Association of ABO blood groups with venous thrombosis recurrence in middle-aged patients: insights from a weighted Cox analysis dedicated to ambispective design

BACKGROUND

In studies of time-to-events, it is common to collect information about events that occurred before the inclusion in a prospective cohort. When the studied risk factors are independent of time, including both pre- and post-inclusion events in the analyses, generally referred to as relying on an ambispective design, increases the statistical power but may lead to a selection bias. In the field of venous thromboembolism (VT), ABO blood groups have been the subject of extensive research due to their substantial effect on VT risk. However, few studies have investigated their effect on the risk of VT recurrence. Motivated by the study of the association of genetically determined ABO blood groups with VT recurrence, we propose a methodology to include pre-inclusion events in the analysis of ambispective studies while avoiding the selection bias due to mortality.

METHODS

This work relies on two independent cohorts of VT patients, the French MARTHA study built on an ambispective design and the Dutch MEGA study built on a standard prospective design. For the analysis of the MARTHA study, a weighted Cox model was developed where weights were defined by the inverse of the survival probability at the time of data collection about the events. Thanks to the collection of information on the vital status of patients, we could estimate the survival probabilities using a delayed-entry Cox model on the death risk. Finally, results obtained in both studies were then meta-analysed.

RESULTS

In the combined sample totalling 2,752 patients including 993 recurrences, the A1 blood group has an increased risk (Hazard Ratio (HR) of 1.18, p = 4.2 × 10^-3) compared with the O1 group, homogeneously in MARTHA and in MEGA. The same trend (HR = 1.19, p = 0.06) was observed for the less frequent A2 group.

CONCLUSION

The proposed methodology increases the power of studies relying on an ambispective design which is frequent in epidemiologic studies about recurrent events. This approach allowed to clarify the association of ABO blood groups with the risk of VT recurrence. Besides, this methodology has an immediate field of application in the context of genome wide association studies.

Trends in Individualized Affordability of Factory-Made Cigarettes: Findings of the 2008-2020 International Tobacco Control Netherlands Surveys

INTRODUCTION

Cigarette affordability, the price of tobacco relative to consumer income, is a key determinant of tobacco consumption.

AIMS AND METHODS

This study examined trends over 12 years in individualized factory-made cigarette affordability in the Netherlands, and whether these trends differed by sex, age, and education. Data from 10 waves (2008-2020) of the International Tobacco Control Netherlands Surveys were used to estimate individualized affordability, measured as the percentage of income required to buy 100 cigarette packs (Relative Income Price [RIP]), using self-reported prices and income. The higher the RIP, the less affordable cigarettes are. Generalized estimating equation regression models assessed trends in individualized affordability over time and by sex, age, and education.

RESULTS

Affordability decreased significantly between 2008 and 2020, with RIP increasing from 1.89% (2008) to 2.64% (2020) (p ≤ .001), except for 2008-2010, no significant year-on-year changes in affordability were found. Lower affordability was found among subgroups who have a lower income level: Females (vs. males), 18-24 and 25-39-year-olds (vs. 55 years and over) and low or moderate-educated individuals (vs. highly educated). Interactions between wave and education (p = .007) were found, but not with sex (p = .653) or age (p = .295). A decreasing linear trend in affordability was found for moderately (p = .041) and high-educated (p = .025), but not for low-educated individuals (p = .149).

CONCLUSIONS

Cigarettes in the Netherlands have become less affordable between 2008 and 2020, yet this was mostly because of the decrease in affordability between 2008 and 2010. There is a need for more significant increases in tax to further decrease affordability.

IMPLICATIONS

Our findings suggest that cigarettes have become less affordable in the Netherlands between 2008 and 2020. But, this appears to be the result of a steep decrease in affordability between 2008 and 2010. Affordability was lower among groups who have on average lower incomes (females, young adults, and low- and moderate-educated individuals), and differences in trends across education levels could be explained by per capita income changes. Our individualized measure indicated lower affordability than published aggregate affordability estimations. Future tax increases should be large enough to result in a lower affordability.

Surgeons’ preferences for using sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with ductal carcinoma in situ

Background

There is a large variation between Dutch hospitals in the use of Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy (SLNB) in patients with a biopsy diagnosis of Ductal Carcinoma in Situ. The aim of our study was to investigate whether this variation might be explained by preferences of surgeons, organisational factors or the influence of patients preferences.

Methods

A cross-sectional web survey was conducted among 260 Dutch oncological/breast surgeons. Preferences of surgeons and the influence of the patients’ preferences were determined by means of best-worst scaling (BWS) of profile case scenarios and by ranking risk factors. The survey also explored organisational questions, the reported use of diagnostic techniques and influences on the decision.

Results

The BWS scenarios were completed by 57 surgeons. The most important reasons for performing SLNB were a suspected invasive component and DCIS grade 3. In the ranking, these were also the first and second most important factor, followed by the size of the lesion and a mass on mammogram. In 58% to 70% of the scenarios, the surgeons would not change their decisions on the use of SLNB if the patient’s chose differed. No organisational factor was significantly associated with the reported use of SLNB.

Conclusion

The inter-hospital variation in the use of SLNB could not be attributed to organisational factors or surgeons’ preferences for risk factors. The risk factors that most surgeons reported as reasons for performing SLNB are consistent with the factors described in the Dutch treatment guideline for the use of SLNB.

Quitting behaviours and cessation methods used in eight European Countries in 2018: findings from the EUREST-PLUS ITC Europe Surveys

BACKGROUND

We examined quit attempts, use of cessation assistance, quitting beliefs and intentions among smokers who participated in the 2018 International Tobacco Control (ITC) Europe Surveys in eight European Union Member States (England, Germany, Greece, Hungary, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania and Spain).

METHODS

Cross-sectional data from 11 543 smokers were collected from Wave 2 of the ITC Six European Country (6E) Survey (Germany, Greece, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Spain-2018), the ITC Netherlands Survey (the Netherlands-late 2017) and the Four Countries Smoking and Vaping (4CV1) Survey (England-2018). Logistic regression was used to examine associations between smokers' characteristics and recent quit attempts.

RESULTS

Quit attempts in the past 12 months were more frequently reported by respondents in the Netherlands (33.0%) and England (29.3%) and least frequently in Hungary (11.5%), Greece (14.7%), Poland (16.7%) and Germany (16.7%). With the exception of England (35.9%), the majority (56-84%) of recent quit attempts was unaided. Making a quit attempt was associated with younger age, higher education and income, having a smoking-related illness and living in England. In all countries, the majority of continuing smokers did not intend to quit in the next 6 months, had moderate to high levels of nicotine dependence and perceived quitting to be difficult.

CONCLUSIONS

Apart from England and the Netherlands, smokers made few quit attempts in the past year and had low intentions to quit in the near future. The use of cessation assistance was sub-optimal. There is a need to examine approaches to supporting quitting among the significant proportion of tobacco users in Europe and increase the use of cessation support as part of quit attempts.

The association of genetic variants in the cholesteryl ester transfer protein gene with hemostatic factors and a first venous thrombosis

BACKGROUND

Cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) plays an important role in lipoprotein metabolism. Previous studies have suggested that the CETP TaqI B1/B2 allele is associated with the risk of venous thrombosis (VT).

AIM

To investigate the associations between genetically determined CETP concentrations and 22 hemostatic factors in healthy individuals, and the risk of a first VT event, in a large VT case-control study.

METHODS

Analyses were performed in the Multiple Environmental and Genetic Assessment of Risk Factors for Venous Thrombosis (MEGA) case-control study. CETP unweighted/weighted genetic risk scores (GRSs) were derived from three single-nucleotide polymorphisms that were identified from a recent genome-wide association study on serum CETP concentrations. The associations between CETP GRSs and 22 hemostatic factors (procoagulant/anticoagulant and fibrinolytic factors) were assessed by linear regression from an additive model in controls (n = 2813). The associations between CETP GRSs and the risk of a first VT were assessed by logistic regression analyses in 3950 VT cases and 4765 controls.

RESULTS

In the controls (median age, 49 years; 53% women), both unweighted and weighted GRSs showed that factor VII activity was negatively associated with the genetically determined CETP concentration (weighted GRS β -3.08 IU/dL per μg/mL genetically determined CETP, 95% confidence interval -5.73 to -0.42). No association was observed with the risk of a first VT.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetically determined CETP concentrations only showed a weak negative association with factor VII activity. However, this did not lead to an association with the risk of a first VT.

High levels of coagulation factors and venous thrombosis risk: strongest association for factor VIII and von Willebrand factor

Essentials Elevated procoagulant levels are associated with an increased risk of venous thrombosis (VT). The dependency on concurrent increased factor levels and VT was analyzed in a large study. Factor VIII (FVIII) and von Willebrand factor (VWF) were associated with the highest VT risk. The risks for other procoagulant factor levels were largely explained by FVIII and VWF. SUMMARY: Background Coagulation factors are essential for robust clot formation. However, elevated levels of procoagulant factors are associated with an increased risk of venous thrombosis (VT). The precise contribution of these factors to the development of VT is not yet understood. Objectives We determined the thrombosis risk for the highest levels of eight selected coagulation factors. Furthermore, we analyzed which of these coagulation factors had the strongest impact on the supposed association. Methods We used data of 2377 patients with a first VT and 2940 control subjects in whom fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor (VWF), factor II, FVII, FVIII, FIX, FX and FXI levels were measured. Results The odds ratios (ORs) for the various coagulation factor levels (> 99th percentile versus ≤ 25th percentile) varied between 1.8 and 4, except for FVIII (OR 23.0; 95% confidence interval [CI] 14.7-36.0) and VWF (OR 24.0; 95% CI 15.3-37.3). Adjustment for FVIII and VWF in a mediation analysis reduced the risks of the other factors to unity, with the exception of FIX and FXI (remaining ORs between 1.7 and 1.9). Conversely, the ORs for FVIII and VWF levels remained high after adjustment for all other procoagulant factors (FVIII: 16.0; 95% CI 9.7-26.3; VWF: 17.6; 95% CI 10.7-28.8). Conclusions Our results imply that the observed relationship between VT and coagulation factor levels can be largely explained by FVIII and VWF. FVIII and VWF levels were also associated with the highest VT risk.

Global transcriptional analysis identifies a novel role for SOX4 in tumor-induced angiogenesis

The expression of the transcription factor SOX4 is increased in many human cancers, however, the pro-oncogenic capacity of SOX4 can vary greatly depending on the type of tumor. Both the contextual nature and the mechanisms underlying the pro-oncogenic SOX4 response remain unexplored. Here, we demonstrate that in mammary tumorigenesis, the SOX4 transcriptional network is dictated by the epigenome and is enriched for pro-angiogenic processes. We show that SOX4 directly regulates endothelin-1 (ET-1) expression and can thereby promote tumor-induced angiogenesis both in vitro and in vivo. Furthermore, in breast tumors, SOX4 expression correlates with blood vessel density and size, and predicts poor-prognosis in patients with breast cancer. Our data provide novel mechanistic insights into context-dependent SOX4 target gene selection, and uncover a novel pro-oncogenic role for this transcription factor in promoting tumor-induced angiogenesis. These findings establish a key role for SOX4 in promoting metastasis through exploiting diverse pro-tumorigenic pathways.

Incidental perifissural nodules on routine chest computed tomography: lung cancer or not?

Objectives

Perifissural nodules (PFNs) are a common finding on chest CT, and are thought to represent non-malignant lesions. However, data outside a lung cancer-screening setting are currently lacking.

Methods

In a nested case-control design, out of a total cohort of 16,850 patients ≥ 40 years of age who underwent routine chest CT (2004-2012), 186 eligible subjects with incident lung cancer and 511 controls without were investigated. All non-calcified nodules ≥ 4 mm were semi-automatically annotated. Lung cancer location and subject characteristics were recorded.

Results

Cases (56 % male) had a median age of 64 years (IQR 59–70). Controls (60 % male) were slightly younger (p<0.01), median age of 61 years (IQR 51–70). A total of 262/1,278 (21 %) unique non-calcified nodules represented a PFN. None of these were traced to a lung malignancy over a median follow-up of around 4.5 years. PFNs were most often located in the lower lung zones (72 %, p<0.001). Median diameter was 4.6 mm (range: 4.0–8.1), volume 51 mm³ (range: 32–278). Some showed growth rates < 400 days.

Conclusions

Our data show that incidental PFNs do not represent lung cancer in a routine care, heterogeneous population. This confirms prior screening-based results.

Key Points

• One-fifth of non-calcified nodules represented a perifissural nodule in our non-screening population.

• PFNs fairly often show larger size, and can show interval growth.

• When morphologically resembling a PFN, nodules are nearly certainly not a malignancy.

• The assumed benign aetiology of PFNs seems valid outside the screening setting.