Joint modeling of longitudinal CD4 count data and time to first occurrence of composite outcome

In this study, we jointly modeled longitudinal CD4 count data and survival outcome (time-to-first occurrence of composite outcome of death, cardiac tamponade or constriction) in other to investigate the effects of Mycobacterium indicus pranii immunotherapy and the CD4 count measurements on the hazard of the composite outcome among patients with HIV and tuberculous (TB) pericarditis. In this joint modeling framework, the models for longitudinal and the survival data are linked by an association structure. The association structure represents the hazard of the event for 1-unit increase in the longitudinal measurement. Models fitting and parameter estimation were carried out using R version 4.2.3. The association structure that represents the strength of the association between the hazard for an event at time point j and the area under the longitudinal trajectory up to the same time j provides the best fit. We found that 1-unit increase in CD4 count results in 2 % significant reduction in the hazard of the composite outcome. Among HIV and TB pericarditis individuals, the hazard of the composite outcome does not differ between of M.indicus pranii versus placebo. Application of joint models to investigate the effect of M.indicus pranii on the hazard of the composite outcome is limited. Hence, this study provides information on the effect of M.indicus pranii on the hazard of the composite outcome among HIV and TB pericarditis patients.

Tuberculous and Infectious Pericarditis

Viral pericarditis is the most common cause of acute pericarditis and it is typically responsive to aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Tuberculous pericarditis is common in immunocompromised patients or in immunocompetent patients in endemic areas. The diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis usually requires a multidisciplinary approach, and presumptive treatment should be started for people with suspected infections living in endemic areas. Antituberculous treatment along with corticosteroid therapy can reduce complications from constrictive pericarditis. Purulent pericarditis is fatal if untreated. Bacterial and fungal cultures from pericardial fluid and blood are essential to determine the best treatment.

Cardiac tamponade caused by tuberculosis pericarditis in renal transplant recipients

A 50-year-old male, renal transplant recipient, was admitted with fever and chest discomfort. At admission, chest radiologic finding was negative and echocardiography showed minimal pericardial effusion. After 2 days of admission, chest pain worsened and blood pressure fell to 60/40 mmHg. Emergency echocardiography showed a large amount of pericardial effusion compressing the entire heart. Pericardiocentesis was performed immediately. Mycobacterium tuberculosis was isolated from pericardial fluid. Tuberculosis pericarditis should be considered as the cause of cardiac tamponade in renal transplant recipients, even with the absence of pericardial effusion in the initial study or suggestive history.