Independent value of PMOI on hCG day in predicting pregnancy outcomes in IVF/ICSI cycles

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine whether, on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) injection, the progesterone to number of mature oocytes index (PMOI) can be used alone or together with other parameters in a fresh embryo transfer in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycle to predict pregnancy outcome.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of all couples who underwent a clinical pregnancy and received a fresh IVE/ICSI cycle at a single large reproductive medical center between June 2019 and March 2022. The study involved a total of 1239 cycles. To analyze risk factors associated with pregnancy outcomes on the day of HCG injection, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined, and PMOI and other factors were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The clinical pregnancy rate was significantly higher in group A (60.76%) than in the other groups (Group B: 52.92% and Group C:47.88%, respectively, p =0.0306). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression revealed that PMOI levels were significantly correlated with the probability of pregnancy outcome, independent of other risk factors. More importantly, PMOI levels independently predict the occurrence of pregnancy outcome, comparable to the model combining age. The optimal serum PMOI cutoff value for pregnancy outcome was 0.063 ug/L.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that PMOI levels have an independent predictive value for pregnancy outcome in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles.

High responders are not exempt from detrimental effects of prematurely rising progesterone levels in fresh embryo transfer cycles

RESEARCH QUESTION

Are high-responder IVF patients protected from the deleterious effect of prematurely elevated serum progesterone level on the probability of pregnancy?

DESIGN

In this retrospective cohort study, 2971 autologous fresh embryo transfer IVF cycles with gonadotrophin-releasing hormone agonist long protocol were analysed to investigate whether the detrimental effect of prematurely rising progesterone levels on clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) varies depending on the magnitude of ovarian response. Nine different evenly spaced intervals were constructed for serum progesterone level on the human chorionic gonadotrophin day (<0.5/0.5-0.9/1-1.4/1.5-1.9/2-2.4/2.5-2.9/3-3.4/3.5-3.9/>4 ng/ml). Then, IVF cycles in each of these intervals were further divided into low (≤3 oocytes), normal (4-15 oocytes) and high responders (≥16 oocytes).

RESULTS

The progressive rise of serum progesterone from the <0.5 to the >4 ng/ml interval caused a gradual and continuous decline in the CPR of all three types of ovarian response. The absolute difference in the CPR between the lowest and the highest progesterone groups was not related to the magnitude of ovarian response (-26.6%, -37.7% and -40.7% for the low, normal and high responders, respectively). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the detrimental effect of progesterone started at 1.5-1.9 ng/ml, 3.0-3.4 ng/ml and 4.0-4.4 ng/ml intervals for the low, normal and high responders, respectively.

CONCLUSION

High responders are not exempt from the detrimental effects of prematurely rising serum progesterone levels but the threshold interval where the detrimental effect begins is higher in the high responders compared with the low and normal responders.