Development of a whole spinal MRI-based tumor burden scoring method in participants with multiple myeloma: a pilot study of prognostic significance

The aim of the study was to develop a new whole spinal MRI-based tumor burden scoring method in participants with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) and to explore its prognostic significance. We prospectively recruited participants with newly diagnosed MM; performed whole spinal MRI (sagittal FSE T1WI, sagittal IDEAL T2WI, and axial FLAIR T2WI) on them; and collected their clinical data, early treatment response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). We developed a new tumor burden scoring method according to the extent of bone marrow infiltration in five MRI patterns. All participants were divided into good response and poor response groups after four treatment cycles. Univariate, multivariate analyses, and ROC were used to determine the performance of independent predictors. Thresholds for PFS and OS were calculated using X-tile, and their prognostic significance were assessed by Kaplan-Meier. The Kruskal-Wallis H test was used to compare the differences of tumor burden score between the revised International Staging System (R-ISS) stages. The new tumor burden scoring method was used in 62 participants (median score, 12; range, 0-18). The tumor burden score (OR 1.266, p = 0.002) was an independent predictor of poor response and the AUC was 0.838. Higher tumor burden scores were associated with shorter PFS (p = 0.002) and OS (p = 0.011). The tumor burden score was higher in R-ISS-III than in R-ISS-I and R-ISS-II (p = 0.016 and p = 0.006, respectively). The tumor burden score was an excellent predictor of prognosis and may serve as a supplemental marker for R-ISS.

Evaluation of prognostic staging systems of multiple myeloma in the era of novel agents

This study aimed to evaluate the existing staging systems for multiple myeloma (MM) in the real world. From January 2010 to June 2019, we retrospectively analyzed 859 newly diagnosed MM patients from two institutions. Clinical data including laboratory findings, imaging examinations and staging system were obtained by reviewing medical records. Survival distributions were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis, and Cox proportional hazards model were used to identified risk factors. The overall survival (OS) of eligible patients was 61.0 months. The Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) had a larger receiver operating characteristic curve area (0.603) than both the International Staging System (0.573) and the Durie Salmon staging system (0.567). In the group receiving immunomodulatory agents-based regimens, the median OS was 92.0 months in R-ISS I, 63.0 months in R-ISS II and 18.0 months in R-ISS III (p < 0.0001). In the group receiving proteasome inhibitors-based regimens, the median OS was 102.0 months in R-ISS I, 63.0 months in R-ISS II and 22.0 months in R-ISS III (p < 0.0001). In different subgroups grouped according to age, hemoglobin (HGB), creatinine, and Ca, R-ISS also had a good stratification effect. Patients in R-ISS II, which accounted for 69.9% of all patients, were further analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses revealed that age >65 years (p = 0.001), HGB < 100 g/L (p < 0.001), elevated LDH (p = 0.001), and Ca (p = 0.010) were independent predictors of worse prognosis within R-ISS II. To conclusion, R-ISS remains a valuable staging system in the real world of the novel drug era. However, patients classified as R-ISS II still have great heterogeneity.

Nucleic acid based risk assessment and staging for clinical practice in multiple myeloma

The recently introduced Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) for multiple myeloma (MM) integrates albumin, β2 microglobulin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) with high-risk cytogenetic aberrations (CA), i.e., t(4;14) and t(14;16) and del17p using fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH). We evaluated utility of nucleic acid-based tests of multiplex ligation-based probe amplification (MLPA) and quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) to define the CA and the R-ISS categories as per this approach were evaluated for their ability to predict outcome in terms of response, progression-free (PFS), and overall survival (OS). In this study (n = 180), 17 (9.4%), 118 (65.6%), and 45 (25%) patients were assigned to R-ISS1, R-ISS2, and R-ISS3 categories with statistically significant differences in median PFS (p = 0.02) and OS (p < 0.001).On univariate analysis, serum creatinine, LDH, 17p deletion, chromosome 1q gain, and response after first induction therapy were associated with statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in PFS and in addition, age> 65 years and use of triplet therapy with OS. On multivariate analysis, only serum creatinine, LDH, and response after first induction therapy retained significance for predicting PFS and in addition, use of triplet therapy retained significance for the OS. The proposed nucleic acid-based algorithm using qRT-PCR and MLPA for R-ISS is resource-effective in terms of small quantities of sample required; feasibility of batch processing and reduced overall cost for the total number of regions evaluated and retained the prognostic significance of R-ISS, making it suitable for clinical practice for molecular characterization of MM.

High serum lactate dehydrogenase predicts an unfavorable outcome in Chinese elderly patients with multiple myeloma

There is significant heterogeneity among multiple myeloma (MM) patients with the survival duration varying greatly from a few months to several years. This study retrospectively analyzed serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in 105 cases of newly diagnosed elderly MM patients to investigate its value for outcome prediction. Serum LDH concentrations were evaluated prior to induction therapy. Prognostic analyses were carried out based on LDH levels and patients' other clinical data. We also applied the recently proposed Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) to 70 patients with the available data. Of all the patients, elevated serum LDH levels (≥271U/L) were observed in 13.3% (14 out of 105) patients at diagnosis. Compared with normal LDH group, high LDH group had significantly shorter overall survival (OS) (15.5 vs. 52.5 months, p = 0.002) and median progression free survival (PFS) (12.0 vs. 24 months, p = 0.030), as well as 2-year OS rate (20% vs. 81%, p < 0.001) and PFS rate (22% vs. 44%, p = 0.005). A multivariate analysis identified high LDH as a unique independent adverse prognostic parameter for both OS and PFS. In addition, there were significant differences between R-ISS II and R-ISS III patients in both median OS (52.5 vs. 15.5 months, p < 0.001) and PFS (23 vs. 7.5 months, p = 0.004). Furthermore, high LDH was a unique independent adverse indicator for overall response rate (ORR) and early death in elderly MM patients. These results identified LDH as an unfavorable prediction for the outcome of Chinese elderly patients with MM. R-ISS based on LDH is superior to ISS in prognostic assessment.