Polyphenic risk score shows robust predictive ability for long-term future suicidality

Suicides are preventable tragedies, if risk factors are tracked and mitigated. We had previously developed a new quantitative suicidality risk assessment instrument (Convergent Functional Information for Suicidality, CFI-S), which is in essence a simple polyphenic risk score, and deployed it in a busy urban hospital Emergency Department, in a naturalistic cohort of consecutive patients. We report a four years follow-up of that population (n = 482). Overall, the single administration of the CFI-S was significantly predictive of suicidality over the ensuing 4 years (occurrence- ROC AUC 80%, severity- Pearson correlation 0.44, imminence-Cox regression Hazard Ratio 1.33). The best predictive single phenes (phenotypic items) were feeling useless (not needed), a past history of suicidality, and social isolation. We next used machine learning approaches to enhance the predictive ability of CFI-S. We divided the population into a discovery cohort (n = 255) and testing cohort (n = 227), and developed a deep neural network algorithm that showed increased accuracy for predicting risk of future suicidality (increasing the ROC AUC from 80 to 90%), as well as a similarity network classifier for visualizing patient’s risk. We propose that the widespread use of CFI-S for screening purposes, with or without machine learning enhancements, can boost suicidality prevention efforts. This study also identified as top risk factors for suicidality addressable social determinants.

Ruling out pulmonary embolism across different subgroups of patients and healthcare settings: protocol for a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA)

BACKGROUND

Diagnosing pulmonary embolism in suspected patients is notoriously difficult as signs and symptoms are non-specific. Different diagnostic strategies have been developed, usually combining clinical probability assessment with D-dimer testing. However, their predictive performance differs across different healthcare settings, patient subgroups, and clinical presentation, which are currently not accounted for in the available diagnostic approaches.

METHODS

This is a protocol for a large diagnostic individual patient data meta-analysis (IPDMA) of currently available diagnostic studies in the field of pulmonary embolism. We searched MEDLINE (search date January 1, 1995, till August 25, 2016) to retrieve all primary diagnostic studies that had evaluated diagnostic strategies for pulmonary embolism. Two authors independently screened titles, abstracts, and subsequently full-text articles for eligibility from 3145 individual studies. A total of 40 studies were deemed eligible for inclusion into our IPDMA set, and principal investigators from these studies were invited to participate in a meeting at the 2017 conference from the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis. All authors agreed on data sharing and participation into this project. The process of data collection of available datasets as well as potential identification of additional new datasets based upon personal contacts and an updated search will be finalized early 2018. The aim is to evaluate diagnostic strategies across three research domains: (i) the optimal diagnostic approach for different healthcare settings, (ii) influence of comorbidity on the predictive performance of each diagnostic strategy, and (iii) optimize and tailor the efficiency and safety of ruling out PE across a broad spectrum of patients with a new, patient-tailored clinical decision model that combines clinical items with quantitative D-dimer testing.

DISCUSSION

This pre-planned individual patient data meta-analysis aims to contribute in resolving remaining diagnostic challenges of time-efficient diagnosis of pulmonary embolism by tailoring available diagnostic strategies for different healthcare settings and comorbidity.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

Prospero trial registration: ID 89366.

Treatment of submassive pulmonary embolism with tenecteplase or placebo: cardiopulmonary outcomes at 3 months: multicenter double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized trial

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) can worsen quality of life due to persistent dyspnea or exercise intolerance.

OBJECTIVE

Test if tenecteplase increases the probability of a favorable composite patient-oriented outcome after submassive PE.

METHODS

Normotensive patients with PE and right ventricular (RV) strain (by echocardiography or biomarkers) were enrolled from eight hospitals. All patients received low-molecular-weight heparin followed by random assignment to either a single weight-based bolus of tenecteplase or placebo, administered in a double-blinded fashion. The primary composite outcome included: (i) death, circulatory shock, intubation or major bleeding within 5 days or (ii) recurrent PE, poor functional capacity (RV dysfunction with either dyspnea at rest or exercise intolerance) or an SF36(®) Physical Component Summary (PCS) score < 30 at 90-day follow-up.

RESULTS

Eighty-three patients were randomized; 40 to tenecteplase and 43 to placebo. The trial was terminated prematurely. Within 5 days, adverse outcomes occurred in three placebo-treated patients (death in one and intubation in two) and one tenecteplase-treated patient (fatal intracranial hemorrhage). At 90 days, adverse outcomes occurred in 13 unique placebo-treated patients and five unique tenecteplase-treated patients Thus, 16 (37%) placebo-treated and six (15%) tenecteplase-treated patients had at least one adverse outcome (exact two-sided P = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of patients with submassive pulmonary embolism with tenecteplase was associated with increased probability of a favorable composite outcome.

Autoimmune signals in non-segmental vitiligo patients are associated with distinct clinical parameters and toxic exposures

BACKGROUND

Although non-segmental vitiligo is commonly considered an autoimmune disease, the possible differences between non-segmental vitiligo patients with and without autoimmune signals have not been clearly established.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a comparison of non-segmental vitiligo patients with autoimmune signals (AIS) vs. those without autoimmune signals (NAIS) in regards to clinical characteristics and toxic/drug exposure.

METHODS

112 vitiligo patients were selected for a sex and age matched (1 : 1) case control study at an university based dermatology outpatient hospital specialized in pigmentary disorders. Medical assessment was performed by dermatologists using the modified Vitiligo European Task Force form and serological and clinical signs of autoimmunity were evaluated.

RESULTS

Disease duration, age of onset, patient history of cardiovascular disease, past smoking history, use of drugs, and consummation of goitrogenic foods were all significantly increased in the AIS group using McNemar's test for matched pairs. In our conditional regression model, the simultaneous presence of disease duration, use of prescription drugs, and consummation of goitrogenic foods were the best predictors of AIS vitiligo patients.

CONCLUSION

The evaluation of non-segmental vitiligo patients according to the presence vs. the absence of autoimmune signals allows us to correlate patients exhibiting autoimmune phenomenon with certain clinical characteristics, namely long disease duration, use of prescription drugs, and consumption of goitrogenic substances. In the presence of the aforementioned clinical profile, we suggest an evaluation of autoimmune signals.

Effects of angiotensin (1-7) upon right ventricular function in experimental rat pulmonary embolism

Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction contributes to poor clinical prognosis after pulmonary embolism (PE). The present studies evaluate the effects of angiotensin (1-7) (ANG (1-7)) upon RV function during experimental PE in rats. Circulating ANG II increased 8-fold 6 hr after PE (47±13 PE vs. 6±3 pg/mL, control, p<0.05). ACE2 protein was uniformly localized in the RV myocardium of control rats, but showed a patchy distribution with some cells devoid of stain after 6 or 18 hr of PE. RV function decreased 18 hr after PE compared with control treated animals (19±4 vs. 41±1 mmHg, respectively, p<0.05; 669±98 vs. 1354±77 mmHg/sec, respectively, p<0.05), while left ventricular function (LV) was not significantly changed. Animals treated with ANG (1-7) during PE showed improved RV +dP/dt and peak systolic pressure development to values not significantly different from control animals. Protection of RV function by ANG (1-7) was associated with improved arterial blood sO2, base excess and pH. Supplemental delivery of ANG (1-7) reduced the development of RV dysfunction, suggesting a novel approach to protecting RV function in the setting of acute experimental PE.

Autoimmune markers in vitiligo patients appear correlated with obsession and phobia

BACKGROUND

Current studies have treated a limited portion of the subjective aspects of vitiligo patients and have yet to elucidate possible psychological differences between those with autoimmune markers (AIM) with respect to those without autoimmune markers (NAIM).

OBJECTIVE

To perform an age and gender-matched 1:1 case-control study through a comparison of non-segmental vitiligo patients with autoimmune features vs. those without autoimmune features in regards to psychiatric features, psychosomatic aspects and social parameters.

METHODS

A total of 112 non-segmental vitiligo patients have been examined at the Florence University dermatology outpatient service (2nd dermatology unit). Vitiligo with an autoimmune background was defined by the presence of autoimmune antibodies and/or autoimmune diseases. Psychiatric screening was performed by dermatologists using the modified Middlesex Healthcare Questionnaire (MHQ); psychosomatic aspects and social impact were analysed with a standardized, Florentine questionnaire.

RESULTS

Upon performing a conditional regression model, age, phobia and obsession were significantly predictive of the presence of AIM and a low total MHQ score was significantly predictive of NAIM in vitiligo patients. With univariate analysis, we found significant differences in: identifiable stress related to the onset of vitiligo, vitiligo triggered by stress, and modified interpersonal relationships related to vitiligo, which were associated with the subgroup containing autoimmunity markers.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a higher prevalence of age, obsession and phobia among vitiligo patients AIM as compared to vitiligo patients NAIM. Thus, in the presence of demonstrated autoimmunity, screening for particular psychiatric aspects may be useful in the clinical practice of vitiligo.

Prospective multicenter assessment of interobserver agreement for radiologist interpretation of multidetector computerized tomographic angiography for pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Emergency physicians rely on the interpretation of radiologists to diagnose and exclude pulmonary embolism (PE) on the basis of computerized tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA). Few data exist regarding the interobserver reliability of this endpoint.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the degree of agreement in CTPA interpretation between four academic hospitals and an independent reference reading (IRR) laboratory.

METHODS

Hospitalized and emergency department patients who had one predefined symptom and sign of PE and underwent 64-slice CTPA were enrolled from four academic hospitals. CTPA results as interpreted by board-certified radiologists from the hospitals were compared against those from the IRR laboratory. CTPAs were read as indeterminate, PE(-) or PE(+), and percentage obstruction was computed by the IRR laboratory, using a published method. Agreement was calculated with weighted Cohen's kappa.

RESULTS

We enrolled 492 subjects (63% female, age 54 +/- 1 years, and 16.7% PE(+) at the site hospitals). Overall agreement was 429/492 (87.2%; 95% confidence interval 83.9-90.0). We observed 13 cases (2.6%) of complete discordance, where one reading was PE(+) and the other reading was PE(-). Weighted agreement was 92.3%, with kappa = 0.75. The median percentage obstruction for all patients was 9% (25th-75th percentile interquartile range: 5% to -30%). For CTPAs interpreted at the site hospitals as PE(-) or indeterminate but read as PE(+) by the IRR laboratory, the median of percentage obstruction was 6% (4-7%).

CONCLUSION

We found in this sample a good level of agreement, with a weighted kappa of 0.75, but with 2.6% of patients having total discordance. Overall, a large proportion of clots were distal or minimally occlusive clots.

Rapid clearance of circulating haptoglobin from plasma during acute pulmonary embolism in rats results in HMOX1 up-regulation in peripheral blood leukocytes

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) causes pulmonary hypertension (PH) via several mechanisms including pulmonary vasospasm. We hypothesize that PE with associated PH leads to alterations in plasma protein concentrations indicative of disease severity and prognosis.

OBJECTIVE

To identify plasma proteins altered in abundance by PE in rats.

METHODS

Plasma samples were obtained from rats at 2, 6 and 18 h after experimental PE produced with intrajugular injection of polystyrene beads at three different levels of severity (mild, moderate and severe). Total plasma protein was separated using two-dimensional sodium dodecylsulfate-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (2D SDS-PAGE) and candidate protein spots altered in expression by PE were identified by mass spectroscopy. Haptoglobin identity and amount was verified by western blot analysis.

RESULTS

The PE model produced a dose-dependent increase in right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) (mmHg) at 2 h: mild 39+/-1.7, moderate 40+/-1.8 and severe 51+/-1.3 mmHg, coincident with significant increases in free plasma (hemoglobin). Combined 2D SDS-PAGE and Western blot analysis indicated time- and dose-dependant loss of plasma haptoglobin levels in response to acute PE. Haptoglobin (HP) was essentially absent from plasma within 2 h of severe PE. Clearance of HP from plasma was accompanied by increased expression of heme oxygenase-1 (hmox1) in peripheral blood leukocytes and in HMOX1 enzyme activity in the liver.

CONCLUSIONS

PE that causes pulmonary hypertension is associated with haptoglobin depletion and up-regulation of HMOX1 enzyme.

Comparison of the Simplify D-dimer assay performed at the bedside with a laboratory-based quantitative D-dimer assay for the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism in a low prevalence emergency department population

BACKGROUND

The immunofiltration D-dimer assay could allow point-of-care testing for pulmonary embolism (PE). A study was undertaken to compare a clinician-performed qualitative D-dimer assay with the automated quantitative D-dimer test.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was conducted from January to October 2005 at an urban academic emergency department (ED). 1193 patients of mean (SD) age 47 (16) years (66% female) were enrolled. The study protocol combined pretest probability estimation, D-dimer testing by both a qualitative immunochromatographic assay (Simplify) performed at the point of care by 192 different clinicians and a quantitative D-dimer test performed in a CLIA-certified laboratory. The criterion standard was image-proven PE or deep venous thrombosis within 45 days after enrollment. To test interobserver agreement for the qualitative assay, two blinded observers independently read 841 Simplify cartridges.

RESULTS

Of 1193 patients enrolled, 45 were PE+ (3.8%, 95% CI 2.8% to 5.0%). Qualitative results were available for 1169 (98%) and quantitative results were available for 1136 (95%). Comparison of the qualitative and quantitative D-dimer tests gave the following results: sensitivity 91% (95% CI 78% to 98%) vs 93% (95% CI 80% to 98%); specificity 57% (95% CI 54% to 60%) vs 57% (95% CI 54% to 60%); likelihood ratio negative 0.16 (95% CI 0.06 to 0.37) vs 0.13 (95% CI 0.05 to 0.35). The weighted Cohen's kappa for interpretation of the qualitative assay was 0.69 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.76).

CONCLUSIONS

In this very low-risk ED population, a qualitative D-dimer assay performed at the point of care had similar diagnostic accuracy to the quantitative D-dimer test. Interobserver agreement for the qualitative test was good.

Prospective multicenter evaluation of the pulmonary embolism rule-out criteria

BACKGROUND

Over-investigation of low-risk patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) represents a growing problem. The combination of gestalt estimate of low suspicion for PE, together with the PE rule-out criteria [PERC(-): age < 50 years, pulse < 100 beats min(-1), SaO(2) >or= 95%, no hemoptysis, no estrogen use, no surgery/trauma requiring hospitalization within 4 weeks, no prior venous thromboembolism (VTE), and no unilateral leg swelling], may reduce speculative testing for PE. We hypothesized that low suspicion and PERC(-) would predict a post-test probability of VTE(+) or death below 2.0%.

METHODS

We enrolled outpatients with suspected PE in 13 emergency departments. Clinicians completed a 72-field, web-based data form at the time of test order. Low suspicion required a gestalt pretest probability estimate of <15%. The main outcome was the composite of image-proven VTE(+) or death from any cause within 45 days.

RESULTS

We enrolled 8138 patients, 85% of whom had a chief complaint of either dyspnea or chest pain. Clinicians reported a low suspicion for PE, together with PERC(-), in 1666 patients (20%). At initial testing and within 45 days, 561 patients (6.9%, 95% confidence interval 6.5-7.6) were VTE(+), and 56 others died. Among the low suspicion and PERC(-) patients, 15 were VTE(+) and one other patient died, yielding a false-negative rate of 16/1666 (1.0%, 0.6-1.6%). As a diagnostic test, low suspicion and PERC(-) had a sensitivity of 97.4% (95.8-98.5%) and a specificity of 21.9% (21.0-22.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of gestalt estimate of low suspicion for PE and PERC(-) reduces the probability of VTE to below 2% in about 20% of outpatients with suspected PE.

Contrast nephropathy following computed tomography angiography of the chest for pulmonary embolism in the emergency department

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the frequency of contrast nephropathy after computed tomography angiography (CTA) to rule out pulmonary embolism (PE) in the emergency department (ED) setting.

METHODS

We prospectively followed patients undergoing CTA for PE, while in the ED, for 45 days. Patients who refused follow-up or were receiving hemodialysis were excluded. Severe renal failure was defined as an increase in creatinine > or = 3.0 mg dL(-1) or a need for hemodialysis within the follow-up period. Patients were also followed for laboratory-defined contrast nephropathy, defined as an increase in creatinine of > 0.5 mg dL(-1) or > 25%, within seven days following CTA.

RESULTS

A total of 1224 patients were followed, and 354 [29%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 26-32%] patients had paired (preCTA and post-CTA) creatinine measurements. None developed renal failure (0/1224; 0%, CI: 0-0.3%). 44 patients developed laboratory-defined contrast nephropathy, corresponding to an overall frequency of 4% (44/1224; CI: 3-5%) and 12% (44/354; 95% CI: 9-16%) among those with paired creatinine measurements.

CONCLUSIONS

Following CTA for PE, the incidence of severe renal failure was very low, but the incidence of laboratory-defined contrast nephropathy (4% overall and 12% of those with paired measurements) was higher than expected.

Clinical criteria to prevent unnecessary diagnostic testing in emergency department patients with suspected pulmonary embolism

Overuse of the d-dimer to screen for possible pulmonary embolism (PE) can have negative consequences. This study derives and tests clinical criteria to justify not ordering a d-dimer. The test threshold was estimated at 1.8% using the method of Pauker and Kassirer. The PE rule-out criteria were derived from logistic regression analysis with stepwise backward elimination of 21 variables collected on 3148 emergency department patients evaluated for PE at 10 US hospitals. Eight variables were included in a block rule: Age < 50 years, pulse < 100 bpm, SaO(2) > 94%, no unilateral leg swelling, no hemoptysis, no recent trauma or surgery, no prior PE or DVT, no hormone use. The rule was then prospectively tested in a low-risk group (1427 patients from two hospitals initially tested for PE with a d-dimer) and a very low-risk group (convenience sample of 382 patients with chief complaint of dyspnea, PE not suspected). The prevalence of PE was 8% (95% confidence interval: 7-9%) in the low-risk group and 2% (1-4%) in the very low-risk group on longitudinal follow-up. Application of the rule in the low-risk and very low-risk populations yielded sensitivities of 96% and 100% and specificities of 27% and 15%, respectively. The prevalence of PE in those who met the rule criteria was 1.4% (0.5-3.0%) and 0% (0-6.2%), respectively. The derived eight-factor block rule reduced the pretest probability below the test threshold for d-dimer in two validation populations, but the rule's utility was limited by low specificity.

Metabolic dysfunction and depletion of mitochondria in hearts of septic rats

Our previous studies indicate that hearts from septic rats have decreased work with oxygen wasting. The present studies test if there is energy deficit, changes in cardiac mitochondrial content and caspase activation during sepsis. Anesthetized, male Sprague-Dawley rats received no surgical treatment (control), laparotomy (sham), or laparotomy with cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) to induce polymicrobial septic shock. Hearts were isolated 12-14 h later. Cardiac work, oxygen consumption, substrate oxidation and energy stores were measured in perfused hearts. Normalized density of mitochondria was determined in ventricles without perfusion by morphometric analysis with electron microscopy. Citrate synthase activity was assessed in homogenates and isolated mitochondria. Cardiac work decreased significantly in CLP (47%), while oxygen consumption and glucose oxidation were unchanged compared with control or sham hearts (oxygen and substrate wasting). Tissue adenosine triphosphate, creatine phosphate and glycogen were lower in CLP hearts (energy deficit). Mitochondrial grid intersects decreased significantly from 151 +/- 8 sham to 130 +/- 4 CLP out of 361 possible intersects and autophagy was observed in CLP hearts. Total activity of citrate synthase decreased in homogenates (99 +/- 8 micromol/min/g wet weight sham vs. 62 +/- 7 CLP, P < 0.05) and in the mitochondrial fraction (27 +/- 1 micromol/min/g wet weight sham to 22 +/- 1 CLP, P < 0.05). Calculated mitochondrial content decreased from 63 +/- 4 mg protein/g wet weight sham to 46 +/- 5 CLP, P < 0.05 (mitochondrial depletion). Caspase-3 activity doubled and tumor necrosis factor alpha content tripled in CLP hearts. CONCLUSIONS. - Oxygen and substrate wasting in CLP occurs with fewer mitochondria and energy deficit, processes that are coincident with caspase-3 activation.

Contribution of indirect computed tomography venography to computed tomography angiography of the chest for the diagnosis of thromboembolic disease in two United States emergency departments

Recent reports suggest that physicians in non-ambulatory settings can use indirect CT venography (CTV) of the lower extremities immediately following spiral CT angiography (CTA) of the chest to identify patients with a negative CTA who have thromboembolic disease identified on CTV. We sought to determine the frequency of isolated deep venous thrombosis (DVT) discovered on CTV in emergency department (ED) patients with complaints suggestive of pulmonary embolism (PE) yet having a negative CTA. This study was conducted in a suburban and urban ED where patients with symptoms suspicious for PE were primarily evaluated with CTA and CTV. A total of 800 patients were studied, including 360 from the suburban ED and 440 from the urban ED. 88 (11%) patients were diagnosed with thromboembolic disease by CTA, or CTV, or both. Seventy-three patients had a CTA of the chest that was positive for PE, 42 (5.2%) of whom had evidence of both PE on CTA and DVT on CTV. Fifteen patients (2%, 95% CI = 1-3%) had a negative CTA and were subsequently found to have isolated DVT on CTV, all of whom received anticoagulation therapy. These data suggest that indirect CT venography of immediately following CT angiography of the chest significantly increased the frequency of diagnosed thromboembolic disease requiring anticoagulation in ED patients with suspected PE.

Identification of prearrest clinical factors associated with outpatient fatal pulmonary embolism

Massive pulmonary embolism (MPE) is an important cause of outpatient sudden death, and description of these patients is critical for identification and treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To test whether MPE patients can be distinguished from patients suffering sudden death from other causes based on clinical, demographic, and historical data. The hypothesis was that MPE cases would be more likely to manifest components of a clinical triad of 1) overt dyspnea, 2) alteration of mental status or syncope, and 3) shock index (pulse divided by systolic blood pressure) >0.8.

METHODS

Retrospective case-control study of medical examiner data from 1992 to 1999 including all patients with nontraumatic death, aged 18-65 years, transported to an emergency department, with autopsy-determined cause of death. Analysis was done by 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for difference in proportions and multivariate logistic regression for odds ratios.

RESULTS

The MPE patients (n = 37) were younger than the control subjects (n = 347) (40.2 vs 46.5 years, unpaired t-test p < 0.001). At least two of the three components of the triad were present in 56.8% of MPE cases vs 3.5% of controls (95% CI for difference in proportions = 37.3% to 68.0%). Significant variables (and odds ratios) for MPE after multivariate analysis included: dyspnea (13.8), shock index >0.8 (23.6), immobilization or fracture (14.6), seen by a physician within two weeks (5.1), and African American female status (6.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in this community with fatal MPE were young with risk factors for pulmonary embolism, and commonly manifested components of a triad including: dyspnea, alteration of mental status/syncope, and shock prior to death.

Activation of poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase in severe hemorrhagic shock and resuscitation

This study examines activation of poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) in the ileum during hemorrhage and resuscitation and determines if inhibition of PARP reduces organ dysfunction and metabolic acidosis. Awake, nonheparinized rats were hemorrhaged (40 mmHg, 60 min). Resuscitation used Ringer's solution (2 1/3 x shed volume) and packed red blood cells (2/3 shed volume). Ileal PARP activity was elevated at the end of hemorrhage (3.6-fold) and 10 min of resuscitation (5-fold). The subsequent decline in PARP activity observed after 60 min of resuscitation was not due to cleavage by caspase-3. Ileum permeability increased 10-fold and circulating liver enzymes increased 4- to 6-fold following 60 min of resuscitation in animals pretreated with 3-aminobenzoic acid, a structural analog that does not inhibit PARP. Pretreatment with 3-aminobenzamide (3-AB), a PARP inhibitor, reduced these changes, whereas posttreatment with a bolus of 3-AB was ineffective. Metabolic acidosis, accumulation of lactate, and base deficit was reduced by pretreatment with 3-AB. PARP is activated in the ileum by hemorrhage and by resuscitation. Activation of PARP contributes to organ dysfunction in the ileum and liver and appears to be central to the development of metabolic acidosis.

Research fundamentals: choosing an appropriate journal, manuscript preparation, and interactions with editors

This article, the last in a series on research methodology prepared by the Research Committee of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine (SAEM), describes the process of journal selection, manuscript preparation, manuscript submission, and responding to editorial and reviewer comments. Methods for completing each step of this process are described. Following these methods will increase the chance of publishing one's work in the highest-quality and most appropriate journal.

Pulmonary dysfunction in patients with femoral shaft fracture treated with intramedullary nailing

BACKGROUND

This study was undertaken to determine whether alveolar dead space increases during intramedullary nailing of femoral shaft fractures and whether alveolar dead space predicts postoperative pulmonary dysfunction in patients undergoing intramedullary nailing of a femoral shaft fracture.

METHODS

All patients with a femoral shaft fracture were prospectively enrolled in the study unless there was evidence of acute myocardial infarction, shock, or heart failure. Arterial blood gases were measured at three consecutive time-periods after induction of general anesthesia: before intramedullary nailing and ten and thirty minutes after intramedullary nailing. The end-tidal carbon-dioxide level, minute ventilation, positive end-expiratory pressure, and percent of inspired and expired inhalation agent were recorded simultaneously with the blood-gas measurement. Postoperatively, all subjects were monitored for evidence of pulmonary dysfunction, defined as the need for mechanical ventilation or supplemental oxygen (at a fraction of inspired oxygen of >40%) in the presence of clinical signs of a respiratory rate of >20 breaths/min or the use of accessory muscles of respiration.

RESULTS

Seventy-four patients with a total of eighty femoral shaft fractures completed the study. Fifty fractures (62.5%) underwent nailing after reaming, and thirty fractures (37.5%) underwent nailing with minimal or no reaming. The mean alveolar dead-space measurements before canal opening and at ten and thirty minutes after canal opening were 14.5%, 15.8%, and 15.2% in the total series of seventy-four patients (general linear model, p = 0.2) and 20.5%, 22.7%, and 24.2% in the twenty patients with postoperative pulmonary dysfunction (general linear model, p = 0.05). Of the twenty-one patients with an alveolar dead-space measurement of >20% thirty minutes after nailing, sixteen had postoperative pulmonary dysfunction. According to univariate and multivariate analysis, the alveolar dead-space measurement was strongly associated with postoperative pulmonary dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

According to our data, intramedullary nailing of femoral shaft fractures did not significantly increase alveolar dead space, and the amount of alveolar dead space can predict which patients will have pulmonary dysfunction postoperatively.

Assessment of cardiac stress from massive pulmonary embolism with 12-lead ECG

BACKGROUND

Massive pulmonary embolism (PE) that causes severe pulmonary hypertension can produce specific ECG abnormalities. We hypothesized that an ECG scoring system would vary in proportion to the severity of pulmonary hypertension and would help to distinguish patients with massive PE from patients with smaller PE and those without PE.

METHODS

A 21-point ECG scoring system was derived (relative weights in parentheses): sinus tachycardia (2), incomplete right bundle branch block (2), complete right bundle branch block (3), T-wave inversion in leads V(1) through V(4) (0 to 12), S wave in lead I (0), Q wave in lead III (1), inverted T in lead III (1), and entire S(1)Q(3)T(3) complex (2). ECGs obtained within 48 h prior to pulmonary arteriography were located for 60 patients (26 positive for PE, 34 negative for PE) and for 25 patients with fatal PE.

RESULTS

Interobserver agreement (11 readers) for ECG score was good (Spearman r = 0.74). The ECG score showed significant positive relationship to systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) in patients with PE (r = 0.387, p < 0.001), whereas no significant relationship was seen in patients without PE (r = - 0.08, p = 0.122). When patients were grouped by severity of pulmonary hypertension (low, moderate, severe), only patients with severe pulmonary hypertension from PE had a significantly higher ECG score (mean, 5.8 +/- 4.9). At a cutoff of 10 points, the ECG score was 23.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16 to 31%) sensitive and 97.7% (95% CI, 96 to 99%) specific for the recognition of severe pulmonary hypertension (sPAP > 50 mm Hg) secondary to PE. In 25 patients with fatal PE, the ECG score was 9.5 +/- 5.2.

CONCLUSIONS

The derived ECG score increases with severity of pulmonary hypertension from PE, and a score > or = 10 is highly suggestive of severe pulmonary hypertension from PE.

Pulseless electrical activity with witnessed arrest as a predictor of sudden death from massive pulmonary embolism in outpatients

BACKGROUND

the objective was to determine clinical characteristics that can quickly distinguish sudden death from massive pulmonary embolism (MPE) from other causes of sudden death.

METHODS AND RESULTS

all medical examiner reports from Charlotte, NC from 1992 to 1999 (n=4926) were hand-searched for cases of sudden death which met the inclusion criteria: non-traumatic death, age 18-65 years, transported to an emergency department (ED), and autopsy performed. Supplemental data from ED and prehospital records were retrieved to complete documentation. Data were analyzed by univariate odds ratios (OR) followed by chi-square (chi(2)) recursive partitioning for decision tree construction. Three hundred eighty four cases met inclusion criteria; MPE was the second most frequent cause of cardiac arrest in this cohort (37/384, 9.6%). The mean age of subjects with MPE (40.2+/-11.1 years) was significantly lower compared with non-PE subjects (46.5+/-9.9 years). Pulseless electrical activity was observed as the initial arrest rhythm (primary PEA) in 52/384 (13.5%) subjects. Out of 52 subjects with primary PEA, 28 (53%) died from MPE. Odds ratio data indicated significant association of MPE with female gender, arrest witnessed by medical providers, presence of primary PEA, and return of spontaneous circulation. The most accurate decision rule to recognize MPE consisted of witnessed arrest+primary PEA. This rule generated sensitivity=67.6% and specificity=94.5% and yielded a posttest probability of MPE of 57%.

CONCLUSIONS

outpatients with witnessed cardiac arrest and primary PEA carry a high probability of MPE.

Biventricular cardiac dysfunction after acute massive pulmonary embolism in the rat

Cardiac dysfunction has been documented in vivo after acute massive pulmonary embolism (AMPE). The present study tests whether intrinsic ventricular dysfunction occurs in rat hearts isolated after AMPE. AMPE was induced in spontaneously breathing ketamine-xylazine-anesthetized rats by thrombus infusion until mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) was approximately 40% of basal measurement. A hypotensive control group underwent controlled blood withdrawal to produce MAP approximately 40% of basal levels. Shams underwent identical surgical and anesthesia preparation but without pulmonary embolization. Hearts were perfused in isovolumetric mode, and simultaneous right ventricular (RV) and left ventricular (LV) pressures were measured. AMPE caused arterial hypotension with hypoxemia (PO(2) = 50 +/- 14 Torr), acidemia (pH = 7.26 +/- 0.11), and high lactate concentration (6.9 +/- 1.7 mM). Starling curves from both ventricles demonstrated that AMPE significantly reduced ex vivo systolic contractile function in the RV (P = 0.031) and LV (P = 0.008) compared with both the hypotensive control and sham hearts. AMPE did not alter coronary flow or compliance in either ventricle. Soluble tumor necrosis factor-alpha decreased in the RV (P = 0.043) and LV (P = 0.005) tissue. These data support the hypothesis that AMPE produces intrinsic biventricular dysfunction and suggest that arterial hypotension is not the principal mechanism of this dysfunction.

Insulin-glucose as adjunctive therapy for severe calcium channel antagonist poisoning

CASE REPORT

This case series documents the clinical courses of 4 patients after verapamil overdose and 1 patient after amlodipine-atenolol overdose. All subjects had hypodynamic circulatory shock (hypotension, bradycardia, and acidosis) that was not adequately responsive to conventional treatment. After initiation of insulin-dextrose infusion, the hemodynamic status of all 5 patients stabilized and all patients survived. Plasma drug concentrations are reported for all cases and verapamil levels were extremely high in 2 patients (3710 ng/mL and 3980 ng/mL). However, because patients were not treated according to a standard protocol, each patient received variable other supportive measures and inotropic agents, and the infusion rates of insulin were variable among patients. This report provides preliminary evidence toward a larger trial of insulin-dextrose to treat hypodynamic shock from calcium channel blocker overdose.

Role of fatty acids in the recovery of cardiac function during resuscitation from hemorrhagic shock

This study tested the hypothesis that removal of fatty acids as a fuel source would improve cardiac efficiency at the expense of reduced cardiac contractile function in the isolated working heart after hemorrhage-retransfusion. Non-heparinized male Sprague-Dawley rats were anesthetized with ketamine-xylazine and were hemorrhaged to a mean arterial blood pressure of 40 mmHg for 1 h. Two-thirds volume of shed blood was reinfused together with 0.9% NaCl in a volume equal to 2.3 times the shed blood volume, followed by continuous infusion of 0.9% NaCl at 10 mL/kg per h for 3 h. Hearts were removed and perfused in closed, recirculating working mode for 60 min to measure hydraulic work and cardiac efficiency. Rates of glycolysis and glucose oxidation were assessed with [5-3H/U-14C] glucose (11 mM) in the absence or presence of 0.4 mM palmitate. Compared to baseline measurements, hemorrhage-retransfusion significantly reduced arterial blood glucose (228+/-7 versus 118+/-12 mg/dL) and non-esterified fatty acid concentrations (0.36+/-0.01 versus 0.30+/-0.02 mM), while elevating blood lactate (0.8+/-0.1 versus 2.5+/-0.4 mM). Perfusion of sham hearts with glucose-only did not alter cardiac work compared to shams perfused with glucose plus palmitate. However, shocked hearts perfused with glucose-only demonstrated a significant reduction in cardiac work compared to shocked hearts perfused with glucose plus palmitate and compared to sham hearts perfused with glucose only (P < 0.05, repeated measures ANOVA). Shocked hearts perfused with glucose plus palmitate showed no reduction in cardiac work compared to shams. Shocked hearts perfused with glucose-only had increased glucose oxidation rates compared to shams perfused with glucose plus palmitate. In sham hearts perfused with glucose-only, myocardial glycogen and triacylglycerol contents were significantly reduced compared to hearts freeze-clamped in situ. These endogenous fuels were not decreased in shocked hearts. These data indicate that hemorrhagic shock renders the heart unable to mobilize endogenous fuels, and suggest that withdrawal of fatty acid oxidation will impair myocardial energy metabolism during resuscitation.

Diagnostic accuracy of a bedside D-dimer assay and alveolar dead-space measurement for rapid exclusion of pulmonary embolism: a multicenter study

CONTEXT

A previous study suggested that the combination of a normal D-dimer assay and normal alveolar dead-space fraction is a highly sensitive screening test for pulmonary embolism (PE).

OBJECTIVE

To determine if the combination of a normal alveolar dead-space fraction (volume of alveolar dead space/tidal volume </=20%) and a normal whole-blood agglutination D-dimer assay can exclude PE in emergency department (ED) patients.

DESIGN

Prospective, noninterventional study conducted in 1998-1999. Study data were obtained prior to standard testing for PE, consisting of radionuclide lung scanning or contrast-enhanced computed tomography and 6-month follow-up plus selective use of venous ultrasonography and pulmonary angiography. Imaging studies were interpreted by blinded observers.

SETTING

Six urban teaching hospitals in the United States.

PATIENTS

A total of 380 hemodynamically stable ED patients aged 18 years or older with suspected acute PE.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Sensitivity and specificity for PE with a positive test defined as having either alveolar dead-space fraction or D-dimer assay results abnormal. Alveolar dead-space fraction was determined by subtracting airway dead space from physiological dead space (determined using the modified Bohr equation) and D-dimer assay, assayed at bedside using 20 microL of arterial blood.

RESULTS

Pulmonary embolism was diagnosed in 64 patients (16.8%), of those 20 had an abnormal D-dimer assay result, 3 had an abnormal alveolar dead-space fraction, 40 had abnormal results in both, and 1 had normal results for both tests. The sensitivity for diagnosis of PE was 98.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 91.6%-100.0%). Among the 316 patients without PE, both D-dimer and dead-space results were normal in 163, for a specificity of 51.6% (95% CI, 46.1%-57.1%). Posterior probability of PE with normal results on both tests was 0.75% (95% CI, 0%-3.4%).

CONCLUSION

In this multicenter study of ED patients, a normal D-dimer assay result plus a normal alveolar dead-space fraction was associated with a low prevalence of PE.

Lactate improves cardiac efficiency after hemorrhagic shock

This study was undertaken to examine the role of lactate on cardiac function and metabolism after severe acute hemorrhagic shock. Anesthetized, nonheparinized rats were bled to a mean arterial pressure of 25-30 mm Hg for 1 h; controls were not bled. Their hearts were removed, and cardiac work and efficiency (work/oxygen consumption) were measured in the isolated working heart mode for 60 min. The hearts were perfused with one of five substrate combinations: 1) glucose (11 mM), 2) glucose + 0.4 mM palmitate, 3) glucose + 0.4 mM palmitate + 8.0 mM lactate, 4) glucose + 1.2 mM palmitate, or 5) glucose + 1.2 mM palmitate + 8.0 mM lactate. After perfusion, hearts were freeze-clamped, and tissue contents of free coenzyme-A (CoA), acetyl CoA, and succinyl CoA were measured, as was myocardial pyruvate dehydrogenase (PDH) activity. The addition of 8.0 mM lactate significantly improved cardiac work in shocked hearts perfused with 0.4 mM palmitate and increased cardiac efficiency in the presence of either 0.4 mM or 1.2 mM palmitate. Compared to control hearts, shocked hearts exhibited a 20-30% decrease in PDH activity. Shocked hearts perfused with lactate demonstrated no increase in acetyl CoA content but did have a significant increase in tissue succinyl CoA compared to control hearts perfused with lactate or shocked hearts perfused without lactate. In the heart recovering from severe hemorrhagic shock, lactate improves cardiac efficiency in the presence of free fatty acids, possibly by a anaplerosis of the tricarboxylic acid cycle.

Depletion of lactate by dichloroacetate reduces cardiac efficiency after hemorrhagic shock

We have demonstrated previously that dichloroacetate (DCA) treatment in rodents ameliorates, via activation of the pyruvate dehydrogenase complex, the cardiovascular depression observed after hemorrhagic shock. To explore the mechanism of this effect, we administered DCA in a large animal model of hemorrhagic shock. Mongrel hounds were anesthetized with 1.5% isoflurane and were measured for hemodynamics, myocardial contractility, and myocardial substrate utilization. They were hemorrhaged to a mean arterial pressure of 35 mm Hg for 90 min or until arterial lactate levels reached 7.0 mM (1137 +/- 47 mL or 49 +/- 2% total blood volume). Animals were chosen at random to receive DCA dissolved in water or an equal volume of saline at the onset of resuscitation. Two-thirds of the shed blood volume was returned immediately after giving an equivalent volume of saline. Two hours after the onset of resuscitation, mean arterial pressure was not different between DCA and control groups (79 +/- 3 vs. 82 +/- 3 mm Hg, respectively). Arterial lactate levels were significantly reduced by DCA (0.5 +/- 0.06 vs. 2.0 +/- 0.2 mM). However, DCA treatment was associated with a decreased stroke volume index (0.56 +/- 0.06 vs. 0.82 +/- 0.08 mL/kg/beat) and a decreased myocardial efficiency (19 vs. 41 L x mm Hg/mL/100 g tissue). During resuscitation by DCA, myocardial lactate consumption was reduced (21.4 +/- 3.7 vs. 70.7 +/- 16.3 micromole/min/100 g tissue) despite a three-fold increase in myocardial pyruvate dehydrogenase activity, while free fatty acid levels actually began to rise. Although increased lactate oxidation should be beneficial during resuscitation, we propose that DCA treatment led to a deprivation of myocardial lactate supply, which reduced net myocardial lactate oxidation, thus compromising myocardial function during resuscitation from hemorrhagic shock.

Utility of lower extremity venous ultrasound scanning in the diagnosis and exclusion of pulmonary embolism in outpatients

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Emergency physicians frequently rely on normal findings from a lower extremity venous ultrasound examination as a method to decrease the probability of pulmonary embolism (PE) in outpatients with a nondiagnostic ventilation-perfusion lung scan (V/Q scan). The objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic utility of bilateral lower extremity venous ultrasound scanning in the diagnosis of PE in emergency department patients with a low-, moderate-, or indeterminate-probability (nondiagnostic) V/Q scan.

METHODS

This prospective, 2-center, descriptive study was conducted at the EDs of 2 large teaching hospitals. From an initial cohort of 570 nonreferred outpatients, a convenience sample of 156 patients who had both a nondiagnostic V/Q scan and a lower extremity venous ultrasound scan performed was selected as the study population. The sensitivity and specificity for a single lower extremity venous ultrasound scan and the posttest probability of PE were determined for the study population.

RESULTS

In the study population, the best-case sensitivity of the lower extremity venous ultrasound scan for PE was 54% (95% confidence interval [CI] 37% to 71%) and the specificity was 98% (95% CI 94% to 100%). The likelihood ratio of a positive test result was 27. The likelihood ratio of a negative test result was 0.49, yielding a lowest possible posttest probability of PE of 12% (95% CI 6% to 17%).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that the combination of a nondiagnostic (low, moderate, or indeterminate) V/Q scan plus a single negative result from lower extremity venous ultrasound examination, even in a best-case scenario, does not exclude the diagnosis of PE.

Alveolar dead space as a predictor of severity of pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the alveolar dead space volume (V(D)alv), expressed as a percentage of the alveolar tidal volume (V(D)alv/V(T)alv), can predict the degree of vascular occlusion caused by pulmonary embolism (PE).

METHODS

Fifty-three subjects with suspected PE were prospectively studied. Pulmonary embolism was diagnosed in 33 by high-probability ventilation/perfusion (V/Q) scan (n = 19) or by pulmonary arteriography (PAG, n = 14). Pulmonary embolism was excluded by PAG in 20 subjects. The V(D)alv/V(T)alv was determined from volumetric capnography and arterial blood gas analysis, which permits measurement of the physiologic dead space, V(D)phys (mL) = [(PaCO2 - PeCO2)/PaCO2]. tidal volume. Airway dead space (V(D)aw) was subtracted to yield the alveolar dead space [(V(D)phys - V(D)aw) = V(D)alv (mL)]; the percentage of alveolar volume occupied by alveolar dead space per breath = V(D)alv/V(T)alv x 100%. Percentage perfusion defect was determined from V/Q scans by a radiologist blinded to other data. Regression analysis was performed to show correlation between V(D)alv/V(T)alv and defect on V/Q scan or systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (SPAP).

RESULTS

For subjects with PE, the mean perfusion defect on lung scan was 38 +/- 22%; the mean V(D)alv = 208 +/- 115 mL, V(T)alv = 452 +/- 251 mL, and V(D)alv/V(T)alv = 43 +/- 18%. Regression of V(D)alv/V(T)alv vs perfusion defect yielded r2 = 0.41. Regression of V(D)alv/V(T)alv vs pulmonary artery pressures yielded r2 = 0.59. For subjects without PE, V(D)alv/V(T)alv = 27 +/- 14% and V(D)alv = 89 +/- 66 mL.

CONCLUSIONS

The V(D)alv/V(T)alv correlates with the lung perfusion defect and the pulmonary artery pressures in subjects with PE. These findings show the potential for V(D)alv/V(T)alv to quantify the embolic burden of PE.

New diagnostic tests for pulmonary embolism

In 1990, the multicenter Prospective Investigation of Pulmonary Embolism Diagnosis (PIOPED), sponsored by the National Institutes of Health, compared the diagnostic value of the radioisotopic ventilation-perfusion lung scan (V/Q scan) with that of pulmonary angiography for the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE). Despite the endurance of the radioisotopic V/Q scan as the most widely used test for evaluation of pulmonary embolism (PE), a better screening tool is clearly needed for use in the emergency department. During the past decade, several new modalities have emerged for evaluation of patients with suspected PE. We evaluate the diagnostic utility of the D-dimer test and the alveolar dead space determination as potential screening tests and of spiral computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, transthoracic echocardiography, and transesophageal echocardiography as potential confirmatory tests for PE. For comparison, recent data on the diagnostic utility of the alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient and the V/Q scan are included. The potential application of these new tests to a hypothetical ED population is described.

Heart function after severe hemorrhagic shock

OBJECTIVE

Test whether brief deep hemorrhagic hypotension or prolonged moderate hemorrhagic hypotension impairs intrinsic heart function.

METHODS

Pentobarbital-anesthetized, non-anticoagulated rats were cannulated via the carotid artery. This study focuses on three main groups: 1) hemorrhage to a mean arterial blood pressure (MAP)=25 mm Hg for 1 h (1 h severe shock), 2) hemorrhage to MAP=40 mm Hg for 3 h (3 h moderate shock), 3) no hemorrhage (control). Hearts were either freeze-clamped in-situ for tissue analysis (n=6 per group) or were removed to study in vitro cardiac function and efficiency using a working heart perfusion (n=12 per group, glucose (11 mM)/palmitate (0.4 mM), 3% BSA buffer). Following perfusion, hearts were freeze-clamped and analyzed for free CoA, acetyl-, succinyl-, and malonyl-CoA, ATP content and for TNF-alpha content.

RESULTS

Isolated working hearts obtained following 1 h of severe shock generated 20% less hydraulic work than hearts obtained from control rats or rats subjected to 3 h of moderate shock. The cardiac efficiency (work/O2 consumption) was also significantly reduced with 1 h severe shock (0.76 +/- 0.07 after 15 min perfusion) versus control (0.96 +/- 0.06) or 3 h prolonged shock (1.10 +/- 0.09). Myocardial Co-A ester, ATP and TNF-alpha concentrations were not different between control and shocked hearts, although TNF-alpha concentrations increased significantly in all hearts during ex vivo perfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

Depth of hypotension is more important than duration in causing intrinsic cardiac dysfunction. This post-hemorrhagic cardiac dysfunction is not a result of substrate limitation to the heart, nor myocardial TNF-alpha accumulation, but is more likely a result of impaired transfer of energy from molecular oxygen into external cardiac work.