The Improved Kidney Risk Score in ANCA-Associated Vasculitis for Clinical Practice and Trials

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Reliable prediction tools are needed to personalize treatment in ANCA-associated GN. More than 1500 patients were collated in an international longitudinal study to revise the ANCA kidney risk score. The score showed satisfactory performance, mimicking the original study (Harrell's C=0.779). In the development cohort of 959 patients, no additional parameters aiding the tool were detected, but replacing the GFR with creatinine identified an additional cutoff. The parameter interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy was modified to allow wider access, risk points were reweighted, and a fourth risk group was created, improving predictive ability (C=0.831). In the validation, the new model performed similarly well with excellent calibration and discrimination ( n =480, C=0.821). The revised score optimizes prognostication for clinical practice and trials.

BACKGROUND

Reliable prediction tools are needed to personalize treatment in ANCA-associated GN. A retrospective international longitudinal cohort was collated to revise the ANCA renal risk score.

METHODS

The primary end point was ESKD with patients censored at last follow-up. Cox proportional hazards were used to reweight risk factors. Kaplan-Meier curves, Harrell's C statistic, receiver operating characteristics, and calibration plots were used to assess model performance.

RESULTS

Of 1591 patients, 1439 were included in the final analyses, 2:1 randomly allocated per center to development and validation cohorts (52% male, median age 64 years). In the development cohort ( n =959), the ANCA renal risk score was validated and calibrated, and parameters were reinvestigated modifying interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy allowing semiquantitative reporting. An additional cutoff for kidney function (K) was identified, and serum creatinine replaced GFR (K0: <250 µ mol/L=0, K1: 250-450 µ mol/L=4, K2: >450 µ mol/L=11 points). The risk points for the percentage of normal glomeruli (N) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (T) were reweighted (N0: >25%=0, N1: 10%-25%=4, N2: <10%=7, T0: none/mild or <25%=0, T1: ≥ mild-moderate or ≥25%=3 points), and four risk groups created: low (0-4 points), moderate (5-11), high (12-18), and very high (21). Discrimination was C=0.831, and the 3-year kidney survival was 96%, 79%, 54%, and 19%, respectively. The revised score performed similarly well in the validation cohort with excellent calibration and discrimination ( n =480, C=0.821).

CONCLUSIONS

The updated score optimizes clinicopathologic prognostication for clinical practice and trials.

Renal arterial resistive index, monocyte chemotactic protein 1 and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, for predicting acute kidney injury in critically ill cancer patients

PURPOSE

We evaluated the renal arterial resistive index (RRI), urine monocyte chemotactic protein 1 (uMCP-1), and urine neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) to predict acute kidney injury (AKI) in critically ill cancer patients.

METHODS

In this prospective study, we included patients without AKI. We compared the area under the curve (AUC) of RRI, uMCP-1, and uNGAL to predict any stage of AKI and stage-3 AKI with the DeLong method, and we established cutoff points with the Youden index.

RESULTS

We included 64 patients, and 43 (67.2%) developed AKI. The AUC to predict AKI were: 0.714 (95% CI 0.587-0.820) for the RRI, 0.656 (95% CI 0.526-0.770) for uMCP-1, and 0.677 (95% CI 0.549-0.789) for uNGAL. The AUC to predict stage-3 AKI were: 0.740 (95% CI 0.615-0.842) for the RRI, 0.757 (95% CI 0.633-0.855) for uMCP-1, and 0.817 (95% CI 0.701-0.903) for uNGAL, without statistical differences among them. For stage 3 AKI prediction, the sensitivity and specificity were: 56.3% and 87.5% for a RRI > 0.705; 70% and 79.2% for an uMCP-1 > 2169 ng/mL; and 87.5% and 70.8% for a uNGAL > 200 ng/mL. The RRI was significantly correlated to age (r = 0.280), estimated glomerular filtration rate (r = - 0.259), mean arterial pressure (r = - 0.357), and serum lactate (r = 0.276).

CONCLUSION

The RRI, uMCP-1, and uNGAL have a similar ability to predict AKI. The RRI is more specific, while urine biomarkers are more sensitive to predict stage 3 AKI. The RRI correlates with hemodynamic variables. The novel uMCP-1 could be a useful biomarker that needs to be extensively studied.

Down-Regulation-Resistant STAT4 Risk Haplotype Contributes to Lupus Nephritis Through CD4+ T Cell Interferon-γ Production

OBJECTIVE

Variants in STAT4 are associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and other autoimmune diseases. We undertook this study to investigate how disease-associated variants affect STAT4 expression, in particular in CD4+ T cells where STAT4 plays an essential role.

METHODS

We compared Th1 differentiation between naive CD4+ T cells from healthy donors homozygous for the risk (R/R) or nonrisk (NR/NR) alleles. We analyzed epigenetic marks in STAT4 and evaluated the relevance of its third intron, assessed the consequences of Stat4 overexpression in vivo in mice, and analyzed the effects of the STAT4 genotype in patients with lupus nephritis.

RESULTS

Naive CD4+ T cells from NR/NR healthy donors down-regulated STAT4 in response to interleukin-12 (IL-12). In contrast, cells from R/R healthy donors maintained high levels. R/R cells exhibited a higher abundance of transcriptionally active STAT4 and increased interferon-γ production. Accordingly, R/R healthy donors exhibited a stronger induction of local active enhancer marks. Genetic editing confirmed the presence of a negative regulatory region in the STAT4 third intron, where most of the SLE-associated STAT4 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are located. In vivo forced expression demonstrated that increases in Stat4 levels in T cells enhanced glomerulonephritis in mice. Accordingly, the R/R genotype was associated with suboptimal response to treatment and with worse clinical outcomes in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis.

CONCLUSION

The SLE-associated STAT4 haplotype correlates with an abnormal IL-12-mediated STAT4 transcriptional regulation. Carriers of the risk variant exhibit exaggerated CD4+ proinflammatory capacities that, in the context of SLE, contribute to more severe disease. R/R patients may benefit from blockade of the IL-12/STAT4 pathway.

Management and treatment of glomerular diseases (part 2): conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

In November 2017, the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) initiative brought a diverse panel of experts in glomerular diseases together to discuss the 2012 KDIGO glomerulonephritis guideline in the context of new developments and insights that had occurred over the years since its publication. During this KDIGO Controversies Conference on Glomerular Diseases, the group examined data on disease pathogenesis, biomarkers, and treatments to identify areas of consensus and areas of controversy. This report summarizes the discussions on primary podocytopathies, lupus nephritis, anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated nephritis, complement-mediated kidney diseases, and monoclonal gammopathies of renal significance.

Calcineurin Inhibitors With Reduced-Dose Steroids as First-Line Therapy for Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis

Introduction

High-dose corticosteroids remain the first-line therapy for focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), whereas calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) are reserved for those patients resistant to corticosteroid therapy.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort analysis in patients with primary FSGS diagnosed between 2007 and 2014. According to the administered treatment, patients were segregated into 3 groups: high-dose prednisone, first-line CNIs plus low-dose prednisone, and rescue CNIs. Cumulative corticosteroid doses were compared as well as response to therapy and long-term renal survival by Cox regression analysis.

Results

A total of 66 patients were included (39 treated with high-dose prednisone, 11 treated with first-line CNI, 16 treated with high-dose prednisone followed by rescue CNI). Cumulative doses of prednisone in the high-dose group were 9.3 g (interquartile range [IQR] = 7.5−12.5 g), compared to 2.5 g (IQR = 1.82−3.12 g) in the first-line CNI plus low-dose corticosteroid group and 13.8 g (IQR = 9.2−15.8 g) rescue CNI groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Time under corticosteroid management was also higher in the high-dose prednisone group compared to the first-line CNI group. There was a response to treatment in 76.9%, 72.7%, and 87.5% of high-dose prednisone, first-line CNI and rescue CNI groups, with complete remission in 48.7%, 36.4%, and 31.3% respectively. There was no difference in relapse incidence after treatment (48.4%, 44.4%, and 46.7%) or in 5-year renal survival (87.2%, 81.8%, and 87.5%). Baseline proteinuria, biopsy chronicity score, and response to therapy were independent predictors of renal survival.

Conclusion

An initial CNI plus low-dose corticosteroid approach in primary FSGS reduces corticosteroid exposure with a response-to-therapy rate similar to that of the currently recommended high-dose corticosteroid regimen. These findings justify a randomized trial to formally test this hypothesis.

Prognostic significance of renal vascular pathology in lupus nephritis

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis to define the prognostic significance of vascular lesions documented in renal biopsies of lupus nephritis patients. A total of 429 patients were segregated into five groups: (1) no vascular lesions (NVL), (2) arterial sclerosis (AS), (3) non-inflammatory necrotizing vasculitis (NNV), (4) thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA), and (5) true renal vasculitis (TRV). Renal outcomes were analyzed by Cox regression models, and correlations between vascular lesions and activity/chronicity scores were determined by Spearman's coefficients. A total of 200 (46.6%) had NVL, 189 (44.0%) AS, six NNV (1.4%), 23 (5.4%) TMA, and 11 (2.6%) TRV. Patients with NVL were younger, with higher renal function; patients with TMA and TRV had lower renal function and higher arterial pressure at baseline. Antiphospholipid syndrome and positive lupus anticoagulant were more frequently observed in the TMA group. Five-year renal survival was 83% for NVL, 63% for AS, 67% for NNV, 31% for TMA, and 33% for TRV. NNV and TRV were significantly correlated with activity scores, while AS and chronic TMA were correlated with chronicity scores. Renal vascular lesions are associated with renal outcomes but do not behave as independent factors. The addition of vascular lesions to currently used scores should be further explored.

Renal flare prediction and prognosis in lupus nephritis Hispanic patients

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis focusing on lupus nephritis renal flare incidence and outcome predictors. One hundred and eighteen patients with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis were segregated by induction/maintenance regimes. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients experiencing renal flare. Secondary assessment included doubling of serum creatinine and development of end-stage renal disease. After a median follow-up of 31 months (interquartile range 21–46) from the date of response to induction therapy, 47 patients (39.8%) developed a renal flare. Azathioprine-maintained patients had a higher risk of renal flare compared with mycophenolate mofetil-maintained patients (hazard ratio 2.53, 95% confidence interval 1.39–4.59, p < 0.01). Age (hazard ratio 0.96, 0.92–0.99, p = 0.03), serum creatinine at presentation (hazard ratio 1.76, 1.13–2.76, p = 0.01), complete remission after induction therapy (hazard ratio 0.28, 0.14–0.56, p < 0.001) and azathioprine maintenance therapy (hazard ratio 4.78, 2.16–10.6, p < 0.001) were associated with renal flare on multivariate analysis. Ten patients progressed to end-stage renal disease (8.5%) by a median 32.5 months. Age (hazard ratio 0.88, 0.77–0.99, p = 0.05), complete remission after induction therapy (hazard ratio 0.08, 0.01–0.94, p = 0.04) and severe nephritic flare (hazard ratio 13.6, 1.72–107.7, p = 0.01) were associated with end-stage renal disease development. Azathioprine maintenance therapy is associated with a higher incidence of relapse in the Mexican-mestizo population. Younger age and nephritic flares predict development of end-stage renal disease.

Comparison of Lupus Nephritis Induction Treatments in a Hispanic Population: A Single-center Cohort Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate response rates in an adult lupus nephritis (LN) cohort in Mexico City, Mexico.

METHODS

We analyzed 165 patients with biopsy-proven LN histological International Society of Nephrology/Renal Pathology Society classes III, IV, or V, distributed by treatment drug in 3 groups: mycophenolate mofetil (MMF; dosage > 2 g/day per 6 mos, n = 63), intravenous cyclophosphamide (IVC; 0.7 g/m(2) body surface area monthly per 6 pulses, n = 66), or azathioprine (AZA; dosage > 1.5 mg/kg/day per 6 mos, n = 36). Median followup was 31 ± 18 months. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients achieving complete renal response (CR). Secondary endpoints included the proportion of patients achieving renal response (complete or partial), renal flare-free survival, doubling of serum creatinine, and progression to endstage renal disease (ESRD).

RESULTS

MMF induction was superior to IVC (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.23-3.25, p = 0.005) and AZA (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.23-3.66, p = 0.007) in the primary endpoint. Censored CR rates at 6, 12, 24, and 36 months were 32.6%, 56.1%, 76.6%, and 94.1% for MMF; 24.2%, 34.4%, 57.9%, and 62.1% for IVC; and 8.4%, 39.8%, 49.7%, and 49.7% for AZA. MMF was also superior in renal response to treatment and renal flare-free survival outcomes. There were no differences between groups in doubling of serum creatinine or progression to ESRD. The induction treatment with MMF (HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.25-3.33, p = 0.005) and absence of vascular lesions on renal biopsy (HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.25-3.37, p = 0.004) were associated with CR, whereas proteinuria at the time of presentation was negatively associated with CR (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

MMF induction therapy is superior to IVC and AZA in patients with LN of Mexican-mestizo race.