[Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Prediction of Carbon Storage in Kunming City Based on InVEST and CA-Markov Model]

Land use/cover change is an important driving factor for carbon stock changes in terrestrial ecosystems and affects the carbon cycle of the whole ecosystem. Taking Kunming City as a case study, based on the modified carbon density coefficient, this study analyzed the spatio-temporal characteristics of carbon storage changes in the terrestrial ecosystem under different land use scenarios from 2000 to 2020 and "three-line" constraints by coupling the carbon storage module of the InVEST model and CA-Markov model. The results showed that:① cultivated land, forest land, and grassland were the main types of land use in Kunming City, and land use transfer also occurred among the three types. ② From 2000 to 2020, the overall carbon storage in Kunming City was low in the south and high in the north, and the carbon storage decreased yearly with a cumulative loss of 5.27×106 t. The degradation of forest land and grassland was the main reason for the decrease in carbon storage. ③ From 2020 to 2030, the carbon storage of the four scenarios should decrease, and the decline in carbon storage in the inertia development scenario was the most obvious, which was mainly caused by the rapid expansion of construction land. The cultivated land protection scenario effectively slowed down the reduction in carbon storage compared with the inertia development scenario. The ecological protection scenario could enhance the carbon sequestration capacity of the study area, with carbon storage reaching 262.49×106 t, but could not effectively control the reduction in cultivated land area. The scenario of preventing urban expansion effectively inhibited the disorderly expansion of construction land and indirectly prevented further reduction in carbon storage. Therefore, the cultivated land protection scenario, ecological protection scenario, and urban expansion prevention scenario can be considered comprehensively in the study area, which could not only increase the carbon sink space of the study area but also ensure food and ecological security.

[Investigation on Demodex infections among university students in Kunming City]

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prevalence of Demodex infection among students in Kunming Medical University, and identify the factors affecting Demodex infections, so as to provide the evidence for the development of the strategy for the prevention of Demodex infections.

METHODS

A total of 1 463 students from Grade 2014 who studied Medical Parasitology in Kunming Medical University were included in the survey. Demodex was examined in students'facial skin using the cellophane tape method, and the species was identified using microscopy. The students'gender, ethnicity, place of origin and skin type were captured using a questionnaire survey.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of Demodex infections was 19.07% (279/1 463) on the facial skin among the university students, and a higher prevalence was seen in girls (21.16%, 183/865) than in boys (16.05%, 96/598) (χ² =5.965,P <0.05).TheprevalenceofDemodex infectionswas18.33%(66/360)amongminorethnicstudents,andnoethnicity-specific prevalence was seen (P > 0.05). Demodex folliculorum was the predominant species, with a prevalence of 50.54% (141/279), and mild infections were predominant among all infections (96.77%, 270/279), without severe infections seen. Multivariate nonconditional logistic regression analysis revealed that gender and roommates with Demodex infections were risk factors of Demodex infections, and the infection was not associated with ethnicity, place of origin or skin type. There were only 2.53% (37/1 463) of the subjects understanding the knowledge pertaining to the prevention and control of Demodex infection.

CONCLUSIONS

A relatively low prevalence of Demodex infection is detected in the facial skin of students from Kunming Medical University, and Demodex infection is associated with gender and roommates with Demodex infections. Health education pertaining to the prevention of Demodex infections is suggested to be intensified among university students.