Incidence and outcome of patients with difficulty in hospital acceptance during COVID-19 pandemic in Osaka Prefecture, Japan: A population-based descriptive study

Aim

The impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic on the emergency medical service system in Japan has not been fully revealed. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021 on the difficulty in hospital acceptance of patients and patient outcome in Osaka Prefecture.

Methods

This study was a descriptive epidemiological study with a 3-year study period from January 2019 to December 2021. We included patients who were transported by ambulance and had registered in the Osaka Emergency Information Research Intelligent Operation Network (ORION) system. The primary end-point of this study was the difficulty in hospital acceptance by month, and the secondary outcome was the mortality of patients who experience difficulty in hospital acceptance in each year.

Results

We included 1,302,646 cases in this study. The proportion of cases with difficulty in hospital acceptance was 2.74% (12,829/468,709) in 2019, 3.74% (15,527/414,987) in 2020, and 5.09% (21,311/418,950) in 2021. The crude odds ratio for 2020 was 1.38 (95% confidence interval, 1.35-1.41) and for 2021 was 1.90 (95% confidence interval, 1.86-1.95). In 2019, 218 patients with difficulty in hospital acceptance had died by 21 days after hospitalization, whereas the number increased to 405 in 2020 and 750 in 2021.

Conclusion

The number of patients experiencing difficulty in hospital acceptance during the COVID-19 pandemic in Osaka Prefecture increased, and patient outcomes were worse than before the pandemic.

Factors associated with the difficulty in hospital acceptance among elderly emergency patients: A population-based study in Osaka City, Japan

AIM

We aimed to investigate prehospital factors associated with difficulty in hospital acceptance among elderly emergency patients.

METHODS

We reviewed ambulance records in Osaka City from January 2013 through December 2014, and enrolled all elderly emergency patients aged ≥65 years who were transported by on-scene emergency medical service personnel to a hospital that the personnel had selected. The definition of difficulty in hospital acceptance was to the requirement for ≥4 phone calls to hospitals by emergency medical service personnel before receiving a decision from the destination hospitals. Prehospital factors associated with difficulty in hospital acceptance were examined through logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

During the study period, 72 105 elderly patients were included, and 13 332 patients (18.5%) experienced difficulty in hospital acceptance. In the simple linear regression model, hospital selection time increased significantly with an increasing number of phone calls (R²  = 0.774). In the multivariable analysis, older age (P for trend <0.001), calls from a healthcare facility (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.32), night-time (AOR 2.17, 95% CI 2.08-2.26) and weekend/holidays (AOR 1.43, 95% CI 1.38-1.49) were significantly associated with difficulty in hospital acceptance. A positive association was observed between gastrointestinal emergency-related symptoms and difficulty in hospital acceptance among elderly patients with symptoms of internal disease (AOR 1.71, 95% CI 1.53-1.91).

CONCLUSIONS

In Japan, which has a rapidly aging population, a comprehensive strategy for elderly emergency patients, especially for advanced age groups or nursing home residents, is required. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2017; 17: 2441-2448.