Ferenci P, Aires R, Ancuta I, Arohnson A, Cheinquer H, Delic D, Gschwantler M, Larrey D, Tallarico L, Schmitz M, Tatsch F, Ouzan D. A tool for selecting patients with a high probability of sustained virological response to peginterferon alfa-2a (40kD)/ribavirin.
Liver Int 2014;
34:1550-9. [PMID:
24329937 DOI:
10.1111/liv.12439]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2013] [Accepted: 12/07/2013] [Indexed: 02/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS
Pretreatment identification of patients likely to achieve a sustained virological response (SVR) with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin would be useful for individualizing treatment choices. The aim of this analysis was to devise a simple scoring system to identify patients with high probability of achieving an SVR with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin.
METHODS
Using data from 2109 Caucasian treatment-naive hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 mono-infected patients from the PROPHESYS cohorts, the relationship between favourable baseline characteristics and SVR was explored using generalized additive model analysis, and a scoring system was devised to predict SVR.
RESULTS
Points were assigned for: age (years) (≤35: 2; >35, ≤45: 1; >45: 0); body mass index (kg/m(2)) (≤20: 2; >20, ≤22: 1; >22: 0); HCV RNA (IU/ml) (≤100,000: 3; >100,000-400,000: 2; >400,000-800,000: 1; >800,000: 0); platelets (>150 ×10(9)/l: 1; ≤150 ×10(9)/l: 0); alanine aminotransferase [×upper limit of normal (ULN)] (>3: 1; ≤3: 0); serum aspartate aminotransferase (×ULN) (≤1: 1; >1: 0). 1029, 698 and 382 patients had scores of 0-2, 3-4 and ≥5, respectively, among whom SVR rates were 35.0, 54.9 and 76.7%. SVR in patients with scores ≥5 and undetectable HCV RNA by week 4 was 86.7%. The score was tested against two databases of patients who received peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin in other clinical trials; similar high SVR rates in patients with scores ≥5 were reported.
CONCLUSIONS
The scoring system can reliably identify treatment-naive HCV genotype 1 mono-infected Caucasian patients who have a high probability of achieving an SVR with peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin and will be particularly useful where protease inhibitors are not readily available.
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