Risk of cardiovascular events after influenza: A population-based Self Controlled Case Series study, Spain 2011-2018

This study explores the relationship between influenza infection, both clinically diagnosed in primary-care and laboratory confirmed in hospital, and atherothrombotic events (acute myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) in Spain. A population-based self-controlled case series design was used with individual-level data from electronic registries (n = 2,230,015). The risk of atherothrombotic events in subjects ≥50 years old increased more than 2-fold during the 14 days after the mildest influenza cases in patients with fewer risk factors and more than 4-fold after severe cases in the most vulnerable patients, remaining in them more than 2-fold for 2 months. The transient increase of the association, its gradient after influenza infection and the demonstration by 4 different sensitivity analyses provide further evidence supporting causality. This work reinforces the official recommendations for influenza prevention in at-risk groups and should also increase the awareness of even milder influenza infection and its possible complications in the general population.

The Role of Biomarkers in Atherothrombotic Stroke-A Systematic Review

Stroke represents the primary debilitating disease in adults and is the second-highest cause of death worldwide. Atherosclerosis, the most prevalent etiology for vascular conditions, is a continuous process that gradually creates and develops endothelial lesions known as atherosclerotic plaques. These lesions lead to the appearance of atherothrombotic stroke. In the last decades, the role of biological biomarkers has emerged as either diagnostic, prognostic, or therapeutic targets. This article aims to create a list of potential biomarkers related to atherothrombotic stroke by reviewing the currently available literature. We identified 23 biomarkers and assessed their roles as risk factors, detection markers, prognostic predictors, and therapeutic targets. The central aspect of these biomarkers is related to risk stratification, especially for patients who have not yet suffered a stroke. Other valuable data are focused on the predictive capabilities for stroke patients regarding short-term and long-term prognosis, including their influence over the acute phase treatment, such as rt-PA thrombolysis. Although the role of biomarkers is anticipated to be of extreme value in the future, they cannot yet compete with traditional stroke neuroimaging markers but could be used as additional tools for etiological diagnosis.

Modifiable and Non-Modifiable Risk Factors for Atherothrombotic Ischemic Stroke among Subjects in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study

Risk factors for ischemic stroke is suggested to differ by etiologic subtypes. The purpose of this study was to examine the associations between modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors and atherothrombotic stroke (i.e., excluding cardioembolic stroke), and to examine if the potential benefit of modifiable lifestyle factors differs among subjects with and without predisposing comorbidities. After a median follow-up of 21.2 years, 2339 individuals were diagnosed with atherothrombotic stroke out of 26,547 study participants from the Malmö Diet and Cancer study. Using multivariable Cox regression, we examined non-modifiable (demographics and family history of stroke), semi-modifiable comorbidities (hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus and atherosclerotic disease), and modifiable (smoking, body mass index, diet quality, physical activity, and alcohol intake) risk factors in relation to atherothrombotic stroke. Higher age, male gender, family history of stroke, and low educational level increased the risk of atherothrombotic stroke as did predisposing comorbidities. Non-smoking (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56–0.68), high diet quality (HR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.72–0.97) and high leisure-time physical activity (HR = 0.89, 95% CI 0.80–0.98) decreased the risk of atherothrombotic ischemic stroke independent of established risk factors, with non-significant associations with body mass index and alcohol intake. The effect of the lifestyle factors was independent of predisposing comorbidities at baseline. The adverse effects of several cardiovascular risk factors were confirmed in this study of atherothrombotic stroke. Smoking cessation, improving diet quality and increasing physical activity level is likely to lower risk of atherothrombotic stroke in the general population as well as in patient groups at high risk.

Carotid Intima-Media Thickness is Not Associated with Markers of Atherosclerosis in Stroke Patients

BACKGROUND

It has been argued that carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) could better reflect an adaptive response of the vessel wall rather than being a marker of atherosclerosis. We explore this hypothesis by analyzing the ARTICO data.

METHODS

The ARTICO study was designed to evaluate the prognostic value of the pathological ankle-brachial index (ABI) for the emergence of new vascular events in patients who have suffered a noncardioembolic stroke. Collected variables were as follows: vascular risk factors, mean waist perimeter, quantification of carotid IMT, characteristics of carotid plaques, ABI, and presence of microalbuminuria.

RESULTS

A total of 591 patients with a complete carotid evaluation were available. There was no correlation between ABI and IMT (Spearman's, p NS). Logistic regression revealed that pathological ABI correlated significantly only with internal carotid artery stenosis greater than or equal to 50% (OR [odds ratio] 2.80, 1.66-4.71, P < .01) and peripheral artery disease (OR 3.33, 1.63-6.78, P < .01). However, multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that carotid IMT was independently associated with age (OR 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.09, P < .01), hypertension (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.02-3.26, P = .04), waist circumference (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P < .01), and microalbuminuria (OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.22-3.35, P < .01).

CONCLUSION

In our patients, carotid IMT does not seem to be associated with unequivocal markers of atheromatosis such as the existence of relevant carotid plaques or pathological ABI. These results as well as the association of IMT with age, hypertension, microalbuminuria, and mean waist perimeter support the hypothesis that IMT must be considered a risk factor for general vascular disease rather than a marker of atherosclerotic burden.

Predictive impact of daily physical activity on new vascular events in patients with mild ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Daily physical inactivity is associated with a substantially increased risk of cardiovascular events. However, the target level of daily physical activity remains unclear.

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the impact of physical activity on long-term vascular events in patients with mild ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We designed a single hospital-based prospective observational study and studied 166 ischemic stroke patients (mean age: 63.9 ± 9.2) who had a modified Rankin Scale 0-1. We measured the daily step count as a variable of the daily physical activity after three-months from the stroke onset. Other clinical characteristics including age, body mass index, blood pressure, blood laboratory tests, vascular function and medications were also assessed. The primary outcomes were hospitalization due to stroke recurrence, myocardial infarction, angina pectoris and peripheral artery disease. Survival curves were calculated by a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and the hazard ratios for recurrences were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up periods of 1332 days, 34 vascular events (23 stroke recurrences, 11 coronary artery disease) and 7 drop-outs occurred, and the remaining patients were divided into two groups: the without recurrence group (n = 125) and the with recurrence group (n = 34). The daily step count was lower in the nonsurvivor group than in the survivor group. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed that the daily step counts was independent predictors of new vascular events. A daily step count cutoff value of 6025 steps per day was determined by analyzing the receiver-operating characteristics that showed a sensitivity of 69.4% and a specificity of 79.4%. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves after a log-rank test showed a significantly lower event rate in the more than 6025 steps per day group compared with the less than 6025 steps per day group (P = 0.0002). The positive and negative predictive values of less than 6025 steps were 38.0% and 91.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our data indicate that daily physical activity evaluated by step counts may be useful for forecasting the prognosis in patients with mild ischemic stroke. Daily step counts of approximately 6000 steps per day may be an initial target level for reducing new vascular events.

Impact of living and socioeconomic characteristics on cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to stratify the risk of vascular event recurrence in patients with cerebral infarction according to living and socioeconomic characteristics and geographic region.

METHOD

The Outcomes in Patients with TIA and Cerebrovascular Disease (OPTIC) study is an international prospective study of patients aged 45 years or older who required secondary prevention of stroke [following either an acute transient ischemic attack, minor ischemic strokes, or recent (less than six-months previous), stable, first-ever, nondisabling ischemic stroke]. A total 3635 patients from 245 centers in 17 countries in four regions (Latin America, Middle East, North Africa, South Africa) were enrolled between 2007 and 2008. The outcome measure was the two-year rate of a composite of major vascular events (vascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke).

RESULTS

During the two-year follow-up period, 516 patients experienced at least one major cardiovascular event, resulting in an event rate of 15·6% (95% confidence interval 14·4-16·9%). Event rates varied across geographical region (P < 0·001), ranging from 13·0% in Latin America to 20·7% in North Africa. Unemployment status, living in a rural area, not living in fully serviced accommodation (i.e., house or apartment with its own electricity, toilet and water supply), no health insurance coverage, and low educational level (less than two-years of schooling) were predictors of major vascular events. Major vascular event rates steeply increased with the number of low-quality living/socioeconomic conditions (from 13·4% to 47·9%, adjusted P value for trend <0·001).

CONCLUSION

Vascular risk in stroke patients in low- and middle-income countries varies not only with the number of arterial beds involved but also with socioeconomic variables.