Factors associated with prolonged hospitalization of patients with corona virus disease (COVID-19) in Uganda: a retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Identification of factors predicting prolonged hospitalization of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) guides the planning, care and flow of patients in the COVID-19 Treatment Units (CTUs). We determined the length of hospital stay and factors associated with prolonged hospitalization among patients with COVID-19 at six CTUs in Uganda.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted with COVID-19 between January and December 2021 in six CTUs in Uganda. We conducted generalized linear regression models of the binomial family with a log link and robust variance estimation to estimate risk ratios of selected exposure variables and prolonged hospitalization (defined as a hospital stay for 14 days or more). We also conducted negative binomial regression models with robust variance to estimate the rate ratios between selected exposures and hospitalization duration.

RESULTS

Data from 968 participants were analyzed. The median length of hospitalization was 5 (range: 1-89) days. A total of 136/968 (14.1%: 95% confidence interval (CI): 11.9-16.4%) patients had prolonged hospitalization. Hospitalization in a public facility (adjusted risk ratio (ARR) = 2.49, 95% CI: 1.65-3.76), critical COVID-19 severity scores (ARR = 3.24: 95% CI: 1.01-10.42), and malaria co-infection (adjusted incident rate ratio (AIRR) = 0.67: 95% CI: 0.55-0.83) were associated with prolonged hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

One out of seven COVID-19 patients had prolonged hospitalization. Healthcare providers in public health facilities should watch out for unnecessary hospitalization. We encourage screening for possible co-morbidities such as malaria among patients admitted for COVID-19.

Survival analysis of patients with COVID-19 admitted at six hospitals in Uganda in 2021: a cohort study

Background

Assessing factors associated with mortality among COVID-19 patients could guide in developing context relevant interventions to mitigate the risk. The study aimed to describe mortality and associated factors among COVID-19 patients admitted at six health facilities in Uganda.

Methods

We reviewed medical records of patients admitted with COVID-19 between January 1st 2021 and December 31st 2021 in six hospitals in Uganda. Using Stata version 17.0, Kaplan Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed to describe the time to death and estimate associations between various exposures and time to death. Finally, accelerated failure time (AFT) models with a lognormal distribution were used to estimate corresponding survival time ratios.

Results

Out of the 1040 study participants, 234 (22.5%: 95%CI 12.9 to 36.2%) died. The mortality rate was 30.7 deaths per 1000 person days, 95% CI (26.9 to 35.0). The median survival time was 33 days, IQR (9–82). Factors associated with time to COVID-19 death included; age ≥ 60 years [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.4, 95% CI: [1.7, 3.4]], having malaria test at admission [aHR = 2.0, 95% CI:[1.0, 3.9]], a COVID-19 severity score of severe/critical [aHR = 6.7, 95% CI:[1.5, 29.1]] and admission to a public hospital [aHR = 0.4, 95% CI:[0.3, 0.6]]. The survival time of patients aged 60 years or more is estimated to be 63% shorter than that of patients aged less than 60 years [adjusted time ratio (aTR) 0.37, 95% CI 0.24, 0.56]. The survival time of patients admitted in public hospitals was 2.5 times that of patients admitted in private hospitals [aTR 2.5 to 95%CI 1.6, 3.9]. Finally, patients with a severe or critical COVID-19 severity score had 87% shorter survival time than those with a mild score [aTR 0.13, 95% CI 0.03, 0.56].

Conclusion

In-hospital mortality among COVID-19 patients was high. Factors associated with shorter survival; age ≥ 60 years, a COVID-19 severity score of severe or critical, and having malaria at admission. We therefore recommend close monitoring of COVID-19 patients that are elderly and also screening for malaria in COVID-19 admitted patients.

A Differential Response to Antihypertensive Therapy in African Men and Women: Insights From the CREOLE Trial

BACKGROUND

We sought to address the paucity of data to support the evidence-based management of hypertension to achieve optimal blood pressure (BP) control on a sex-specific basis in Africa.

METHODS

We undertook a post hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized CREOLE (Comparison of Three Combination Therapies in Lowering Blood Pressure in Black Africans) Trial to test the hypothesis that there would be clinically important differences in office BP control between African men and women. We compared the BP levels of 397 and 238 hypertensive women (63%, 50.9 ± 10.5 years) and men (51.2 ± 11.3 years) from 10 sites across sub-Saharan Africa who completed baseline and 6-month profiling according to their randomly allocated antihypertensive treatment.

RESULTS

Overall, 442/635 (69.6%) participants achieved an office BP target of <140/90 mm Hg at 6 months; comprising more women (286/72.0%) than men (156/65.5%) (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-2.39; P = 0.023). Women randomized to amlodipine-hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ) (adjusted OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.71-5.35; P < 0.001) or amlodipine-perindopril (adjusted OR 2.62, 95% CI 1.49-4.58; P = 0.01) were more likely to achieve this target compared with perindopril-HCTZ. Among men, there were no equivalent treatment differences-amlodipine-HCTZ (OR 1.54, 95% CI 0.76-3.12; P = 0.23) or amlodipine-perindopril (OR 1.32, 95% CI 0.65-2.67; P = 0.44) vs. perindopril-HCTZ. Among the 613 participants (97%) with 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring, women had significantly lower systolic (124.1 ± 18.1 vs. 127.3 ± 16.9; P = 0.028) and diastolic (72.7 ± 10.4 vs. 75.1 ± 10.5; P = 0.007) BP levels at 6 months compared with men.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest clinically important differences in the therapeutic response to antihypertensive combination therapy among African women compared with African men.

High prevalence of non-dipping patterns among black Africans with uncontrolled hypertension: a secondary analysis of the CREOLE trial

Background

Dipping of blood pressure (BP) at night is a normal physiological phenomenon. However, a non-dipping pattern is associated with hypertension mediated organ damage, secondary forms of hypertension and poorer long-term outcome. Identifying a non-dipping pattern may be useful in assessing risk, aiding the decision to investigate for secondary causes, initiating treatment, assisting decisions on choice and timing of anti-hypertensive therapy, and intensifying salt restriction.

Objectives

To estimate the prevalence and factors associated with non-dipping pattern and determine the effect of three 6-months anti-hypertensive regimens on the dipping pattern among Black African hypertensive patients.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of the CREOLE Study which was a randomized, single blind, three-group trial conducted in 10 sites in 6 Sub-Saharan African countries. The participants were 721 Black African patients, aged between 30 and 79 years, with uncontrolled hypertension and a baseline 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM). Dipping was calculated from the average day and average night systolic blood pressure measures.

Results

The prevalence of non-dipping pattern was 78% (564 of 721). Factors that were independently associated with non-dipping were: serum sodium &gt;140mmol/l (OR=1.72, 95% CI: 1.17–2.51, p-value 0.005), a higher office systolic BP (OR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05, p-value 0.003) and a lower office diastolic BP (OR=0.97, 95% CI: 0.95–0.99, p-value 0.03). Treatment allocation did not change dipping status at 6 months (McNemar's χ2 0.71, p-value 0.40).

Conclusion

There was a high prevalence of non-dipping among Black Africans with uncontrolled hypertension. ABPM should be considered more routinely in Black Africans with uncontrolled hypertension, if resources permit, to help personalise therapy. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms and causes of non-dipping pattern and if targeting night-time BP improves clinical outcomes.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Fogarty International Center and the National Institutes of Health of the United States of America Figure 1