Establishment and visualization of a model based on high-resolution CT qualitative and quantitative features for prediction of micropapillary or solid components in invasive lung adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To predict the existence of micropapillary or solid components in invasive adenocarcinoma, a model was constructed using qualitative and quantitative features in high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT).

METHODS

Through pathological examinations, 176 lesions were divided into two groups depending on the presence or absence of micropapillary and/or solid components (MP/S): MP/S- group (n = 128) and MP/S + group (n = 48). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictors of the MP/S. Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted diagnostic software was used to automatically identify the lesions and extract corresponding quantitative parameters on CT images. The qualitative, quantitative, and combined models were constructed according to the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted to evaluate the discrimination capacity of the models with the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity calculated. The calibration and clinical utility of the three models were determined using the calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. The combined model was visualized in a nomogram.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis using both qualitative and quantitative features indicated that tumor shape (P =  0.029 OR =  4.89; 95% CI 1.175-20.379), pleural indentation (P = 0.039 OR =  1.91; 95% CI 0.791-4.631), and consolidation tumor ratios (CTR) (P < 0.001; OR = 1.05; 95% CI 1.036-1.070) were independent predictors for MP/S + . The areas under the curve (AUC) of the qualitative, quantitative, and combined models in predicting MP/S + were 0.844 (95% CI 0.778-0.909), 0.863 (95% CI 0.803-0.923), and 0.880 (95% CI 0.824-0.937). The combined model of AUC was the most superior and statistically better than qualitative model.

CONCLUSION

The combined model could assist doctors to evaluate patient's prognoses and devise personalized diagnostic and treatment protocols for patients.