Prognostic factors for tibiofemoral and patellofemoral osteoarthritis 32-37 years after anterior cruciate ligament injury managed with early surgical repair or rehabilitation alone

OBJECTIVE

Explore prognostic factors for tibiofemoral (TFJ) and patellofemoral (PFJ) radiographic osteoarthritis (ROA) and 'symptoms plus ROA' (SOA), 32-37 years following anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury.

DESIGN

Exploratory analysis, longitudinal cohort.

METHODS

In 1980-1985, 251 patients aged 15-40 years with acute ACL rupture were allocated to early augmented or non-augmented repair (5 ± 4 days post-injury) plus rehabilitation, or rehabilitation alone. 127 of 190 participants who completed follow-up questionnaires were eligible. We classified ROA as TFJ/PFJ K&L Grade ≥2, and SOA as ROA plus pain and/or symptoms. Multivariable age-adjusted logistic regression investigated potential prognostic factors (assessed at 4 ± 1 year follow-up: ACL treatment, isokinetic quadriceps/hamstrings strength, single-leg-hop for distance, knee flexion/extension deficit, knee laxity, Tegner Activity Scale, Lysholm Scale; sex, baseline meniscus status).

RESULTS

127 patients were aged 58 ± 6 years; BMI 27 ± 4 kg/m²; 28% female; 59% had TFJ-ROA, 48% had TFJ-SOA (including n = 9 knee-arthroplasties), 36% had PFJ-ROA; 27% had PFJ-SOA. Baseline meniscus surgery was a prognostic factor for TFJ-ROA (multivariable age-adjusted odds ratio (95% CI): 3.0 (1.2, 7.8)). A single-leg-hop limb symmetry index (LSI) < 90% was a prognostic factor for PFJ-ROA (5.1 (1.4, 18.7)) and PFJ-SOA (4.9 (1.2, 19.7)). Hamstrings strength LSI <90% was a prognostic factor for PFJ-SOA (5.0 (1.3, 19.3)). ACL treatment with rehabilitation-alone was associated with an 80% reduction in the odds of PFJ-SOA (0.2 (0.1-0.7)), compared with early ACL-repair.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings are hypothesis generating, research is needed to determine whether ACL-injured individuals with these characteristics benefit from interventions to prevent or delay the onset of osteoarthritis.

KOOS pain as a marker for significant knee pain two and six years after primary ACL reconstruction: a Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network (MOON) prospective longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The prevalence of radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) approaches 50%, yet the prevalence of significant knee pain is unknown. We applied three different models of Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) thresholds for significant knee pain to an ACLR cohort to identify prevalence and risk factors.

DESIGN

Multicenter Orthopaedic Outcomes Network (MOON) prospective cohort patients with a unilateral primary ACLR and normal contralateral knee were assessed at 2 and 6 years. Independent variables included patient demographics, validated Patient Reported Outcomes (PRO; Marx activity score, KOOS), and surgical characteristics. Models included: (1) KOOS criteria for a painful knee = quality of life subscale <87.5 and ≥2 of: KOOSpain <86.1, KOOSsymptoms <85.7, KOOSADL <86.8, or KOOSsports/rec <85.0; (2) KOOSpain subscale score ≤72 (≥2 standard deviations below population mean); (3) 10-point KOOSpain drop from 2 to 6 years. Proportional odds models (alpha ≤ 0.05) were used.

RESULTS

1761 patients of median age 23 years, median body mass index (BMI) 24.8 kg/m(2) and 56% male met inclusion, with 87% (1530/1761) and 86% (1506/1761) follow-up at 2 and 6 years, respectively. At 6 years, n = 592 (39%), n = 131 (9%) and n = 169 (12%) met criteria for models #1 through #3, respectively. The most consistent and strongest independent risk factor at both time-points was subsequent ipsilateral knee surgery. Low 2-year Marx activity score increased the odds of a painful knee at 6 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant knee pain is prevalent after ACLR; with those who undergo subsequent ipsilateral surgery at greatest risk. The relationship between pain and structural OA warrants further study.

Tibiofemoral subchondral surface ratio (SSR) is a predictor of osteoarthritis symptoms and radiographic progression: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI)

OBJECTIVE

Symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA) is poorly correlated with radiographic severity, but subchondral bone measures may be useful for risk assessment as bone shape is grossly unaffected at early radiographic stages. We sought to determine whether compartment-specific size mismatch in the naturally asymmetric tibiofemoral joint, measured as tibiofemoral subchondral surface ratio (SSR): (1) predicts incident symptoms, (2) predicts incident or progressive OA, (3) is reproducible and time invariant.

DESIGN

OA Initiative participants with baseline MRIs and up to 48-month follow-up (n = 1,338) were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to determine the association between SSR and incident symptoms, incident OA, and progression of OA after adjusting for demographic, radiologic, injury-related, and lifestyle-related factors. Reproducibility was assessed as % coefficient of variation (CV) on repeat MRI studies at baseline and 24 months.

RESULTS

Increased medial SSR is protective against incident symptoms at 48 months (per 0.1 increase: OR 0.48 CI 0.30, 0.75; P = 0.001). Increased lateral SSR values are protective against lateral OA incidence (OR 0.23 CI 0.06, 0.77; P = 0.016) or progression (OR 0.66 CI 0.43, 0.99; P = 0.049) at 24 months. Both medial and lateral SSR are stable over time (medial: mean change 0.001 SD 0.016; lateral: mean change 0.000 SD 0.017) and are highly reproducible (3.0% CV medial SSR; 2.7% CV lateral SSR).

CONCLUSIONS

A larger medial SSR is protective against developing OA-related symptoms. A larger lateral SSR is protective against lateral OA incidence or progression. Finally, lateral and medial SSR are stable over time and are highly reproducible across MRI studies.