Evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern over a period of Delta and Omicron cocirculation, among patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in an Italian reference hospital: Impact on clinical outcomes

Despite the higher transmissibility of Omicron Variant of Concern (VOC), several reports have suggested lower risk for hospitalization and severe outcomes compared to previous variants of SARS-CoV-2. This study, enrolling all COVID-19 adults admitted to a reference hospital who underwent both the S-gene-target-failure test and VOC identification by Sanger sequencing, aimed to describe the evolving prevalence of Delta and Omicron variants and to compare the main in-hospital outcomes of severity, during a trimester (December 2021 to March 2022) of VOCs' cocirculation. Factors associated with clinical progression to noninvasive ventilation (NIV)/mechanical ventilation (MV)/death within 10 days and to MV/admission to intensive care unit (ICU)/death within 28 days, were investigated through multivariable logistic regressions. Overall, VOCs were: Delta n = 130/428, Omicron n = 298/428 (sublineages BA.1 n = 275 and BA.2 n = 23). Until mid-February, Delta predominance shifted to BA.1, which was gradually displaced by BA.2 until mid-March. Participants with Omicron VOC were more likely to be older, fully vaccinated, with multiple comorbidities and to have a shorter time from symptoms' onset, and less likely to have systemic symptoms and respiratory complications. Although the need of NIV within 10 days and MV within 28 days from hospitalization and the admission to ICU were less frequent for patients with Omicron compared to those with Delta infections, mortality was similar between the two VOCs. In the adjusted analysis, multiple comorbidities and a longer time from symptoms' onset predicted 10-day clinical progression, while complete vaccination halved the risk. Multimorbidity was the only risk factor associated with 28-day clinical progression. In our population, in the first trimester of 2022, Omicron rapidly displaced Delta in COVID-19 hospitalized adults. Clinical profile and presentation differed between the two VOCs and, although Omicron infections showed a less severe clinical picture, no substantial differences for clinical progression were found. This finding suggests that any hospitalization, especially in more vulnerable individuals, may be at risk for severe progression, which is more related to the underlying frailty of patients than to the intrinsic severity of the viral variant.

Understanding spatiotemporal symptom onset risk of Omicron BA.1, BA.2 and hamster-related Delta AY.127

Purpose

Investigation of the community-level symptomatic onset risk regarding severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern, is crucial to the pandemic control in the new normal.

Methods

Investigated in this study is the spatiotemporal symptom onset risk with Omicron BA.1, BA.2, and hamster-related Delta AY.127 by a joint analysis of community-based human mobility, virus genomes, and vaccinations in Hong Kong.

Results

The spatial spread of Omicron BA.2 was found to be 2.91 times and 2.56 times faster than that of Omicron BA.1 and Delta AY.127. Identified has been an early spatial invasion process in which spatiotemporal symptom onset risk was associated with intercommunity and cross-community human mobility of a dominant source location, especially regarding enhancement of the effects of the increased intrinsic transmissibility of Omicron BA.2. Further explored is the spread of Omicron BA.1, BA.2, and Delta AY.127 under different full and booster vaccination rate levels. An increase in full vaccination rates has primarily contributed to the reduction in areas within lower onset risk. An increase in the booster vaccination rate can promote a reduction in those areas within higher onset risk.

Conclusions

This study has provided a comprehensive investigation concerning the spatiotemporal symptom onset risk of Omicron BA.1, BA.2, and hamster-related Delta AY.127, and as such can contribute some help to countries and regions regarding the prevention of the emergence of such as these variants, on a strategic basis. Moreover, this study provides scientifically derived findings on the impact of full and booster vaccination campaigns working in the area of the reduction of symptomatic infections.

Spike mutations contributing to the altered entry preference of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 and BA.2

SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529.1 (Omicron BA.1) emerged in November 2021 and quickly became the predominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant globally. Omicron BA.1 contains more than 30 mutations in the spike protein, which contribute to its altered virological features when compared to the ancestral SARS-CoV-2 or previous SARS-CoV-2 variants. Recent studies by us and others demonstrated that Omicron BA.1 is less dependent on transmembrane serine protease 2 (TMPRSS2), less efficient in spike cleavage, less fusogenic, and adopts an altered propensity to utilize the plasma membrane and endosomal pathways for virus entry. Ongoing studies suggest that these virological features of Omicron BA.1 are in part retained by the subsequent Omicron sublineages. However, the exact spike determinants that contribute to these altered features of Omicron remain incompletely understood. In this study, we investigated the spike determinants for the observed virological characteristics of Omicron. By screening for the individual changes on Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 spike, we identify that 69-70 deletion, E484A, and H655Y contribute to the reduced TMPRSS2 usage while 25-27 deletion, S375F, and T376A result in less efficient spike cleavage. Among the shared spike mutations of BA.1 and BA.2, S375F and H655Y reduce spike-mediated fusogenicity. Interestingly, the H655Y change consistently reduces serine protease usage while increases the use of endosomal proteases. In keeping with these findings, the H655Y substitution alone reduces plasma membrane entry and facilitates endosomal entry when compared to SARS-CoV-2 WT. Overall, our study identifies key changes in Omicron spike that contributes to our understanding on the virological determinant and pathogenicity of Omicron.