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Otiende M, Nyaguara A, Bottomley C, Walumbe D, Mochamah G, Amadi D, Nyundo C, Kagucia EW, Etyang AO, Adetifa IMO, Brand SPC, Maitha E, Chondo E, Nzomo E, Aman R, Mwangangi M, Amoth P, Kasera K, Ng'ang'a W, Barasa E, Tsofa B, Mwangangi J, Bejon P, Agweyu A, Williams TN, Scott JAG. Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in coastal Kenya: a longitudinal open cohort study. Nat Commun 2023; 14:6879. [PMID: 37898630 PMCID: PMC10613220 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42615-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 10/30/2023] Open
Abstract
The mortality impact of COVID-19 in Africa remains controversial because most countries lack vital registration. We analysed excess mortality in Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Kenya, using 9 years of baseline data. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence studies suggest most adults here were infected before May 2022. During 5 waves of COVID-19 (April 2020-May 2022) an overall excess mortality of 4.8% (95% PI 1.2%, 9.4%) concealed a significant excess (11.6%, 95% PI 5.9%, 18.9%) among older adults ( ≥ 65 years) and a deficit among children aged 1-14 years (-7.7%, 95% PI -20.9%, 6.9%). The excess mortality rate for January 2020-December 2021, age-standardised to the Kenyan population, was 27.4/100,000 person-years (95% CI 23.2-31.6). In Coastal Kenya, excess mortality during the pandemic was substantially lower than in most high-income countries but the significant excess mortality in older adults emphasizes the value of achieving high vaccine coverage in this risk group.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Otiende
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya.
| | - A Nyaguara
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - C Bottomley
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - D Walumbe
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - G Mochamah
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - D Amadi
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - C Nyundo
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - E W Kagucia
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - A O Etyang
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - I M O Adetifa
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - S P C Brand
- The Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK
| | - E Maitha
- Department of Health, Kilifi County, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - E Chondo
- Department of Health, Kilifi County, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - E Nzomo
- Kilifi County Hospital, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - R Aman
- Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya; Afya House, Cathedral Road, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - M Mwangangi
- Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya; Afya House, Cathedral Road, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - P Amoth
- Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya; Afya House, Cathedral Road, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - K Kasera
- Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya; Afya House, Cathedral Road, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - W Ng'ang'a
- Presidential Policy and Strategy Unit, The Presidency, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - E Barasa
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - B Tsofa
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - J Mwangangi
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - P Bejon
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7BN, UK
| | - A Agweyu
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
| | - T N Williams
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
- Institute for Global Health Innovation, Imperial College, London, SW72AS, UK
| | - J A G Scott
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Trust Programme, PO Box 230, Kilifi, 80108, Kenya
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
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Siddiqi S, Elasady R, Khorshid I, Fortune T, Leotsakos A, Letaief M, Qsoos S, Aman R, Mandhari A, Sahel A, El-Tehewy M, Abdellatif A. Patient Safety Friendly Hospital Initiative: from evidence to action in seven developing country hospitals. Int J Qual Health Care 2012; 24:144-151. [PMID: 22302070 DOI: 10.1093/intqhc/mzr090%j] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023] Open
Abstract
QUALITY PROBLEM Recent evidence in the level of patient safety from hospitals in six developing countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region has demonstrated the high prevalence of adverse events, the excessive rate of death and permanent disability and their high preventability. The Patient Safety Friendly Hospital Initiative (PSFHI) has been launched to respond to these challenges. INITIAL ASSESSMENT The principal approach of the PSFHI has been to develop an assessment manual that has 140 patient safety standards across five domains--leadership and management, patients and public involvement, safe evidence-based clinical practices, safe environment and lifelong learning. CHOICE OF SOLUTION AND IMPLEMENTATION Ministries of health of seven countries--Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan, Sudan, Tunisia and Yemen were asked to nominate one hospital for assessment and then follow-up with an improvement plan. EVALUATION The standards are divided into critical (20), core (90) and developmental (30). The range of critical standards, the compulsory standards with which a hospital has to comply, achieved by participating hospitals was 8-78%. Overall, in the domain of leadership and management the highest compliance was 47%, for patients and public involvement 25%, for safe evidence-based clinical practice 53%, for safe environment 64% and for lifelong learning 27%. LESSONS LEARNED This is the first systematic multi-country initiative in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, which provides compelling evidence that assessment of patient safety standards is feasible and applicable in resource-poor settings and there are significant opportunities for improving the level of patient safety in these hospitals.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Siddiqi
- Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office, World Health Organization, Cairo, Egypt.
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Siddiqi S, Elasady R, Khorshid I, Fortune T, Leotsakos A, Letaief M, Qsoos S, Aman R, Mandhari A, Sahel A, El-Tehewy M, Abdellatif A. Patient Safety Friendly Hospital Initiative: from evidence to action in seven developing country hospitals. Int J Qual Health Care 2012; 24:144-51. [PMID: 22302070 DOI: 10.1093/intqhc/mzr090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
QUALITY PROBLEM Recent evidence in the level of patient safety from hospitals in six developing countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region has demonstrated the high prevalence of adverse events, the excessive rate of death and permanent disability and their high preventability. The Patient Safety Friendly Hospital Initiative (PSFHI) has been launched to respond to these challenges. INITIAL ASSESSMENT The principal approach of the PSFHI has been to develop an assessment manual that has 140 patient safety standards across five domains--leadership and management, patients and public involvement, safe evidence-based clinical practices, safe environment and lifelong learning. CHOICE OF SOLUTION AND IMPLEMENTATION Ministries of health of seven countries--Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan, Sudan, Tunisia and Yemen were asked to nominate one hospital for assessment and then follow-up with an improvement plan. EVALUATION The standards are divided into critical (20), core (90) and developmental (30). The range of critical standards, the compulsory standards with which a hospital has to comply, achieved by participating hospitals was 8-78%. Overall, in the domain of leadership and management the highest compliance was 47%, for patients and public involvement 25%, for safe evidence-based clinical practice 53%, for safe environment 64% and for lifelong learning 27%. LESSONS LEARNED This is the first systematic multi-country initiative in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, which provides compelling evidence that assessment of patient safety standards is feasible and applicable in resource-poor settings and there are significant opportunities for improving the level of patient safety in these hospitals.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Siddiqi
- Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office, World Health Organization, Cairo, Egypt.
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Watson E, Bauer K, Aman R, Weiss G, von Haeseler A, Pääbo S. mtDNA sequence diversity in Africa. Am J Hum Genet 1996; 59:437-44. [PMID: 8755932 PMCID: PMC1914737] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/02/2023] Open
Abstract
mtDNA sequences were determined from 241 individuals from nine ethnic groups in Africa. When they were compared with published data from other groups, it was found that the !Kung, Mbuti, and Biaka show on the order of 10 times more sequence differences between the three groups, as well as between those and the other groups (the Fulbe, Hausa, Tuareg, Songhai, Kanuri, Yoruba, Mandenka, Somali, Tukana, and Kikuyu), than these other groups do between one other. Furthermore, the pairwise sequence distributions, patterns of coalescence events, and numbers of variable positions relative to the mean sequence difference indicate that the former three groups have been of constant size over time, whereas the latter have expanded in size. We suggest that this reflects subsistence patterns in that the populations that have expanded in size are food producers whereas those that have not are hunters and gatherers.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Watson
- Institute of Zoology, University of Munich, Germany
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