Development and validation of an interpretable radiomic signature for preoperative estimation of tumor mutational burden in lung adenocarcinoma

Background

Tumor mutational burden (TMB) is a promising biomarker for immunotherapy. The challenge of spatial and temporal heterogeneity and high costs weaken its power in clinical routine. The aim of this study is to estimate TMB preoperatively using a volumetric CT-based radiomic signature (rMB).

Methods

Seventy-one patients with resectable lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) who underwent whole-exome sequencing (WXS) from 2011 to 2014 were enrolled from the institutional biobank of Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (TMUCIH). Forty-nine LUAD patients with WXS from the Cancer Genome Atlas Program (TCGA) served as the external validation cohort. Computed tomography (CT) volumes were resampled to 1-mm isotropic, semi-automatically segmented, and manually adjusted by two radiologists. A total of 3,108 radiomic features were extracted via PyRadiomics and then harmonized across cohorts by ComBat. Features with inter-segmentation intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) > 0.8, low collinearity, and significant univariate power were passed to the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-logistic classifier to discriminate TMB-high/TMB-low at a threshold of 10 mut/Mb. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calibration curve were used to determine its efficiency. Shapley values (SHAP) attributed individual predictions to feature contributions. Clinical variables and circulating biomarkers were collected to find potential associations with TMB and rMB.

Results

The top frequently mutated genes significantly differed between the Chinese and TCGA cohorts, with a median TMB of 2.20 and 3.46 mut/Mb and 15 (21.12%) and 9 (18.37%) cases of TMB-high, respectively. After dimensionality reduction, rMB comprised 21 features, which reached an AUC of 0.895 (sensitivity = 0.867, specificity = 0.875, and accuracy = 0.873) in the discovery cohort and 0.878 (sensitivity = 1.0, specificity = 0.825, and accuracy = 0.857 in a consist cutoff) in the validation cohort. rMB of TMB-high patients was significantly higher than rMB of TMB-low patients in both cohorts (p < 0.01). rMB was well-calibrated in the discovery cohort and validation cohort (p = 0.27 and 0.74, respectively). The square-filtered gray-level concurrence matrix (GLCM) correlation was of significant importance in prediction. The proportion of circulating monocytes and the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with TMB, whereas the circulating neutrophils and lymphocyte percentage, original and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with rMB.

Conclusion

rMB, an intra-tumor radiomic signature, could predict lung adenocarcinoma patients with higher TMB. Insights from the Shapley values may enhance persuasiveness of the purposed signature for further clinical application. rMB could become a promising tool to triage patients who might benefit from a next-generation sequencing test.

Integrated longitudinal circulating tumor DNA profiling predicts immunotherapy response of metastatic urothelial carcinoma in the POLARIS-03 trial

Non-invasive biomarkers for immunotherapy response remain a compelling unmet medical need. POLARIS-03 is a multicenter phase II trial to evaluate the safety and efficacy of toripalimab (anti-programmed cell death 1) in refractory metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). We assessed the predictive utility of longitudinal circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis from a single-institution biomarker cohort. Twenty-seven mUC patients receiving toripalimab (3 mg/kg Q2W) at Ren Ji Hospital were enrolled. Serial plasma specimens were obtained at baseline and then every two cycles during treatment. The 600-gene panel (PredicineATLAS™) liquid biopsy assay was applied to probe somatic variants and cancer cell fraction (CCF). Low-pass whole genome sequencing was used to determine the copy number abnormality (CNA) score. Across the entire cohort, we observed different degrees of concordance between somatic aberrations detected by ctDNA and those inferred by matched tumor samples. Although the baseline CCF or CNA had limited predictive value, early ctDNA response at week 8 was associated with toripalimab efficacy and prolonged patient survival. Integrating CCF and CNA decrease achieved a superior accuracy of 90.5% in classifying responders and non-responders and predicted long-term benefit from toripalimab. Dynamic changes in the CCF and CNA in blood exquisitely reflected radiographic assessment of malignant lesions, including those with FGFR3-TACC3 gene fusion or microsatellite instability. This study demonstrates the feasibility and effectiveness of integrated longitudinal ctDNA profiling as a potential biomarker in mUC patients undergoing immunotherapy and supports further clinical evaluation of minimally invasive liquid biopsy assays for treatment stratification and therapy monitoring. © 2023 The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Gut bacteria affect the tumoral immune milieu: distorting the efficacy of immunotherapy or not？

Immunotherapy using immune-checkpoint inhibitors is revolutionizing oncotherapy. However, the application of immunotherapy may be restricted because of the lack of proper biomarkers in a portion of cancer patients. Recently, emerging evidence has revealed that gut commensal bacteria can impact the therapeutic efficacy of immune-checkpoint inhibitors in several cancer models. In addition, testing the composition of gut bacteria provides context for prediction of the efficacy and toxicity of immunotherapy. In this review, we discuss the impacts of gut commensal bacteria on the tumoral immune milieu, highlighting some typical bacteria and their associations with immunotherapy.