Prognostic and predictive role of neutrophil/lymphocytes ratio in metastatic colorectal cancer: a retrospective analysis of the TRIBE study by GONO

Background

Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), defined as absolute neutrophils count divided by absolute lymphocytes count, has been reported as poor prognostic factor in several neoplastic diseases but only a few data are available about unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients (pts). The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive role of NLR in the TRIBE trial.

Patients and methods

Pts enrolled in TRIBE trial were included. TRIBE is a multicentre phase III trial randomizing unresectable and previously untreated mCRC pts to receive FOLFOXIRI or FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab. A cut-off value of 3 was adopted to discriminate pts with low (NLR < 3) versus high (NLR ≥ 3) NLR, as primary analysis. As secondary analysis, NLR was treated as an ordinal variable with three levels based on terciles distribution.

Results

NLR at baseline was available for 413 patients. After multiple imputation at univariate analysis, patients with high NLR had significantly shorter progression-free survival (PFS) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.27 (95% CI 1.05-1.55), P = 0.017] and overall survival (OS) [HR 1.56 (95% CI 1.25-1.95), P < 0.001] than patients with low NLR. In the multivariable model, NLR retained a significant association with OS [HR 1.44 (95% CI 1.14-1.82), P = 0.014] but not with PFS [HR 1.18 (95% CI 0.95-1.46), P = 0.375]. No interaction effect between treatment arm and NLR was evident in terms of PFS (P for interaction = 0.536) or OS (P for interaction = 0.831). Patients with low [HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.64-1.08)] and high [HR 0.73 (95% CI 0.54-0.97)] NLR achieved similar PFS benefit from the triplet and consistent results were obtained in terms of OS [HR 0.83 (95% CI 0.62-1.12) for low NLR; HR 0.82 (95% CI 0.59-1.12) for high NLR].

Conclusion

This study confirmed the prognostic role of NLR in mCRC pts treated with bevacizumab plus chemotherapy in the first line, showing the worse prognosis of pts with high NLR. The advantage of the triplet is independent of NLR at baseline.

Dosimetric predictors of acute hematologic toxicity during concurrent intensity-modulated radiotherapy and chemotherapy for anal cancer

PURPOSE

This study aimed at investigating whether the irradiated volume of pelvic bone marrow (PBM) and specific subsites may predict the occurrence of acute hematologic toxicity (HT) in anal cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemo-radiation.

METHODS

50 patients, submitted to IMRT and concurrent chemotherapy, were analyzed. Several bony structures were defined on planning-CT: PBM and lumbar-sacral (LSBM), lower pelvis (LPBM) and iliac (IBM) bone marrow. On dose-volume histograms, dosimetric parameters were taken. Endpoints included white blood-cell-count (WBC), absolute-neutrophil-count (ANC), hemoglobin (Hb) and platelet nadirs and acute hematologic toxicity (HT) according to RTOG scoring scale. Generalized linear modeling was used to find correlations between dosimetric variables and blood cell nadirs, while logistic regression analysis was used to test correlation with ≥G3 HT. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the optimal cut-off points for predictive dosimetric variables with the Youden method.

RESULTS

Maximum detected acute HT comprised 38 % of ≥G3 leukopenia and 32 % of ≥G3 neutropenia. Grade 2 anemia was observed in 4 % of patients and ≥G3 thrombocytopenia in 10 %. On multivariate analysis a higher PBM-V ₂₀ was associated with lower WBC nadir. Increased LSBM-V ₄₀ was correlated with a higher likelihood to develop ≥G3 HT. A cut-off point at 41 % for LSBM-V ₄₀ was found. Patients with LSBM-V ₄₀ ≥41 % were more likely to develop ≥G3 HT (55.3 vs. 32.4 %; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased low-dose to pelvic bony structures significantly predicted for WBC decrease. Medium-high dose to specific osseous subsites was associated with a higher probability of HT. LSBM-V ₄₀ was a strong predictor of ≥G3 HT. A threshold at 41 % for LSBM-V ₄₀ could be used to limit HT.

Circannual variation of efficacy outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed metastatic colorectal cancer and treated with first-line chemotherapy

Seasonal variation of baseline diagnosis (or clinical suspect) of stage I-III colorectal cancer patients has been repeatedly reported as an independent variable influencing overall survival. However, data are conflicting and no information is available about such a rhythm in advanced stage patients. To test whether a circannual rhythm of efficacy outcomes can be detected in this setting, we collected data about response rate (RR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) to first-line chemotherapy of 1610 newly diagnosed metastatic patients treated at four independent centers. Responses to first-line chemotherapy were available for 1495 patients. A strong circannual rhythm in RR was evident, with the higher proportion of responding patients in the subgroup diagnosed in January (acrophase). At the time of data cutoff, 1322 patients progressed and 986 died, with median PFS and OS of 11 and 25.6 months, respectively. A circannual rhythmicity of the proportion of patients progressing at 6 months and surviving at 1 year was demonstrated, with acrophases located both in winter (February and January, respectively), similar to what reported for RR. Several interpretations about the genesis of this cyclic variation could be claimed: the rhythm in sunlight exposure and, as a consequence, of vitamin D serum levels and folate degradation, the variability in toxic effect intensity of chemotherapy, and the rhythm in the biological behavior of tumor cells. This observation is worth of further investigation both in preclinical and in clinical settings in order to better elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

A novel biomarker-based analysis reliably predicts nodal metastases in anal carcinoma: preliminary evidence of therapeutic impact

AIM

Routine prophylactic inguinal irradiation in anal cancer may cause significant toxicity associated with overtreatment bias. The aim of this study was to determine the risk of regional node metastases in anal carcinoma by identifying predictive molecular biomarkers.

METHOD

Clinicohistopathological data from 50 pretreatment anal carcinoma biopsies were collected. Immunohistochemical analyses with antibodies against Ki67, p53, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and YKL-40 were performed. Statistical correlations between biomarkers and clinicopathological features and outcomes were studied. Sentinel lymph node biopsy was performed in a subset of 36 patients.

RESULTS

All patients had undergone synchronous radiochemotherapy; tumour recurrence had developed in 26%, and 16% had died. YKL-40 tumour expression correlated with lymph node metastasis, whereas no inguinal node metastases were found in any of the (14%) patients presenting with a YKL-40/EGFR-negative tumour. YKL-40 expression and node metastasis were both significantly associated with shorter overall and disease-free survival. Tumour grade significantly correlated with disease-free survival only. HIV, tumour histological type, Ki67, p53 and EGFR were not associated with outcome.

CONCLUSION

YKL-40 expression in anal carcinoma is correlated with a poor outcome and can predict lymph node metastases. The combined absence of YKL-40 and EGFR expression in a first biopsy of anal carcinoma reliably selects a subset of patients without inguinal metastases. Such patients could be spared sentinel lymph node biopsy and/or inguinal radiotherapy.

Value of staging squamous cell carcinoma of the anal margin and canal using the sentinel lymph node procedure: an update of the series and a review of the literature

Background:

Inguinal metastases in patients affected by anal cancer are an independent prognostic factor for local failure and overall mortality. Since 2001, sentinel lymph node biopsy was applied in these patients. This original study reports an update of personal and previous published series, which were compared with Literature to value the incidence of inguinal metastases T-stage related and the overall incidence of false negative inguinal metastases at sentinel node.

Methods:

In all, 63 patients diagnosed with anal cancer submitted to inguinal sentinel node. Furthermore a research in the Pub Med database was performed to find papers regarding this technique.

Results:

In our series, detection rate was 98.4%. Inguinal metastases were evidentiated in 13 patients (20.6%). Our median follow-up was 35 months. In our series, no false negative nodes were observed.

Conclusion:

Sentinel node technique in the detection of inguinal metastases in patients affected by anal cancer should be considered as a standard of care. It is indicated for all T stages in order to select patients to be submitted to inguinal radiotherapy, avoiding related morbidity in negative ones. An overall 3.7% rate of false negative must be considered acceptable.

Long-term outcome of radiofrequency thermal ablation (RFA) of liver metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC): size as the leading prognostic factor for survival

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to review some prognostic factors for survival after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 1996 to 2009, 262 patients with metastases from CRC were treated with RFA. Fourteen were lost to follow-up. The following predictors were analysed in the remaining 248: synchronous/metachronous metastases, single/multiple metastases, diameter of largest metastasis and absence/presence of extrahepatic metastases. Survival was measured from the date of metastasis diagnosis and from the date of RFA.

RESULTS

Survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was 93%, 78%, 62% and 35% from metastasis diagnosis, and 84%, 59%, 43% and 23% from the date of RFA. Median survival was 41 months in patients with largest metastasis ≤3 cm and 21.7 months for those with metastases >3 cm (p=0.0001); survival increased to 45.2 months in patients with largest metastasis ≤2.5 cm and fell to 18.5 months in those with metastasis >3.5 cm. Median survival of patients with extrahepatic metastases was significantly lower than that of patients without extrahepatic disease (23.3 vs. 32.6 months, p=0.018).

CONCLUSIONS

In light of our long-term results obtained with commonly used equipment, small lesion size (diameter of largest lesion ≤3 or 2.5 cm) proved to be the most favourable prognostic factor for survival in patients with CRC metastases to the liver treated with RFA. This conclusion is probably related to the possibility of obtaining radical ablation and points to the usefulness of devices allowing ablation of larger volumes. In the presence of extrahepatic metastases, RFA has less impact on survival, even though it is potentially useful in patients at a higher risk of death due to hepatic rather than extrahepatic metastases.

[Tumor-associated markers in malignant lung neoplasms]

The usefulness of assaying tumoral markers in lung cancers is examined. 63 patients (56 men and 7 women) suffering from various types of malignant lung cancers were examined and compared with 44 patients hospitalised for benign lung complaints. The markers used were: CEA, Ferritin, GICA and TPA. Ferritin proved the most sensitive marker with 73% positive results for tumours as opposed to 47.6% for CEA and GICA and only 19% for TPA. The division of tumours into histological types (Adenocarcinomas, squamous cell carcinomas, microcytomas and large cell anaplastic carcinomas) showed that Ferritin is the best marker for lung cancers (70% positive results in adenocarcinomas and squamous cell carcinomas, 62.5% in microcytomas, 87.5% in large cell anaplastic carcinomas). CEA and GICA display almost the same level of sensitivity in the different histological types: the sensitivity of TPA is low in all cases. Specificity was found to be satisfactory for all markers examined. It may be concluded that best results are obtained by combining Ferritin assay with CEA and/or GICA tests.