Preoperative prediction of disease-free survival in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients after R0 resection using contrast-enhanced CT and CA19-9

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the efficiency of a combination of preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) after R0 resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

A total of 138 PDAC patients who underwent curative R0 resection were retrospectively enrolled and allocated chronologically to training (n = 91, January 2014-July 2019) and validation cohorts (n = 47, August 2019-December 2020). Using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses, we constructed a preoperative clinicoradiographic model based on the combination of CECT features and serum CA19-9 concentrations, and validated it in the validation cohort. The prognostic performance was evaluated and compared with that of postoperative clinicopathological and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) models. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to verify the preoperative prognostic stratification performance of the proposed model.

RESULTS

The preoperative clinicoradiographic model included five independent prognostic factors (tumor diameter on CECT > 4 cm, extrapancreatic organ infiltration, CECT-reported lymph node metastasis, peripheral enhancement, and preoperative CA19-9 levels > 180 U/mL). It better predicted DFS than did the postoperative clinicopathological (C-index, 0.802 vs. 0.787; p < 0.05) and TNM (C-index, 0.802 vs. 0.711; p < 0.001) models in the validation cohort. Low-risk patients had significantly better DFS than patients at the high-risk, defined by the model preoperatively (p < 0.001, training cohort; p < 0.01, validation cohort).

CONCLUSIONS

The clinicoradiographic model, integrating preoperative CECT features and serum CA19-9 levels, helped preoperatively predict postsurgical DFS for PDAC and could facilitate clinical decision-making.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

We constructed a simple model integrating clinical and radiological features for the prediction of disease-free survival after curative R0 resection in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; this novel model may facilitate preoperative identification of patients at high risk of recurrence and metastasis that may benefit from neoadjuvant treatments.

KEY POINTS

• Existing clinicopathological predictors for prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients who underwent R0 resection can only be ascertained postoperatively and do not allow preoperative prediction. • We constructed a clinicoradiographic model, using preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) features and preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels, and presented it as a nomogram. • The presented model can predict disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with PDAC better than can postoperative clinicopathological or tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) models.

Retroperitoneal Bronchogenic Cyst Mimicking a Pancreatic Cystic Lesion with Extremely High Level of Intralesional Fluid CA-19.9 Antigen: Benign in Disguise

Bronchogenic cysts are congenital benign tumors resulting from abnormal budding of the primitive foregut. Usually presented on the posterior mediastinum, its presence on the retroperitoneum is extremely rare. We present an asymptomatic lady patient with a retroperitoneal cystic lesion that was submitted to endoscopic ultrasound-guided biopsies and intracystic fluid aspiration with histology excluding malignance despite intracystic fluid biochemical analysis that disclosed extremely high carbohydrate antigen 19-9. Definite diagnosis of bronchogenic cyst was only possible after complete surgical resection of the lesion. Furthermore, we discuss the use of this antigen as a tumor marker in this situation and its relevance to the preoperative diagnosis of such lesions.