Sex estimation from maxillofacial radiographs using a deep learning approach

The purpose of this study was to construct deep learning models for more efficient and reliable sex estimation. Two deep learning models, VGG16 and DenseNet-121, were used in this retrospective study. In total, 600 lateral cephalograms were analyzed. A saliency map was generated by gradient-weighted class activation mapping for each output. The two deep learning models achieved high values in each performance metric according to accuracy, sensitivity (recall), precision, F1 score, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Both models showed substantial differences in the positions indicated in saliency maps for male and female images. The positions in saliency maps also differed between VGG16 and DenseNet-121, regardless of sex. This analysis of our proposed system suggested that sex estimation from lateral cephalograms can be achieved with high accuracy using deep learning.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Predictors of Hyporesponsiveness to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents in Patients with Non-Dialysis-Dependent Chronic Kidney Disease (RADIANCE-CKD Study)

INTRODUCTION

Hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) has been associated with increased mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease. We hypothesized that the prediction of ESA resistance during ESA administration would be very useful in deciding on a treatment plan.

METHODS

Patients enrolled in a randomized controlled trial to evaluate renal prognosis in anemic patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease with hyporesponsiveness to ESA were included; the patients had different target hemoglobin levels. A landmark analysis was performed at 3 months into the study. To construct a predictive model for the severe ESA hypo-responder group, in which there was no increase in hemoglobin even with active treatment, background factors and serum test items that affect anemia at study entry were included in a logistic regression model, the area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated, and sensitivity and specificity were calculated. This study was a post hoc sub-analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

RESULTS

The AUC for the 19 existing risk factors as predictors was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.711-0.855). Among the 19 risk factors, the combination of six factors (hemoglobin level, systolic blood pressure, weight, gender, smoking status, and hypertensive retinopathy) with the largest χ2 statistics were selected by multiple logistics regression. The AUC for these 6 predictors was 0.716 (95% CI: 0.634-0.799). To the six existing risk factors, five serum test items that affect anemia (vitamin B12, vitamin B6, folic acid, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D) were added, for a total of 11 risk factors, with a similar AUC of 0.736 (95% CI: 0.655-0.817), sufficient to predict ESA resistance.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that existing risk factors and serum test items can be used to predict ESA resistance in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease on ESA.

Hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agent in non-dialysis-dependent CKD patients: The BRIGHTEN study

Among non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (ND-CKD) patients, a low hematopoietic response to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) is a predictor for poor renal and cardiovascular outcome. To assess the method for evaluating hyporesponsiveness to ESA in patients with ND-CKD, a multicenter, prospective, observational study of 1,980 adult patients with ND-CKD with renal anemia was conducted. Darbepoetin alfa (DA) and iron supplement administrations were provided according to the recommendation of the attached document and the guidelines of JSDT (Japanese Society of Dialysis and Transplantation). The primary outcomes were progression of renal dysfunction and major adverse cardiovascular events. ESA responsiveness was assessed using pre-defined candidate formulae. During the mean follow-up period of 96 weeks, renal and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events occurred in 683 (39.6%) and 174 (10.1%) of 1,724 patients, respectively. Among pre-set candidate formulae, the one expressed by dividing the dose of DA by Hb level at the 12-week DA treatment was statistically significant in predicting renal (hazard ratio [HR], 1.449; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.231-1.705; P<0.0001) and CVD events (HR, 1.719; 95% CI, 1.239-2.386; P = 0.0010). The optimum cut-off values for both events were close to 5.2. In conclusion, hyporesponsiveness to ESA in ND-CKD cases, which is associated with a risk for renal and CVD events, may be evaluated practicably as the dose of DA divided by the Hb level at the 12-week DA treatment, and the cut-off value of this index is 5.2. A search for the causes of poor response and measures for them should be recommended in such patients. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials. gov Identifier: NCT02136563; UMIN Clinical Trial Registry Identifier: UMIN000013464.

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 study of bardoxolone methyl in patients with diabetic kidney disease: Design and baseline characteristics of AYAME study

BACKGROUND

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), but currently available treatments do not improve kidney function or prevent the initiation of dialysis/kidney replacement therapy. A previous study demonstrated that bardoxolone methyl improves the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), but the study was prematurely terminated because of an imbalance in heart failure between treatment groups. The subsequent phase 2 TSUBAKI study demonstrated no incidence of heart failure and an improved eGFR and GFR as determined by inulin clearance in DKD patients.

METHODS

This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled multicenter phase 3 study was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of bardoxolone methyl in DKD patients with an eGFR of ≥ 15.0 to < 60.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio of ≤3500 mg/g but without risk factors for heart failure. The primary endpoint is the time to onset of a ≥ 30% decrease in the eGFR or ESKD. Randomized patients (1:1) have been under treatment with once-daily oral bardoxolone methyl (5, 10, or 15 mg by intra-patient dose adjustment) or placebo for at least 3 years. Results The 1013 patients' mean age is 65.9 years, 21.5% are female, the mean eGFR is 37.84 mL/min/1.73 m2, and the median urinary albumin/creatinine ratio is 351.80 mg/g.

CONCLUSIONS

Appropriate patients are enrolled in this study. This study will investigate the long-term efficacy and safety of bardoxolone methyl in DKD patients covering a wider range of the eGFR (≥15.0 to < 60.0 mL/min/1.73 m2) and albuminuria (≤3500 mg/g) compared with previous studies.

Low transferrin saturation (TSAT) and high ferritin levels are significant predictors for cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease and death in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Patients with high serum ferritin and low transferrin saturation (TSAT) levels could be considered as presenting with dysutilization of iron for erythropoiesis. However, the long-term safety of iron administration in these patients has not been well established. An observational multicenter study was performed over 3 years. In 805 patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD), we defined dysutilization of iron for erythropoiesis in patients with lower TSAT (<20%) and higher ferritin (≥100 ng/mL) levels. A time-dependent Cox hazard model was used for the evaluation of the association between dysutilization of iron for erythropoiesis and adverse events and survival. Patients with low TSAT levels showed an increased risk of cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disease (CCVD) and death compared to patients with normal or higher TSAT levels. Patients with low ferritin and high TSAT levels had a significantly lower risk of CCVD and death compared with patients with high ferritin and low TSAT levels. Higher TSAT levels were associated with male gender, age, the absence of diabetes, low levels of high-sensitivity CRP, and low β2 microglobulin levels, but not with intravenous iron administration or ferritin levels. Although patients with low TSAT levels had a significantly higher risk of CCVD or death, high TSAT levels were not linked with iron administration. Patients, who were suspected of dysutilization of iron for erythropoiesis, had a higher risk of CCVD and death. The administration of iron should be performed cautiously for improving TSAT levels, as iron administration could sustain TSAT levels for a short term.

Risk stratification based on J-ACCESS risk models with myocardial perfusion imaging: Risk versus outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to validate the accuracy of major-event risk models created in the multicenter J-ACCESS prognostic study in a new cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Three multivariable J-ACCESS risk models were created to predict major cardiac events (cardiac death, non-fatal acute coronary syndrome, and severe heart failure requiring hospitalization): Model 1, four variables of age, summed stress score, left ventricular ejection fraction and diabetes; Model 2 with five variables including estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, continuous); and Model 3 with categorical eGFR. The validation data used three-year (3y) cohort of patients with CKD (n = 526, major events 11.2%). Survival analysis of low (< 3%/3y), intermediate (3% to 9%/3y), and high (> 9%/3y)-risk groups showed good stratification by all three models (actual event rates: 3.1%, 9.9%, and 15.9% in the three groups with eGFR ≥ 15 mL/min/1.73 m2, P = .0087 (Model 2). However, actual event rates were equally high across all risk groups of patients with eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2.

CONCLUSION

The J-ACCESS risk models can stratify patients with CKD and eGFR ≥ 15 mL/min/1.73 m2, but patients with eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 are potentially at high risk regardless of estimated risk values.

Resistance to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents in Pre-Dialysis and Post-Dialysis Mortality in Japanese Incident Hemodialysis Patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

There is lack of definitive evidence about the association between erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) responsiveness in the pre-dialysis phase and mortality. Therefore, we conducted a hospital-based, retrospective, cohort study to assess the predictive value of ESA response for prognosis in incident hemodialysis patients.

METHODS

A total of 108 patients without preexisting cardiovascular disease who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis were studied. ESA responsiveness just before starting dialysis was estimated using an erythropoietin resistance index (ERI). The endpoint was defined as all-cause death.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 3.1 ± 1.6 years, 18 (17%) patients died. Overall, the multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the log-transformed ERI remained an independent predictor of all-cause death after adjustment using a propensity score (hazard ratio 2.25, 95% CI 1.25-4.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Among incident hemodialysis patients, hyporesponsiveness to ESA may be associated with mortality.

Resistance to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents in Pre-Dialysis and Post-Dialysis Mortality in Japanese Incident Hemodialysis Patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

There is lack of definitive evidence about the association between erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) responsiveness in the pre-dialysis phase and mortality. Therefore, we conducted a hospital-based, retrospective, cohort study to assess the predictive value of ESA response for prognosis in incident hemodialysis patients.

METHODS

A total of 108 patients without preexisting cardiovascular disease who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis were studied. ESA responsiveness just before starting dialysis was estimated using an erythropoietin resistance index (ERI). The endpoint was defined as all-cause death.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 3.1 ± 1.6 years, 18 (17%) patients died. Overall, the multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the log-transformed ERI remained an independent predictor of all-cause death after adjustment using a propensity score (hazard ratio 2.25, 95% CI 1.25-4.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Among incident hemodialysis patients, hyporesponsiveness to ESA may be associated with mortality.

Prognostic study of cardiac events in Japanese patients with chronic kidney disease using ECG-gated myocardial Perfusion imaging: Final 3-year report of the J-ACCESS 3 study

BACKGROUND

Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is considered useful for risk stratification among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), without renal deterioration by contrast media.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Japanese Assessment of Cardiac Events and Survival Study by Quantitative Gated SPECT (J-ACCESS 3) is a multicenter, prospective cohort study investigating the ability of MPI to predict cardiac events in 529 CKD patients without a definitive coronary artery disease. All patients were assessed by stress and rest MPI with 99mTc-tetrofosmin and data were analyzed using a defect scoring method and QGS software. Major cardiac events were analyzed for 3 years after registration. The mean eGFR was 29.0 ± 12.8 (mL/minute/1.73 m2). The mean summed stress/rest/difference (SSS, SRS, SDS) scores were 1.9 ± 3.8, 1.1 ± 3.0, and 0.8 ± 1.8, respectively. A total of 60 cardiac events (three cardiac deaths, six sudden deaths, five nonfatal myocardial infarctions, 46 hospitalization cases for heart failure) occurred. The event-free survival rate was lower among patients with kidney dysfunction, higher SSS, and higher CRP values. Multivariate Cox regression analysis independently associated SSS ≥8, eGFR <15 (mL/minute/1.73 m2), and CRP ≥0.3 (mg/dL) with cardiac events.

CONCLUSIONS

Together with eGFR and CRP, MPI can predict cardiac events in patients with CKD.

Effect of Oral Alfacalcidol on Clinical Outcomes in Patients Without Secondary Hyperparathyroidism Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: The J-DAVID Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Patients with chronic kidney disease have impaired vitamin D activation and elevated cardiovascular risk. Observational studies in patients treated with hemodialysis showed that the use of active vitamin D sterols was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality, regardless of parathyroid hormone levels.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether vitamin D receptor activators reduce cardiovascular events and mortality in patients without secondary hyperparathyroidism undergoing hemodialysis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Randomized, open-label, blinded end point multicenter study of 1289 patients in 207 dialysis centers in Japan. The study included 976 patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis with serum intact parathyroid hormone levels less than or equal to 180 pg/mL. The first and last participants were enrolled on August 18, 2008, and January 26, 2011, respectively. The final date of follow-up was April 4, 2015.

INTERVENTIONS

Treatment with 0.5 μg of oral alfacalcidol per day (intervention group; n = 495) vs treatment without vitamin D receptor activators (control group; n = 481).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was a composite measure of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarctions, hospitalizations for congestive heart failure, stroke, aortic dissection/rupture, amputation of lower limb due to ischemia, and cardiac sudden death; coronary revascularization; and leg artery revascularization during 48 months of follow-up. The secondary outcome was all-cause death.

RESULTS

Among 976 patients who were randomized from 108 dialysis centers, 964 patients were included in the intention-to-treat analysis (median age, 65 years; 386 women [40.0%]), and 944 (97.9%) completed the trial. During follow-up (median, 4.0 years), the primary composite outcome of cardiovascular events occurred in 103 of 488 patients (21.1%) in the intervention group and 85 of 476 patients (17.9%) in the control group (absolute difference, 3.25% [95% CI, -1.75% to 8.24%]; hazard ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 0.94-1.67]; P = .13). There was no significant difference in the secondary outcome of all-cause mortality between the groups (18.2% vs 16.8%, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.83-1.52]; P = .46). Of the 488 participants in the intervention group, 199 (40.8%) experienced serious adverse events that were classified as cardiovascular, 64 (13.1%) experienced adverse events classified as infection, and 22 (4.5%) experienced malignancy-related serious adverse events. Of 476 participants in the control group, 191 (40.1%) experienced cardiovascular-related serious adverse events, 63 (13.2%) experienced infection-related serious adverse events, and 21 (4.4%) experienced malignancy-related adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among patients without secondary hyperparathyroidism undergoing maintenance hemodialysis, oral alfacalcidol compared with usual care did not reduce the risk of a composite measure of select cardiovascular events. These findings do not support the use of vitamin D receptor activators for patients such as these.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN-CTR Identifier: UMIN000001194.

Biological variation of procalcitonin levels in hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

There is no obvious evidence regarding biological variation of procalcitonin (PCT) levels in hemodialysis (HD) patients without infections. The aim of this study was to determine the within- and between-person biological variation of PCT levels in HD patients without infections.

METHODS

A multicenter, prospective, cohort study enrolled 123 HD patients without any signs of infectious disease. Baseline PCT levels were determined pre- and post-HD, and then repeated pre-HD PCT measurements were performed at 2, 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, and 24 weeks after baseline blood-sampling, regardless of the presence or absence of infectious disease. Analytical variation (CVa), the within-person biological variation (CVi), between-person biological variation (CVb), individual index (II), and the reference change value (RCV) were calculated.

RESULTS

The mean age was 62.4 years, 76.4% were male, and 32.5% had diabetes. The mean duration of HD was 87 months. The median value for baseline pre-HD PCT was 0.23 ng/mL, which is much higher than the reference level for healthy individuals. PCT levels decreased of 46.6% after a single HD session. CVi was 24.9%, CVb was 54.2%, II was 0.46, and RCV was calculated as 96.4% with 99% probability.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCT level was significantly higher in stable HD patients without manifest bacterial infection. CVb was more variable than CVi in HD patients, which indicates that relative change is more important than absolute PCT levels for diagnosing bacterial infection, and doubling or more of the baseline PCT level may imply the presence of a bacterial infection in HD patients.

Rationale and design of oBservational clinical Research In chronic kidney disease patients with renal anemia: renal proGnosis in patients with Hyporesponsive anemia To Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, darbepoetiN alfa (BRIGHTEN Trial)

BACKGROUND

Renal anemia is an important complication in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients as well as in dialysis patients. Although recombinant human erythropoietin has dramatically improved prognosis and quality of life in these patients, there have been issues among non-dialysis CKD patients who exhibit hyporesponsiveness to erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA). The causes and definition of ESA hyporesponsiveness, as well as the incidence of renal and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in such patients, are yet to be clarified.

METHODS

This ongoing trial is a multicenter, prospective, observational study of non-dialysis CKD patients with renal anemia. The primary objective is to survey the current realities of the therapy with ESA in Japan and evaluate the correlation between hyporesponsiveness to darbepoetin alfa and CKD progression. The secondary objective is to investigate relationship between ESA hyporesponsiveness and CVD events based on the clinical situation in Japan, and to explore an ESA response index.

RESULTS

The subjects consist of CKD patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 who present renal anemia. The target number of registered cases is 2000 patients, based on estimates of incidences of renal and CVD events from past studies. Renal function and CVD events will be observed for 96 weeks after the initiation of darbepoetin alfa administration. Definitions of ESA hyporesponsiveness will also be investigated.

CONCLUSION

By clarifying markers and factors involved in ESA hyporesponsiveness and their relationships with renal and CVD events, this ongoing study aims to improve evidence-based therapies for renal anemia in non-dialysis CKD patients.

Point of care assessment of cardiac troponin T level in CKD patients with chest symptom

We challenged to identify the cutoff value of cTnT in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients by point of care assessment way. A single center, prospective cross-sectional study was planned and performed. 201 consecutive patients who were visited emergency room for chest symptoms were enrolled in this study. All patients were performed routine practice for differential diagnosis of chest symptom by cardiologist. Simultaneously, semiquantitative measurement of cTnT was performed using same blood sampling on the blind condition to cardiologists for this study. Study patients were divided into four groups according to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), CKD1-2, CKD3, CKD4-5, and CKD5D. Usefulness of semiquantitative measurement for diagnosing ACEs was investigated in each group. 77 (38%) of total patient was diagnosed as acute coronary events (ACEs). About 50% of patients were showing cTnT level less than 0.03 ng/mL. The cTnT level over 0.1 ng/mL was found in 30% of total subjects. Mean quantitative value of cTnT was 0.29 ± 0.57 ng/mL in total subjects. Estimated cutoff value in CKD3 patients was 0.088 ng/mL with a sensitivity of 59.3% and specificity of 80.0%. Interestingly, the cutoff values of CKD1-2, CKD4-5, and CKD5D were 0.047, 0.18, and 0.27 respectively, which are half, two times, and three times of CKD3 cutoff value 0.088. The specificities of four cutoff values in each CKD group were showing over 80%, which is higher than sensitivity, respectively. In CKD patients, semiquantitative, point of care assessment of cTnT could be a useful tool for screening for ACEs.

Anaemia and early phase cardiovascular events on haemodialysis

Although the mechanism of the cardio-renal anaemia syndrome (CRAS) has been elucidated in considerable detail over the past decade, cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading cause of death among patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) undergoing haemodialysis, and these patients' cardiovascular mortality is greater than that of the general population. Recent studies have reported that the CVD risk increases with advancing chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage. Furthermore, the incidence of cardiovascular events is highest during the first week after dialysis initiation, with increased risk in incident haemodialysis patients. This accumulated evidence demonstrates that how patients are managed during the pre-dialysis phase may have important implications on long-term outcomes in ESKD. Anaemia, a non-traditional risk factor for CVD, advances exponentially along with declining kidney function due to insufficient erythropoietin production. Anaemia causes functional abnormalities of the heart, as represented by cardiac hypertrophy, which results from increased cardiac workload induced by an increased preload. Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), a traditional risk factor for CVD, is especially associated with advanced CKD stage and could be a major risk factor for cardiovascular complications such as ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, and sudden cardiac death. In ESKD, anaemia develops more severely and requires a higher amount of erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) therapy before dialysis initiation. This suggests that improvement in anaemia management during the pre-dialysis phase may have a beneficial effect on cardiac hypertrophy and contribute to reducing the CVD risk after initiating haemodialysis.

A prospective observational study of early intervention with erythropoietin therapy and renal survival in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients with anemia: JET-STREAM Study

Background

There is limited data showing that early treatment for anemia could prolong renal survival in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. We therefore investigated the relationship between hemoglobin (Hb) levels at initiation of epoetin beta therapy and renal outcome in non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia.

Methods

In this prospective, multi-center, observational study, non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia who were naïve to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) were divided into three groups based on their Hb levels at initiation of epoetin beta therapy (Group I: 10 ≤ Hb < 11 g/dL, Group II: 9 ≤ Hb < 10 g/dL, and Group III: Hb < 9 g/dL). The primary endpoint was time to first occurrence of any renal event. For the primary analysis, an inverse probability weighted Cox regression model was used to adjust time-dependent selection bias in the artificially censored data.

Results

A total of 1113 patients were eligible for primary endpoint analysis. Risk of renal events was significantly higher in Group III compared with Group I (HR, 2.52; 95 % CI, 1.98–3.21; P < 0.0001); although not significant, the risk was also higher in Group II compared with Group I (HR, 1.48; 95 % CI, 0.91–2.40; P = 0.11).

Conclusion

Initiation of ESA therapy when Hb levels decreased below 11 g/dL but not below 10 g/dL could be more effective at reducing the risk of renal events in non-dialysis CKD patients with anemia compared with initiation of ESA therapy at below 9 g/dL or even 10 g/dL.

Ischemic Heart Disease in Patients with End-Stage Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

It was recently reported that the severity of coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) has improved over the last two decades. However, the frequency of coronary artery events observed at the initiation of dialysis remains high.

SUMMARY

Recently, 5 different clinical types of acute myocardial infarction (MI) were introduced in the third universal definition of MI. Type 2 MI, known as secondary MI, is a more heterogeneous entity, where a condition other than coronary artery narrowing contributes to an acute imbalance in oxygen supply and demand. In patients with chronic kidney disease, it has been demonstrated that type 2 MI is more common than type 1 MI, which is associated with coronary occlusive disease. It is suspected that patients with ESKD also often have type 2 MI. Factors associated with incremental increases in oxygen demand may cause myocardial ischemia in ESKD.

KEY MESSAGES

Significant epicardial coronary narrowing might not be a necessary precursor of myocardial ischemia in ESKD. To prevent ischemic heart disease and improve prognosis in patients with ESKD, we need to pay attention not only to coronary stenotic lesions, but also to the factors associated with the induction of an imbalance in myocardial oxygen supply and demand.

The FRAX ® as a predictor of mortality in Japanese incident hemodialysis patients: an observational, follow-up study

The World Health Organization Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX(®)) was recently developed to estimate the 10-year absolute risk of osteoporotic fracture among the general population. However, the evidence for its use in chronic kidney disease patients has been lacking, and the association between the FRAX(®) and mortality is unknown. Therefore, a hospital-based, prospective, cohort study was conducted to evaluate the predictive ability of the FRAX(®) for mortality in hemodialysis patients. A total of 252 patients who had been started on maintenance hemodialysis, 171 men and 81 women, with a mean age of 67 ± 14 years, was studied. The endpoint was defined as all-cause death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios and 95 % confidence intervals. During the mean follow-up period of 3.4 ± 2.7 years, 61 deaths occurred. The median (interquartile range) of the FRAX(®) for major osteoporotic fracture was 6.9 (4.6-12.0) % in men and 19.0 (7.6-33.0) % in women. Cumulative survival rates at 5 years after starting dialysis, with the FRAX(®) levels above and below the median, were 51.9 and 87.9 %, respectively, in men and 67.4 and 83.7 %, respectively, in women. Overall, in men, the multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the log-transformed FRAX(®) remained an independent predictor of death after adjusting by confounding variables. However, in women, the significant association between the FRAX(®) value and the outcome was eliminated if age was put into these models. Among Japanese hemodialysis patients, the FRAX(®) seems to be useful for predicting death, especially in men.

Usefulness of an Upright T-Wave in Lead aVR for Predicting the Short-Term Prognosis of Incident Hemodialysis Patients: A Potential Tool for Screening High-Risk Hemodialysis Patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

An upright T-wave in lead aVR (aVRT) has recently been reported to be associated with cardiovascular death and mortality among the general population and patients with prior cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, evidence for the predictive ability of aVRT in patients with chronic kidney disease is lacking. Therefore, a hospital-based, prospective, cohort study was conducted to evaluate the predictive ability of an upright aVRT for the short-term prognosis in incident hemodialysis patients.

METHODS

Among 208 patients who started maintenance hemodialysis, 79 with preexisting CVD (CVD cohort) and 129 with no history of CVD (non-CVD cohort), were studied. An upright and non-upright aVRT were defined as a wave with a positive deflection in amplitude of ≥0 mV and a negative deflection in amplitude of <0 mV, respectively. The endpoint was all-cause death.

RESULTS

Overall, the prevalence of an upright aVRT was 22.6% at baseline. During the mean follow-up period of 2.1 ± 1.0 years, 33 deaths occurred. Cumulative survival rates at 3 years after starting dialysis in patients with an upright and non-upright aVRT were 50.0 and 80.7%, respectively, in the CVD cohort and 92.0 and 91.3%, respectively, in the non-CVD cohort. In the CVD cohort, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that an upright aVRT was an independent predictor of death after adjusting for confounding variables.

CONCLUSION

Among Japanese hemodialysis patients at high risk for CVD, an upright aVRT seems to be useful for predicting death.

Changes over the last decade in carotid atherosclerosis in patients with end-stage kidney disease

OBJECTIVE

Therapies for chronic kidney disease have changed greatly over the last decade. The aim of this study was to examine the changes in the clinical characteristics and carotid atherosclerosis of patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) over the last 9 years.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of 150 consecutive patients with ESKD who had initiated maintenance dialysis between January 2005 and December 2013 was conducted. The patients' mean age was 68 ± 13 years. The group comprised 73% men, and 63% of the patients had diabetic nephropathy. The carotid artery-intima media thicknesses and the plaque scores (PS) were measured using carotid artery ultrasonography within 3 months of dialysis initiation. Changes in the patients' carotid atherosclerosis and clinical characteristics over the years were examined by categorizing the patients into 3 groups representing 3-year intervals based on when dialysis was initiated.

RESULTS

The PS declined from 12.8 to 5.4 (P = 0.001). Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels declined over the 9-year period (P = 0.005 and P = 0.006, respectively), and the ratio of statin users increased markedly from 24% to 54% (P = 0.001). Univariate regression analysis identified a positive correlation between the PS and LDL-C (r = 0.281; P = 0.01), and a strong positive correlation was found between the PS and LDL-C after adjusting for various risk factors for atherosclerosis.

CONCLUSION

Carotid atherosclerosis in patients with ESKD has decreased over the past 9 years, which may be a consequence of improvements in dyslipidemia management.

Occult hepatitis B virus infection in hemodialysis patients in Japan

Hepatitis B surface antigen is widely used in hepatitis B virus surveillance; patients who test negative for the antigen are judged to be uninfected. However, occult hepatitis B virus infection has been confirmed with hepatitis B virus DNA at low levels in the liver and peripheral blood in patients positive for hepatitis B core antibody or hepatitis B surface antibody, even if they test negative for hepatitis B surface antigen. To investigate the prevalence of occult hepatitis B virus in hemodialysis patients, we performed cross-sectional analysis of 161 hemodialysis patients in two related institutions for hepatitis B surface antigen, hepatitis B core antibody, and hepatitis B surface antibody. Hepatitis B surface antigen, hepatitis B core antibody, or hepatitis B surface antibody was present in 45 patients (28.0%). Hepatitis B virus DNA was present in six patients (3.7%), all of whom also tested positive for hepatitis B core antibody. Hepatitis B surface antibody positivity was unrelated in only one of the six patients. Four of the six patients were positive for hepatitis B surface antigen; however, two (1.3%) of these with occult hepatitis B virus infection were found to be hepatitis B surface antigen negative. Occult hepatitis B virus infection may be missed in hepatitis B virus surveillance using hepatitis B surface antigen alone; therefore, routine hepatitis B core antibody screening is necessary. Patients who test positive for hepatitis B core antibody should undergo further hepatitis B virus DNA testing to enable accurate hepatitis B virus screening.

Association between the Hemoglobin Level and Cardiothoracic Ratio in Patients on Incident Dialysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

The present study explores associations between hemoglobin (Hb) levels and patients with cardiac enlargement in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) to help prevent cardiac remodeling during the predialysis phase of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 2,249 patients with ESKD (age, 67 ± 13 years; male, 67%; diabetic kidney disease, 41%) who started hemodialysis (HD) between January 2006 and October 2013 at eight participating hospitals. We examined associations between Hb levels immediately before the first HD session and cardiothoracic ratios (CTRs). Clinical factors associated with the CTR were also assessed.

RESULTS

The mean Hb level was 8.7 ± 1.6 g/dl, and the mean and median CTRs were 55.0 and 54.7%, respectively. The correlation between the Hb level and the CTR was linear and negative (r = -0.129, p < 0.001). The mean CTR and the prevalence of patients with a CTR >50% obviously decreased with increasing Hb levels (both p < 0.001 for trend). Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed an approximately 20% reduction in the odds ratio for complicating CTRs >50% per 1 g/dl increase in Hb. Hb levels of <9 g/dl were significantly associated with CTRs >50%. Numerical and categorical Hb remained significantly associated with CTRs >50% after adjusting for confounding variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower Hb levels participate in progressive CTR enlargement in patients with ESKD, and maintaining Hb levels of >9 g/dl might help prevent cardiac remodeling during the predialysis phase of CKD.

Myocardial perfusion imaging for predicting cardiac events in Japanese patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: 1-year interim report of the J-ACCESS 3 investigation

PURPOSE

Whether myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) can predict cardiac events in patients with advanced conservative chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear.

METHODS

The present multicenter prospective cohort study aimed to clarify the ability of MPI to predict cardiac events in 529 patients with CKD and estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) < 50 ml/min per 1.73(2) without a definitive diagnosis of coronary artery disease. All patients were assessed by stress-rest MPI with (99m)Tc-tetrofosmin and analyzed using summed defect scores and QGS software. Cardiac events were analyzed 1 year after registration.

RESULTS

Myocardial perfusion abnormalities defined as summed stress score (SSS) ≥4 and ≥8 were identified in 19 and 7 % of patients, respectively. At the end of the 1-year follow-up, 33 (6.2 %) cardiac events had occurred that included cardiac death, sudden death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and hospitalization due to heart failure. The event-free rates at that time were 0.95, 0.90, and 0.81 for groups with SSS 0-3, 4-7, and ≥8, respectively (p = 0.0009). Thus, patients with abnormal SSS had a higher incidence of cardiac events. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SSS significantly impacts the prediction of cardiac events independently of eGFR and left ventricular ejection fraction.

CONCLUSION

MPI would be useful to stratify patients with advanced conservative CKD who are at high risk of cardiac events without adversely affecting damaged kidneys.

Declining prevalence of coronary artery disease in incident dialysis patients over the past two decades

AIM

The medical management of patients with chronic kidney disease(CKD) has changed within the past 20 years. We speculate that this change has resulted in a decrease in the prevalence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in patients with CKD. The aim of the present study was to analyze changes in the prevalence of coronary artery disease(CAD) in patients newly started on hemodialysis, as well as trends in clinical factors and medications over the past two decades.

METHODS

This single-center cross-sectional study examined data for 315 consecutive patients starting hemodialysis(age, 64±12 years; men, 73%; diabetic nephropathy, 57%) between January 1993 and December 2010. All patients were routinely screened for CAD within three months of starting hemodialysis, regardless of whether ischemic heart disease was suspected. The patients were categorized into six groups based on the date of the initial dialysis session in order to compare the historical prevalence of unidentified CAD(uCAD) in association with the clinical factors. In addition, we performed a subgroup analysis among 222 patients without known cardiac disease.

RESULTS

The prevalence of uCAD gradually declined from 69% to 25% over 18 years(p＜0.001 for trend). The mean high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C) concentration increased(p＜0.001 for trend), while the median C-reactive protein(CRP) level decreased over time. In parallel with these trends, the proportion of statin users significantly increased over time(p＜0.001 for trend). The use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents(ESAs) and renin angiotensin aldosterone system inhibitors(RAS-Is) also increased during the same period(both p＜0.001 for trend). A univariate logistic regression analysis identified a significant association between the prevalence of uCAD and the use of ESAs(OR: 0.565, p=0.016) or RAS-Is(OR: 0.501, p=0.004). In addition, a lower BMI, lower HDL-Clevel and higher CRP level were found to be closely associated with uCAD, independent of confounding variables. The findings for the new dialysis patients without cardiac disease were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of uCAD in patients with end-stage kidney disease has remarkably decreased over the past two decades. Major improvements in the medical management of CKD may modify the prevalence of coronary atherosclerosis.

Predictors of cardiovascular events in hemodialysis patients after stress myocardial perfusion imaging

Cardiovascular prognosis in patients under normal stress myocardial perfusion images (MPI) is generally excellent. However, this is not true for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) treated by hemodialysis. This study evaluated prognostic factors of adverse cardiovascular events in hemodialysis patients in whom stress MPI was performed. Pharmacological stress MPI was performed in 88 hemodialysis patients, and we retrospectively followed-up for 26 months. Cardiovascular events included cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and unstable angina. Cardiovascular events occurred in 16 patients (18%). Univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that peripheral artery disease (PAD) and parameters of stress MPI were significant predictors of cardiovascular events. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that only PAD (hazard ratio=6.54; P=0.002), and abnormal stress MPI (hazard ratio=8.26; P=0.008) were independent and significant predictors of cardiovascular events. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed better prognosis in patients with normal stress MPI than in patients with abnormal stress MPI (P<0.001, log-rank test). However, in patients with normal stress MPI, cardiovascular events occurred in 10 of the 76 patients (13%). Among patients with normal stress MPI, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with no PAD had better prognosis than patients with PAD (P=0.001, log-rank test). In hemodialysis patients, both PAD and stress MPI were powerful cardiovascular predictors. Normal stress MPI alone cannot guarantee good prognosis in terms of cardiovascular events. Consideration of PAD may improve the predictive value of stress MPI in some patients.

anti-tumor effect of AlkB homolog 3 knockdown in hormone- independent prostate cancer cells

Castrate resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) is a disease that is resistant to both hormone therapy and chemotherapy. At present, no curative therapy for CRPC has been established. Therefore, it is necessary to determine a novel molecular target for the development of therapeutic agents. We previously reported that AlkB homolog 3 (ALKBH3) is highly expressed in prostate cancer but not in benign prostatic hyperplasia or in normal prostate epithelium and that the expression levels of ALKBH3 protein are significantly correlated with the hormone-independent state of prostate cancer. Moreover, ALKBH3 regulates the invasion of prostate cancer cells via the regulation of matrix metalloproteinase 9. Here, we show that ALKBH3 gene silencing markedly induces apoptosis in hormone-independent prostate cancer cell line DU145 but not in the normal prostate epithelial cell line PNT2. Moreover, the in vivo tumorigenicity of DU145 cells was significantly inhibited by the administration of ALKBH3 siRNA. Furthermore, the anchorage-independent growth of DU145 cells was inhibited by ALKBH3 knockdown and promoted by ALKBH3 overexpression, significantly. ALKBH3 shRNA-expressing prostate cancer cells formed significantly smaller tumors than those of control shRNA transfectants in an in vivo xenograft model. These findings suggest that ALKBH3 is a promising target molecule for the development of CRPC therapeutic agents.