Derivation and validation of a noninvasive prediction tool to identify pulmonary hypertension in patients with IPF: Evolution of the model FORD

BACKGROUND

The administration of inhaled prostanoids to patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH) related to idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and other fibrotic lung diseases improves functional outcomes. Selection of patients with IPF at risk for concomitant PH to undergo right heart catheterization (RHC) remains challenging. We sought to develop a clinical prediction tool based on common noninvasive parameters to identify PH in patients with IPF.

METHODS

A prediction model based on noninvasive parameters was derived from patients enrolled in the ARTEMIS-IPF randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial. Predictor variables were tested for association with the presence of PH diagnosed based on RHC. The derived multivariable logistic regression model and associated point-score index were then externally validated in a real-world cohort of patients with IPF.

RESULTS

Of the 481 patients included in the ARTEMIS-IPF study, 9.8% (N = 47) were diagnosed with PH related to IPF. Four variables were associated with PH and were included in the final model: forced vital capacity/diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide ratio (F), oxygen saturation nadir during 6-minute walk test (6MWT) (O), race (R), and distance ambulated during 6MWT (D). A model containing continuous predictors (FORD calculator) and a simple point-score system (FORD index) performed similarly well in the derivation cohort (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.75 and 0.75, respectively) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.69 and 0.69, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The FORD models are simple, validated tools incorporating noninvasive parameters that can be applied to identify patients at risk of PH related to IPF who may benefit from invasive testing.

Pulmonary vascular dysfunction without pulmonary hypertension: A distinct phenotype in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Pulmonary vascular dysfunction in the absence of pulmonary hypertension (PH) has been observed in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We describe the prevalence and etiology of elevated pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) without PH among patients with IPF. Hemodynamic, echocardiographic, and functional respiratory imaging (FRI) data was compared between patients with IPF without PH with normal (<3 wood units) and elevated PVR (≥3 wood units). Mortality between these two groups were compared to patients with IPF and PH. Of 205 patients with IPF, there were 146 patients without PH, of whom 114 (78.1%) had a normal PVR and 32 (21.9%) who had a high PVR. Functional testing and hemodynamics were similar in the two groups, except for the cardiac index which was significantly lower in patients with a high PVR (2.3 vs. 2.6 L/min/m2; p = 0.004). Echocardiographic comparison demonstrated a higher tricuspid regurgitant velocity in those with a high PVR (3.4 vs 3.0 m/s; p = 0.046). FRI revealed proportionately fewer large vessels as a proportion of the vasculature in the patients without PH and elevated PVRs. Among patients without PH, PVR was associated with increased mortality. In conclusion, patients with IPF without PH but a high PVR appear to be a distinct phenotype with a prognosis between those with and without PH, likely reflecting the continuum of vascular dysfunction. The basis for this unique hemodynamic profile could not be definitively discerned although FRI suggested an aberrant anatomical vascular response.