Prognostic value of aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of the aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma remains uncertain. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the association between the AST/ALT ratio and prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy, and to explore the role of underlying liver diseases as mediators.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent hepatectomy between January 2014 and January 2018 at two Chinese hospitals. The maximally selected rank statistic and g-computation approach were used to quantify and visualize the association between the AST/ALT ratio and overall survival or recurrence-free survival. The role of mediators (chronic hepatitis B, hepatic steatosis and liver cirrhosis) was analysed.

RESULTS

Among the 1519 patients (mean(s.d.) age at baseline, 50.5(11.3) years), 1309 (86.2%) were male. During a median follow-up of 46.0 months, 514 (33.8%) patients died and 358 (23.6%) patients experienced recurrence. The optimal cut-off value for the AST/ALT ratio was 1.4, and the AST/ALT ratio greater than or equal to 1.4 was independently associated with a 39.0% increased risk of death and a 30.0% increased risk of recurrence (overall survival: hazard ratio (HR), 1.39; 95% c.i. 1.15 to 1.68; recurrence-free survival: HR, 1.30; 95% c.i. 1.12 to 1.52) after adjusting for confounders. Chronic hepatitis B significantly mediated the association of the ratio of AST/ALT with both overall survival and recurrence-free survival (20.3% for overall survival; 20.1% for recurrence-free survival).

CONCLUSION

The AST/ALT ratio greater than or equal to 1.4 was associated with shorter overall survival and recurrence-free survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy, and chronic hepatitis B may play a role in their association.

Importance of optimizing duration of adjuvant immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy to treat postoperative hepatocellular carcinoma after conversion therapy: a case report

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma at high risk of recurrence after hepatic resection or local ablation often undergo adjuvant immunotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors for 1 year in randomized controlled trials, but the appropriateness of this duration is controversial, especially given the risk of adverse events. Here we report the case of a 52-year-old Chinese man with initially unresectable multinodular recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent two cycles of transarterial chemoembolization, followed by hepatic resection and 24 months of adjuvant therapy with the PD-1 inhibitor tislelizumab. The patient achieved a recurrence-free survival time of 24 months, but he experienced elevated alpha fetoprotein, Grade 2 hypothyroidism and pruritus while on adjuvant therapy. This case highlights the need to optimize the duration of adjuvant immunotherapy after curative treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma in order to minimize risk of not only recurrence but also adverse events.

Establishment and validation of a prognostic pomogram in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with intensity modulated radiotherapy: a real world study

BACKGROUND

To establish a prognostic model to predict the overall survival (OS) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

METHODS

The unresectable HCC patients treated with IMRT were retrospectively analyzed and randomized into development cohort (n = 237) and validation cohort (n = 103) in a 7:3 ratio. We developed a prognosis model with the multivariate Cox regression analysis in the development cohort to derive the predictive nomogram, which was then validated in the validation cohort. Model performance was evaluated by the c-index, the area under curve(AUC) and the calibration plot.

RESULTS

A total of 340 patients were enrolled. Tumor numbers > 3 (HR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.21-2.37), AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.10-2.10), PLT < 100 × 10^9(HR = 1.7495% CI = 1.11-2.73), ALP > 150U/L (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.15-2.37) and prior surgery (HR = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.43-0.93) were independent prognostic factors. The nomogram based on independent factors was constructed. The c-index for OS prediction was 0.658 (95% CI, 0.647-0.804) and 0.683 (95% CI, 0.580-0.785) in the development and validation cohort, respectively. The nomogram demonstrated good discriminative ability with AUC rates of 0.726, 0.739 and 0.753 at 1-year, 2-year and 3-year models in the development cohort, and 0.715, 0.756 and 0.780 in the validation cohort, respectively. Additionally, good prognostic discrimination of the nomogram is also reflected in stratifying patients into two subgroups with distinct prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed a prognostic nomogram for predicting the survival of patients with unresectable HCC treated with IMRT.