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Abstract
Partial migration, the phenomenon in which animal populations are composed of both migratory and nonmigratory individuals, is widespread among migrating animals. The proportion of migrants in these populations has direct influences on population genetics and dynamics, ecosystem dynamics, mating systems, evolution, and responses to environmental change, yet there are very few studies that measure the proportion of migrants. This is because existing methods to estimate the proportion of migrants are time-consuming and expensive. In this paper, we demonstrate a new method for estimating the proportion of migrants in a population based on sex ratio measurements. Many partially migratory taxa exhibit sex-biased migration or residency, and in these cases, the sex ratios of migrants and nonmigrants are fundamentally related to the proportion of migrants in the population. We define this relationship quantitatively and show how it can be used to infer the proportion of migrants in a population through a process we term “sex-ratio balancing”. We obtain Bayesian estimates of proportion of migrants and quantify the uncertainty in these estimates with highest posterior density intervals. Lastly, we validate the sex-ratio balancing approach with a Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha Walbaum in Artedi, 1792) data set. Sex-ratio balancing holds promise as a tool for quantifying partial migration and filling a key data gap about partially migratory taxa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haley A. Ohms
- Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
| | - Alix I. Gitelman
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
| | - Chris E. Jordan
- Northwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Newport, OR 97365, USA
| | - Dave A. Lytle
- Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
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Affiliation(s)
- Luna Sun
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA
| | - Alix I. Gitelman
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA
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Boersma KS, Dee LE, Miller SJ, Bogan MT, Lytle DA, Gitelman AI. Linking multidimensional functional diversity to quantitative methods: a graphical hypothesis--evaluation framework. Ecology 2016; 97:583-93. [PMID: 27197386 DOI: 10.1890/15-0688] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Functional trait analysis is an appealing approach to study differences among biological communities because traits determine species' responses to the environment and their impacts on ecosystem functioning. Despite a rapidly expanding quantitative literature, it remains challenging to conceptualize concurrent changes in multiple trait dimensions ("trait space") and select quantitative functional diversity methods to test hypotheses prior to analysis. To address this need, we present a widely applicable framework for visualizing ecological phenomena in trait space to guide the selection, application, and interpretation of quantitative functional diversity methods. We describe five hypotheses that represent general patterns of responses to disturbance in functional community ecology and then apply a formal decision process to determine appropriate quantitative methods to test ecological hypotheses. As a part of this process, we devise a new statistical approach to test for functional turnover among communities. Our combination of hypotheses and metrics can be applied broadly to address ecological questions across a range of systems and study designs. We illustrate the framework with a case study of disturbance in freshwater communities. This hypothesis-driven approach will increase the rigor and transparency of applied functional trait studies.
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Boersma KS, Dee LE, Miller SJ, Bogan MT, Lytle DA, Gitelman AI. Linking multidimensional functional diversity to quantitative methods: A graphical hypothesis-evaluation framework. Ecology 2015. [DOI: 10.1890/15-0688.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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Romer JD, Gitelman AI, Clements S, Schreck CB. Designing a Monitoring Program to Estimate Estuarine Survival of Anadromous Salmon Smolts: Simulating the Effect of Sample Design on Inference. PLoS One 2015. [PMID: 26196283 PMCID: PMC4510331 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132912] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
A number of researchers have attempted to estimate salmonid smolt survival during outmigration through an estuary. However, it is currently unclear how the design of such studies influences the accuracy and precision of survival estimates. In this simulation study we consider four patterns of smolt survival probability in the estuary, and test the performance of several different sampling strategies for estimating estuarine survival assuming perfect detection. The four survival probability patterns each incorporate a systematic component (constant, linearly increasing, increasing and then decreasing, and two pulses) and a random component to reflect daily fluctuations in survival probability. Generally, spreading sampling effort (tagging) across the season resulted in more accurate estimates of survival. All sampling designs in this simulation tended to under-estimate the variation in the survival estimates because seasonal and daily variation in survival probability are not incorporated in the estimation procedure. This under-estimation results in poorer performance of estimates from larger samples. Thus, tagging more fish may not result in better estimates of survival if important components of variation are not accounted for. The results of our simulation incorporate survival probabilities and run distribution data from previous studies to help illustrate the tradeoffs among sampling strategies in terms of the number of tags needed and distribution of tagging effort. This information will assist researchers in developing improved monitoring programs and encourage discussion regarding issues that should be addressed prior to implementation of any telemetry-based monitoring plan. We believe implementation of an effective estuary survival monitoring program will strengthen the robustness of life cycle models used in recovery plans by providing missing data on where and how much mortality occurs in the riverine and estuarine portions of smolt migration. These data could result in better informed management decisions and assist in guidance for more effective estuarine restoration projects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeremy D. Romer
- Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, Fish Research, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Alix I. Gitelman
- Oregon State University Department of Statistics, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America
| | - Shaun Clements
- Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, Fish Research, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America
| | - Carl B. Schreck
- United States Geological Survey, Oregon Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America
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Marley K, Helfand SC, Edris WA, Mata JE, Gitelman AI, Medlock J, Séguin B. The effects of taurolidine alone and in combination with doxorubicin or carboplatin in canine osteosarcoma in vitro. BMC Vet Res 2013; 9:15. [PMID: 23331343 PMCID: PMC3551657 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-9-15] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2012] [Accepted: 12/26/2012] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Osteosarcoma (OS) affects over 8000 dogs/year in the United States. The disease usually arises in the appendicular skeleton and metastasizes to the lung. Dogs with localized appendicular disease benefit from limb amputation and chemotherapy but most die within 6–12 months despite these treatments. Taurolidine, a derivative of taurine, has anti-tumor and anti-angiogenic effects against a variety of cancers. The following in vitro studies tested taurolidine as a candidate for adjuvant therapy for canine OS. Tests for p53 protein status and caspase activity were used to elucidate mechanisms of taurolidine-induced cell death. Results Taurolidine was cytotoxic to osteosarcoma cells and increased the toxicity of doxorubicin and carboplatin in vitro. Apoptosis was greatly induced in cells exposed to 125 μM taurolidine and less so in cells exposed to 250 μM taurolidine. Taurolidine cytotoxicity appeared caspase-dependent in one cell line; with apparent mutant p53 protein. This cell line was the most sensitive to single agent taurolidine treatment and had a taurolidine-dependent reduction in accumulated p53 protein suggesting taurolidine’s effects may depend on the functional status of p53 in canine OS. Conclusion Taurolidine’s cytotoxic effect appears dependent on cell specific factors which may be explained, in part, by the functional status of p53. Taurolidine initiates apoptosis in canine OS cells and this occurs to a greater extent at lower concentrations. Mechanisms of cell death induced by higher concentrations were not elucidated here. Taurolidine combined with doxorubicin or carboplatin can increase the toxicity of these chemotherapy drugs and warrants further investigation in dogs with osteosarcoma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kevin Marley
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, USA
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Simpson JM, Séguin B, Gitelman AI. Effects of topical application of taurolidine on second intention healing of experimentally induced wounds in rats. Am J Vet Res 2008; 69:1210-6. [PMID: 18764696 DOI: 10.2460/ajvr.69.9.1210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the macroscopic effects of topical application of taurolidine on second intention healing of experimentally induced wounds in rats. ANIMALS 32 adult Sprague-Dawley female rats. PROCEDURES In each rat, 2 skin wounds were created in the lumbar area. Groups of 7 rats were assigned to have 1 wound treated topically with hydroxycellulose gel (HDCG), 2% taurolidine in HDCG (T-HDCG), 2% taurolidine-sodium citrate solution, or bacitracin-neomycin-polymyxin B ointment; the other wound was not treated. Four control rats (8 untreated wounds) were used. Wounds were monitored for contraction, epithelialization, and complete healing at 4, 8, and 14 days after wound creation. The number of days to complete healing was also recorded for each wound. RESULTS Compared with other treatments or untreated wounds, wounds treated with T-HDCG had decreased total healing at day 8 and decreased epithelialization and decreased total healing at day 14. Wounds treated with T-HDCG required approximately 3 days longer to completely heal than all other treated and untreated wounds. Application of bacitracinneomycin-polymyxin B ointment did not enhance wound healing. Mean time to complete healing of untreated wounds in all treatment and control groups was 10.00 to 10.14 days. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE In rats, topical application of T-HDCG to wounds had a negative effect on second intention healing by delaying the epithelialization process. In mammals, generally, wounds treated topically with taurolidine may need to be treated and monitored for a longer period than other wounds treated with other common woundhealing compounds or untreated wounds.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer M Simpson
- Department of Clinical Sciences, College of Veterinary Medicine, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
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Dunham SM, Ganio LM, Gitelman AI, Lachenbruch B. Partitioning variation in Douglas-fir xylem properties among multiple scales via a Bayesian hierarchical model. Tree Physiol 2008; 28:1017-1024. [PMID: 18450566 DOI: 10.1093/treephys/28.7.1017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Hierarchical biological scales permeate research in tree physiology and represent multiple sources of variation. We discuss the importance of matching the sampling and analysis scales to biological scales in the data. The advantages of statistical hierarchical modeling are demonstrated using the relationship between specific conductivity and tracheid diameter of secondary xylem as an example. The structure and results of three statistical models were compared within a Bayesian context: a simple linear regression (SLR); a repeated measures analysis (REP); and a hierarchical model (HM). The models share similar mean structures but differ in how variation is partitioned among scales: the SLR model assumes independence among observations (variation came from only a single scale); the REP allows multiple observations of each tree to be correlated; and the HM incorporates features of the REP with an additional variance structure that partitions variation across a broader scale. Our data included hierarchical scales of position on the tree, tree, fertilization treatment and species (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco). The HM gave more precise estimates for model parameters, was more robust to outliers, provided a more detailed description of covariances within the data at multiple scales compared with the SLR and REP and increased our ability to detect differences among positions on the tree. The proper statistical analyses increase the value of research by allowing the most exact interpretation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonya M Dunham
- Department of Wood Science and Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-4501, USA.
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Chelgren ND, Rosenberg DK, Heppell SS, Gitelman AI. Individual variation affects departure rate from the natal pond in an ephemeral pond-breeding anuran. CAN J ZOOL 2008. [DOI: 10.1139/z08-003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Frogs exhibit extreme plasticity and individual variation in growth and behavior during metamorphosis, driven by interactions of intrinsic state factors and extrinsic environmental factors. In northern red-legged frogs ( Rana aurora Baird and Girard, 1852), we studied the timing of departure from the natal pond as it relates to date and size of individuals at metamorphosis in the context of environmental uncertainty. To affect body size at metamorphosis, we manipulated food availability during the larval stage for a sample (317) of 1045 uniquely marked individuals and released them at their natal ponds as newly metamorphosed frogs. We recaptured 34% of marked frogs in pitfall traps as they departed and related the timing of their initial terrestrial movements to individual properties using a time-to-event model. Median age at first capture was 4 and 9 days postmetamorphosis at two sites. The rate of departure was positively related to body size and to date of metamorphosis. Departure rate was strongly negatively related to time elapsed since rainfall, and this effect was diminished for smaller and later metamorphosing frogs. Individual variation in metamorphic traits thus affects individuals’ responses to environmental variability, supporting a behavioral link with variation in survival associated with these same metamorphic traits.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan D. Chelgren
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3803, USA
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
| | - Daniel K. Rosenberg
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3803, USA
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
| | - Selina S. Heppell
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3803, USA
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
| | - Alix I. Gitelman
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3803, USA
- Department of Statistics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA
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Irvine KM, Gitelman AI, Hoeting JA. Spatial designs and properties of spatial correlation: Effects on covariance estimation. JABES 2007. [DOI: 10.1198/108571107x249799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Chelgren ND, Rosenberg DK, Heppell SS, Gitelman AI. Carryover aquatic effects on survival of metamorphic frogs during pond emigration. Ecol Appl 2006; 16:250-61. [PMID: 16705977 DOI: 10.1890/04-0329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 83] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
In organisms with complex life cycles, physiological stressors during early life stages may have fitness-level impacts that are delayed into later stages or habitats. We tested the hypothesis that body size and date of metamorphosis, which are highly responsive to aquatic stressors, influence post-metamorphic survival and movement patterns in the terrestrial phase of an ephemeral pond-breeding frog by examining these traits in two populations of northern red-legged frogs (Rana aurora aurora). To increase variation of body size at metamorphosis, we manipulated food availability for 314 of 1045 uniquely marked tadpoles and estimated the probability that frogs survived and emigrated using concentric rings of drift fencing surrounding ponds and Bayesian capture-recapture modeling. The odds of surviving and emigrating from the ponds to the innermost drift fences, approximately 12 m, increased by factors of 2.20 (95% credibility intervals 1.39-4.23) and 2.54 (0.94-4.91) with each millimeter increase in snout-vent length and decreased by factors of 0.91 (0.85-0.96) and 0.89 (0.80-1.00) with each day's delay in metamorphosis for the two ponds. The odds of surviving and moving to the next ring of fencing, 12 m to approximately 40 m from the ponds, increased by a factor of 1.20 (0.45-4.06) with each millimeter increase in size. Our results demonstrated that body size and timing of metamorphosis relate strongly to the performance of newly metamorphosed frogs during their initial transition into terrestrial habitat. Carryover effects of aquatic stressors that reduce size and delay metamorphosis may have population-level impacts that are not expressed until terrestrial stages. Since changes in both aquatic and terrestrial systems are implicated in many amphibian declines, quantifying both immediate and delayed effects of stressors on demographic rates is critical to sound management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan D Chelgren
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331-3803, USA.
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Gitelman AI, Risbey JS, Kass RE, Rosen RD. Sensitivity of a meridional temperature gradient index to latitudinal domain. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1999. [DOI: 10.1029/1999jd900223] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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