Effect of air pollutants on ambulatory blood pressure

BACKGROUND AND METHODOLOGY

Air pollutants have a significant impact on public health. The aim of the study was to find out the relationship between ambulatory blood pressure measured by 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) and the atmospheric pollutants that are measured regularly (PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and SO2). An observational study of temporal and geographic measurements of individual patients (case-time series design) was carried out in Primary Care Centres and Hypertension Units in the Barcelona metropolitan area. We included 2888 hypertensive patients≥18 years old, untreated, with a first valid ABPM performed between 2005 and 2014 and with at least one air pollution station within a radius of <3km.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The mean age was 54.3 (SD 14.6) years. 50.1% were women and 16.9% of the sample were smokers. Mean 24-h blood pressure (BP) was 128.0 (12.7)/77.4 (9.7) mmHg. After adjusting for mean ambient temperature and different risk factors, a significant association was found between ambulatory diastolic BP (DBP) and PM10 concentrations the day before ABPM. For each increase of 10μg/m3 of PM10, an increase of 1.37mmHg 24-h DBP and 1.48mmHg daytime DBP was observed. No relationship was found between PM2.5, NO2 and SO2 and ambulatory BP, nor between any pollutant and clinical BP. The concentration of PM10 the day before the ABPM is significantly associated with an increase in 24-h DBP and daytime DBP.

O-009 Controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) protocols for assisted reproduction: a Cochrane systematic review and network meta-analysis

Study question

What is the relative effectiveness and safety of existing COS protocols for women undergoing assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment?

Summary answer

There was no difference in live birth between all protocols, but short antagonist protocols may reduce ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome in women with predicted normal/high response.

What is known already

Controlled ovarian stimulation is an essential step in most ART cycles. It involves the administration of exogenous gonadotrophins to induce multifollicular growth, usually in addition to drugs that prevent untimely ovulation by suppressing the pituitary gland. Different treatment combinations may be used in COS. These vary according to the type of drugs administered for pituitary suppression (e.g., gonadotrophin-releasing hormone [GnRH] agonists, antagonists) and ovarian stimulation (e.g., urinary or recombinant gonadotrophins). Drug dosages, timing and routes of administration also vary between different regimens. However, there is no consensus on how the existing COS protocols rank according to their effectiveness and safety.

Study design, size, duration

We searched the following databases to November 2021: MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, CENTRAL and ClinicalTrials.gov. We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing at least two COS protocols using GnRH agonists or antagonists for pituitary suppression; and human menopausal gonadotrophin (hMG), urinary or recombinant follicle-stimulating hormone (u/rFSH), with or without luteinising hormone (LH) for ovarian stimulation. The primary outcomes were the rates of live birth (LBR) and ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) per participant after one stimulation cycle.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Two reviewers independently selected studies and extracted data. We conducted pairwise and network meta-analyses (NMA) according to participants’ predicted response to COS (normal, high and low). Using the Cochrane-RoB-1 tool, we restricted our primary analyses to RCTs at low risk of selection and other biases. We presented effect estimates as risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) and considered I2&gt;50% as representing substantial heterogeneity. For each outcome, we generated ranking plots comparing different interventions.

Main results and the role of chance

In total, our searches identified 9464 studies. The primary analysis included 68 RCTs assessing 17861 women and 34 different COS protocols. The evidence showed that in women with predicted normal or high response, the use of short GnRH antagonist protocols may result in little to no difference in LBR (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.13; 6 studies; 2063 women; I2 = 0%; low-certainty evidence) and a reduction in OHSS (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.99; 7 studies; 2246 women; I2 = 0%; low-certainty evidence) compared with long GnRH agonist protocols. The rankogram comparing different COS protocols showed a probability of 98% that short GnRH antagonist regimens are the best treatment to prevent OHSS. Sensitivity analyses including all studies showed that in women with predicted normal response undergoing long GnRH agonist cycles for pituitary suppression, the use of rFSH for ovarian stimulation may result in decreased fresh-cycle LBR compared to hMG (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.95; 7 studies; 1575 women; I2 = 1%; low-certainty evidence). For the remaining interventions (e.g., agonist flare or progestogens for pituitary suppression, in combination with various gonadotrophin regimens) the evidence was uncertain of an effect or insufficient for quantitative synthesis.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The high number of interventions resulted in disconnected networks, limiting our ability to perform NMA for some comparisons. The certainty of the evidence was limited by serious risk of bias. Finally, the lack of data on cumulative LBR and differences in oocyte yield made comparisons between FSH preparations potentially unbalanced.

Wider implications of the findings

Our findings suggest that the use of short GnRH antagonist protocols may result in reduced OHSS rates in women with predicted normal or high ovarian response without compromising live birth rates. There is a paucity of high-quality RCTs comparing different gonadotrophin preparations (e.g., hMG versus rFSH) for COS.

Trial registration number

N/A

Natural history of subaortic stenosis in 166 dogs (1999-2011)

INTRODUCTION

Subaortic stenosis (SAS) is one of the most common congenital cardiac diseases in dogs. The objective of this study was to provide survival times on a large population of dogs with SAS and to propose a redefined pressure gradient (PG) scale to include a mild, moderate, severe and very severe disease group.

ANIMALS, MATERIALS AND METHODS

Dogs were divided into four groups based on the Doppler-derived PG across the stenosis. Disease severity was defined as follows: mild = PG < 50 mmHg; moderate = PG range 50-80 mmHg; severe = PG range 80-130 mmHg; and very severe = PG > 130 mmHg. Over the study period (1999-2011), 166 client-owned dogs were diagnosed with SAS of which 129 had follow-up information available.

RESULTS

Unadjusted median survival time for severity groups were as follows: mild 10.6 years; moderate 9.9 years; severe 7.3 years; and very severe 3.0 years. Univariable analysis examining the effect of the PG, age at diagnosis and sex found only the PG and age at diagnosis had a significant effect on survival. Adjusted survival curves showed that the survival time in the very severe group was decreased compared with all other groups.

CONCLUSION

Based on the results of this study, a revised SAS classification system with four PG groups is appropriate. Dogs with a PG > 130 mmHg were identified as those with the lowest median survival time.

The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

The FAST-M complex intervention for the detection and management of maternal sepsis in low-resource settings: a multi-site evaluation

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether the implementation of the FAST-M complex intervention was feasible and improved the recognition and management of maternal sepsis in a low-resource setting.

DESIGN

A before-and-after design.

SETTING

Fifteen government healthcare facilities in Malawi.

POPULATION

Women suspected of having maternal sepsis.

METHODS

The FAST-M complex intervention consisted of the following components: the FAST-M maternal sepsis treatment bundle and the FAST-M implementation programme. Performance of selected process outcomes was compared between a 2-month baseline phase and 6-month intervention phase with compliance used as a proxy measure of feasibility.

MAIN OUTCOME RESULT

Compliance with vital sign recording and use of the FAST-M maternal sepsis bundle.

RESULTS

Following implementation of the FAST-M intervention, women were more likely to have a complete set of vital signs taken on admission to the wards (0/163 [0%] versus 169/252 [67.1%], P < 0.001). Recognition of suspected maternal sepsis improved with more cases identified following the intervention (12/106 [11.3%] versus 107/166 [64.5%], P < 0.001). Sepsis management improved, with women more likely to receive all components of the FAST-M treatment bundle within 1 hour of recognition (0/12 [0%] versus 21/107 [19.6%], P = 0.091). In particular, women were more likely to receive antibiotics (3/12 [25.0%] versus 72/107 [67.3%], P = 0.004) within 1 hour of recognition of suspected sepsis.

CONCLUSION

Implementation of the FAST-M complex intervention was feasible and led to the improved recognition and management of suspected maternal sepsis in a low-resource setting such as Malawi.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Implementation of a sepsis care bundle for low-resources improved recognition & management of maternal sepsis.

Perineural and intravenous dexamethasone and dexmedetomidine: network meta-analysis of adjunctive effects on supraclavicular brachial plexus block

Both perineural and intravenous dexamethasone and dexmedetomidine are used as local anaesthetic adjuncts to enhance peripheral nerve block characteristics. However, the effects of dexamethasone and dexmedetomidine based on their administration routes have not been directly compared, and the relative extent to which each adjunct prolongs sensory blockade remains unclear. This network meta-analysis sought to compare and rank the effects of perineural and intravenous dexamethasone and dexmedetomidine as supraclavicular block adjuncts. We sought randomised trials investigating the effects of adding perineural and intravenous dexamethasone or dexmedetomidine to long-acting local anaesthetics on supraclavicular block characteristics, including time to block onset and durations of sensory, motor and analgesic blockade. Data were compared and ranked according to relative effectiveness for each outcome. Our primary outcome was sensory block duration, with a 2-h difference considered clinically important. We performed a frequentist analysis, using the GRADE framework to appraise evidence. One-hundred trials (5728 patients) were included. Expressed as mean (95%CI), the control group (local anaesthetic alone) had a duration of sensory block of 401 (366-435) min, motor block duration of 369 (330-408) min and analgesic duration of 435 (386-483) min. Compared with control, sensory block was prolonged most by intravenous dexamethasone [mean difference (95%CI) 477 (160-795) min], followed by perineural dexamethasone [411 (343-480) min] and perineural dexmedetomidine [284 (235-333) min]. Motor block was prolonged most by perineural dexamethasone [mean difference (95%CI) 294 (236-352) min], followed by intravenous dexamethasone [289 (129-448)min] and perineural dexmedetomidine [258 (212-304)min]. Analgesic duration was prolonged most by perineural dexamethasone [mean difference (95%CI) 518 (448-589) min], followed by intravenous dexamethasone [478 (277-679) min] and perineural dexmedetomidine [318 (266-371) min]. Intravenous dexmedetomidine did not prolong sensory, motor or analgesic block durations. No major network inconsistencies were found. The quality of evidence for intravenous dexamethasone, perineural dexamethasone and perineural dexmedetomidine for prolongation of supraclavicular sensory block duration was 'low', 'very low' and 'low', respectively. Regardless of route, dexamethasone as an adjunct prolonged the durations of sensory and analgesic blockade to a greater extent than dexmedetomidine. Differences in block characteristics between perineural and intravenous dexamethasone were not clinically important. Intravenous dexmedetomidine did not affect block characteristics.

Caesarean scar pregnancy in the UK: a national cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the incidence of caesarean scar pregnancy (CSP) and to describe the management outcomes associated with this condition.

DESIGN

A national cohort study using the UK Early Pregnancy Surveillance Service (UKEPSS).

SETTING

86 participating Early Pregnancy Units.

POPULATION

All women diagnosed in the participating units with CSP between November 2013 and January 2015.

METHODS

Cohort study of women identified through the UKEPSS monthly mailing system.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence, clinical outcomes and complications.

RESULTS

102 cases of CSP were reported, with an estimated incidence of 1.5 per 10 000 (95% CI 1.1-1.9) maternities. Full outcome data were available for 92 women. Management was expectant in 21/92 (23%), medical in 15/92 (16%) and surgical in 56/92 (61%). The success rates of expectant, medical and surgical management were 43% (9/21), 46% (7/15) and 96% (54/56), respectively. The complication rates were 15/21 (71%) with expectant, 9/15 (60%) with medical and 20/56 (36%) with surgical management. Discharge from care (median number of days) was 82 (range 37-174) with expectant, 21 (range 10-31) with medical and 11 (range 4-49) with surgical management.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgical management appears to be associated with a high success rate, low complication rate and short post-treatment follow up.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Surgery for CSP appears to be successful, with low complication rates and short post-treatment follow up.

Pharmacological treatment of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder with co-morbid drug dependence

BACKGROUND

Drug dependence is frequent in patients with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Nevertheless, the efficacy and safety of pharmacological treatments in this population are unclear.

METHODS

A systematic review with meta-analysis was performed. Randomised placebo-controlled clinical trials investigating the efficacy of pharmacological treatment in patients with co-occurring ADHD and substance use disorder (SUD) were included. ADHD symptom severity, drug abstinence and all-cause treatment discontinuation were the primary study endpoints. The effects of patient-, intervention- and study-related covariates over the primary outcomes were investigated by means of meta-regression.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies were included, enrolling a total of 1,271 patients. A small to moderate reduction of ADHD symptoms was found. Meta-regression analysis identified the presence of a lead-in period as a covariate associated with reduced efficacy. Conversely, no beneficial effect was observed either on drug abstinence or treatment discontinuation. The efficacy on ADHD symptoms was smaller in studies with a lead-in period. A positive correlation between the efficacy for ADHD and that for SUD was found.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of pharmacological interventions for co-occurring ADHD and SUD has been little investigated. Mixed results were obtained: while pharmacological interventions improved ADHD symptoms, no beneficial effect on drug abstinence or on treatment discontinuation was noted. The strength of the recommendation of pharmacological treatment for co-occurring ADHD and SUD is therefore modest. The study was registered with the international prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO): CRD 4212003414.

Effect of atmospheric mixing layer depth variations on urban air quality and daily mortality during Saharan dust outbreaks

Several epidemiological studies have shown that the outbreaks of Saharan dust over southern European countries can cause negative health effects. The reasons for the increased toxicity of airborne particles during dust storms remain to be understood although the presence of biogenic factors carried by dust particles and the interaction between dust and man-made air pollution have been hypothesized as possible causes. Intriguingly, recent findings have also demonstrated that during Saharan dust outbreaks the local man-made particulates can have stronger effects on health than during days without outbreaks. We show that the thinning of the mixing layer (ML) during Saharan dust outbreaks, systematically described here for the first time, can trigger the observed higher toxicity of ambient local air. The mixing layer height (MLH) progressively reduced with increasing intensity of dust outbreaks thus causing a progressive accumulation of anthropogenic pollutants and favouring the formation of new fine particles or specific relevant species likely from condensation of accumulated gaseous precursors on dust particles surface. Overall, statistically significant associations of MLH with all-cause daily mortality were observed. Moreover, as the MLH reduced, the risk of mortality associated with the same concentration of particulate matter increased due to the observed pollutant accumulation. The association of MLH with daily mortality and the effect of ML thinning on particle toxicity exacerbated when Saharan dust outbreaks occurred suggesting a synergic effect of atmospheric pollutants on health which was amplified during dust outbreaks. Moreover, the results may reflect higher toxicity of primary particles which predominate on low MLH days.

Measurement of the target-normal single-spin asymmetry in deep-inelastic scattering from the reaction (3)He(↑)(e,e')X

We report the first measurement of the target-normal single-spin asymmetry in deep-inelastic scattering from the inclusive reaction 3)He(↑)(e,e')X on a polarized (3)He gas target. Assuming time-reversal invariance, this asymmetry is strictly zero in the Born approximation but can be nonzero if two-photon-exchange contributions are included. The experiment, conducted at Jefferson Lab using a 5.89 GeV electron beam, covers a range of 1.7<W<2.9  GeV, 1.0<Q(2)<4.0  GeV(2) and 0.16<x<0.65. Neutron asymmetries were extracted using the effective nucleon polarization and measured proton-to-(3)He cross-section ratios. The measured neutron asymmetries are negative with an average value of (-1.09±0.38)×10(-2) for invariant mass W>2  GeV, which is nonzero at the 2.89σ level. Our measured asymmetry agrees both in sign and magnitude with a two-photon-exchange model prediction that uses input from the Sivers transverse momentum distribution obtained from semi-inclusive deep-inelastic scattering.

Beam-target double-spin asymmetry A{LT} in charged pion production from deep inelastic scattering on a transversely polarized {3}He target at 1.4<Q{2}<2.7 GeV{2}

We report the first measurement of the double-spin asymmetry A{LT} for charged pion electroproduction in semi-inclusive deep-inelastic electron scattering on a transversely polarized {3}He target. The kinematics focused on the valence quark region, 0.16<x<0.35 with 1.4<Q{2}<2.7  GeV{2}. The corresponding neutron A{LT} asymmetries were extracted from the measured {3}He asymmetries and proton over {3}He cross section ratios using the effective polarization approximation. These new data probe the transverse momentum dependent parton distribution function g{1T}{q} and therefore provide access to quark spin-orbit correlations. Our results indicate a positive azimuthal asymmetry for π{-} production on {3}He and the neutron, while our π{+} asymmetries are consistent with zero.

Single spin asymmetries in charged pion production from semi-inclusive deep inelastic scattering on a transversely polarized 3He Target at Q2 = 1.4-2.7 GeV2

We report the first measurement of target single spin asymmetries in the semi-inclusive (3)He(e,e'π(±))X reaction on a transversely polarized target. The experiment, conducted at Jefferson Lab using a 5.9 GeV electron beam, covers a range of 0.16 < x < 0.35 with 1.4 < Q(2) < 2.7 GeV(2). The Collins and Sivers moments were extracted from the azimuthal angular dependence of the measured asymmetries. The π(±) Collins moments for (3)He are consistent with zero, except for the π(+) moment at x = 0.35, which deviates from zero by 2.3σ. While the π(-) Sivers moments are consistent with zero, the π(+) Sivers moments favor negative values. The neutron results were extracted using the nucleon effective polarization and measured cross section ratios of proton to (3)He, and are largely consistent with the predictions of phenomenological fits and quark model calculations.

Postmastectomy Radiation Therapy and Breast Reconstruction: An Analysis of Complications and Patient Satisfaction

Introduction: The indications for postmastectomy radiation therapy (PMRT) have expanded over the past decade. Plastic surgeons are reluctant to perform an immediate reconstruction followed by radiation because of their perception this sequence results in worse results. This study examines the relationship between the use and sequencing of radiation therapy on complication rates and patient satisfaction following reconstrucion.Methods: A retrospective chart review was performed of all women at an academic institution who underwent mastectomy and reconstruction from 1999-2006. The 769 reconstructed breasts were separated into 4 groups: PMRT prior to delayed reconstruction (n = 60); immediate reconstruction then PMRT (n = 56); reconstruction without PMRT (n = 540); and reconstruction after breast-conserving therapy with RT (BCT-RT, n = 113). The median length of follow-up was 44 months. All operative complications were categorized into early (≤90 days) or late. A questionnaire based on the Michigan Breast Reconstruction Outcomes Study assessed general and aesthetic satisfaction (response rate, 73.2%). Dichotomous variables were evaluated using the Fisher's exact or chi-squared test; statistical significance was set at p &lt;0.05.Results: The overall complication rate for patients having PMRT (given before or after reconstruction) was higher than for patients with reconstruction only (36% vs. 27%, p = 0.048). The overall complication rate for women receiving PMRT then reconstruction was lower than for reconstruction then PMRT, although this was not statistically significant (28% vs. 45%, p = 0.068). Patients having reconstruction then PMRT had increased overall and late complication rates compared to patients having reconstruction only (45% vs.27.%, p = 0.006; 34% vs. 21%, p = 0.023, respectively). Results were similar when subdivided by the kind of reconstruction, except for increased late complications for patients having implant/expanders who had reconstruction then PMRT (62%, 8/13) compared to reconstruction alone (20%, 26/129) (p=0.003). General satisfaction was similar among all four groups. Aesthetic satisfaction was significantly lower in the PMRT then reconstruction group, compared to reconstruction only (48% vs. 65%, p = 0.029). Patients who underwent reconstruction then PMRT had similar aesthetic satisfaction compared to patients having reconstruction only (62% vs. 65%).Conclusions: Patients who have reconstruction prior to PMRT have increased overall and late complication rates compared to patients having reconstruction without radiation, but they have similar rates of general and aesthetic satisfaction. In contrast, patients who receive PMRT prior to delayed reconstruction have similar complication rates and general satisfaction levels to patients undergoing reconstruction only; however, the former patients report decreased aesthetic satisfaction. Patients requiring PMRT should consider both the risk of complications and likelihood of satisfaction in their decision-making process.

Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 4102.

Size fractionate particulate matter, vehicle traffic, and case-specific daily mortality in Barcelona, Spain

Recent epidemiological research suggests that short-term effects of particle matter (PM) in urban areas may preferentially be driven by fine fractions. Questions remain concerning the adversehealth effects of coarse particles generated by noncombustion, traffic-related processes and the mechanism of action of PM. Using a time-stratified case-crossover design, we investigated the association between three independent size fractions, coarse (PM10-2.5), intermodal (PM2.5-1), and very fine PMs (PM1), and three health outcomes, respiratory, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular mortality in Barcelona, Spain, during the period of March 2003-December 2005. Using existing data, we examined the chemical composition of each fraction to explore the effects of PM from different sources and the mechanisms of action. We found that increased levels of PM, and PM10-2.5 were associated with increased levels of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality at lag 1 and lag 2. At lag 1, the odds ratio (OR) for a 1 microg/m3 increase in PM1 was 1.028 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.000-1.058] for cardiovascular mortality and 1.063 (95% CI, 1.004-1.124) for cerebrovascular mortality. At lag 1, the odds ratio per a 10 microg/ m3 increase of PM10-2.5 was 1.059 (95% CI, 1.026-1.094) for cardiovascular mortality and 1.098 (95% CI, 1.030-1.171) for cerebrovascular mortality. Association with respiratory mortality was only detected for PM2.5-1 at lag 2 (OR, 1.206 per a 10 microg/ m3 increase; 95% CI, 1.028-1.416). Chemical composition data showed that PM in Barcelona was generated in a large proportion by vehicle traffic. Vehicle traffic PM, generated by combustion and noncombustion processes, should be considered in air pollution mitigation strategies in urban areas.

A potential role of EGFR-inhibitors for the prevention of BRCA1-related breast cancer

Abstract #1110

Background: The majority of women who develop a BRCA1-related breast cancer develop an ER-/PR-/HER2- breast cancer. Endocrine prophylaxis does not prevent these ER- breast cancers. Therefore, there is a need to develop novel chemoprevention agents in this population. 67% of BRCA1-associated ER- breast cancers also overexpress epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR). We therefore examined EGFR as a potential target for chemoprevention&#x2028; Methods: We isolated primary mammary epithelial cells (HMECs) from women with a germline BRCA1 mutation who underwent prophylactic mastectomies and from age-matched controls without a mutation who underwent reduction mammoplasties. We used a three-dimensional matrigel-based colony formation assay to assess clonality and proliferative capacity of these cells as well as their response to EGFR-inhibition. Flow cytometry was used to determine the number of EGF binding sites per cell. As a corresponding mouse model we used conditional MMTV-Cre BRCA1-/-p53+/- mice. Results: HMECs from BRCA1 mutation carriers and from controls express EGFR to a similar extent as HCC1937 BRCA1-associated triple-negative breast cancer cells (5x103 binding sites/cell). In ex vivo 3D-cultures we observed that HMECs derived from BRCA1 mutation carriers showed greater clonal and proliferative capacity when compared to normal controls. However while the HMECs derived from BRCA1 mutation carriers and normal controls were equally sensitive to the growth-inhibitory effect of Erlotinib at concentrations as low as 0.2 μM, the ID50 for HCC1937 breast cancer cells was &gt; 10 μM. Similar findings were observed in murine MECs derived from normal control mice as well as BRCA1-/-p53+/- mice which develop breast cancer at the age of 7 to 8 months. Both groups of murine MECs were equally sensitive to Erlotinib growth inhibition. Conclusion: MECs derived from breast tissue of women and mice with a germline BRCA1 mutation express EGFR and are highly sensitive to growth inhibition with the EGFR inhibitor Erlotinib. In contrast, BRCA1-associated HCC 1937 breast cancer cells are more resistant to Erlotinib inhibition despite EGFR expression. We are now studying whether Erlotinib given via oral gavage daily has the potential to delay or prevent breast cancer in this mouse model of BRCA1-related breast cancer.

Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 1110.

Quark-hadron duality in neutron (3He) spin structure

We present experimental results of the first high-precision test of quark-hadron duality in the spin-structure function g_{1} of the neutron and 3He using a polarized 3He target in the four-momentum-transfer-squared range from 0.7 to 4.0 (GeV/c);{2}. Global duality is observed for the spin-structure function g_{1} down to at least Q;{2}=1.8 (GeV/c);{2} in both targets. We have also formed the photon-nucleon asymmetry A1 in the resonance region for 3He and found no strong Q2 dependence above 2.2 (GeV/c);{2}.

De-regulation of the sonic hedgehog pathway in the InsGas mouse model of gastric carcinogenesis

This study investigated sonic hedgehog (Shh) signalling in gastric metaplasia in the insulin-gastrin (InsGas) hypergastrinaemic mouse +/− Helicobacter felis (H. felis) infection. Sonic hedgehog gene and protein expression was reduced in pre-metaplastic lesions from non-infected mice (90% gene reduction, P<0.01) compared to normal mucosa. Sonic hedgehog was reactivated in gastric metaplasia of H. felis-infected mice (3.5-fold increase, P<0.01) compared to pre-metaplastic lesions. Additionally, the Shh target gene, glioma-associated oncogene (Gli)-1, was significantly reduced in the gastric glands of InsGas mice (75% reduction, P<0.05) and reactivated with H. felis infection (P<0.05, base of glands, P<0.01 stroma of metaplastic glands). The ability of H. felis to activate the Shh pathway was investigated by measuring the effect of target cytokine, interleukin-8 (IL-8), on Shh expression in AGS and MGLVA1 cells, which was shown to induce Shh expression at physiological concentrations. H. felis induced the expression of NF-κB in inflammatory infiltrates in vivo, and the expression of the IL-8 mouse homologue, protein KC, in inflammatory infiltrates and metaplastic lesions. Sonic hedgehog pathway reactivation was paralleled with an increase in proliferation of metaplastic lesions (15.75 vs 4.39% in infected vs non-infected mice, respectively, P<0.001). Furthermore, Shh overexpression increased the growth rate of the gastric cancer cell line, AGS. The antiapoptotic protein, bcl-2, was expressed in the stroma of infected mice, along with a second Shh target gene, patched-1 (P=0.0001, stroma of metaplastic gland). This study provides evidence suggesting reactivation of Shh signalling from pre-metaplastic to advanced metaplastic lesions of the stomach and outlines the importance of the Shh pathway as a potential chemoprophylactic target for gastric carcinogenesis.

Q2 dependence of the neutron spin structure function g2(n) at low Q2

We present the first measurement of the Q2 dependence of the neutron spin structure function g2(n) at five kinematic points covering 0.57 (GeV/c)2 < or = Q2 < or = 1.34 (GeV/c)2 at x approximately = 0.2. Though the naive quark-parton model predicts g2 = 0, nonzero values occur in more realistic models of the nucleon which include quark-gluon correlations, finite quark masses, or orbital angular momentum. When scattering from a noninteracting quark, g2(n) can be predicted using next-to-leading order fits to world data for g1(n). Deviations from this prediction provide an opportunity to examine QCD dynamics in nucleon structure. Our results show a positive deviation from this prediction at lower Q2, indicating that contributions such as quark-gluon interactions may be important. Precision data obtained for g1(n) are consistent with next-to-leading order fits to world data.

Precision measurement of the neutron spin asymmetryA(n)(1) and spin-flavor decomposition in the valence quark region

We have measured the neutron spin asymmetry A(n)(1) with high precision at three kinematics in the deep inelastic region at x=0.33, 0.47, and 0.60, and Q(2)=2.7, 3.5, and 4.8 (GeV/c)(2), respectively. Our results unambiguously show, for the first time, that A(n)(1) crosses zero around x=0.47 and becomes significantly positive at x=0.60. Combined with the world proton data, polarized quark distributions were extracted. Our results, in general, agree with relativistic constituent quark models and with perturbative quantum chromodynamics (PQCD) analyses based on the earlier data. However they deviate from PQCD predictions based on hadron helicity conservation.

Use of poisson regression and box-jenkins models to evaluate the short-term effects of environmental noise levels on daily emergency admissions in Madrid, Spain

The relationship between environmental factors and hospital admissions has usually been analysed without taking into account the influence of a factor closely related to traffic in big cities, that is, environmental noise levels. We analysed the relationship between environmental noise and emergency admissions, for all causes and specific causes in Madrid (Spain), for the study period 1995-1997, using two statistical methods for the analysis of epidemiological time series data: Poisson autoregressive models and Box Jenkins (ARIMA) methodology. Both methods produce a clear association between emergency admissions for all and specific causes and environmental noise levels. We found very similar results from both methods for all and circulatory causes, but slightly different for respiratory causes. Around 5% of all emergency admissions can be attributed to high noise levels, with a lower figure for specific causes. Current levels of environmental noise have a considerable epidemiological impact on emergency admissions in Madrid. A reduction of environmental noise levels could be accompanied by a possible reduction in the number of emergency admissions.

Symptoms of asthma, bronchial responsiveness and atopy in immigrants and emigrants in Europe. European Community Respiratory Health Survey

Migration studies on asthma may provide information on its environmental causes. The European Community Respiratory Health Survey has potential advantages due to the number of countries involved, standardized collection of information, assessment of directionality of migration, and availability of physiological data on bronchial responsiveness and atopy. Prevalence rates of symptoms associated with asthma were compared for immigrants, emigrants and nonmigrants living in centres mostly in western Europe. Similar analyses were carried out for bronchial responsiveness (provocative concentration causing a 20% fall in forced expiratory volume in one second and slope) and atopy. Medication and use of health services were also explored. Overall, 1,678 (8.6%) of 19,516 participants were immigrants in the 18 countries participating in the study, of whom 581 were emigrants from one of the participating countries. Rates of asthma symptoms were higher in immigrants (odds ratio (OR): 1.21, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00-1.51) and emigrants (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 0.96-1.51) compared to nonmigrants after controlling for area, sex, age and smoking status. However, bronchial responsiveness and atopy were equally distributed between immigrants, emigrants and nonmigrants. Use of health services was observed to be similar in migrants and nonmigrants with asthma. In the European Community Respiratory Health Survey, migrants reported more asthma symptoms, but had similar bronchial responsiveness, atopy, and use of health services when compared with the nonmigrant population.

Measurement of the electric form factor of the neutron through d-->(e-->,e(')n)p at Q2 = 0.5 (GeV/c)(2)

We report the first measurement using a solid polarized target of the neutron electric form factor G(n)(E) via d-->(e-->,e(')n)p. G(n)(E) was determined from the beam-target asymmetry in the scattering of longitudinally polarized electrons from polarized deuterated ammonia ( 15ND3). The measurement was performed in Hall C at Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility in quasifree kinematics with the target polarization perpendicular to the momentum transfer. The electrons were detected in a magnetic spectrometer in coincidence with neutrons in a large solid angle segmented detector. We find G(n)(E) = 0.04632+/-0.00616(stat)+/-0.00341(syst) at Q2 = 0.495 (GeV/c)(2).

Clinical importance of Alternaria exposure in children

The fungus Alternaria is known to be allergenic and is one of the most common fungi worldwide. We investigated the extent to which exposure to Alternaria increases the severity of asthma. We undertook a prospective cohort study in Australia of 399 school children who had positive skin tests to one or more aeroallergens. Airway responsiveness to histamine, wheeze, and bronchodilator use in 1 mo was measured five times between 1997 and 1999. Airway hyperresponsiveness was defined as PD(20)FEV(1) = 3.9 micromol histamine. Airborne concentrations of Alternaria spores were measured throughout the study, and mean daily concentrations over 1 mo ranged from 2.2 to 307.7 spores/m(3) of ambient air. Using generalized estimating equations, we found that airway responsiveness, wheeze, and bronchodilator use increased significantly in association with increased spore concentrations and that the increase in airway responsiveness was greater in children sensitized to Alternaria than in other children (p = 0.01). The odds ratio for airway hyperresponsiveness in children sensitized to Alternaria was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.14 to 1.39) after an increase in mean exposure of 100 spore/m(3)/d over 1 mo. These results suggest that Alternaria allergens contribute to severe asthma in regions where exposure to the fungus is high.

Atmospheric pressure and sudden infant death syndrome in Cook County, Chicago

We investigated daily deaths from sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) in Cook County, Chicago, from 1 January 1986 to 31 December 1990. The daily SIDS rate was 0.54 deaths/day. Mean daily atmospheric pressure ranged from 952 to 1007 mb. We found a weak link with barometric pressure, whereby an increase of 10 mb was associated with an increased risk of 12% [95% CI 0.1%, 24%]. Cross-tabulation revealed that the highest SIDS rates were associated with a drop from high to low pressure. Possible reasons for this are discussed.

Generational increase of self-reported first attack of asthma in fifteen industrialized countries. European Community Respiratory Health Study (ECRHS)

The prevalence of asthma has increased worldwide. However, there is only local evidence for changes in incidence. Data from the European Community Respiratory Heath Survey (ECRHS) can be analysed to reconstruct trends in incidence from 1946-1991 in cohorts born between 1946-1971 in 35 areas corresponding to 15 countries. The authors report the time trends in self-reported first occurrence of asthma and its geographical distribution. All centres completed the same cross-sectional study in 1991-92. A total of 17,613 individuals (63% of those randomly selected) were included. Recall of age of first asthma attack was recorded at an interview at one point in time in subjects aged 20-44 yrs. Relative risk of asthma by cohort was estimated using survival methods with age as the time scale. Yearly incidence of asthma increased progressively by birth cohort. The relative risks were 1.12 (0.94-1.34), 1.39 (1.17-1.66), 2.01 (1.60-2.51), and 2.33 (1.81-2.98) for the cohorts born in the years 1951-55, 1956-60, 1961-65, and 1966-71, respectively, in comparison with the cohort born in the years 1946-50. The increase occurred concurrently in most of the countries, in both males and females, and both in childhood and adulthood onset asthma. These results are consistent with a generational increase in asthma incidence during the previous decades (explained by both a period and/or a cohort effect), although some of the findings could be explained by generational increases in asthma diagnosis.

A GEE moving average analysis of the relationship between air pollution and mortality for asthma in Barcelona, Spain

Several studies have assessed the association between air pollution and hospital admissions or emergency room visits for asthma. Because of both the presence of missing data and the small number of observations, the relationship between air pollution and mortality for respiratory causes has been rarely analysed, and when it has, the results are very inconclusive or even inconsistent. The objective of this study is to assess the relation between levels of air pollutants (black smoke, sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and ozone), meteorological variables (24th average temperature and relative humidity) and daily mortality for asthma (ICD-9 493, 2 to 45 years old) in Barcelona, Spain, during the period 1986-1989. Since the range of daily mortality for asthma (2 to 45 years old) during the period 1986-1989 was 0-1), we have preferred to consider this variable as dichotomous. First, the relationship between air pollutants, meteorological variables and daily mortality (controlled for the occurrence of asthma epidemics) was estimated using logistic regression models. As was expected, the residuals from this regression were autocorrelated, showing a complex moving average (MA) structure. If covariates were not time dependent the so-called generalized linear mixed models, could be applied. In our case the covariates vary. As a consequence the likelihood is numerically intractable because it involves the evaluation of n-fold integral. An alternative method that avoids these numerical problems is the generalized estimating equations method (GEE). It is a multivariate analogue of quasi-likelihood estimation. In the absence of a likelihood function the parameters can be estimated by solving a multivariate analogue of the quasi score function. We have modified the GEE method in this paper, allowing for a different structure in the error covariance matrix (MA). Both air pollutants and meteorological variables are related with the occurrence of a death for asthma. In this sense, nitrogen dioxide, NO(2) (ss=0.037, p<0. 05), ozone, O(3) (ss=0.021, p<0.06) and high temperature (the ss's were in the range (0.098-0.182), p<0.05) increased the probability of dying for asthma in Barcelona during the period 1986-1989.

Occupational asthma in Europe and other industrialised areas: a population-based study. European Community Respiratory Health Survey Study Group

BACKGROUND

There are no large population-based studies on occupational asthma, and few estimates of the proportion of asthma attributed to occupation, even though asthma is the most common occupational respiratory disorder in industrialised countries.

METHODS

We assessed data on 15,637 people aged 20-44, randomly selected from the general population of 26 areas in 12 industrialised countries. Asthma was assessed by methacholine challenge test and by questionnaire data on respiratory symptoms and use of medication. Occupation was defined by job-titles and a job exposure matrix was constructed.

FINDINGS

Highest risk of asthma, defined as bronchial hyperresponsiveness and reported asthma symptoms or medication, was shown for farmers (odds ratio 2.62 [95% CI 1.29-5.35]), painters (2.34 [1.04-5.28]), plastic workers (2.20 [0.59-8.29]), cleaners (1.97 [1.33-2.92]), spray painters (1.96 [0.72-5.34]), and agricultural workers (1.79 [1.02-3.16]). Similar risks were shown for asthma defined as reported asthma symptoms or medication. The most consistent results across countries were shown for farmers and cleaners. Excess asthma risk was associated with high exposure to biological dusts, mineral dusts, and gases and fumes. The proportion of asthma among young adults attributed to occupation was 5%-10%.

INTERPRETATION

The prevalence of occupational asthma in women and in specific occupations has been underestimated. Given a mean prevalence of asthma of about 5%, about 0.2%-0.5% of young adults become asthmatics or have their asthma exacerbated because of their occupations.

[Time series methods in epidemiological studies on air pollution]

The time series methods in the epidemiological studies on air pollution are reviewed, illustrated by means of an autoregressive Poisson regression which was employed in the APHEA and EMECAM Projects. A listing is provided of the variations in the daily number of deaths of people over age 70 (all causes, CIE-9:001-799) in Barcelona, 1991-1995, with the average variations in the daily smog pollution levels. A Poisson regression is used insofar as the dependent random variable presumably follows such a probability distribution. As variable possibly leading to confusion, the impact of weather variables (daily temperature and relative humidity averages), seasonal, tendency-related behaviours and day of the year on the death rate are taken into account (all estimated on a determinist basis), in addition to any other variable which behaves in a way that it can be related to the dependent variable (i.e. flu epidemics). The relationship between the death rate and the confusing-causing variables is modelled on a non-linear basis, and the foreseeable lag times are also taken into account (i.e. by using explicative variable time lags). However, due to control not being perfect, it has been decided to opt for estimating an autoregressive Poisson model (adding in some different explicative variables time giving rise to a lag in the death rate) offsetting the residual autocorrelation. The main advantage of the method of analysis described above is that of making it possible to control confusing variables from a determinist standpoint with a software to which all of the groups taking part in this Project had access. This also affords the possibility of using this method in a set, standardized manner, facilitating the comparison of results and making an objective point analysis possible.

[The short-term effects of air pollution on mortality. The results of the EMECAM project in the city of Barcelona, 1991-1995. Estudio Multicéntrico Español sobre la Relación entre la Contaminación Atmosférica y la Mortalidad]

BACKGROUND

Most of the studies which demonstrate the existence of a short-term relationship between air pollution and morbidity and the Mortality analyze the impact of "classic" pollutants which are by-products of combustion. However, the changes in the sources of these emissions, shifting basically toward road traffic, has made a change in air pollution, heightening the importance of the photochemical components, such as ozone (O3) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). Barcelona is a city located in a mild climate zone, and its air pollution comes mainly from vehicle emissions. The main objective of this article is that of analyzing the relationship between the photochemical pollutants, NO2 and O3 and the death rate for different causes in the city of Barcelona throughout the 1991-1995 period, using the procedure for analysis set out as part of the EMECAM Project.

METHODS

Daily changes in the number of deaths resulting from all causes, of the number of deaths for all causes of those over age 70, of the number of deaths resulting from cardiovascular diseases, and of the number of deaths resulting from respiratory-related causes are related to the daily changes in the photochemical pollutants using autoregressive Poisson models, controlling confusion-causing variables such as the temperature, the relative humidity, the systematic time structure and the autoregressive structure.

RESULTS

Except for the relationship between O3 and the mortality for causes involving respiratory diseases, the relationships between photochemical pollutants and the mortality for all the causes considered were statistically significant. The risks related to dying as a result of rises in O3 were greater than as a result of rises in NO2, almost triple among cardiovascular diseases. The risks related to dying for all the causes are lower than for specific causes and than for those individuals over age 70. The results of the analysis by six-month periods are quite similar to the overall results, revealing, in any event, relative risks somewhat greater during the warm months (May to October).

CONCLUSIONS

Photochemical pollution, especially that which is caused by O3, comprises a health risk. In the case of NO2, this might not be more than an indicators of the suspended particles or of other pollutants stemming from city traffic. There may be a certain adjustment between six-month periods of the impact of O3 on the mortality for causes of the circulatory system.

Effect of the method of administration, mail or telephone, on the validity and reliability of a respiratory health questionnaire. The Spanish Centers of the European Asthma Study

The European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS), a multinational survey, assesses and compares the prevalence of asthma among subjects, aged 20 to 44, in several European areas. In Spain, some participating centers have used mail and telephone as methods of questionnaire administration. The objective of the present study was to determine whether the validity and reliability of the questionnaire differed by method of administration. Reliability of the questionnaire was measured with the kappa index and the odds ratio of agreement, and validity with the sensitivity and specificity. This study found differences in the reliability of the questionnaires although these differences were more related to the questions themselves than to the method of administration. Among men, but not women, mailed questionnaires were more sensitive and telephone questionnaires more specific. We hypothesize that these differences in validity were due to the self-selection to more severe symptomatic subjects replying earlier and therefore to the mailed questionnaire. Combining different methods of administration was useful as it increased participation and was an adequate procedure to obtain information of good quality.

Genes and regulatory sites of the "host-takeover module" in the terminal redundancy of Bacillus subtilis bacteriophage SPO1

Early in infection of Bacillus subtilis by bacteriophage SPO1, the synthesis of most host-specific macromolecules is replaced by the corresponding phage-specific biosyntheses. It is believed that this subversion of the host biosynthetic machinery is accomplished primarily by a cluster of early genes in the SPO1 terminal redundancy. Here we analyze the nucleotide sequence of this 11.5-kb "host-takeover module," which appears to be designed for particularly efficient expression. Promoters, ribosome-binding sites, and codon usage statistics all show characteristics known to be associated with efficient function in B. subtilis. The promoters and ribosome-binding sites have additional conserved features which are not characteristic of their host counterparts and which may be important for competition with host genes for the cellular biosynthetic machinery. The module includes 24 genes, tightly packed into 12 operons driven by the previously identified early promoters PE1 to PE12. The genes are smaller than average, with half of them having fewer than 100 codons. Most of their inferred products show little similarity to known proteins, although zinc finger, trans-membrane, and RNA polymerase-binding domains were identified. Transcription-termination and RNase III cleavage sites were found at appropriate locations.

Respiratory symptoms, lung function and use of health services among unemployed young adults in Spain. Spanish Group of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey

The association of respiratory symptoms, lung function and use of health services with employment status was examined in Spain, a country with a high rate of unemployment. A population sample comprising 179 unemployed and 1,868 employed subjects aged 20-44 yrs in 1993, was randomly selected from a base population of about 170,000 people in five urban and rural areas of Spain. Subjects completed a questionnaire on respiratory symptoms, sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, occupational exposure and use of health services, and performed a forced spirometry, a methacholine challenge test and blood tests. Unemployed subjects had a higher risk of simple chronic bronchitis (odds ratio=2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.30-3.24) and of bronchitis-type symptoms, than those who were employed. These risks were, in part, due to the higher prevalence of smoking, poorer housing and prior occupational exposures among unemployed than among employed people. Smaller differences were found between employed and unemployed subjects for asthma-type symptoms, atopia and lung function tests. Use of health services among subjects with respiratory symptoms was similar among employed and unemployed subjects, except that the latter consistently reported less frequent contact with specialized practitioners. Unemployed subjects had a higher risk of bronchitis-type symptoms than employed subjects. In Spain's national, free-access healthcare system, the differential use of specialized health services by employment status is likely to imply differences in the characteristics of the healthcare provided.

Pulmonary ventilatory defects and occupational exposures in a population-based study in Spain. Spanish Group of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey

We assessed the association between occupational exposures and symptoms of chronic bronchitis and pulmonary ventilatory defects in a general population-based study of five areas in Spain. This study forms part of the European Community Respiratory Health Study (ECRHS). Subjects (n = 1,735; age range, 20-44 yr; 52.4% of those initially selected) completed a respiratory questionnaire on symptoms and occupation and underwent baseline spirometry. Occupation was translated with an ad hoc developed job-exposure matrix (EM) into none, low, and high exposure to biological dust, mineral dust, and gases and fumes. Exposure to high levels of biological dust was associated with cough for more than 3 mo (odds ratio [OR], 1.9; p = 0.07), a reduction in FEF(25-27) to 478 ml/s (SD 178), and a reduction in FEV1 to 151 mL (SD 71). These associations remained after excluding subjects with asthma symptoms or bronchial responsiveness. Smokers tended to have a higher risk for respiratory symptoms, but smoking did not modify the association of occupation with pulmonary function. Exposure to mineral dust and gases/fumes was less consistently related to pulmonary function or to respiratory symptoms and this association further decreased after excluding subjects with asthma. In conclusion, exposure to high levels of biological dust in young adults is associated with symptoms of chronic bronchitis and pulmonary ventilatory defects, independently of asthma and smoking.

Short-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions of respiratory diseases in Europe: a quantitative summary of APHEA study results. Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach

The Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach (APHEA) project is a coordinated study of the short-term effects of air pollution on mortality and hospital admissions. Five West European cities (i.e., London, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Paris, Milano) contributed several years of hospital admissions data for all respiratory causes. In the current study, the authors describe the results obtained from the quantitative pooling (meta-analysis) of local analyses. The diagnostic group was defined by ICD 460-519. The age groups studied were 15-64 y (i.e., adults) and 65+ y (elderly). The air pollutants studied were sulfur dioxide; particles (i.e., Black Smoke or total suspended particles); ozone; and nitrogen dioxide. The pollutants were obtained from existing fixed-site monitors in a standardized manner. We used Poisson models and standardized confounder models to examine the associations between daily hospital admissions and air pollution. We conducted quantitative pooling by calculating the weighted means of local regression coefficients. We used a fixed-effects model when no heterogeneity could be detected; otherwise, we used a random-effects model. When possible, the authors investigated the factors correlated with heterogeneity. The most consistent and strong finding was a significant increase of daily admissions for respiratory diseases (adults and elderly) with elevated levels of ozone. This finding was stronger in the elderly, had a rather immediate effect (same or next day), and was homogeneous over cities. The elderly were affected more during the warm season. The Sulfur dioxide daily mean was available in all cities, and it was not associated consistently with an adverse effect. Effects were present in areas in which more than one station was used in the assessment of daily exposure. Some significant associations were observed, although no conclusion that related to an overall particle effect could be drawn. The effect of Black Smoke was significantly stronger with high nitrogen dioxide levels on the same day, but nitrogen dioxide itself was not associated with admissions. The ozone results were in good agreement with the results of similar U.S. studies. The coherence of the results of this study and other results gained under different conditions strengthens the argument for causality.

Short-term effects of ambient oxidant exposure on mortality: a combined analysis within the APHEA project. Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach

The Air Pollution and Health: a European Approach (APHEA) project is a coordinated study of the short-term effects of air pollution on mortality and hospital admissions using data from 15 European cities, with a wide range of geographic, sociodemographic, climatic, and air quality patterns. The objective of this paper is to summarize the results of the short-term effects of ambient oxidants on daily deaths from all causes (excluding accidents). Within the APHEA project, six cities spanning Central and Western Europe provided data on daily deaths and NO2 and/or O3 levels. The data were analyzed by each center separately following a standardized methodology to ensure comparability of results. Poisson autoregressive models allowing for overdispersion were fitted. Fixed effects models were used to pool the individual regression coefficients when there was no evidence of heterogeneity among the cities and random effects models otherwise. Factors possibly correlated with heterogeneity were also investigated. Significant positive associations were found between daily deaths and both NO2 and O3. Increases of 50 micrograms/m3 in NO2 (1-hour maximum) or O3 (1-hour maximum) were associated with a 1.3% (95% confidence interval 0.9-1.8) and 2.9% (95% confidence interval 1.0-4.9) increase in the daily number of deaths, respectively. Stratified analysis of NO2 effects by low and high levels of black smoke or O3 showed no significant evidence for an interaction within each city. However, there was a tendency for larger effects of NO2 in cities with higher levels of black smoke. The pooled estimate for the O3 effect was only slightly reduced, whereas the one for NO2 was almost halved (although it remained significant) when two pollutant models including black smoke were applied. The internal validity (consistency across cities) as well as the external validity (similarities with other published studies) of our results on the O3 effect support the hypothesis of a causal relation between O3 and all cause daily mortality. However, the short-term effects of NO2 on mortality may be confounded by other vehicle-derived pollutants. Thus, the issue of independent NO2 effects requires additional investigation.