Moving Beyond Boundaries: Utilization of Longitudinal Exposure-Response Model for Bounded Outcome Score to Inform Decision Making in the Accelerated Drug Development Paradigm

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

As drug development scientists strive to accelerate availability of therapies for patients, model-informed drug development (MIDD) plays an important role in contextualizing existing information and facilitating decision making. This paper describes an example of MIDD, where modeling and simulation informed decision making in the circumstance of a combined phase 2b and single pivotal study for ritlecitinib (JAK3/TEC family kinases inhibitor).

METHODS

Longitudinal exposure-response (ER) modeling was conducted to describe ritlecitinib efficacy in alopecia areata patients. The Severity of Alopecia Tool (SALT) score (a continuous bounded outcome [CBO] score [0-100]) was used as the efficacy response. The average concentration during the time interval between two adjacent SALT scores was used as the exposure metric driving efficacy.

RESULTS

The developed model well described the longitudinal SALT profile of ritlecitinib as well as the frequency of boundary data. The CBO model indicated tested doses in the phase 2b/3 clinical trial are in the ascending region of ER and contextualized a loading dose effect that impacted onset of efficacy without long-term benefit. It also identified disease severity as the only covariate impacting efficacy. The model-based simulation further informed impact of treatment interruption on the loss of efficacy in the absence of a dedicated treatment withdrawal study. Results indicated temporary treatment interruption ≤ 6 weeks is not expected to result in significant loss of efficacy.

CONCLUSION

The CBO modeling approach and simulation supported the single pivotal trial strategy and guided dose selection in the accelerated drug development program of ritlecitinib, which can be applied to many indications where efficacy is measured on a bounded scale.

Evolution of Ritlecitinib Population Pharmacokinetic Models During Clinical Drug Development

BACKGROUND

Ritlecitinib is an oral Janus kinase 3/tyrosine kinase expressed in hepatocellular carcinoma family inhibitor undergoing parallel clinical development for alopecia areata, vitiligo, ulcerative colitis, Crohn's disease, and rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE

As studies read out simultaneously, strategic planning of population pharmacokinetic model development and evaluation is required to ensure timely decisions.

METHODS

Data from healthy participants and patients from 12 clinical trials between December 2014 and July 2021 were included: seven phase I studies in healthy participants and organ impairment, five phase II/III studies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis, ulcerative colitis, alopecia areata, and vitiligo. Population pharmacokinetic models consisted of stepwise procedures to accommodate data availability and the model's application to answering clinical development questions. At each iteration of the model update, parameters of the next model were re-estimated by leveraging previous information and new data.

RESULTS

Three model development lifecycle iterations of the ritlecitinib population pharmacokinetic model were conducted to support alopecia areata, vitiligo, and ulcerative colitis study readouts. Initial structural modeling based on healthy participant data (and some rheumatoid arthritis and alopecia areata data) in iteration 1 provided a platform for comprehensive covariate testing during iteration 2, and model evaluation and implementation of the frequentist prior approach in iteration 3. The final model was a two-compartment model with first-order absorption and direct-response non-stationary clearance and bioavailability driven by concentrations in the peripheral compartment.

CONCLUSIONS

The present approach demonstrated the evolution of three population pharmacokinetic models with accumulating data, addressed clinical drug development questions related to systemic exposures of ritlecitinib, and informed the approved product label.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02309827, NCT02684760, NCT02958865, NCT02969044, NCT03232905, NCT03732807, NCT04016077, NCT03715829, NCT04037865, NCT04004663, NCT04634565, NCT02974868.

Alternatives to zinc oxide in pig production

Zinc oxide (ZnO) has been applied for many years in the production of pigs to reduce the number of diarrhoea in weaned piglets. In June 2022, the European Union banned the use of zinc oxide (ZnO) in pig feed. According to scientific reports, the may reason was the accumulation of this microelement in the environment of pig production. It has been shown that frequent application of ZnO can lead to increased antibiotic resistance in pathogenic swine microflora. The main alternatives to ZnO are probiotics, prebiotics, organic acids, essential oils, and liquid feeding systems. Alternatives to ZnO can be successfully used in pig production to reduce the number of diarrhoea among piglets during the postweaning period. Additional reports indicated that bacteriophage supplementation has a positive effect on the health of pigs. The article provides an overview of current ZnO substitutes that can be used in pig farming.

Leveraging Prior Healthy Participant Pharmacokinetic Data to Evaluate the Impact of Renal and Hepatic Impairment on Ritlecitinib Pharmacokinetics

Ritlecitinib is a selective, covalent, irreversible inhibitor of Janus kinase 3 (JAK3) and the tyrosine kinase expressed in hepatocellular carcinoma (TEC) family kinases. Pharmacokinetics and safety of ritlecitinib in participants with hepatic (Study 1) or renal (Study 2) impairment were to be characterized from two phase I studies. Due to a study pause caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the study 2 healthy participant (HP) cohort was not recruited; however, the demography of the severe renal impairment cohort closely matched the study 1 HP cohort. We present results from each study and two innovative approaches to utilizing available HP data as reference data for study 2: a statistical approach using analysis of variance and an in silico simulation of an HP cohort created using a population pharmacokinetics (POPPK) model derived from several ritlecitinib studies. For study 1, the observed area under the curve for 24-h dosing interval and maximum plasma concentration for HPs and their observed geometric mean ratios (participants with moderate hepatic impairment vs HPs) were within 90% prediction intervals from the POPPK simulation-based approach, thereby validating the latter approach. When applied to study 2, both the statistical and POPPK simulation approaches demonstrated that patients with renal impairment would not require ritlecitinib dose modification. In both phase I studies, ritlecitinib was generally safe and well tolerated. These analyses represent a new methodology for generating reference HP cohorts in special population studies for drugs in development with well-characterized pharmacokinetics in HPs and adequate POPPK models. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04037865 , NCT04016077 , NCT02309827 , NCT02684760 , and NCT02969044 .

Opportunities and Challenges of Disease Progression Modeling in Drug Development - An IQ Perspective

Disease progression modeling (DPM) represents an important model-informed drug development framework. The scientific communities support the use of DPM to accelerate and increase efficiency in drug development. This article summarizes International Consortium for Innovation & Quality (IQ) in Pharmaceutical Development mediated survey conducted across multiple biopharmaceutical companies on challenges and opportunities for DPM. Additionally, this summary highlights the viewpoints of IQ from the 2021 workshop hosted by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Sixteen pharmaceutical companies participated in the IQ survey with 36 main questions. The types of questions included single/multiple choice, dichotomous, rank questions, and open-ended or free text. The key results show that DPM has different representation, it encompasses natural disease history, placebo response, standard of care as background therapy, and can even be interpreted as pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling. The most common reasons for not implementing DPM as frequently seem to be difficulties in internal cross-functional alignment, lack of knowledge of disease/data, and time constraints. If successfully implemented, DPM can have an impact on dose selection, reduction of sample size, trial read-out support, patient selection/stratification, and supportive evidence for regulatory interactions. The key success factors and key challenges of disease progression models were highlighted in the survey and about 24 case studies across different therapeutic areas were submitted from various survey sponsors. Although DPM is still evolving, its current impact is limited but promising. The success of such models in the future will depend on collaboration, advanced analytics, availability of and access to relevant and adequate-quality data, collaborative regulatory guidance, and published examples of impact.

Population PK and PD Analysis of Domagrozumab in Pediatric Patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy

Myostatin, a negative regulator of skeletal muscle growth, is a therapeutic target in muscle-wasting diseases. Domagrozumab, a humanized recombinant monoclonal antibody, binds myostatin and inhibits activity. Domagrozumab was investigated in a phase II trial (NCT02310763) as a potential treatment for boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modeling is vital in clinical trial design, particularly for determining dosing regimens in pediatric populations. This analysis sought to establish the PK/PD relationship between free domagrozumab and total myostatin concentrations in pediatric patients with DMD using a prior semimechanistic model developed from a phase I study in healthy adult volunteers (NCT01616277) and following inclusion of phase II data. The refined model was developed using a multiple-step approach comprising structural, random effects, and covariate model development; assessment of model adequacy (goodness-of-fit); and predictive performance. Differences in PKs/PDs between healthy adult volunteers and pediatric patients with DMD were quantitatively accounted for and evaluated by predicting myostatin coverage (the percentage of myostatin bound by domagrozumab). The final model parameter estimates and semimechanistic target-mediated drug disposition structure sufficiently described both domagrozumab and myostatin concentrations in pediatric patients with DMD, and most population parameters were comparable with the prior model (in healthy adult volunteers). Predicted myostatin coverage for phase II patients with DMD was consistently > 90%. Baseline serum myostatin was ~ 65% lower than in healthy adult volunteers. This study provides insights into the regulation of myostatin in healthy adults and pediatric patients with DMD. Clinicaltrials.gov identifiers: NCT01616277 and NCT02310763.

Population Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic Modeling of the Effect of Abrocitinib on QT Intervals in Healthy Volunteers

Abrocitinib is a selective Janus kinase 1 inhibitor for the treatment of moderate to severe atopic dermatitis (AD). To assess the relationship between abrocitinib plasma concentrations and heart rate (HR)-corrected QT (QTc) and HR and calculate the effect of abrocitinib on these parameters at supratherapeutic concentrations, 36 healthy volunteers received single doses of abrocitinib 600 mg, placebo, and moxifloxacin 400 mg in a 3-period crossover study. The relationship between change from baseline in Fridericia-corrected QTc (∆QTcF) values and abrocitinib plasma concentrations was modeled using a prespecified linear mixed-effects model. The 90%CIs for time-matched placebo-corrected ∆QTcF (∆∆QTcF) were calculated from model parameter estimates and assessed against the regulatory threshold (10 millisecond) at the predicted supratherapeutic concentration in patients with atopic dermatitis (2156 ng/mL). Mean (90%CI) time-matched placebo-corrected change from baseline in HR (∆∆HR) was calculated similarly. At the supratherapeutic concentration, mean (90%CI) estimates for ∆∆QTcF and ∆∆HR were 6.00 (4.52-7.49) milliseconds and 6.51 (5.23-7.80) bpm, respectively. Despite a concentration-dependent effect on ∆QTcF and ∆HR, with statistically significant slopes (90%CI) of 0.0026 (0.0018-0.0035) milliseconds/(ng/mL) and 0.0031 (0.0024-0.0038) bpm/(ng/mL), respectively, abrocitinib does not have a clinically significant effect on QTc interval or HR at supratherapeutic exposures.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Abrocitinib in Healthy Individuals and Patients with Psoriasis or Atopic Dermatitis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Abrocitinib is a Janus kinase 1 inhibitor in development for the treatment of atopic dermatitis (AD). This work characterized orally administered abrocitinib population pharmacokinetics in healthy individuals, patients with psoriasis, and patients with AD and the effects of covariates on abrocitinib exposure.

METHODS

Abrocitinib concentration measurements (n = 6206) from 995 individuals from 11 clinical trials (seven phase I, two phase II, and two phase III) were analyzed, and a non-linear mixed-effects model was developed. Simulations of abrocitinib dose proportionality and steady-state accumulation of maximal plasma drug concentration (Cmax) and area under the curve (AUC) were conducted using the final model.

RESULTS

A two-compartment model with parallel zero- and first-order absorption, time-dependent bioavailability, and time- and dose-dependent clearance best described abrocitinib pharmacokinetics. Abrocitinib coadministration with rifampin resulted in lower exposure, whereas Asian/other race coadministration with fluconazole and fluvoxamine, inflammatory skin conditions (psoriasis/AD), and hepatic impairment resulted in higher exposure. After differences in body weight are accounted for, Asian participants demonstrated a 1.43- and 1.48-fold increase in Cmax and AUC, respectively. The overall distribution of exposures (Cmax and AUC) was similar in adolescents and adults after accounting for differences in total body weight.

CONCLUSIONS

A population pharmacokinetics model was developed for abrocitinib that can be used to predict abrocitinib steady-state exposure in the presence of drug-drug interaction effects or intrinsic patient factors. Key covariates in the study population accounting for variability in abrocitinib exposures are Asian race and adolescent age, although these factors are not clinically meaningful.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBERS

NCT01835197, NCT02163161, NCT02201524, NCT02780167, NCT03349060, NCT03575871, NCT03634345, NCT03637790, NCT03626415, NCT03386279, NCT03937258.

Population Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Modeling of Platelet Time-Courses Following Administration of Abrocitinib

Aims

Abrocitinib is a selective Janus kinase 1 inhibitor for the treatment of moderate‐to‐severe atopic dermatitis. Herein we describe the time‐course of drug‐induced platelet reduction following abrocitinib administration, identify covariates affecting platelet counts, and determine the probability of patients experiencing thrombocytopaenia while receiving abrocitinib.

Methods

This analysis included data from two Phase 2 and three Phase 3 studies in psoriasis and atopic dermatitis patient populations administered abrocitinib 10–400 mg QD orally for up to 12 weeks, with platelet counts determined up to week 16. A semi‐mechanistic model was developed to assess the impact of baseline platelet counts (170, 220 and 270 × 1000/μL), age and race on the platelet nadir and week 12 counts with once‐daily abrocitinib 200 mg or 100 mg.

Results

Decreases in platelet counts were transient with the nadir occurring on average 24 days (95% prediction interval, 23–24) after continuous administration of abrocitinib 200 mg QD. Following administration of once‐daily abrocitinib 200 mg, the probabilities of thrombocytopaenia (<150 × 1000/μL) at the nadir were 8.6% and 95.5% for the typical patient with baseline platelet count of 270 × 1000/μL or 170 × 1000/μL, respectively. Adolescents had a lower probability of thrombocytopaenia compared with adults; platelet count distribution was similar in Asian and Western patients at the nadir and at week 12.

Conclusion

This analysis supports the safety of once‐daily abrocitinib 200 mg and 100 mg dosing regimens, with low probability of thrombocytopaenia during treatment, except for higher risk of low‐grade thrombocytopaenia that diminished after 4 weeks in patients with low baseline platelet counts.

Effects of the microencapsulated feed additive of lactic acid bacteria on production parameters and post-vaccinal immune response in pigs

The aim of the study was to determine the effects of feed addition of LAVIPAN PL5 probiotic preparation containing compositions of microencapsulated lactic acid bacteria (Leuconostoc mesenteroides, Lactobacillus casei, Lactobacillus plantarum, Pediococcus pentosaceus) on production parameters and post-vaccinal immune response in pigs under field condition. The study was performed on 400 pigs in total and 60 pigs from this group were used to evaluate the effect of the product tested on the post-vaccinal response. The animals were divided into two groups: control group, fed without additive of LAVIPAN PL5 and the study group, receiving LAVIPAN PL5 at doses recommended by manufacturer from weaning to the end of fattening. The following parameters were recorded: main production parameters, including weight gains, fattening time (slaughter age) and animal health status during the study (mortality), and specific humoral post-vaccinal response after vaccination against swine erysipelas. The results indicate that the application of LAVIPAN PL5 had positive influence on the animals` productivity and did not significantly affect the post-vaccinal antibody levels and the development and maintenance of the post-vaccinal response, albeit the levels of antibodies were slightly higher in the animal receiving the test preparation. The higher average daily weight gains (by over 3%) which resulted in a 2 kg higher average weight at slaughter and a reduction of the fattening period by 5 days, undoubtedly contributed to significant economic benefits.

Model-Optimized Fluconazole Dose Selection for Critically Ill Patients Improves Early Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment without the Need for Therapeutic Drug Monitoring

Fluconazole has been associated with higher mortality compared with the echinocandins in patients treated for invasive candida infections. Underexposure from current fluconazole dosing regimens may contribute to these worse outcomes, so alternative dosing strategies require study. The objective of this study was to evaluate fluconazole drug exposure in critically ill patients comparing a novel model-optimized dose selection method with established approaches over a standard 14-day (336-h) treatment course. Target attainment was evaluated in a representative population of 1,000 critically ill adult patients for (i) guideline dosing (800-mg loading and 400-mg maintenance dosing adjusted to renal function), (ii) guideline dosing followed by therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM)-guided dose adjustment, and (iii) model-optimized dose selection based on patient factors (without TDM). Assuming a MIC of 2 mg/liter, free fluconazole 24-h area under the curve (fAUC24) targets of ≥200 mg · h/liter and <800 mg · h/liter were used for assessment of target attainment. Guideline dosing resulted in underexposure in 21% of patients at 48 h and in 23% of patients at 336 h. The TDM-guided strategy did not influence 0- to 48-h target attainment due to inherent procedural delays but resulted in 37% of patients being underexposed at 336 h. Model-optimized dosing resulted in ≥98% of patients meeting efficacy targets throughout the treatment course, while resulting in less overexposure compared with guideline dosing (7% versus 14%) at 336 h. Model-optimized dose selection enables fluconazole dose individualization in critical illness from the outset of therapy and should enable reevaluation of the comparative effectiveness of this drug in patients with severe fungal infections.

Dashboards for Therapeutic Monoclonal Antibodies: Learning and Confirming

Inflammatory diseases (ID) are incurable, progressive diseases. Literature evidence cites increasing incidence of these diseases worldwide. When treatments with chemical immunosuppressive agents fail, patients are often treated with monoclonal antibodies (MAbs). However, MAb failure rates are generally high, with approximately half the patients being discontinued within 4 years, necessitating switching to another MAb. One potential cause of treatment failure is subtherapeutic exposure. Several studies demonstrated associations between trough MAb concentrations and clinical response, supporting the notion that improving drug exposure may result in improved outcomes. MAbs exhibit complex and highly variable pharmacokinetics in ID patients with numerous factors affecting clearance. Bayesian-guided dosing with dashboard systems is a new tool being investigated in the treatment of ID to reduce variability in exposure. Simulations suggest dashboards will be effective at maintaining patients at target troughs. However, when patients are dosed using doses or intervals outside those listed in prescribing information, there is concern that patients may have drug exposures beyond or below the ranges found to be safe and efficacious. This manuscript reviews the rationale behind dashboard development, evaluations of expected performance, and a simulated assessment of MAb exposure with dashboard-based dosing versus dosing based on the prescribing information. We introduce the concept of pharmacologic equivalence-if patients are dosed based on individual pharmacokinetics, the resulting exposure is consistent with exposures achieved using labeled dosing. We further show that dashboard-based dosing results in observed exposures that are generally contained within the range of exposures achieved with labeled dosing.

Disease activity trajectories in early rheumatoid arthritis following intensive DMARD therapy over 3 years: association with persistence to therapy

OBJECTIVE

To identify the disease activity trajectories during intensive triple disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy over 3 years in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients and to evaluate the association with treatment persistence.

METHODS

Disease Activity Score in 28 joints, baseline risk factors and medication usage were obtained from a longitudinal observational cohort of early RA patients, most of whom were treated with combination DMARD therapy consisting of methotrexate, sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine. Persistence of each DMARD was defined as the duration of time from initiation to cessation. A group-based trajectory modelling technique was used to identify disease activity trajectories.

RESULT

Three disease activity trajectories (good [43.8%], moderate [39.7%] and poor [16.5%]) were identified in a cohort of 297 patients. Most baseline risk factors, medication usage, the rate of treatment persistence and the effect of persistence on disease activity differed among patients in each of the three trajectories. Although the rate of persistence was higher in the trajectory with a good outcome, the association with persistence was more pronounced among patients who were in the poor outcome trajectory. Persistence with at least two or all three baseline DMARDs was associated with a decrease in disease activity to a broadly similar degree in all trajectories.

CONCLUSION

After correction for other baseline prognostic factors, persistence with initial DMARDs contributes to heterogeneity in disease activity trajectory and there was an association between persistence with initial DMARD therapy and lower long-term disease activity.

Bayesian Forecasting Tool to Predict the Need for Antidote in Acute Acetaminophen Overdose

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Acetaminophen (APAP) overdose is the leading cause of acute liver injury in the United States. Patients with elevated plasma acetaminophen concentrations (PACs) require hepatoprotective treatment with N-acetylcysteine (NAC). These patients have been primarily risk-stratified using the Rumack-Matthew nomogram. Previous studies of acute APAP overdoses found that the nomogram failed to accurately predict the need for the antidote. The objectives of this study were to develop a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model for APAP following acute overdose and evaluate the utility of population PK model-based Bayesian forecasting in NAC administration decisions.

DESIGN, PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS

Limited APAP concentrations from a retrospective cohort of acute overdosed subjects from the Maryland Poison Center were used to develop the population PK model and to investigate the effect of type of APAP products and other prognostic factors. The externally validated population PK model was used a prior for Bayesian forecasting to predict the individual PK profile when one or two observed PACs were available. The utility of Bayesian forecasted APAP concentration-time profiles inferred from one (first) or two (first and second) PAC observations were also tested in their ability to predict the observed NAC decisions.

MAIN RESULTS

A one-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination adequately described the data with single activated charcoal and APAP products as significant covariates on absorption and bioavailability. The Bayesian forecasted individual concentration-time profiles had acceptable bias (6.2% and 9.8%) and accuracy (40.5% and 41.9%) when either one or two PACs were considered, respectively. The sensitivity and negative predictive value of the Bayesian forecasted NAC decisions using one PAC were 84% and 92.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The population PK analysis provided a platform for acceptably predicting an individual's concentration-time profile following acute APAP overdose with at least one PAC, and the individual's covariate profile, and can potentially be used for making early NAC administration decisions.

A population model of early rheumatoid arthritis disease activity during treatment with methotrexate, sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine

AIMS

To develop a population model describing the disease activity (DAS28) time course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with triple disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy (methotrexate, sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine).

METHODS

DAS28 was obtained in 263 patients with early RA from initiation of therapy until 60 weeks. Using NONMEM(®), base models (DAS28 vs. time) and covariate influences were investigated for the population.

RESULTS

The best model was an exponential model of DAS28 vs. time that was additive to baseline DAS28, with covariance between parameters, and a combined residual error model. Age and patient smoking history were covariates significantly affecting response to therapy. Population estimates were baseline DAS28 (5.7), extent of change in DAS28 (-2.8) and the half-life of disease activity (6.2 weeks; time to steady disease state achieved within approximately 30 weeks). Older individuals exhibited more severe baseline DAS28, described by a power function centred around 57 years (baseline DAS28 for 40- and 70-year-old patients were 5.4 vs. 5.8, respectively) and current smokers took longer to achieve a steady disease state (approximately 50 weeks). There was considerable within-patient random variability in DAS28 over time (empirical 90% CI for DAS28 in a population typical patient at 60 weeks: 1.8, 4.2 with median value of 2.8).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first report of a disease activity model for early RA treated with triple DMARD therapy. Smoking and age were identified as covariates.

A model-based evaluation of single metrics for discriminating changes in rheumatoid arthritis disease activity

AIMS

Composite indices for quantifying rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease activity such as the 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28) are comprised of single parameters ('metrics') in various combinations. Population modelling methods were used to evaluate single metrics for their ability to reflect changes in disease activity with a view to understanding and improving composite indices.

METHODS

A total of 11 single metrics of RA disease activity (tender and swollen joint counts, acute phase reactants and global health, pain and physical function assessments) were obtained from 203 patients with recent onset RA. Participants received combination disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) according to a treat-to-target approach with a pre-defined protocol for treatment intensification. Models describing each metric's magnitude and variability of change from baseline to a single 'treated' state in the population were developed using nonmem(®) . Measures that displayed uniformly large changes between states across the population were ranked higher in terms of discriminatory capacity.

RESULTS

Joint counts demonstrated a greater ability to discriminate changes in RA disease activity than others. Correlations between metrics demonstrated that erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) had limited relationships with others for baseline scores and changes in RA disease activity (r generally < 0.2). However it appeared to be important in describing changes for those individuals where ESR levels were initially elevated.

CONCLUSION

It appears unlikely that a single group of metrics may be suitable to capture disease activity changes across all RA patients and defining the most appropriate metric(s) for individual patients will be an important area of future research.

Interactive Pharmacometric Applications Using R and the Shiny Package

Interactive applications, developed using Shiny for the R programming language, have the potential to revolutionize the sharing and communication of pharmacometric model simulations. Shiny allows customization of the application's user-interface to provide an elegant environment for displaying user-input controls and simulation output-where the latter simultaneously updates with changing input. The flexible nature of the R language makes simulations of population variability possible thus promoting the combination of Shiny with R in model visualization.

Dashboard systems: implementing pharmacometrics from bench to bedside

In recent years, there has been increasing interest in the development of medical decision-support tools, including dashboard systems. Dashboard systems are software packages that integrate information and calculations about therapeutics from multiple components into a single interface for use in the clinical environment. Given the high cost of medical care, and the increasing need to demonstrate positive clinical outcomes for reimbursement, dashboard systems may become an important tool for improving patient outcome, improving clinical efficiency and containing healthcare costs. Similarly the costs associated with drug development are also rising. The use of model-based drug development (MBDD) has been proposed as a tool to streamline this process, facilitating the selection of appropriate doses and making informed go/no-go decisions. However, complete implementation of MBDD has not always been successful owing to a variety of factors, including the resources required to provide timely modeling and simulation updates. The application of dashboard systems in drug development reduces the resource requirement and may expedite updating models as new data are collected, allowing modeling results to be available in a timely fashion. In this paper, we present some background information on dashboard systems and propose the use of these systems both in the clinic and during drug development.

Thoracic endovascular aortic repair with left subclavian artery coverage without prophylactic revascularisation-early and midterm results

Background

The management of the left subclavian artery when coverage is necessary during thoracic aorta endografting remains a matter of debate.

Materials and methods

A retrospective analysis of a single-centre experience with thoracic endovascular aorta repair (TEVAR) was performed. Between April 2004 and October 2012, 125 cases of TEVAR were performed. The analysis focused on patients who required coverage of the left subclavian artery (LSA). We analysed mortality and morbidity with special attention to the rates of cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs) and spinal cord ischaemia (SCI) in the early and midterm.

Results

Of the 125 patients, 53 (42 %, group A) required an intentional coverage of the LSA to obtain an adequate proximal seal for the endograft; the remaining patients constituted group B. None of the patients in group A had protective LSA revascularisation prior to TEVAR. The primary technical success rate was 79.2 vs. 90.3 % (group A vs. group B, p = 0.08), and the primary clinical success rate was 77.4 vs. 82 % (group A vs. group B, p = 0.53). The 30-day mortality rate was 11.3 vs. 11.1 % (group A vs. group B, p = 0.97). The 30-day morbidity was 7.5 vs. 13.9 % (group A vs. group B, p = 0.4). CVA occurred in 1.9 % of group A patients, compared to 1.4 % of patients from group B (p = 0.82). The SCI incidence rate was 0 vs. 1.4 % (p = 0.39). The mean follow-up of group A was 24.1 months (range 2–64.6 months, SD = 19). Additionally, the 1-year estimated survival was 85.5 %, and the 3-year estimated survival was 78 %. There were no midterm CVAs; one event of SCI occurred in the seventh post-operative month in group A.

Conclusion

Our analysis, although retrospective and based on one institution experience, shows a realistic population of TEVAR patients. We prove that TEVAR with coverage of LSA origin can be accomplished with minimal neurological morbidity in this patient population. The study shows that LSA revascularisation is not mandatory before endograft deployment, especially in emergency settings. We also prove that although zone 2 TEVAR extends the proximal landing zone, it does not prevent type IA endoleaks from appearing. A multicentre randomised control trial with higher number of patients is necessary for proper, robust conclusion to be established.

Role of p53 tumor suppressor in ageing: regulation of transient cell cycle arrest and terminal senescence

In this study we investigated the function of p53 as a regulator of cell cycle progression in cycling and senescent cells. Using the conditional temperature-sensitive (ts) mutant we could prevent the detrimental effect of constitutive expression of high levels of wt p53 protein. High levels of wt p53 inhibited cell proliferation by blocking the cells to progress from G1 to S phase of the cell cycle. Flow cytometric analysis revelaed a maintenance of G1 cell population for a longer time depending on the prolonged expression of wt p53 protein. The p53 mediated inhibition of cell proliferation and of the cycle was reversible. However, a spontaneous increase of wt p53 occurring in ageing normal human MRC-5 fibroblasts was associated with irreversible reduction of proliferative potential. The accumulation of G1 cells was detected by flow cytometry. By the measurement of DNA content it is not possible to discriminate between cells arrested in G1 and G0 phase, therefore, the expression of G1 markers was determined. Analysis of the expression of distinct cell cycle regulators revealed that quiescent MRC-5 cells were in G0 phase. Our results indicate that cell cycle arrest occurring in senescent cells is associated with the G0 transition.

Cell cycle arrest induced in human breast cancer cells by cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitors: a comparison of the effects exerted by roscovitine and olomoucine

Cyclin-dependent kinases (CDKs) are serine/threonine kinases that play a key role in the regulation of the cell cycle progression. In proliferating cells, distinct CDKs activated upon complexing with specific cyclins and upon site-specific phosphorylation coordinate in an orchestrated way the appropriate transition between consecutive phases of the cell cycle. Aberrant expression or altered activity of distinct CDK complexes results in escape of cells from the cell cycle control and leads to malignant transformation. Therefore, the inhibition of CDKs in malignant cells provides a new strategy in the fight against cancer. Recently, selective CDK inhibitors targeting distinct CDKs were developed. They represent promising anti-cancer drugs due to their strong anti-proliferative efficacy combined with a relative low direct cytotoxicity. The aim of this study was to compare the effect of two related CDK inhibitors: roscovitine (ROSC) and olomoucine (OLO) on the cell cycle progression in human breast cancer MCF-7 cells. Both examined CDK inhibitors differentially affected the cell cycle progression in MCF-7 cels. Whereas ROSC arrested cells in G(2)/M, OLO inhibited cells at S to G(2) transition and increased the number of cells residing in the S-phase. Moreover, both CDK inhibitors modulated the cell cycle progression with distinct kinetics. Accumulation of G(2)/M-arrested cells beginning 6 h after exposure of cells to ROSC coincided with a strong up-regulation of the p53. Interestingly, ROSC triggered apoptosis in MCF-7 cells by activation of mitochondrial pathway. Loss of the integrity of mitochondrial membrane observed after exposure of cells to ROSC for 6 h led to release of distinct mitochondrial proteins, e.g. apoptosis inducing factor (AIF). In contrast to ROSC, OLO-induced cell cycle changes could be detected after 12 h of the treatment. OLO did not up-regulate p53 protein. It indicates that both examined CDK inhibitors are selective and block the cell cycle progression of human breast carcinoma cells at different phases.

Activation of p53 protein in normal and in tumor cells by a novel anticancer agent CHS 828

CHS 828, a novel cyanoguanidine, represents a new class of drugs for cancer therapy, with an unknown primary mechanism of action. It is generally known that anticancer drugs induce p53 response thereby triggering cell cycle arrest or apoptosis. We investigated the effect of CHS 828 on p53 response in normal and tumor cells and compared this effect with that exerted by conventional anticancer drugs. After 24 h of treatment with CHS 828, we observed a dose-dependent up-regulation of wild type (WT) p53 protein in human breast carcinoma MCF-7 cells as well as in normal human and mouse fibroblasts. The highest p53 increase was observed at 300 nM to 1 microM CHS 828. CHS 828 induced phosphorylation of p53 protein at Ser-15 in normal cells. However, the drug failed to induce p53 protein in mouse cells in which the poly(ADP-ribose)-1 gene (PARP-1) was disrupted even at a 30-fold higher dose and after prolonged treatment. Combined treatment of PARP-1 -/- cells by multidrug resistance modulators did not alter p53 expression. CHS 828 inhibited cell proliferation and DNA replication in the tested cells. Interestingly, DNA synthesis as well as proliferation of PARP-1 deficient cells was inhibited by drug concentrations that were approximately 3-fold lower than their conventional counterparts. Treatment of cells with CHS 828 for 48 h did not induce apoptosis.

DLA-DRB1 histocompatibility genotyping using RT-nested PCR and cycle sequencing

Class-II histocompatibility genes are associated with predisposition to autoimmune diseases in many mammal species. We have developed a technique using reverse transcriptase and nested-PCR for amplification from blood samples of expressed sequences encoded by canine DLA-DRB1 loci. In the first polymerase chain reaction (PCR), we utilize primers DR-SP and DR-STOP as developed by Sarmiento et al. (1990). In the nested PCR, we utilize two additional primers, namely primer 57 [5'-TCTTGGAGGCTCCTGGATGACAGC-3'] and primer 367 [5'-CACAACTACGGGGTGATTGAGAGC-3'] to produce a 334 bp amplified product. After digestion with restriction endonucleases, some of the alleles can be identified by restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP). The increasing information on new DLA-DRB1 alleles over the last two years renders the DLA-DRB1 too diverse for convenient use of RFLP. However, the expressed sequences amplified by our protocol can be conveniently identified by cycle sequencing. This RT n-PCR protocol will suffice for the genotyping of individual dogs at the DLA-DRB1 locus.

Expanded indications for the treatment of postcatheterization femoral pseudoaneurysms with ultrasound-guided compression

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to define the factors that predict successful ultrasound-guided compression repair (UGCR) of postcatheterization femoral pseudoaneurysms (PA) and to determine risks for recurrence, the most appropriate follow-up, and the optimal management of compression failures and recurrences.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was made.

RESULTS

UGCR thrombosed 52 of 60 PA (87%). Predictors of compression failure were PA size of 8 cm and an associated arteriovenous fistula (AVF). AVF was the only predictor of recurrence. All seven recurrences (13%) were discovered on the first follow-up scan. Four were thrombosed with additional UGCR. Late rescanning after a mean of 264 days identified no recurrences. Four anticoagulated patients failed initial UGCR but were thrombosed in another session when their anticoagulation was briefly reversed.

CONCLUSIONS

UGCR should be the initial management of PA because it is safe, effective, and durable. Temporary discontinuation of anticoagulation and multiple prolonged compression sessions may help treat recalcitrant cases. One follow-up scan is adequate for most patients. Recurrences should be initially treated with repeat UGCR.

D-dimer and thrombin/antithrombin III complex--diagnostic tools in deep venous thrombosis?

In order to evaluate the usefulness of determining D-dimer and thrombin-antithrombin III complex (TAT) in the diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis (DVT), three D-dimer assays were tried: one ELISA and one latex test from Diagnostica Stago and one new latex method from Biopool. TAT was assessed using an ELISA (Behringwerke). We studied 96 consecutive outpatients with suspected DVT, of whom 36 had phlebographically confirmed DVT. Statistical calculations showed high sensitivity and a negative predictive value for the D-dimer ELISA (97% for both), confirming the results obtained by others. The new latex method (Biopool) showed similar figures (96% for both). The latex method from Diagnostica Stago and TAT showed lower sensitivity and negative predictive values. No differences in the D-dimer results were found with or without antifibrinolytics in the tubes for blood sampling. Our data suggest that negative results when using the new simple and cheap latex method (Biopool) may reduce the number of phlebographic examinations.

Double contrast barium enema and flexible rectosigmoidoscopy: a reliable diagnostic combination for detection of colorectal neoplasm

The efficiency of double contrast barium enema and flexible rectosigmoidoscopy (to 60 cm) in the assessment of patients with a positive Hemoccult II test in a randomized screening study for colorectal neoplasms was evaluated. A positive test was present in 625 patients, of whom 530 had a complete enema and rectosigmoidoscopic assessment. A carcinoma was diagnosed in 26 and an adenoma greater than or equal to 1 cm in diameter in 71. As a control, 323 patients with a negative assessment repeated the Hemoccult II test and of these 67 had a positive second test, of whom 55 underwent colonoscopy. One carcinoma (Dukes' A) and two adenomas greater than or equal to 1 cm in diameter were diagnosed. The efficiency of the assessment was also checked by rescreening the whole group 1-2 years after the first study and by continuing follow-up. It was found that two more carcinomas and one adenoma greater than or equal to 1 cm in diameter had been overlooked at the primary assessment. The sensitivity for neoplasms greater than or equal to 1 cm in diameter at the primary assessment was 72 per cent for double contrast barium enema and 86 per cent for rectosigmoidoscopy. The sensitivity for the combined methods was 94 per cent and the specificity was 99 per cent. The combination of double contrast barium enema and rectosigmoidoscopy in the primary assessment of patients with a positive Hemoccult II test gives an acceptable result and immediate retesting of those with a negative assessment is not necessary.

Material thrombogenicity in central venous catheterization: a comparison between soft, antebrachial catheters of silicone elastomer and polyurethane

In order to compare two types of long, soft central venous catheters with the same stiffness, 39 silicone elastomer (SE) and 36 polyurethane (PU) catheters were inserted in 75 patients via basilic or cephalic veins punctured at the cubital fossa. Mean duration of catheterization was 10.5 days. Scanning electron microscopy revealed that the SE catheters to have a more uniform, but somewhat rougher surface topography than the PU catheters. The platelet adhesion in vitro to the SE catheters was four times higher than to the PU catheters. The incidence of clinical thrombophlebitis in the arm veins was 36% with the SE catheters, and 5.5% with the PU catheters (p less than 0.01). No significant differences were found between the SE and PU catheters regarding the number and size of radiologic thrombi in the peripheral and central veins, catheter occlusion rate, and platelet adhesion to the inner side of the catheter tip at withdrawal. Platelet adhesion in vivo correlated with the duration of catheterization in both groups of catheters. Mechanical trauma to the vein endothelium seems to be of vital importance in thrombus formation, but not in the induction of clinical thrombophlebitis.

Prevalence of secondary hypertension in a population sample of Swedish women

In a comprehensive population study of 1462 women aged 38--60 in Göteborg, Sweden, the prevalence of secondary hypertension was estimated to be 0.8% of the total population sample and 4.6% of those who were hypertensive (defined as systolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 160 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 95 mmHg or both or antihypertensive treatment irrespective of blood pressure levels). These figures were based on thorough clinical and laboratory investigations and a follow-up period of 12 years. Women with arterial hypertension reported a history of toxaemia of pregnancy and a family history of hypertension more often than non-hypertensive women. In comparison with non-hypertensive women, in both untreated and treated hypertensive women, serum uric acid, urinary methoxycatecholamine excretion, body weight and the prevalence of albuminuria were increased and serum potassium decreased (statistically significant differences).

Material thrombogenicity in central venous catheterization II. A comparison between plain silicone elastomer, and plain polyethylene, long, antebrachial catheters

Central venous catheters of two types were inserted through basilic or cephalic veins punctured at the fossa cubiti in 61 patients: 39 soft silicone elastomer (S.E.) and 22 stiffer polyethylene (P.E.) catheters were compared regarding their thrombogenicity. Mean duration of catheterization was 6.5 days. Radiological thrombi in the peripheral and central veins visualized by phlebography were significantly smaller, and the incidence of the mural thrombi in the central veins significantly lower with the S.E. than with the P.E.-catheters, but the use of S.E.-catheters did not reduce the incidence of clinical thrombophlebitis in arm veins: 14 cases in the group with S.E. and four in that with P.E.-catheters. In both groups, the maximum incidence of clinical thrombophlebitis occurred 4-8 days after catheterization. Later, there seems to be a low risk for the appearance of clinical thrombophlebitis with both catheters. Neither the surface topography of the catheter materials, nor the platelet adhesion on their surfaces in contact with human blood in vitro offered conclusive arguments for interpretation of their thrombogenicity in vivo. Catheter stiffness seems to play an important role in inducing mural thrombus formation in central venous cannulation in man.

Fibrinopeptide A, beta-thromboglobulin, and fibrin degradation products as screening test for the diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis

In a group of 111 consecutive patients (mean age 65 years) with suspected deep venous thrombosis (DVT) phlebography demonstrated DVT in 51. In all patients blood tests for fibrinopeptide A (FPA), fibrin degradation products (FDP) and beta-thromboglobulin (beta-Tg) were carried out. There was a significant difference in FPA concentration between the group of patients with a positive and a negative phlebography. However, there was a wide variation of individual values in both groups. The difference in FPA concentration between the groups was not related to differences in predisposing diseases, age or sex. FDP and beta-Tg did not differ between the groups and, again, a wide variation of individual values was found in both groups. In our hands, none of these three methods reflecting activities in the hemostasis seems to be useful to diagnose DVT in clinical routine work.

Iopamidol compared with Conray in peripheral angiography

In patients with arteriosclerotic disease in the legs, peripheral angiography was performed double blind with the non-ionic contrast medium Iopamidol and the ionic medium iothalamate meglumine (Conray 60). Iopamidol caused less subjective adverse effects and less changes in blood pressure.

Prediction and prophylaxis of postoperative thromboembolism--a comparison between peroperative calf muscle stimulation with groups of impulses and dextran 40

The effects of peroperative electrical calf muscle stimulation with groups of impulses giving a short lasting tetanus of the calf muscles on postoperative deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) were compared with that of dextran 40 given per and postoperatively. The incidence of DVT and PE during the first 4-6 postoperative days was recorded. The diagnosis of DVT was based on the 125I-fibrinogen uptake test and phlebography and of PE on pre- and postoperative perfusion pulmonary scintigram and chest X-ray examination. Both methods reduced the incidence of PE. Calf muscle stimulation reduced the DVT incidence in patients with malignant disease while the reduction in DVT incidence for the whole group only was significant in the stimulation as well as the dextran 40 group. Mean values for preoperatively determined levels of antithrombin III, beta-thromboglobulin, fibrinopeptide A, plasminogen and ability to release fibrinolytic activity during venous stasis did not differ between those patients who developed or those who did not develop postoperative DVT or PE. However, antithrombin III levels below 80 per cent appeared to predispose to postoperative thromboembolism. The two prophylactic methods have similar effects on the incidence of postoperative thromboembolism. The stimulation method has certain advantages due to its safety and simplicity.

Thermography and phlebography in the detection of incompetent perforating veins

In 22 patients with deep venous insufficiency thermography performed at rest and immediately after exercise was compared with conventional ascending phlebography. Thermography was found to have a high sensitivity in detecting incompetent perforating veins, while the specificity was low. The non-invasive thermography is an attractive technique for preoperative detection of perforating veins.

Thermography as a screening method in the diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis of the leg

Thermography was performed before ascending phlebography in a series of 232 patients with suggested deep venous thrombosis. Thirty per cent of the patients were thermo-negative. The predictive value of a negative thermography was 88 per cent. Thermography is useful as a screening method, but it has low specificity and thus a relatively high incidence of false positives must be accepted.

Thermographic demonstration of uneven myocardial cooling in patients with coronary lesions

Low temperature is an important factor in protecting the myocardium during an operation on the heart. This can be difficult to accomplish if the cold cardioplegic solution is hindered by occlusions or stenosis of the coronary arteries. We used thermography to study myocardial temperature during infusion of cold cardioplegic solution. Slow cooling was recorded distal to coronary stenosis or occlusions, thereby indicating insufficient protection of the myocarium in these areas.