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Soon JA, To YH, Alexander M, Trapani K, Ascierto PA, Athan S, Brown MP, Burge M, Haydon A, Hughes B, Itchins M, John T, Kao S, Koopman M, Li BT, Long GV, Loree JM, Markman B, Meniawy TM, Menzies AM, Nott L, Pavlakis N, Petrella TM, Popat S, Tie J, Xu W, Yip D, Zalcberg J, Solomon BJ, Gibbs P, McArthur GA, Franchini F, IJzerman M. A tailored approach to horizon scanning for cancer medicines. J Cancer Policy 2023; 38:100441. [PMID: 38008488 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcpo.2023.100441] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2023] [Revised: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 08/17/2023] [Indexed: 11/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Horizon scanning (HS) is the systematic identification of emerging therapies to inform policy and decision-makers. We developed an agile and tailored HS methodology that combined multi-criteria decision analysis weighting and Delphi rounds. As secondary objectives, we aimed to identify new medicines in melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer and colorectal cancer most likely to impact the Australian government's pharmaceutical budget by 2025 and to compare clinician and consumer priorities in cancer medicine reimbursement. METHOD Three cancer-specific clinician panels (total n = 27) and a consumer panel (n = 7) were formed. Six prioritisation criteria were developed with consumer input. Criteria weightings were elicited using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Candidate medicines were identified and filtered from a primary database and validated against secondary and tertiary sources. Clinician panels participated in a three-round Delphi survey to identify and score the top five medicines in each cancer type. RESULTS The AHP and Delphi process was completed in eight weeks. Prioritisation criteria focused on toxicity, quality of life (QoL), cost savings, strength of evidence, survival, and unmet need. In both curative and non-curative settings, consumers prioritised toxicity and QoL over survival gains, whereas clinicians prioritised survival. HS results project the ongoing prevalence of high-cost medicines. Since completion in October 2021, the HS has identified 70 % of relevant medicines submitted for Pharmaceutical Benefit Advisory Committee assessment and 60% of the medicines that received a positive recommendation. CONCLUSION Tested in the Australian context, our method appears to be an efficient and flexible approach to HS that can be tailored to address specific disease types by using elicited weights to prioritise according to incremental value from both a consumer and clinical perspective. POLICY SUMMARY Since HS is of global interest, our example provides a reproducible blueprint for adaptation to other healthcare settings that integrates consumer input and priorities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer A Soon
- Centre for Health Policy, Cancer Health Services Research, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia.
| | - Yat Hang To
- Gibbs Laboratory, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Research, Parkville, Australia
| | - Marliese Alexander
- Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Pharmacy Department, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Karen Trapani
- Centre for Health Policy, Cancer Health Services Research, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Paolo A Ascierto
- Istituto Nazionale Tumori IRCCS Fondazione G. Pascale, Napoli, Italy
| | - Sophy Athan
- Victorian Comprehensive Cancer Centre Alliance, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Michael P Brown
- Cancer Clinical Trials Unit, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, Australia; School of Medicine, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia; Centre for Cancer Biology, SA Pathology and University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Matthew Burge
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, Australia
| | - Andrew Haydon
- Department of Medical Oncology, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Australia
| | - Brett Hughes
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, Australia; The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Malinda Itchins
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, Australia; Northern Clinical School, The University of Sydney, St Leonards, Australia
| | - Thomas John
- Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Steven Kao
- Department of Medical Oncology, Chris O'Brien Lifehouse, Camperdown, Australia; School of Medicine, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Miriam Koopman
- Medical Oncology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Bob T Li
- Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Centre and Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA
| | - Georgina V Long
- School of Medicine, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Melanoma Institute Australia, Sydney, Australia; Royal North Shore and Mater Hospitals, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Ben Markman
- Department of Medical Oncology, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Australia
| | - Tarek M Meniawy
- Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital and the University of Western Australia, Nedlands, Australia
| | - Alexander M Menzies
- School of Medicine, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Melanoma Institute Australia, Sydney, Australia
| | - Louise Nott
- Royal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, Australia; Icon Cancer Centre, Hobart, Australia
| | - Nick Pavlakis
- Department of Medical Oncology, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, Australia; School of Medicine, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Sanjay Popat
- Lung Unit, The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Division of Clinical Studies, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK
| | - Jeanne Tie
- Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia; Gibbs Laboratory, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Research, Parkville, Australia
| | - Wen Xu
- Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Australia; University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Desmond Yip
- Department of Medical Oncology, The Canberra Hospital, Garran, Australia; School of Medicine and Psychology, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
| | - John Zalcberg
- Department of Medical Oncology, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia; Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Benjamin J Solomon
- Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Peter Gibbs
- Gibbs Laboratory, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Research, Parkville, Australia
| | - Grant A McArthur
- Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Medical Oncology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia; Victorian Comprehensive Cancer Centre Alliance, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Fanny Franchini
- Centre for Health Policy, Cancer Health Services Research, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Maarten IJzerman
- Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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