Prognostic nomograms for gastric carcinoma after D2 + total gastrectomy to assist decision-making for postoperative treatment: based on Lasso regression

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to establish novel nomograms that could be used to predict the prognosis of gastric carcinoma patients who underwent D2 + total gastrectomy on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

METHODS

Lasso regression was employed to construct the nomograms. The internal validation process included bootstrapping, which was used to test the accuracy of the predictions. The calibration curve was then used to demonstrate the accuracy and consistency of the predictions. In addition, the Harrell's Concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (t-ROC) curves were used to evaluate the discriminative abilities of the new nomograms and to compare its performance with the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the clinical application of our model. Finally, the prognostic risk stratification of gastric cancer was conducted with X-tile software, and the nomograms were converted into a risk-stratifying prognosis model.

RESULTS

LASSO regression analysis identified pT stage, the number of positive lymph nodes, vascular invasion, neural invasion, the maximum diameter of tumor, the Clavien-Dindo classification for complication, and Ki67 as independent risk factors for OS and pT stage, the number of positive lymph nodes, neural invasion, and the maximum diameter of tumor for PFS. The C-index of OS nomogram was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.690-0.748), which was superior to the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging (0.704, 95%CI: 0.623-0.783). The C-index of PFS nomogram was 0.694 (95% CI: 0.654-0.713), which was also better than that of the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging (0.685, 95% CI: 0.635-0.751). The calibration curves, t-ROC curves, and DCA of the two nomogram models showed that the prediction ability of the two nomogram models was outstanding. The statistical difference in the prognosis between the low- and high-risk groups further suggested that our model had an excellent risk stratification performance.

CONCLUSION

We reported the first risk stratification and nomogram for gastric carcinoma patients with total gastrectomy in Chinese population. Our model could potentially be used to guide treatment selections for the low- and high-risk patients to avoid delayed treatment or unnecessary overtreatment.

The short- and long-term outcomes of laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy combining with different type of mesentericoportal vein resection and reconstruction for pancreatic head adenocarcinoma: a Chinese multicenter retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The results of laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy combining with mesentericoportal vein resection and reconstruction (LPD-MPVRs) for pancreatic head adenocarcinoma are rarely reported. The aim of present study was to explore the short- and long-term outcomes of different type of LPD-MPVRs.

METHODS

Patients who underwent LPD-MPVRs in 14 Chinese high-volume pancreatic centers between June 2014 and December 2020 were selected and compared.

RESULTS

In total, 142 patients were included and were divided into primary closure (n = 56), end-end anastomosis (n = 43), or interposition graft (n = 43). Median overall survival (OS) and median progress-free survival (PFS) between primary closure and end-end anastomosis had no difference (both P > 0.05). As compared to primary closure and end-end anastomosis, interposition graft had the worst median OS (12 months versus 19 months versus 17 months, P = 0.001) and the worst median PFS (6 months versus 15 months versus 12 months, P < 0.000). As compared to primary closure, interposition graft had almost double risk in major morbidity (16.3 percent versus 8.9 percent) and about triple risk (10 percent versus 3.6 percent) in 90-day mortality, while End-end anastomosis had only one fourth major morbidity (2.3 percent versus 8.9 percent). Multivariate analysis revealed postoperation hospital stay, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, number of positive lymph nodes had negative impact on OS, while R0, R1 surgical margin had protective effect on OS. Postoperative hospital stay had negative impact on PFS, while primary closure, end-end anastomosis, short-term vascular patency, and short-term vascular stenosis positively related to PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

In LPD-MPVRs, interposition graft had the worst OS, the worst PFS, the highest rate of major morbidity, and the highest rate of 90-day mortality. While there were no differences in OS and PFS between primary closure and end-end anastomosis.

Prognostic value of systematic lymphadenectomy in patients with ovarian cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To appraise clinical outcomes of systematic lymphadenectomy in women with ovarian cancer based on stage, control group and type of chemotherapy.

STUDY DESIGN

A literature search was conducted on SCOPUS, PUBMED, COCHRANE, MEDLINE, and WEB OF SCIENCE databases. All comparative studies that assess outcomes of systematic lymphadenectomy in patients with ovarian cancer were eligible. Overall survival was analyzed by pooling log hazard ratio (HR) and standard error of multivariable Cox regression models. MOGGE Meta-analysis Matrix is a novel illustration tool that was used to demonstrate multiple subgroup analyses of included studies.

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies were eligible. Systematic lymphadenectomy was associated with better overall survival, that was close to significance, compared to control group (HR 0.93, 95 %CI 0.86-1.00). Among women treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, overall survival improved in women with stage IIB-IV who underwent systematic lymphadenectomy (HR 0.91, 95 %CI 0.84-0.99) and was most significant among patients with stage III to IV (HR 0.85, 95 %CI 0.73-0.99). Systematic lymphadenectomy did not improve survival in women who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.97, 95 %CI 0.73-1.29). Systematic lymphadenectomy was associated with improved progress-free survival compared to control group (HR 0.88, 95 %CI 0.79-0.99).

CONCLUSION

Although data from clinical trials do not support role of systematic lymphadenectomy in advanced ovarian cancer, overall data conveys stage-specific survival benefit. Further clinical trials may be warranted to assess substage survival outcomes in women with advanced stages.

Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors in hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 negative advanced breast cancer: a meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Breakthrough progress has been made in Cyclin-Dependent kinase 4 and 6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors when combined with endocrine therapy (ET) for hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC). Though significant improvements of progression-free survival (PFS) for CDK4/6 inhibitors were demonstrated, however, the results of overall survival (OS) profile were not consistent. This study is conducted to further evaluate the efficacy and safety of CDK4/6 inhibitors for HR+ /HER2- ABC, and explore the prefer population through subgroup analysis.

METHOD

We identified relevant randomized controlled trials that compared CDK4/6 inhibitors plus ET to ET alone in HR+ /HER2- ABC. We calculated the hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS, and risk ratios (RRs) for objective response rate (ORR), clinical benefit rate (CBR), adverse events (AEs). Statistical analysis was performed with the random-effects model.

RESULT

Eight trials and 4580 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Compared to ET alone, CDK4/6 inhibitors plus ET not only produced a significantly longer PFS (HR = 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50-0.59, p < 0.00001), but also manifested an extension of OS (HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.67-0.93, p = 0.004) for HR+ /HER2- ABC. Similarly, the benefit was also manifested in ORR (RR = 1.47, 95% CI 1.30-1.67, p < 0.00001) and CBR (RR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.12-1.30, p < 0.00001). The improvements of PFS were observed in the combined treatment group as both the first-line (HR = 0.56) and the second-line therapy (HR = 0.53), and irrespective of menopausal status, the presence of visceral metastasis, previous treatment with chemotherapy, their race or age. Nevertheless, more hematologic and gastrointestinal adverse events were observed with CDK4/6 inhibitors. The most common Grade 3-4 AEs is neutropenia (RR 31.95).

CONCLUSION

Significant advantages of PFS and OS were observed for CDK4/6 inhibitors in HR+/HER2- ABC. Furthermore, the benefit of PFS was across all subgroups. Though associated with an increased occurrence of AEs, most of which are reversible, manageable, and acceptable. Therefore, CDK4/6 inhibitors could be recommended as a preferred options for patients with HR+ /HER2- ABC.