AB0625 Association between Cytomegalovirus Reactivation and Renal Prognosis during Remission Induction Therapy for ANCA-Associated Vasculitis

Background

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) has been associated with atherosclerosis in patients with chronic renal failure, and may cause secondary nephrotic syndrome. Therefore, we hypothesized that the reactivation of CMV by immunosuppressive therapy in patients with vasculitis may affect renal function.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate relationships between CMV infection and renal function during ANCA-associated vasculitis remission induction therapy.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study enrolled microscopic polyangiitis (MPA), granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA), and eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis patients at 25 sites in Japan who had a first or severe relapse between January 2017 and June 2020. Of these, patients with MPA or GPA who had a positive renal lesion score on BVAS (version 3) at baseline, or vasculitis findings on renal biopsy, CMV assayed by 48 weeks of treatment, were included. Patients were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of a positive CMV antigen test during the remission induction phase (0–48 weeks of treatment). Outcomes were the rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 48 weeks after initiation of treatment in both groups, as determined by (eGFR at 48 weeks - eGFR at the initiation of treatment)/eGFR at the initiation of treatment; where lower values were associated with worse renal function. General linear models adjusted for age, gender, presence of diabetes or chronic kidney disease, and the use of rituximab or cyclophosphamide were generated.

Results

A total of 387 patients had CMV antigen measured during ANCA-associated vasculitis treatment, of which 164 had renal involvement and eGFR measured at 48 weeks. Seventy-seven (47.0%) were male and the median age was 75 years (range 69–80 years). CMV reactivation was observed in 44 patients (26.8%). The beta coefficient of multiple regression analysis with CMV positive as 1 and negative as 0 was 0.08 (95% confidence interval -0.13 to 0.29) (p = 0.47). The rate of change in eGFR was higher in the CMV positive group, but not statistically significantly.

Conclusion

Contrary to our hypothesis, renal prognoses tended to be better when CMV reactivation was observed. The patients in the CMV reactivation group may have been treated more aggressively, and some patients with a poor prognosis who were not followed up for 48 weeks dropped out. Further research investigating the adjustment of treatment methods is required.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

POS0247 GLUCOCORTICOID TAPERING STRATEGY FOR ANCA-ASSOCIATED VASCULITIS: ADDRESSING THE GAP BETWEEN RECOMMENDATIONS AND REAL-WORLD PRACTICE

Background

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody -associated vasculitis (AAV) is usually treated with combination of high-dose glucocorticoid (GC) and immunosuppressive agents, followed by tapering GC dose. Although the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) has specific recommendations for tapering the GC dose, clinicians often taper it slower than recommended due to concerns of potential disease relapse. However, such slower taper may prolong GC exposure for the patients, increasing the risk of adverse events, particularly infection.

Objectives

The aims of our study were (1) to clarify GC dose tapering in the treatment of AAV in a real-world setting, in contrast to the EULAR recommendation of 2015 and (2) to compare the incidence of AAV relapse and severe infection between patients underdoing EULAR-recommended tapering and those undergoing slower tapering than the recommendation.

Methods

In this multicenter (25 sites in Japan), observational, retrospective study of AAV, 541 patients who had initial or severe relapse were enrolled between January 2017 and June 2020. Of these, 349 patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) or granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) who entered in GC tapering phase after successful induction treatment were included. These patients were then grouped on the pace of GC tapering, defined as the GC dose at 12 weeks after treatment initiation: (1) EULAR group: 7.5-10 mg/day of GC, according to the EULAR recommendation of 2015, and (2) SLOWER group: >10 mg/day of GC. Their baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared. Primary outcome was defined as relapse-free days from treatment initiation, whereas secondary outcome included the incidence of infectious events requiring hospitalization within 48 weeks from treatment initiation. Multivariable analysis was performed to assess the relationship between tapering pace and clinical outcomes.

Results

There were 44 patients (12.6%) in the EULAR group and 290 (83.2%) in the SLOWER group. Regarding baseline characteristics, compared with the EULAR group, the SLOWER group had significantly higher serum C-reactive protein level (EULAR, 5.89 ± 6.89 mg/dL vs SLOWER, 7.56 ± 6.01 mg/dL; p = 0.03), as well as a trend toward higher Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (version 3) (EULAR, 11.80 ± 7.01 SLOWER, 13.93 ± 7.06; p = 0.08) We did not observe any significant differences in the frequency of relapses between the two groups (EULAR, 8/44, 18.2% vs SLOWER, 55/290, 19.0%; p = 0.63). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed no relationship GC dose at 12 weeks from treatment initiation and incidence of relapse. However, upon logistic regression analysis, the SLOWER group was found to have significant higher risk of a severe infectious event within 48 weeks from treatment initiation (p = 0.046; hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.004 – 1.601).

Conclusion

Our finding indicates that clinicians tended to taper GC slower for patients with higher disease activity. However, slower GC taper was not found to reduce the frequency of relapse. In addition, slower GC taper was found to increase the risk of a severe infection. Hence, clinicians should pay attention not only relapsing but also late GC taper resulting in the risk of serious infection, especially in patients with higher disease activity of AAV.

References

[1]Eur J Clin Invest 2015;45 (3): 346–368.

[2]Rheumatology (Oxford). 2021 Dec 24;61(1):205-212.

[3]Arthritis Res Ther. 2021 Mar 20;23(1):90.

[4]Scand J Rheumatol. 2022 Jan 20;1-13.

[5]J Rheumatol. 2018 Apr;45(4):521-528.

[6]Rheumatol Adv Pract. 2021 Mar 9;5(3):rkab018.

[7]Ann Rheum Dis. 2016 Sep;75(9):1583-94.

Figure 1.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Editage (www.editage.com) for English language editing.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

POS0875 LATENT TRAJECTORY MODELING OF PULMONARY ARTERY PRESSURE IN SYSTEMIC SCLEROSIS: A RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

Background

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune disease that is characterized by systemic vasculopathy and fibrosis. Pulmonary hypertension (PH), defined as elevated pulmonary arterial pressure (PAP), is one of the leading causes of death of SSc1. In recent years, various therapies have been developed to target each of the pathogenesis of SSc – autoimmunity, vasculopathy, and fibrosis. Accordingly, treatment strategies based on risk stratification for PH progression are aspired; however, prediction of changes in PAP in diverse patients with SSc has not been established2.

Objectives

To visualize the patterns of PAP elevation in SSc and to identify the clinical characteristics of each trajectory, by applying latent trajectory modeling for PAP measured repeatedly by echocardiography.

Methods

This was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study conducted at four referral hospitals in Kyoto, Japan. Patients with SSc who visited the study site between April 2008 and March 2021 and had at least three echocardiographic measurements of systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) were included in this study. Follow-up concluded in March 2021. A group-based trajectory model3 was applied to the change in sPAP over time, and individual patients were classified into distinct subgroups that followed similar trajectories. The number and shape of the trajectories were estimated based on adequacy, goodness of fit, parsimony, and interpretability of the model. Clinical plausibility was assessed by comparing PH-free survival, i.e., time to either PH or death, for each trajectory. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was performed for baseline clinical characteristics associated with trajectory assignment.

Results

A total of 236 patients with a total of 1097 sPAP measurements were included. We identified five trajectories following the quadratic function as “rapid progression (n=9, 3.8%)”, “early elevation (n=30, 12.7%)”, “mid elevation (n=54, 22.9%)”, “late elevation (n=24, 10.2%)”, and “low stable (n=119, 50.4%)”. Each trajectory, in this order, showed earlier elevation of sPAP and shorter PH-free survival (Figure 1). In the multinomial logistic regression (with the “low stable” as reference), cardiac involvement was associated with the “rapid progression” (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 28.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.21–259.5), diffuse cutaneous SSc was associated with the “early elevation” (OR 4.08, 95% CI 1.27–13.1), anti-centromere antibody positive was associated with the “mid elevation” (OR 4.50, 95% CI 1.11–18.2), and older age of onset was associated with the above three trajectories.

Conclusion

The pattern of changes in pulmonary artery pressure over time in SSc can be classified into five distinct trajectories. Each trajectory differed in baseline clinical characteristics and outcomes.

References

[1]Pokeerbux MR, et al. Survival and prognosis factors in systemic sclerosis: data of a French multicenter cohort, systematic review, and meta-analysis of the literature. Arthritis Res Ther. 2019;21(1):86.

[2]Denton CP, et al. Systemic sclerosis. Lancet. 2017;390(10103):1685-1699.

[3]Nagin DS, et al. Group-based trajectory modeling in clinical research. Annu Rev Clin Psychol. 2010;6:109-38.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Effect of early nutritional initiation on post-cerebral infarction discharge destination: A propensity-matched analysis using machine learning

AIM

Malnutrition is associated with poor outcomes in cerebral infarction patients, with research indicating that early nutritional initiation may improve the short-term prognosis of patients. However, evidence supported by big data is lacking. Here, to determine the effect of nutritional initiation during the first 3 days after hospital admission on home discharge rates, propensity score matching was conducted in patients with acute cerebral infarction.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study, using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination anonymised database in Japan, included 41 477 ischaemic cerebral infarction patients hospitalised between 2016 and 2019. The patients were divided into two groups: those who received oral or enteral nutrition during the first 3 days of hospital admission (early nutrition group, n = 37 318) and those who did not (control group, n = 4159). One-to-one pair-matching was performed using propensity scores calculated via extreme gradient boosting to limit the confounding variables of the two groups.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, 3541 pairs of patients were selected. The dependence of home discharge rates on early nutrition was significant (p < 0.05), and the effectiveness of early nutrition for home discharge showed an odds ratio of 1.79 (95% confidence interval of 1.59-2.03 in Fisher's exact test).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings revealed that early nutritional initiation during the first 3 days of admission resulted in higher home discharge rates.

EGFR-TKI-Associated Interstitial Pneumonitis in Nivolumab-Treated Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Importance

Nivolumab and epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) are now the standard-of-care therapies in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Although EGFR-TKIs are well understood and have well-defined safety profiles, our experience with immune checkpoint inhibitors is still growing, particularly regarding the use of combinations of different classes of antitumor agents, including both the concomitant and sequential use of such agents.

Objective

To determine whether nivolumab increases EGFR-TKI-associated interstitial pneumonitis (IP).

Design, Setting, and Participants

A database study of 20 516 participants with NSCLC in the US Food and Drug Administration Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) database, performed between April 2015 and March 2017.

Main Outcomes and Measures

We compared the incidence of EGFR-TKI-associated IP in patients receiving and not receiving nivolumab treatment.

Results

The mean (SD) age of participants treated with EGFR-TKI, with and without nivolumab, was 64.4 (15.5) and 68.9 (11.8) years, respectively, and the proportion of men was 40.0% and 53.8%, respectively. Of the 20 516 participants with NSCLC, 985 cases (4.80%; 95% CI, 4.51-5.10) developed IP. Of 5777 patients treated with EGFR-TKI, 265 developed IP (4.59%; 95% CI, 4.06-5.16). Of 70 patients treated with both EGFR-TKI and nivolumab, 18 developed IP (25.7%; 95% CI, 16.0-37.6). The adjusted odds ratio for an interaction between EGFR-TKI and nivolumab was 4.31 (95% CI, 2.37-7.86; P < .001), suggesting the existence of an interaction. When we further stratified the patients by treatment with and without nivolumab, the odds ratio of EGFR-TKI-associated IP in cases with and without nivolumab treatment was 5.09 (95% CI, 2.87-9.03) and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.00-1.47), respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

We found a higher proportion of reports of IP for nivolumab in combination with EGFR-TKI vs treatment with either drug alone. Owing to the limitations of this study, the results warrant further confirmation. However, careful consideration should be given to the possibility of an increased risk of IP when EGFR-TKI is administered in combination with nivolumab, including concomitant and sequential use, and careful monitoring for IP is recommended.

GWAS identifies two novel colorectal cancer loci at 16q24.1 and 20q13.12

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) identified more than 50 CRC loci. However, most of the previous studies were conducted in European population, and host genetic factors among Japanese population are largely remained to be identified. To identify novel loci in the Japanese population, here, we performed a large-scale GWAS using 6692 cases and 27 178 controls followed by a replication analysis using more than 11 000 case-control samples. We found the significant association of 10 loci (P < 5 × 10-8), including 2 novel loci on 16q24.1 (IRF8-FOXF1, rs847208, P = 3.15 × 10-9 and odds ratio = 1.107 with 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.071-1.145) and 20q13.12 (TOX2, rs6065668, P = 4.47 × 10-11 and odds ratio = 0.897 with 95% CI of 0.868-0.926). Moreover, 35 previously reported single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 24 regions were validated in the Japanese population (P < 0.05) with the same risk allele as in the previous studies. SNP rs6065668 was significantly associated with TOX2 expression in the sigmoid colon. In addition, nucleotide substitutions in the regulatory region of TOX2 were predicted to alter the binding of several transcription factors, including KLF5. Our findings elucidate the important role of genetic variations in the development of CRC in the Japanese population.

Drug-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in multiple sclerosis patients

Objective:

To investigate characteristics of multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients associated with drugs other than natalizumab since our experience in other disease-modifying drugs (DMD) is still limited.

Methods:

This is a descriptive observational study within the FAERS database, registered between July 2015 and June 2017.

Results:

The primary cohort for the analysis consisted of 100,921 MS patients (mean (standard deviation (sd)) age, 48.9 (12.8) years, 20.9% male). Among them 786 (0.78%) developed PML. The adjusted odds ratio of PML for each drug was as follows; natalizumab 115.72 (95% CI; 83.83, 159.74), fingolimod 4.98 (3.64, 6.81) followed by dimethyl fumarate 1.77 (1.2, 2.62) and rituximab 3.22 (1.07, 9.72). The median time from the start of suspected drugs to the onset of PML for natalizumab and other agents were 1463 and 178 days, respectively. The proportion of PML appeared higher in Japan (2.4%) compared to that in the United States (0.24%).

Conclusion:

The reporting proportion of PML was relatively higher in natalizumab followed by fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate and rituximab. Other characteristics of PML associated with DMDs, including the time to onset and differences in reporting among countries, are described.

A model-based estimation of inter-prefectural migration of physicians within Japan and associated factors: A 20-year retrospective study

Despite an increase in the number of physicians in Japan, misdistribution of physicians within the 47 prefectures remains a major issue. Migration of physicians among prefectures might partly explain the misdistribution. However, geographical differences and the magnitude of physicians' migration are unclear. The aim of this study was to estimate the extent of migration of physicians among prefectures and explore possible factors associated with physicians' migration patterns.Using a publicly available government database from 1995 to 2014, a quantitative estimation of physicians' migration after graduation from a medical school was performed. The inflow and outflow of physicians were ostensibly calculated in each prefecture based on the differences between the number of newly licensed physicians and the actual number of practicing physicians after an adjustment for the number of deceased or retired physicians. Simple and multiple linear regression analyses were conducted to examine socio-demographic background factors.During the 20-year study period, the mean annual numbers of newly licensed physicians, deceased or retired physicians, and increase in practicing physicians in the whole country were 7416, 3382, and 4034, respectively. Among the 47 prefectures, the median annual number of newly licensed physicians to 100,000 population ratio (PPR) was 6.4 (range 1.5-16.5), the median annual adjusted number of newly licensed physicians was 61 (range, -18 to 845; the negative and positive values denote outflow and inflow, respectively), whereas the median annual number of migrating physicians was 13 (range, -171 to 241). The minimum and maximum migration ratios observed were -68% and 245%, respectively. In the final regression model of the 8 variables examined, only "newly licensed PPR" remained significantly associated with physician's migration ratios.A significant inequality in the proportion of the migration of physicians among prefectures in Japan was observed. The multivariate analyses suggest that the newly licensed PPRs, and not from-rural-to-urban migration, might be one of the keys to explaining the migration ratios of physicians. The differences and magnitude of physicians' migration should be factored into mitigate misdistribution of physicians.

Overview of BioBank Japan follow-up data in 32 diseases

Background

We established a patient-oriented biobank, BioBank Japan, with information on approximately 200,000 patients, suffering from any of 47 common diseases. This follow-up survey focused on 32 diseases, potentially associated with poor vital prognosis, and collected patient survival information, including cause of death. We performed a survival analysis for all subjects to get an overview of BioBank Japan follow-up data.

Methods

A total of 141,612 participants were included. The survival data were last updated in 2014. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was performed after categorizing subjects according to sex, age group, and disease status. Relative survival rates were estimated using a survival-rate table of the Japanese general population.

Results

Of 141,612 subjects (56.48% male) with 1,087,434 person-years and a 97.0% follow-up rate, 35,482 patients died during follow-up. Mean age at enrollment was 64.24 years for male subjects and 63.98 years for female subjects. The 5-year and 10-year relative survival rates for all subjects were 0.944 and 0.911, respectively, with a median follow-up duration of 8.40 years. Patients with pancreatic cancer had the least favorable prognosis (10-year relative survival: 0.184) and patients with dyslipidemia had the most favorable prognosis (1.013). The most common cause of death was malignant neoplasms. A number of subjects died from diseases other than their registered disease(s).

Conclusions

This is the first report to perform follow-up survival analysis across various common diseases. Further studies should use detailed clinical and genomic information to identify predictors of mortality in patients with common diseases, contributing to the implementation of personalized medicine.

•

141,612 participants with any of 32 diseases were included in the follow-up survey.

•

Subject characteristics at enrollment for the follow-up survey were identified.

•

The relative survival analysis showed the worst prognosis in pancreatic cancer.

•

The most common cause of death in all subjects was malignant neoplasms.

Cross-sectional analysis of BioBank Japan clinical data: A large cohort of 200,000 patients with 47 common diseases

BACKGROUND

To implement personalized medicine, we established a large-scale patient cohort, BioBank Japan, in 2003. BioBank Japan contains DNA, serum, and clinical information derived from approximately 200,000 patients with 47 diseases. Serum and clinical information were collected annually until 2012.

METHODS

We analyzed clinical information of participants at enrollment, including age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, and smoking and drinking status, across 47 diseases, and compared the results with the Japanese database on Patient Survey and National Health and Nutrition Survey. We conducted multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusting for sex and age, to assess the association between family history and disease development.

RESULTS

Distribution of age at enrollment reflected the typical age of disease onset. Analysis of the clinical information revealed strong associations between smoking and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, drinking and esophageal cancer, high body mass index and metabolic disease, and hypertension and cardiovascular disease. Logistic regression analysis showed that individuals with a family history of keloid exhibited a higher odds ratio than those without a family history, highlighting the strong impact of host genetic factor(s) on disease onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Cross-sectional analysis of the clinical information of participants at enrollment revealed characteristics of the present cohort. Analysis of family history revealed the impact of host genetic factors on each disease. BioBank Japan, by publicly distributing DNA, serum, and clinical information, could be a fundamental infrastructure for the implementation of personalized medicine.

Therapy-related Acute Myeloid Leukemia after the Long-term Administration of Low-dose Etoposide for Chronic-type Adult T-cell Leukemia-lymphoma: A Case Report and Literature Review

A 61-year-old woman with chronic-type adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma (ATL) had been taking low-dose oral etoposide for progressive lymphocytosis. After taking this for 3.5 years, she was diagnosed with therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia (t-AML), with a chromosomal translocation of t (6:11) (q27; q23). She thus received remission induction therapy, consolidation therapy, and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Although both t-AML and ATL were in remissive states, she died of a therapy-related infection within 1 year. We reviewed 12 reported cases of AML complicating ATL to better characterize this unusual disease. We should therefore include t-AML in the differential diagnosis when administering low-dose etoposide for ATL over a long period of time.

Compensation programs after withdrawal of the recommendation for HPV vaccine in Japan

HPV vaccinations were recommended with the backing of a Japanese government subsidy program in 2010, and were included in the National Immunization Program in April 2013. However, the Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare withdrew the recommendation for the HPV vaccination in June 2013. We investigated HPV vaccine injury compensation programs for both the national and local governments. Approximately 3.38 million girls were vaccinated, and 2,584 complained of health problems. The majority of these received the vaccine shot as a non-routine vaccination. In total, 98 people developed health problems and applied for assistance from 2011 to 2014, but no cases have been processed since October 2014. Several local governments are providing their own compensation program for cases of vaccine adverse reactions, but the number is extremely low (16 of 1,741 municipalities and 1 of 47 prefectures). The local governments that are providing compensation are largely those where HPV vaccine victim support groups are prominent. The confusion regarding the national program for HPV vaccine injury was caused by the discrepancy between the compensation programs for those vaccinated under the immunization law and for those who received voluntary vaccinations. The establishment of a new compensation program might be key to finding a lasting resolution.

Treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukemia with bendamustine in an HIV-infected patient on antiretroviral therapy: a case report and review of the literature

Few reports have described the coincidence of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and HIV. We administered bendamustine to an HIV-positive refractory CLL patient and obtained a significant objective response. Our results indicate that bendamustine can be used in HIV-infected CLL patients. We also reviewed 12 cases of CLL with HIV infection.

Advanced human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 carriers and early-stage indolent adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma are indistinguishable based on CADM1 positivity in flow cytometry

We previously reported that the cell adhesion molecule 1 (CADM1) versus CD7 plot in flow cytometry reflects disease progression in human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1) infection. In CD4⁺ cells from peripheral blood, CADM1⁻CD7⁺ (P), CADM1⁺CD7^dim (D) and CADM1⁺CD7⁻ (N) subpopulations are observed. The D and N subpopulations increase as asymptomatic HTLV-1 carriers (AC) progress to indolent adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma (ATL) and the N subpopulation then expands in aggressive ATL. In the present study we examined whether the analysis can estimate the risk of developing ATL in advanced AC. Peripheral blood samples from AC (N = 41) and indolent ATL patients (N = 19) were analyzed by flow cytometry using the CADM1 versus CD7 plot for CD4⁺ cells and inverse long PCR (clonality analysis) of FACS-sorted subpopulations. Almost all AC with a high HTLV-1 proviral load (>4 copies/100 cells) had a CADM1⁺ (D + N) frequency of >10%. AC with 25% < CADM1⁺ ≤ 50% contained expanded clones similar to smoldering-type ATL. In many patients in the 25% < CADM1⁺ ≤ 50% group, the proportion of abnormal lymphocytes was distributed around the 5% line, which divides AC and smoldering-type ATL in Shimoyama's classification. In conclusion, the CADM1 versus CD7 plot is useful for selection of putative high-risk AC. The characteristics of some AC and smoldering ATL are said to be similar; however, long-term follow up is required and the clinical outcome (e.g. rate of transformation) of these cases should be used to determine whether to include them in the same clinical category.

How do medical journalists treat cancer-related issues?

Cancer patients can obtain information about their illness through a variety of media sources. Therefore, it is important to know how medical journalists treat cancer-related issues; to that end, we sent self-administered questionnaires to 364 journalists in 82 organisations who had reported on medical issues for the Japanese media, asking for their reasons for reporting on cancer-related issues and the difficulties they had faced. The most common reason for reporting on health-related issues was their personal interest in a particular issue (n = 36). They mainly covered conventional therapies (n = 33), healthcare policy (n = 30), new therapies (n = 25), and diagnosis (n = 25). All of the journalists that were surveyed experienced some difficulties in reporting health issues. Significant concerns included the quality of information (n = 36), social impact (n = 35), lack of technical knowledge (n = 35), and difficulty in understanding technical terms (n = 35). Journalists commonly used personal networks, including physicians, as information sources (n = 42), as well as social media (e.g., e-mail, Twitter and Facebook) (n = 32). Topic selection was biased, with 35 of 48 journalists having never reported on topics concerning hospices. Physicians were the most trusted source of information about cancer, and journalists attached high importance to interviewing them. As medical knowledge is advancing rapidly, journalists may have increasing difficulty covering cancer-related issues.

Development of a national agreement on human papillomavirus vaccination in Japan: an infodemiology study

BACKGROUND

A national agreement on human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination was achieved relatively quickly in Japan as compared to the United States and India.

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to identify the role of print and online media references, including references to celebrities or other informants, as factors potentially responsible for the relatively rapid national acceptance of HPV vaccination in Japan.

METHODS

A method of text mining was performed to select keywords, representing the context of the target documents, from articles relevant to the promotion of HPV vaccination appearing in major Japanese newspapers and Web pages between January 2009 and July 2010. The selected keywords were classified as positive, negative, or neutral, and the transition of the frequency of their appearance was analyzed.

RESULTS

The number of positive and neutral keywords appearing in newspaper articles increased sharply in early 2010 while the number of negative keywords remained low. The numbers of positive, neutral, and negative keywords appearing in Web pages increased gradually and did not significantly differ by category. Neutral keywords, such as "vaccine" and "prevention," appeared more frequently in newspaper articles, whereas negative keywords, such as "infertility" and "side effect," appeared more frequently in Web pages. The extraction of the positive keyword "signature campaign" suggests that vaccine beneficiaries cooperated with providers in promoting HPV vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

The rapid development of a national agreement regarding HPV vaccination in Japan may be primarily attributed to the advocacy of vaccine beneficiaries, supported by advocacy by celebrities and positive reporting by print and online media.

CADM1 expression and stepwise downregulation of CD7 are closely associated with clonal expansion of HTLV-I-infected cells in adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma

PURPOSE

Cell adhesion molecule 1 (CADM1), initially identified as a tumor suppressor gene, has recently been reported to be ectopically expressed in primary adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma (ATL) cells. We incorporated CADM1 into flow-cytometric analysis to reveal oncogenic mechanisms in human T-cell lymphotrophic virus type I (HTLV-I) infection by purifying cells from the intermediate stages of ATL development.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We isolated CADM1- and CD7-expressing peripheral blood mononuclear cells of asymptomatic carriers and ATLs using multicolor flow cytometry. Fluorescence-activated cell sorted (FACS) subpopulations were subjected to clonal expansion and gene expression analysis.

RESULTS

HTLV-I-infected cells were efficiently enriched in CADM1(+) subpopulations (D, CADM1(pos)CD7(dim) and N, CADM1(pos)CD7(neg)). Clonally expanding cells were detected exclusively in these subpopulations in asymptomatic carriers with high proviral load, suggesting that the appearance of D and N could be a surrogate marker of progression from asymptomatic carrier to early ATL. Further disease progression was accompanied by an increase in N with a reciprocal decrease in D, indicating clonal evolution from D to N. The gene expression profiles of D and N in asymptomatic carriers showed similarities to those of indolent ATLs, suggesting that these subpopulations represent premalignant cells. This is further supported by the molecular hallmarks of ATL, that is, drastic downregulation of miR-31 and upregulation of abnormal Helios transcripts.

CONCLUSION

The CADM1 versus CD7 plot accurately reflects disease progression in HTLV-I infection, and CADM1(+) cells with downregulated CD7 in asymptomatic carriers have common properties with those in indolent ATLs.

Development of peripheral T-cell lymphoma not otherwise specified in an HTLV-1 carrier

Human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1) causes adult T-cell leukemia (ATL) after a long latency period of about 60 years. As the mature T-cell neoplasms that emerge in patients infected with HTLV-1 are often ATL, T-cell neoplasms developing in such patients tend to be diagnosed simply as ATL without further investigation. However, not all T-cell neoplasms that develop in HTLV-1-infected cases are ATL. Mature T-cell malignancies other than ATL should be carefully excluded in patients infected with HTLV-1, as these sometimes closely resemble ATL in their clinical, morphological, and histological features. Here, we present a case of peripheral T-cell lymphoma not otherwise specified (PTCL-NOS) in an HTLV-1 carrier. Confirmation of monoclonal integration of the virus with Southern blotting leads to a definite diagnosis of ATL. Although we did not detect the monoclonal integration band of HTLV-1 in this case, the high HTLV-1 proviral load complicated the diagnosis. Multicolor flow cytometric analysis clearly showed that HTLV-1 was not integrated in the tumor cells, and facilitated discrimination of PTCL-NOS from ATL.

Does Twitter trigger bursts in signature collections?

INTRODUCTION

The quantification of social media impacts on societal and political events is a difficult undertaking. The Japanese Society of Oriental Medicine started a signature-collecting campaign to oppose a medical policy of the Government Revitalization Unit to exclude a traditional Japanese medicine, "Kampo," from the public insurance system. The signature count showed a series of aberrant bursts from November 26 to 29, 2009. In the same interval, the number of messages on Twitter including the keywords "Signature" and "Kampo," increased abruptly. Moreover, the number of messages on an Internet forum that discussed the policy and called for signatures showed a train of spikes.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

In order to estimate the contributions of social media, we developed a statistical model with state-space modeling framework that distinguishes the contributions of multiple social media in time-series of collected public opinions. We applied the model to the time-series of signature counts of the campaign and quantified contributions of two social media, i.e., Twitter and an Internet forum, by the estimation. We found that a considerable portion (78%) of the signatures was affected from either of the social media throughout the campaign and the Twitter effect (26%) was smaller than the Forum effect (52%) in total, although Twitter probably triggered the initial two bursts of signatures. Comparisons of the estimated profiles of the both effects suggested distinctions between the social media in terms of sustainable impact of messages or tweets. Twitter shows messages on various topics on a time-line; newer messages push out older ones. Twitter may diminish the impact of messages that are tweeted intermittently.

CONCLUSIONS

The quantification of social media impacts is beneficial to better understand people's tendency and may promote developing strategies to engage public opinions effectively. Our proposed method is a promising tool to explore information hidden in social phenomena.

The CD3 versus CD7 plot in multicolor flow cytometry reflects progression of disease stage in patients infected with HTLV-I

PURPOSE

In a recent study to purify adult T-cell leukemia-lymphoma (ATL) cells from acute-type patients by flow cytometry, three subpopulations were observed in a CD3 versus CD7 plot (H: CD3(high)CD7(high); D: CD3(dim)CD7(dim); L: CD3(dim)CD7(low)). The majority of leukemia cells were enriched in the L subpopulation and the same clone was included in the D and L subpopulations, suggesting clonal evolution. In this study, we analyzed patients with indolent-type ATL and human T-cell leukemia virus type I (HTLV-I) asymptomatic carriers (ACs) to see whether the CD3 versus CD7 profile reflected progression in the properties of HTLV-I-infected cells.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Using peripheral blood mononuclear cells from patient samples, we performed multi-color flow cytometry. Cells that underwent fluorescence-activated cell sorting were subjected to molecular analyses, including inverse long PCR.

RESULTS

In the D(%) versus L(%) plot, patient data could largely be categorized into three groups (Group 1: AC; Group 2: smoldering- and chronic-type ATL; and Group 3: acute-type ATL). Some exceptions, however, were noted (e.g., ACs in Group 2). In the follow-up of some patients, clinical disease progression correlated well with the CD3 versus CD7 profile. In clonality analysis, we clearly detected a major clone in the D and L subpopulations in ATL cases and, intriguingly, in some ACs in Group 2.

CONCLUSION

We propose that the CD3 versus CD7 plot reflects progression of disease stage in patients infected with HTLV-I. The CD3 versus CD7 profile will be a new indicator, along with high proviral load, for HTLV-I ACs in forecasting disease progression.

Association between acute myelogenous leukemia and thrombopoietin receptor agonists in patients with immune thrombocytopenia

OBJECTIVE

The development of myeloid malignancies is a concern when administering thrombopoietin receptor (or the myeloproliferative leukemia virus proto-oncogene product, MPL) agonists. Progression from myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) to acute myelogenous leukemia [AML, 9 (6.12%) AML patients among 147 MDS subjects] was reported in a clinical trial. However, only one (0.15%) case of AML among 653 immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) subjects was reported. Our objective was to determine whether there is currently a safety signal in the FDA files termed Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) for AML in ITP patients who receive MPL agonists.

METHODS

We conducted a case-controlled study using the FAERS as a source of case and control data. We compared demographic characteristics, such as gender, age and exposure to MPL agonists between AML patients and others among ITP subjects registered between 2002 and 2011.

RESULTS

Total of 4,821 ITP subjects were identified, including 62 AML patients. The number of patients treated with romiplostim and eltrombopag was 54 (1.74%) AML patients among 3,102 ITP subjects and nine (1.52%) AML patients among 594 ITP subjects, respectively. It should be noted that all AML patients were exposed to one or more MPL agonists. Another factor associated with AML was male gender.

CONCLUSION

We herein report an association between AML and MPL agonist use in ITP subjects. Due to various biases and the incompleteness of the FAERS data, further studies are warranted to determine whether the detected signal is a real risk. Physicians should not alter their prescribing behaviors based on this single preliminary analysis.

Forecasting Japan's physician shortage in 2035 as the first full-fledged aged society

Introduction

Japan is rapidly becoming a full-fledged aged society, and physician shortage is a significant concern. The Japanese government has increased the number of medical school enrollments since 2008, but some researchers warn that this increase could lead to physician surplus in the future. It is unknown how many physicians will be required to accommodate future healthcare needs.

Materials and Methods

We simulated changes in age/sex composition of the population, fatalities (the number of fatalities for the consecutive five years), and number of physicians from 2010 to 2035. Two indicators were defined: fatalities per physician and fatalities by physician working hour, based on the data of the working hours of physicians for each tuple of sex and age groups. We estimated the necessary number of physicians in 2035 and the number of new physicians to maintain the indicator levels in 2010.

Results

The number of physicians per 1,000 population is predicted to rise from 2·00 in 2010 to 3·14 in 2035. The number of physicians aged 60 years or older is expected to increase from 55,375 (20% of physicians) to 141,711 (36%). In 2010 and 2035, fatalities per physician were 23·1 and 24·0 for the total population, and 13·9 and 19·2 for 75 years or older, respectively. Fatalities per physician working hour are predicted to rise from 0·128 to 0·138. If working hours are limited to 48 hours per week in 2035, the number of fatalities per physician working hour is expected to be 0·196, and the number of new physicians must be increased by 53% over the current pace.

Discussion

The number of physicians per population continues to rise, but the estimated supply will not fulfill the demand for healthcare in the aging society. Strategies to increase the number of physicians and improve working conditions are urgently needed.

Age, gender, will, and use of home-visit nursing care are critical factors in home care for malignant diseases; a retrospective study involving 346 patients in Japan

Background

We aimed to clarify the factors affecting outcomes of home care for patients with malignant diseases.

Methods

Of 607 patients who were treated in 10 clinics specialized in home care between January and December 2007 at Chiba, Fukuoka, Iwate, Kagoshima, Tochigi and Tokyo prefectures across Japan, 346 (57%; 145 men and 201 women) had malignant diseases. We collected information on medical and social backgrounds, details of home care, and its outcomes based on their medical records.

Results

Median age of the patients was 77 years (range, 11-102), and 335 patients were economically self-sufficient. Their general condition was poor; advanced cancer (n = 308), performance status of 3-4 (n = 261), and dementia (n = 121). At the beginning of home care, 143 patients and 174 family members expressed their wish to die at home. All the patients received supportive treatments including fluid replacement and oxygenation. Median duration of home care was 47 days (range, 0-2,712). 224 patients died at home. For the remaining 122, home care was terminated due to complications (n = 109), change of attending physicians (n = 8), and others (n = 5). The factors which inhibited the continuity of home care were the non-use of home-visit nursing care (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-3.00, p = 0.03), the fact that the patients themselves do not wish to die at home (HR = 1.83, CI: 1.09-3.07, p = 0.02), women (HR = 1.81, CI: 1.11-2.94, p = 0.02), and age (HR = 0.98, CI: 0.97-1.00, p = 0.02).

Conclusions

Continuation of home care is influenced by patients' age, gender, will, and use of home-visit nursing.

Internet-based survey on medical manga in Japan

The more manga (Japanese graphic novels) communicate medical information, the more people are likely to be influenced by manga. We investigated through an Internet search using Google the characteristics of medical manga published in Japan, defined as those in which the main character is a medical professional and that occur in a medical setting. As of December 2008, 173 medical manga had been published. For a period of time after the first medical manga by Osamu Tezuka in 1970, the number of publications maintained a steady level, but increased rapidly in the mid 1980s. The professions of the protagonist were 134 doctors, 19 nurses, 3 dentists, 3 medical students, and 1 nursing student. Although the main character was mostly a doctor, manga featuring paramedical professionals have increased since 1990s. Medical manga may be a powerful tool for increasing the awareness of the public regarding medicine.

Structural problems of medical news reports in newspapers: a verification of news reports on an incident of mass nosocomial Serratia infection

It is unclear how changes in the content and number of news reports over time affect the impressions made in the minds of newspaper readers. This study targeted news reports in major newspapers regarding an incident of mass nosocomial Serratia infection that occurred at one clinic. The trends in the total number of articles and total number of characters contained in the articles were congruent, with a peak on the day after the incident was disclosed and a rapid decrease thereafter. The numbers of articles and characters that appeared during the first 3 days corresponded to 45 and 51% of those that appeared during the entire study period. On day 9, it was published that Serratia liquefaciens propagated on medical instruments, and both the number of articles and the number of characters increased by approximately 40% in comparison to those published on the day after the initial report of the incident. The individual articles were deemed to be medically accurate; however, the main problem was that only part of the specific medical issue had been emphasized because of a poor balance in the number of news reports on this topic.

Retrospective study on home care for patients with hematologic malignancies

OBJECTIVE

There is a lack of sufficient information on the employment of home care for the treatment of hematologic malignancies.

METHODS

We provided home care to 580 patients from 1 January through 31 October 2007. Patients with hematologic malignancies were selected from these 580 patients; subsequently, by reviewing their medical records.

RESULTS

The main clinical condition in 15 (2.6%) of 580 patients was hematologic malignancies. The median age of the patients was 78 years (range, 64-92). Of the 15 patients, 12 showed a performance status (PS) of 3-4, and the condition of 6 patients was complicated with dementia. Food intake via the oral route was possible in 14 patients. These patients were administered palliative care. Among the seven patients who required pain control, four had been opioid users; however, none had used anticancer drugs for pain relief. Furthermore, three patients received blood transfusion. Although three patients developed severe complications (acute appendicitis, pneumonia and hyperglycemia), we were able to treat all cases adequately. Eight patients died at home due to aggravation of the primary diseases. The remaining seven patients were transferred to other hospitals for the treatment of complications or for the convenience of their respective families.

CONCLUSIONS

Even patients with hematologic malignancies could be candidates for home care if their underlying diseases are slowly progressive, and they can sustain themselves by oral intakes. Dementia and poor PS are not contraindicated to it.