A Novel Nomogram to Predict Resectable Gastric Cancer Based on Preoperative Circulating Tumor Cell

INTRODUCTION

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have been suggested to have an important prognostic role in gastrointestinal tumors. We developed a preoperative CTC-based nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with resectable gastric cancer after surgery and established a risk stratification system based on the nomogram.

METHODS

From January 2012 to June 2017, we screened 258 patients with gastric cancer treated with surgery from one center as the training cohort and 133 patients with gastric cancer treated with surgery from another as the validation cohort, screened prognostic factors for the training cohort using univariate and multivariate Cox risk proportional models, created predictive overall survival (OS) and a recurrence-free survival (RFS) nomogram, and plotted the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve for this nomogram in the training and validation cohorts. Risk score stratification was performed according to the nomogram, and OS curves were plotted for the low, medium, and high-risk groups using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The CTC positivity rate was 78.5% in all patients. CTC, TNM stage, and Ki-67 were the prognostic factors affecting OS and RFS after gastric cancer surgery. The nomogram consisted of these 3 variables. In the training group, the area under the curve of the nomogram for OS at 1, 3, and 5 years was 0.918, 0.829, and 0.813, respectively, and the area under the curve for RFS was 0.900, 0884, and 0.839, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in OS among the low, medium, and high-risk groups according to the risk stratification system constructed from nomogram scores ( P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

Two nomograms based on preoperative CTC were established to predict OS and RFS after resectable gastric cancer. The 2 nomograms had good discrimination and calibration and significant stratification ability of the risk stratification system established according to them.

Outcome evaluation of ECF, DCF, FOLFOX, and FLOT chemotherapy regimens as perioperative treatment in elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer; A retrospective comparative study

Background

The incidence of gastric cancer is known to be high in the elderly population. Identification of the best perioperative chemotherapy regimen is challenging in patients with resectable gastric cancer. In this study, we aimed to evaluate and compare the outcomes and safety of epirubicin, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (ECF), docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (DCF), oxaliplatin plus 5-Fluorouracil and leucovorin (FOLFOX), and docetaxel, oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and 5-Fluorouracil (FLOT) chemotherapy regimens to identify the most appropriate treatment option for elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Materials and Methods

In this retrospective observational cohort study, data were extracted from the medical archives (2017-2021) of Omid Hospital, which is a tertiary oncology referral hospital in Isfahan, Iran. Patients with resectable gastric cancer, above 60 years of age, who were perioperatively treated with one of the mentioned chemotherapy regimens and met the inclusion criteria, were enrolled in this study. The survival parameters and safety profile of the regimens were evaluated and compared in this population.

Results

A total of 63 patients were included in this study. The median follow-up period of the patients was 24 months (range, 7-51 months). The results of survival analysis revealed that the FLOT and DCF regimens were significantly associated with longer overall survival (OS) as compared to the other regimens (median OS: 38 and 33 months, respectively). Based on the results, the progression-free survival was longer in the DCF regimen (median: 24 months) compared to the other regimens; however, only the difference with the ECF regimen (median: 14 months) was significant. The results of Cox regression analysis showed no significant difference in the overall adjusted hazard ratio of mortality between the FLOT and DCF regimens (P = 0.802). The DCF and FOLFOX regimens accounted for the highest and lowest rates of adverse events (e.g., neutropenia and mucositis), respectively.

Conclusion

Considering the higher rate of adverse events in the DCF group, besides the significant improvement of OS and the acceptable adverse event profile of patients treated with the FLOT regimen, it can be proposed that this chemotherapy regimen is the most appropriate treatment option for elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Triplet Chemotherapy with Cisplatin versus Oxaliplatin in the CRITICS Trial: Treatment Compliance, Toxicity, Outcomes and Quality of Life in Patients with Resectable Gastric Cancer

(1) Background: Perioperative chemotherapy is the current standard treatment for patients with resectable gastric cancer. Based on studies in patients with metastatic gastric cancer, oxaliplatin has replaced cisplatin in the curative setting as well. However, evidence to prefer oxaliplatin over cisplatin in the curative setting is limited. (2) Methods: We compared patient-related and tumor-related outcomes for cisplatin versus oxaliplatin in patients with resectable gastric cancer treated with perioperative chemotherapy in the CRITICS trial. (3) Results: Preoperatively, 632 patients received cisplatin and 149 patients received oxaliplatin. Preoperative severe toxicity was encountered in 422 (67%) patients who received cisplatin versus 89 (60%) patients who received oxaliplatin (p = 0.105). Severe neuropathy was observed in 5 (1%) versus 6 (4%; p = 0.009) patients, respectively. Postoperative severe toxicity occurred in 109 (60%) versus 26 (51%) (p = 0.266) patients; severe neuropathy in 2 (1%) versus 2 (4%; p = 0.209) for patients who received cisplatin or oxaliplatin, respectively. Diarrhea impacted the quality of life more frequently in patients who received oxaliplatin compared to cisplatin. Complete or near-complete pathological response was achieved in 94 (21%) versus 16 (15%; p = 0.126) patients who received cisplatin or oxaliplatin, respectively. Overall survival was not significantly different in both groups (p = 0.300). (4) Conclusions: Both cisplatin and oxaliplatin are legitimate options as part of systemic treatment in patients with resectable gastric cancer.

History and emerging trends in chemotherapy for gastric cancer

Chemotherapy is indispensable for gastric cancer. For unresectable and/or recurrent gastric cancer, first-line chemotherapy consists of multidrug regimens including oral 5-FU agents such as S1/Xeloda and platinum preparations, as well as Trastuzumab, which is effective in HER2-positive cases. Second- and third-line chemotherapy regimens include taxanes, Ramucirumab (R-mab), and Nivolumab (N-mab), which have different mechanisms of action from first-line chemotherapy. R-mab is molecularly targeted to vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2 in the host cells, but its indication is not conditional. For resectable gastric cancer, in Eastern countries, postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy has been successful, including S1, Docetaxel/S1 (DS), and Xeloda/Oxaliplatin (Xelox) regimens, whereas, in Western countries, the 5-FU/Leucovorin/Oxaliplatin/Docetaxel (FLOT) regimen was recently shown to be effective in the perioperative chemotherapy setting. Most recently, however, in Eastern countries, perioperative SOX was demonstrated to be effective in specific advanced gastric cancer. For stage IV gastric cancer, new therapeutic strategies have been proposed such as neoadjuvant chemotherapy and conversion surgery, and cures can be conditionally obtained. Recent genomic understanding of gastric cancer proposed a diversity of molecular targets by molecular profiling. Such optimized chemotherapy regimens, according to the specific clinical situations, have been rigorously established for the best survival of advanced gastric cancer.

Nomogram based on systemic inflammatory response markers predicting the survival of patients with resectable gastric cancer after D2 gastrectomy

This study aimed to construct a nomogram to predict survival of patients with resectable gastric cancer (RGC) based on both clinicopathology characteristics and systemic inflammatory response markers (SIRMs). Of 3,452 RGC patients after D2 gastrectomy at the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, 1058 patients who met the inclusion criterion were analyzed. The patients operated on from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2009 were assigned to the training set (817 patients) to establish a nomogram, and the rest (241 patients) were selected as validation set. Based on the training set, seven independent risk factors were selected in the nomogram. The calibration curves for probability of 1-year, 3-year and 5-year overall survival (OS) showed satisfactory accordance between nomogram prediction and actual observation. When the metastatic lymph node stage (mLNS) is replaced by metastasis lymph node ratio (mLNR) in validation set, the C-index in predicting OS rise from 0.77 to 0.79, higher than that of 7th American Joint Committee on Cancer 7th (AJCC) staging system (0.70; p<0.001). In conclusions, the proposed nomogram which including mLNR and routine detected SIRMs resulted in optimal survival prediction for RGC patients after D2 gastrectomy.