Residency, demographics, and movement patterns of North Atlantic right whales Eubalaena glacialis in an offshore wind energy development area in southern New England, USA

Offshore wind energy development is growing quickly around the world. In southern New England, USA, one of the largest commercial offshore wind energy farms in the USA will be established in the waters off Massachusetts and Rhode Island, an area used by the Critically Endangered North Atlantic right whale Eubalaena glacialis. Prior to 2011, little was known about the use of this area by right whales. We examined aerial survey data collected between 2011-2015 and 2017-2019 to quantify right whale distribution, residency, demography, and movements in the region. Right whale occurrence increased during the study period. Since 2017, whales have been sighted in the area nearly every month, with peak sighting rates between late winter and spring. Model outputs suggest that 23% of the species’ population is present from December through May, and the mean residence time has tripled to an average of 13 d during these months. Age and sex ratios of the individuals present in the area are similar to those of the species as a whole, with adult males the most common demographic group. Movement models showed that southern New England is an important destination for right whales, including conceptive and reproductive females, and qualitative observations included animals feeding and socializing. Implementing mitigation procedures in coordination with these findings will be crucial in lessening the potential impacts on right whales from construction noise, increased vessel traffic, and habitat disruption in this region.

The clinical significance of duration of untreated psychosis: an umbrella review and random-effects meta-analysis

The idea that a longer duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) leads to poorer outcomes has contributed to extensive changes in mental health ser-vices worldwide and has attracted considerable research interest over the past 30 years. However, the strength of the evidence underlying this notion is unclear. To address this issue, we conducted an umbrella review of available meta-analyses and performed a random-effects meta-analysis of primary studies. MEDLINE, Web of Science, PsycINFO and EMBASE were searched from inception to September 3, 2020 to identify relevant meta-analyses of studies including patients with schizophrenia spectrum disorders, first-episode psychosis, or affective and non-affective psychosis. Thirteen meta-analyses were included, corresponding to 129 individual studies with a total sample size of 25,657 patients. We detected potential violations of statistical assumptions in some of these meta-analyses. We therefore conducted a new random-effects meta-analysis of primary studies. The association between DUP and each outcome was graded according to a standardized classification into convincing, highly suggestive, suggestive, weak, or non-significant. At first presentation, there was suggestive evidence for a relationship between longer DUP and more severe negative symptoms (beta=-0.07, p=3.6×10^-5 ) and higher chance of previous self-harm (odds ratio, OR=1.89, p=1.1×10^-5 ). At follow-up, there was highly suggestive evidence for a relationship between longer DUP and more severe positive symptoms (beta=-0.16, p=4.5×10^-8 ), more severe negative symptoms (beta=-0.11, p=3.5×10^-10 ) and lower chance of remission (OR=2.16, p=3.0×10^-10 ), and suggestive evidence for a relationship between longer DUP and poorer overall functioning (beta=-0.11, p=2.2×10^-6 ) and more severe global psychopathology (beta=-0.16, p=4.7×10^-6 ). Results were unchanged when analysis was restricted to prospective studies. These effect sizes are clinically meaningful, with a DUP of four weeks predicting >20% more severe symptoms at follow-up relative to a DUP of one week. We conclude that DUP is an important prognostic factor at first presentation and predicts clinically relevant outcomes over the course of illness. We discuss conceptual issues in DUP research and methodological limitations of current evidence, and provide recommendations for future research.