frequent in older adults; smoking, alcoholism, and migraine were more prevalent in midlife adults; and coagulopathy and intravenous drug abuse were more common in young patients with stroke. The hospitalization rates of stroke per 10,000 increased overall (31.6 to 33.3) in young and midlife adults while decreasing in older adults. Although mortality decreased overall and in all age groups, the decline was slower in young and midlife adults than older adults. The mean length of stay significantly decreased in midlife and older adults and increased in young adults. The inflation-adjusted mean cost of stay increased consistently, with an average annual growth rate of 2.44% in young, 1.72% in midlife, and 1.45% in older adults owing to the higher use of health care resources. These trends were consistent in both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke.

Conclusion

Stroke-related hospitalization and health care expenditure are increasing in the United States, particularly among young and midlife adults. A higher cost of stay counterbalances the benefits of reducing stroke and mortality in older patients.

Abstract P49: Pattern of Cerebral Microbleeds and Cerebral Amyloid: The ARIC-PET Study

Background: Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) are associated with cognitive decline, but their importance outside of clinical cerebral amyloid angiopathy is less well understood, as are the mechanisms of their impact on cognition. In a community-based dementia-free cohort, we evaluate cross-sectional associations between CMB patterns and cerebral amyloid β (Aβ) deposition, measured by florbetapir PET.

Methods: ARIC-PET recruited nondemented individuals from 3 US sites. Participants completed 3T brain MRI with T2*GRE (with CMBs read for presence, frequency, location (lobar vs subcortical), and pattern, as well as florbetapir (Aβ) PET (global cortical standardized uptake value ratio >1.2 as a positive scan). Multivariable (see Table) logistic regression models of Aβ+ scans evaluated CMB presence, frequency, location, and pattern, in separate models. Effect modification by sex, race, APOE status, and cognition (normal vs mild cognitive impairment) was evaluated.

Results: Nearly 25% of the 322 individuals included had CMBs. No significant associations were found between CMBs (presence or number) and Aβ positivity, but a pattern of isolated lobar CMBs or superficial siderosis was associated with over a 4-fold higher odds of elevated Aβ vs having no CMBs, without a similar elevated risk in those with isolated subcortical CMBs or mixed subcortical + either lobar CMBs or superficial siderosis. Although no significant interactions were found, a mixed pattern was nonsignificantly protective (OR estimates 0.4-0.6) and lobar only CMBs had a (nonsignificantly) higher risk (OR up to 6.4) of Aβ for three subgroups: women (vs men); Blacks (vs whites), APOE ε4 noncarriers (vs carriers), and cognitively normal (vs MCI).

Conclusions: A lobar-only pattern of CMBs is most strongly associated with brain Aβ, with no elevated risk for a mixed CMB pattern. Further study is needed to understand differences in these CMB patterns and their meaning across distinct demographic subgroups.

The Investigation of Left Atrial Structure and Stroke Etiology: The I-LASER Study

Background Left atrial (LA) function is important in stroke, but often poorly characterized. We evaluated the association of 2-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography LA variables with stroke subtype (cardioembolic stroke [CS] or cryptogenic stroke versus other). The hypothesis is worse LA active function is associated with CS, but not cryptogenic strokes. Methods and Results In this prospective cohort (2017-2019), left ventricular/LA structure and function were quantified by 2-dimensional and speckle tracking echocardiography in 151 patients with stroke. Strain/strain rate curves for the 3 components of the LA cycle, ie, (1) Reservoir (global longitudinal strain [Srmax]), (2) Conductive (early LA Sr [Sre]), and (3) Active (late LA strain [Sra]) were evaluated, masked to stroke subtype. Associations of cardiac features with stroke subtype were tested using multivariable logistic regressions. Odds of CS were increased in patients with a larger LA systolic diameter (odds ratio [OR], 2.96, 95% CI, 1.14-7.69) but reduced in patients with a higher Srmax (better reservoir) (OR, 0.80, 95% CI, 0.67-0.97). Lower Sra (worse function) was associated with an increased odds of CS (OR, 1.72, 95% CI, 1.07-2.76) but not independent of atrial fibrillation. Higher active LA emptying fraction (better active phase) was associated with reduced odds of CS (OR, 0.74, 95% CI, 0.57-0.95) or cryptogenic stroke (OR, 0.82, 95% CI, 0.68-0.98) versus other subtypes; other associations between cryptogenic stroke and speckle tracking echocardiography were not found. Conclusions Markers of LA structure and function were associated with CS. Similar associations were not found for cryptogenic stroke, which might suggest different underlying mechanisms, given study limitations. Further understanding could aid stroke diagnosis and secondary stroke prevention research.

Associations Between Atrial Cardiopathy and Cerebral Amyloid: The ARIC-PET Study

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for cognitive decline, possibly from silent brain infarction. Left atrial changes in structure or function (atrial cardiopathy) can lead to AF but may impact cognition independently. It is unknown if AF or atrial cardiopathy also acts on Alzheimer disease-specific mechanisms, such as deposition of β-amyloid. Methods and Results A total of 316 dementia-free participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study underwent florbetapir positron emission tomography, electrocardiography, and 2-dimensional echocardiography. Atrial cardiopathy was defined as ≥1: (1) left atrial volume index >34 mL/m2; (2) P-wave terminal force >5000 µV×ms; and (3) serum NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) >250 pg/mL. Cross-sectional associations between global cortical β-amyloid (>1.2 standardized uptake value ratio) and adjudicated history of AF and atrial cardiopathy, each, were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. Participants (mean age, 76 years) were 56% women and 42% Black individuals. Odds of elevated florbetapir standardized uptake value ratio were significantly increased among those with atrial cardiopathy (odds ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.02-3.22) and doubled for those with enlarged left atrial volume index after adjustment for demographics/risk factors (95% CI, 1.04-4.61). There was no association between P-wave terminal force or NT-proBNP and elevated florbetapir standardized uptake value ratio, nor between AF and elevated standardized uptake value ratio. Conclusions Among healthy, nondemented community-dwelling older individuals, we report an association between atrial cardiopathy, left atrial volume index, and elevated brain amyloid, by positron emission tomography, without a similar association in individuals with AF. Potential limitations include reverse causation and survival bias. Ongoing work will help determine if changes in cardiac structure and function precede or occur simultaneously with amyloid deposition.