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Phung MT, Lee AW, McLean K, Anton-Culver H, Bandera EV, Carney ME, Chang-Claude J, Cramer DW, Doherty JA, Fortner RT, Goodman MT, Harris HR, Jensen A, Modugno F, Moysich KB, Pharoah PDP, Qin B, Terry KL, Titus LJ, Webb PM, Wu AH, Zeinomar N, Ziogas A, Berchuck A, Cho KR, Hanley GE, Meza R, Mukherjee B, Pike MC, Pearce CL, Trabert B. A framework for assessing interactions for risk stratification models: the example of ovarian cancer. J Natl Cancer Inst 2023; 115:1420-1426. [PMID: 37436712 PMCID: PMC10637032 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djad137] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Revised: 06/08/2023] [Accepted: 06/30/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Generally, risk stratification models for cancer use effect estimates from risk/protective factor analyses that have not assessed potential interactions between these exposures. We have developed a 4-criterion framework for assessing interactions that includes statistical, qualitative, biological, and practical approaches. We present the application of this framework in an ovarian cancer setting because this is an important step in developing more accurate risk stratification models. Using data from 9 case-control studies in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of interactions among 15 unequivocal risk and protective factors for ovarian cancer (including 14 non-genetic factors and a 36-variant polygenic score) with age and menopausal status. Pairwise interactions between the risk/protective factors were also assessed. We found that menopausal status modifies the association among endometriosis, first-degree family history of ovarian cancer, breastfeeding, and depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate use and disease risk, highlighting the importance of understanding multiplicative interactions when developing risk prediction models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minh Tung Phung
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Alice W Lee
- Department of Public Health, California State University, Fullerton, Fullerton, CA, USA
| | - Karen McLean
- Department of Gynecologic Oncology and Department of Pharmacology & Therapeutics, Elm & Carlton Streets, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - Hoda Anton-Culver
- Department of Medicine, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - Elisa V Bandera
- Cancer Epidemiology and Health Outcomes, Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
| | - Michael E Carney
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, John A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Jenny Chang-Claude
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Cancer Epidemiology Group, University Cancer Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Daniel W Cramer
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Jennifer Anne Doherty
- Huntsman Cancer Institute, Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Renee T Fortner
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
- Department of Research, Cancer Registry of Norway, Oslo, Norway
| | - Marc T Goodman
- Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cancer Prevention and Genetics Program, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Community and Population Health Research Institute, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Holly R Harris
- Program in Epidemiology, Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Allan Jensen
- Department of Lifestyle, Reproduction and Cancer, Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Francesmary Modugno
- Women’s Cancer Research Center, Magee-Women’s Research Institute and Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
- Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Pittsburg, PA, USA
| | - Kirsten B Moysich
- Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, USA
| | - Paul D P Pharoah
- Department of Computational Biomedicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Centre, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Bo Qin
- Cancer Epidemiology and Health Outcomes, Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
| | - Kathryn L Terry
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Linda J Titus
- Public Health, Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine, Portland, ME, USA
| | - Penelope M Webb
- Population Health Program, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Anna H Wu
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Nur Zeinomar
- Cancer Epidemiology and Health Outcomes, Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
| | - Argyrios Ziogas
- Department of Medicine, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - Andrew Berchuck
- Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Kathleen R Cho
- Department of Pathology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Gillian E Hanley
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, University of British Columbia Faculty of Medicine, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Rafael Meza
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
- Department of Integrative Oncology, BC Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Bhramar Mukherjee
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Malcolm C Pike
- Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Celeste Leigh Pearce
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Britton Trabert
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
- Cancer Control and Populations Sciences Program, Huntsman Cancer Institute at the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
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