High Incidence of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Oesophageal Cancer-A Registry-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden among patients with oesophageal cancer (EC) treated with curative intent is unclear.

AIM

To determine CVD incidence and all-cause mortality in patients with EC.

METHOD

Danish national health registries were used to identify patients diagnosed with primary EC between 2008 and 2018. Each EC patient was matched with ten individuals from the general population. The primary endpoint was a CVD hospital contact (CVD-HC), either admission or outpatient contact. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to compare the risk of incident CVD-HCs between the cohorts.

RESULTS

The study included 1,525 patients with EC and 15,250 individuals from the general population. Patients with EC had a post-diagnosis one-year adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of CVD-HC of 6.1 (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 5.6-6.8) compared with the general population. During the next nine years, the risk of CVD-HC was comparable between the two cohorts, with an adjusted HR of 1.0 (95% CI 0.9-1.3). Patients with EC, and particularly those with prevalent CVD, had a high risk of atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease, and venous thromboembolism within the first year after EC diagnosis. Prevalent CVD among patients with EC was not associated with higher mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

CVD morbidity was transiently increased in the first year following EC diagnosis compared with the general population. All-cause mortality risks were high but did not appear to be affected by prevalent CVD. The very high risk of CVD in patients with primary EC to be treated with curative intent calls for healthcare initiatives to advance preventive and post-treatment strategies.

Outcomes Following Adherence to a Randomized Stroke Trial Protocol

This secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial assesses whether compliance with the study protocol is associated with a better functional outcome even among participants in the sham-control group.

Evaluating dynamic patterns in mortality before and after reconfiguration of the Danish emergency healthcare system

BACKGROUND

This study explored changes in short-term mortality during a national reconfiguration of emergency care starting in 2007.

METHODS

Unplanned hospital contacts at emergency departments across Denmark from 2007 to 2016. The reconfiguration was a natural experiment, resulting in individual timelines for each hospital. The outcome was in-hospital and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Individual patient-level data included 9,745,603 unplanned hospital contacts from 2007 to 2016 at 20 hospitals with emergency departments. We observed a sharp downwards shift in in-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality in three hospitals in relation to the reconfiguration.

CONCLUSION

This nationwide study identified three hospitals where the reconfiguration was closely associated with reduced in-hospital and 30-day mortality. In contrast, no major effects were identified for the remaining hospitals.

Need for home care or nursing home admission after myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock and/or out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

AIMS

Myocardial infarction (MI) with cardiogenic shock (CS) and/or out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) are conditions with potential loss of autonomy. In patients with MI, the association between CS and OHCA and need for home care or nursing home admission was examined.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Danish nationwide registries identified patients with MI (2008-19), who prior to the event lived at home without home care and discharged alive. One-year cumulative incidences and hazard ratios (HRs) were reported for home care need or nursing home admission, a composite proxy for disability in activities of daily living (ADL), along with all-cause mortality. The study population consisted of 67 109 patients with MI (by groups: -OHCA/-CS: 63 644; -OHCA/+CS: 1776; +OHCA/-CS: 968; and +OHCA/+CS: 721). The 1-year cumulative incidences of home care/nursing home were 7.1% for patients who survived to discharge with -OHCA/-CS, 20.9% for -OHCA/+CS, 5.4% for +OHCA/-CS, and 8.2% for those with +OHCA/+CS. The composite outcome was driven by home care. With the -OHCA/-CS as reference, the adjusted HRs for home care/nursing home were 2.86 (95% CI: 2.57-3.19) for patients with -OHCA/+CS; 1.31 (95% CI: 1.00-1.73) for + OHCA/-CS; and 2.18 (95% CI: 1.68-2.82) for those with +OHCA/+CS. The 1-year cumulative mortality were 5.1% for patients with -OHCA/-CS, 9.8% for -OHCA/+CS, 3.0% for +OHCA/-CS, and 3.4% for those with +OHCA/+CS.

CONCLUSION

In patients discharged alive after a MI, CS, and to a lesser degree OHCA were associated with impaired ADL with a two-fold higher 1-year incidence of home care or nursing home admission compared with MI patients without CS or OHCA.

Temporal trends in socioeconomic disparity in clinical outcomes for patients with acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

Socioeconomic factors are well-established determinants of clinical outcomes among patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) although quality of care has improved the last decades. This study aims to investigate 20-years temporal trends of socioeconomic disparity in 1-year incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) among ACS patients in Denmark.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study included all incident ACS patients in the Danish National Patient Registry during 1998-2017. Socioeconomic disparity was assessed by income and educational level. Patients were followed 1-year for MACE; defined as all-cause mortality, recurrent ACS, revascularization, stroke, or cardiac arrest. Adjusted MACE incidence rates (aIR) and hazard rate ratios (aHR) were computed with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) for five-year-periods. Changes in trends were examined from interaction analyses between the HR for five-year-periods and income and education, respectively.

RESULTS

The study included 220,887 patients with first-time ACS. The incidence of MACE decreased within all income and education levels. In 1998-2002 the MACE aIR among patients with low income was 885[95%CI:863-907] versus 733[711-756]/1000-person-year among those with high income (aHR: 1.19[95%CI:1.15-1.23]). The aIRs decreased to 506[489-522] and 405[388-423]/1000-person-year, respectively, in 2013-2017 (aHR: 1.23[1.17-1.29]). The aIRs of MACE decreased correspondingly within all educational levels from 1998 to 2002 to 2013-2017. However, the socioeconomic disparity according to the interaction analyses persisted both according to income and educational level.

CONCLUSION

Although 1-year clinical outcomes following ACS has improved substantially over the last decades, socioeconomic disparity persisted both according to income and education level.

Transport Strategy in Patients With Suspected Acute Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke: TRIAGE-STROKE, a Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

When patients with acute ischemic stroke present with suspected large vessel occlusion in the catchment area of a primary stroke center (PSC), the benefit of direct transport to a comprehensive stroke center (CSC) has been suggested. Equipoise remains between transport strategies and the best transport strategy is not well established.

METHODS

We conducted a national investigator-driven, multicenter, randomized, assessor-blinded clinical trial. Patients eligible for intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) who were suspected for large vessel occlusion were randomized 1:1 to admission to the nearest PSC (prioritizing IVT) or direct CSC admission (prioritizing endovascular therapy). The primary outcome was functional improvement at day 90 for all patients with acute ischemic stroke, measured as shift towards a lower score on the modified Rankin Scale score.

RESULTS

From September 2018 to May 2022, we enrolled 171 patients of whom 104 had acute ischemic stroke. The trial was halted before full recruitment. Baseline characteristics were well balanced. Primary analysis of shift in modified Rankin Scale (ordinal logistic regression) revealed an odds ratio for functional improvement at day 90 of 1.42 (95% CI, 0.72-2.82, P=0.31). Onset to groin time for patients with large vessel occlusion was 35 minutes (P=0.007) shorter when patients were transported to a CSC first, whereas onset to needle (IVT) was 30 minutes (P=0.012) shorter when patients were transported to PSC first. IVT was administered in 67% of patients in the PSC group versus 78% in the CSC group and EVT was performed in 53% versus 63% of the patients, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This trial investigated the benefit of bypassing PSC. We included only IVT-eligible patients presenting <4 hours from onset and with suspected large vessel occlusion. Lack of power prevented the results from showing effect on functional outcome for patients going directly to CSC.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT03542188.

Associations between emergency call stroke triage and pre-hospital delay, primary hospital admission, and acute reperfusion treatment among early comers with acute ischemic stroke

To investigate the association between the Emergency Medical Service dispatcher's initial stroke triage and prehospital stroke management, primary admission to hospitals offering revascularization treatment, prehospital time delay, and rate of acute revascularization. In an observational cohort study, patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in Denmark (2017-2018) were included if the emergency call to the Emergency Medical Dispatch Center (EMDC) was made within three hours after symptom onset. Among 3546 included AIS patients, the EMS dispatcher identified 74.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 73.1-76.0) correctly as stroke. EMS dispatcher stroke recognition was associated with a higher rate of primary admission to a hospital offering revascularization treatment (85.8 versus 74.5%); producing an adjusted risk difference (RD) of 11.1% (95% CI 7.8; 14.3) and a higher rate of revascularization treatment (49.6 versus 41.6%) with an adjusted RD of 8.4% (95% CI 4.6; 12.2). We adjusted for sex, age, previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, and stroke severity. EMDC stroke recognition was associated with shorter prehospital delay. For all AIS patients, the adjusted difference was - 33.2 min (95% CI - 44.4; - 22.0). Among patients receiving acute revascularization treatment (n = 1687), the adjusted difference was -12.6 min (95% CI - 18.9; - 6.3). Stroke recognition by the EMS dispatcher was associated with a higher probability of primary admission to a hospital offering acute stroke treatment, and subsequently with a higher rate of acute revascularization treatment, and with an overall reduction in prehospital delay.

Time trends in income-related disparity in incidence of acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Higher incidence of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), among those with lower income, has been recognized in the most recent decades. Still, there is a paucity of data on temporal changes. This study aims to investigate 20-year time trends in income-related disparity in the incidence of ACS in Denmark.

METHODS

This Population-based repeated cross-sectional study included all patients with first-time ACS, aged ≥20 years, registered in the Danish National Patient Registry 1998-2017. Aggregated sociodemographic data for the Danish population was accessed from Statistics Denmark. Yearly incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR), with the highest-income quartile as a reference, were standardized using cell-specific personal equivalent income according to year, sex and age group with 95% confidence intervals. Interaction analysis was executed for differences in IR of ACS between the lowest- and highest-income quartile over time.

RESULTS

A total of 220 070 patients hospitalized with ACS from 1998 to 2017 were identified. The yearly standardized ACS IRs decreased in all income quartiles. However, the IR remained higher in the lowest-income quartile compared to the highest for both men [1998: IRR 1.45 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.39-1.52) and 2017: 1.47 (1.40-1.54)] and women [1998: IRR 1.73 (1.64-1.82) and 2017: 1.76 (1.65-1.88)]. Interaction analysis showed that over the period the difference in IR between the lower- and the highest-income quartile decreased with 1-5 ACS cases per 100 000 person-year.

CONCLUSION

Income-related disparity in the incidence of ACS was present in Denmark between 1998 and 2017. Despite a marked overall decrease in the yearly ACS incidence, the extent of income-related disparity remained unchanged.

Small-Area Analysis of Treatment and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Venous Thromboembolism in Denmark: A Nationwide Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

 To investigate geographical variation in initiation and extended treatment with anticoagulants and clinical outcomes among patients hospitalized with first-time venous thromboembolism (VTE) in Denmark between 2007 and 2018.

METHODS

 Using nationwide health care registries, we identified all patients with a first-time VTE hospital diagnosis supported by imaging data from 2007 to 2018. Patients were grouped according to residential region (5) and municipality (98) at the time of VTE diagnosis. Cumulative incidence of initiation of and extended (beyond 365 days) anticoagulation treatment as well as clinical outcomes, including recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and all-cause death, were assessed. Sex- and age-adjusted relative risks (RRs) of the outcomes were computed when comparing across individual regions and municipalities. Overall geographic variation was quantified by computing the median RR.

RESULTS

 We identified 66,840 patients with a first-time VTE hospitalization. A difference in initiation of anticoagulation treatment of more than 20 percentage points between regions was observed (range: 51.9-72.4%, median RR: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.13). Variation was also observed for extended treatment (range: 34.2-46.9%, median RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14). The cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE ranged from 3.6 to 5.3% at 1 year (median RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01-1.15). The difference remained after 5 years, and variation was also observed for major bleeding (median RR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03-1.15), whereas it appeared smaller for all-cause mortality (median RR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01-1.05).

CONCLUSION

 Substantial geographical variation in anticoagulation treatment and clinical outcomes occurs in Denmark. These findings indicate a need for initiatives to ensure uniform high-quality care for all VTE patients.

Social determinants of health and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: a Danish nationwide cohort study

AIMS

To examine the associations between three social determinants of health (SDOH) and recurrence of AF after ablation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We selected patients who underwent a first ablation after an incident hospital diagnosis of AF between 2005 and 2018 from the entire Danish population. Educational attainment, family income, and whether the patient was living alone were assessed at the time of ablation. We used cause-specific proportional hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) adjusted for age and sex. In secondary analyses, we adjusted for comorbidities, antiarrhythmic medication, and prior electrical cardioversion.We selected 9728 patients (mean age 61 years, 70% men), and 5881 patients had AF recurrence over an average of 1.37 years after ablation (recurrence rate 325.7 (95% CI 317.6-334.2) per 1000 person-years). Lower education (HR 1.09 [1.02-1.17] and 1.07 [1.01-1.14] for lower and medium vs. higher), lower income [HR 1.14 (1.06-1.22) and 1.09 (1.03-1.17) for lower and medium vs. higher], and living alone [HR 1.07 (1.00-1.13)] were associated with increased rates of recurrence of AF. We found no evidence of interaction between sex or prior HF with SDOH. The association between family income and AF recurrence was stronger among patients < 65 years compared with those aged ≥ 65 years. The associations between SDOH and AF recurrence did not persist in the multivariable model.

CONCLUSION

AF was more likely to recur among patients with lower educational attainment, lower family income, or those living alone. Multidisciplinary efforts are needed to reduce socioeconomic inequity in the effect of ablation.

Inter-Rater Agreement on Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS) and Prehospital Acute Stroke Severity Scale (PASS) Between EMS Providers, Neurology Residents and Neurology Consultants

Objective

To examine the agreement between emergency medical service (EMS) providers, neurology residents and neurology consultants, using the Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS) and the Prehospital Acute Stroke Severity Scale (PASS).

Methods

Patients with stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA) and stroke mimic were included upon primary stroke admission or during rehabilitation. Patients were included from June 2018 to September 2019. Video recordings were made of patients being assessed with CPSS and PASS. The recordings were later presented to the healthcare professionals. To determine relative and absolute interrater reliability in terms of inter-rater agreement (IRA), we used generalisability theory. Group-level agreement was determined against a gold standard and presented as an area under the curve (AUC). The gold standard was a consensus agreement between two neurology consultants.

Results

A total of 120 patient recordings were assessed by 30 EMS providers, two neurology residents and two neurology consultants. Using the CPSS and the PASS, a total of 1,800 assessments were completed by EMS providers, 240 by neurology residents and 240 by neurology consultants. The overall relative and absolute IRA for all items combined from the CPSS and PASS score was 0.84 (95% CI 0.80; 0.87) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.77; 0.85), respectively. Using the CPSS, the agreement on a group-level resulted in AUCs of 0.83 (95% CI 0.78; 0.88) for the EMS providers and 0.86 (95% CI 0.82; 0.90) for the neurology residents when compared with the gold standard. Using the PASS, the AUC was 0.82 (95% CI 0.77; 0.87) for the EMS providers and 0.88 (95% CI 0.84; 0.93) for the neurology residents.

Conclusion

The high relative and absolute inter-rater agreement underpins a high robustness/generalisability of the two scales. A high agreement exists across individual raters and different groups of healthcare professionals supporting widespread applicability of the stroke scales.

Acquired Brain Injury Among Adolescents and Young Adults: A Nationwide Study of Labor Market Attachment

Purpose Young patients represent a particularly vulnerable group regarding vocational prognosis after an acquired brain injury (ABI). We aimed to investigate how sequelae and rehabilitation needs are associated with vocational prognosis up to 3 years after an ABI in 15-30-year-old patients. Methods An incidence cohort of 285 patients with ABI completed a questionnaire on sequelae and rehabilitation interventions and needs 3 months after the index hospital contact. They were followed-up for up to 3 years with respect to the primary outcome "stable return to education/work (sRTW)", which was defined using a national register of public transfer payments. Data were analyzed using cumulative incidence curves and cause-specific hazard ratios. Results Young individuals reported a high frequency of mainly pain-related (52%) and cognitive sequelae (46%) at 3 months. Motor problems were less frequent (18%), but negatively associated with sRTW within 3 years (adjusted HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.39-0.84). Rehabilitation interventions were received by 28% while 21% reported unmet rehabilitation needs, and both factors were negatively associated with sRTW (adjusted HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.48-0.91 and adjusted HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.51-1.01). Conclusions Young patients frequently experienced sequelae and rehabilitation needs 3 months post ABI, which was negatively associated with long-term labor market attachment. The low rate of sRTW among patients with sequelae and unmet rehabilitation needs indicates an untapped potential for ameliorated vocational and rehabilitating initiatives targeted at young patients.

Long-Term Temporal Trends in Survival Among Danish Patients with Advanced Cutaneous Melanoma: A Nationwide Follow-Up Study

Introduction

Population-based data on survival trends over time among patients with advanced cutaneous melanoma are lacking. We examined changes in mortality for patients diagnosed from 1980 to 2011 in a nationwide historical follow-up study using population-based medical registries from Denmark.

Material and Methods

The study population included all Danish patients with an incident diagnosis of advanced (metastatic or unresectable stage IIIA, IIIB, IIIC, or IV) cutaneous melanoma (ie, initial diagnosis for melanoma at stage III/IV) between 1980-2011 and who were followed-up until 2013. For each patient, we randomly matched 100 individuals from the general population on sex and year of birth. Age-standardized mortality rates were calculated by calendar year of diagnosis overall, 30 days after diagnosis, and during 31 to 364 days and 0-10 years after diagnosis. Stratified Cox's proportional hazards regression was used to compute hazard ratios.

Results

We identified a total of 1236 patients and 123,600 comparison cohort members. We observed that the standardized mortality rates of patients with advanced melanoma dropped from the 1980s onwards, but remain high (eg, 74.3 and 248.4 per 1000 person-years in 0-30 days and 31-364 days after diagnosis, respectively, for patients diagnosed during 2008-2011). Compared with the general population, patients with advanced melanoma had a 10.4-fold increased hazard of death during 0-10 years of follow-up. The highest relative mortality was found for the first year following melanoma diagnosis. No improvements in survival compared to the general population were observed in the most recent years of the study period, thus in 2004-2007 and 2008-2011.

Discussion and Conclusion

Survival of patients with advanced cutaneous melanoma in Denmark improved between 1980 and 2013 but appears to have leveled off in the years leading up to more widespread introduction of newer immuno-oncology therapies.

Implementation of universal umbilical cord pH analysis in Denmark. A national register-based study

INTRODUCTION

Umbilical cord blood gas analysis provides information about intrapartum hypoxia and is considered an important measure of quality in maternity care. Universal measurement of umbilical cord pH (UC-pH), as part of umbilical cord blood gas analysis, has been recommended in Denmark since 2009. The recommendation is that UC-pH is measured from the umbilical cord artery (pH_UA ) and vein (pH_UV ). The aim of this study was to evaluate the national implementation of universal measurement of UC-pH.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study consisted of two parts. First, an evaluation of the implementation, that is, the proportion of births with measured UC-pH since the recommendation was introduced. Second, an evaluation of the cases in which UC-pH was missing. This analysis only involved births with gestational age ≥35 + 0 weeks.

RESULTS

In the period 2009 to 2018 there were 560 889 singleton, live births with registered gestational age in Denmark. The proportion of births with measured pH_UA and pH_UV increased from 12.4% in 2009 to 82.8% in 2015 and then declined to 76.9% in 2018 (p < 0.001). When comparing the group with missing pH from one or both vessels to the group with both pH_UA and pH_UV we found lower occurrence of pregnancy and births complications in the first group, body mass index ≥35 (unadjusted RR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85-0.93), pregnancy induced medical conditions (RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.84-0.89), fetal distress during birth (RR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.76-0.79), emergency cesarean section (RR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.83) and serious births events (RR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.74-0.86). In contrast, the occurrence of placental insufficiency (RR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.11), small for gestational age (RR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.30-1.43, for <2.3th percentile), hypothermia treatment (RR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.21-2.14) and neonatal death (RR: 1.96, 95% CI: 1.40-2.74) were higher in the group without measured pH_UA and pH_UV .

CONCLUSIONS

The use of UC-pH measurement has increased markedly in Denmark since universal measurement was recommended in 2009. Missing UC-pH from one or both vessels was associated with less complicated pregnancies and with small for gestational age, hypothermia treatment and neonatal death.

Impact of Stroke History on the Risk of Recurrent Hip Fracture or Major Osteoporotic Fractures among Patients with Incident Hip Fracture: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Considerable uncertainty prevails regarding risk factors for recurrent fracture among older patients with hip fracture. We aimed to investigate the relationship between prefracture stroke history, baseline mobility, and the risk of recurrent hip fracture. This cohort study was based on the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry, 2011-2018 (n = 48,230). We estimated cumulative incidence (competing risk of death) of recurrent hip fracture and major osteoporotic fractures within 1 and 2 years comparing patients with/without prefracture stroke history. Analyses were performed overall and stratified on baseline mobility status (good mobility: Cumulated Ambulation Score ≥ 5 versus poor mobility: Cumulated Ambulation Score < 5). Using Cox regression, adjusted cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained. The 1-year cumulative incidence was 4.6% (95% CI: 3.9-5.4) among patients with stroke history and 4.3% (95% CI: 4.1-4.5) among patients without stroke history. For patients with good mobility, the cumulative incidence of recurrent hip fracture was 5.8% (95% CI: 4.3-7.5) versus 3.7% (95% CI: 3.4-4.0) for patients with versus without stroke history. Corresponding numbers for patients with poor mobility were 4.4% (95% CI: 3.6-5.5) and 5.0% (95% CI: 4.7-5.3). Stroke history was associated with an adjusted HR of 1.55 (95% CI: 1.15-2.10) for recurrent fracture among patients with good mobility. In contrast, no association was observed among patients with poor mobility (adjusted HR 0.88 [95% CI: 0.70-1.10]). The associations were attenuated after 2 years of follow-up and for major osteoporotic fractures. In conclusion, stroke history was associated with slightly higher risk of recurrent fracture among patients with first-time hip fracture in the overall analysis, although the CI included a null result. The association was modified by baseline mobility: Patients with stroke history and good mobility had a markedly higher risk, whereas patients with stroke and poor mobility did not. © 2022 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

An AI-based patient-specific clinical decision support system for OA patients choosing surgery or not: study protocol for a single-centre, parallel-group, non-inferiority randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Osteoarthritis (OA) affects 20% of the adult Danish population, and the financial burden to society amounts to DKK 4.6 billion annually. Research suggests that up to 75% of surgical patients could have postponed an operation and managed with physical training. ERVIN.2 is an artificial intelligence (AI)-based clinical support system that addresses this problem by enhancing patient involvement in decisions concerning surgical knee and hip replacement. However, the clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of using such a system are scantily documented.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective is to investigate whether the usual care is non-inferior to ERVIN.2 supported care. The second objective is to determine if ERVIN.2 enhances clinical decision support and whether ERVIN.2 supported care is cost-effective.

METHODS

This study used a single-centre, non-inferiority, randomised controlled in a two-arm parallel-group design. The study will be reported in compliance with CONSORT guidelines. The control group receives the usual care. As an add-on, the intervention group have access to baseline scores and predicted Oxford hip/knee scores and HRQoL for both the surgical and the non-surgical trajectory. A cost-utility analysis will be conducted alongside the trial using a hospital perspective, a 1-year time horizon and effects estimated using EQ-5D-3L. Results will be presented as cost per QALY gain.

DISCUSSION

This study will bring knowledge about whether ERVIN.2 enhances clinical decision support, clinical effects, and cost-effectiveness of the AI system. The study design will not allow for the blinding of surgeons.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04332055 . Registered on 2 April 2020.

Vocational/educational prognosis in adolescents and young adults with acquired brain injury: a nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine prognostic factors for work ability and employment/educational status among young patients referred to outpatient neurorehabilitation clinics after an acquired brain injury.

METHODS

A nationwide cohort study of 471 15-30-year-old patients who attended an interdisciplinary clinical assessment and provided questionnaire data at baseline and after one year. The outcomes were the Work Ability Score (WAS, 0-10 (best)) and employment/educational status after one year. Prognostic performance was analyzed using univariable regression and multivariable Ridge regression in a five-fold cross-validated procedure.

RESULTS

Preinjury, 86% of the patients were employed, while the percentage had decreased to 55% at baseline and 52% at follow-up. The model, which included clinical measures of function, showed moderate prognostic performance with respect to WAS (R2=0.29) and employment/educational status (area under the curve (AUC)=0.77). Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (R2=0.15, AUC=0.68) and the cognitive subscale of the Functional Independence Measure (R2=0.09, AUC=0.64), along with fatigue measured with the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (R2=0.15, AUC=0.60) were the single predictors with the highest predictive performance.

CONCLUSION

Despite generally high scores in motor and cognitive tests, only about half of the patients were employed at baseline and this proportion remained stable. Global disability, cognitive sequelae and fatigue had the highest prognostic performance.

Risk and Subtypes of Stroke Following New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Coronary Bypass Surgery: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) develops in approximately one-third of patients undergoing cardiac surgery and is associated with a higher incidence of ischemic stroke and increased mortality. However, it remains unknown to what extent ischemic stroke events in patients with POAF are cardioembolic and whether anticoagulant therapy is indicated. We investigated the long-term risk and pathogenesis of postoperative stroke in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting experiencing POAF. Methods and Results This was a register-based cohort study. Data from the WDHR (Western Denmark Heart Registry) were linked with the DNPR (Danish National Patient Register), the Danish National Prescription Register, and the Cause of Death Register. All stroke diagnoses were verified, and ischemic stroke cases were subclassified according to pathogenesis. Furthermore, investigations of all-cause mortality and the use of anticoagulation medicine for the individual patient were performed. A total of 7813 patients without a preoperative history of atrial fibrillation underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2018, in Western Denmark. POAF was registered in 2049 (26.2%) patients, and a postoperative ischemic stroke was registered in 195 (2.5%) of the patients. After adjustment, there was no difference in the risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95% CI, 0.74-1.56]) or all-cause mortality (HR, 1.09 [95% CI, 0.98-1.23]) between patients who developed POAF and non-POAF patients. Although not statistically significant, patients with POAF had a higher incidence rate (IR; per 1000 patient-years) of cardioembolic stroke (IR, 1 [95% CI, 0.6-1.6] versus IR, 0.5 [95% CI, 0.3-0.8]), whereas non-POAF patients had a higher incidence rate of large-artery occlusion stroke (IR, 1.1 [95% CI, 0.8-1.5] versus IR, 0.7 [95% CI, 0.4-1.4]). Early initiation of anticoagulation medicine was not associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke. However, patients with POAF were more likely to die of cardiovascular causes than non-POAF patients (P<0.001). Conclusions We found no difference in the adjusted risk of postoperative stroke or all-cause mortality in POAF versus non-POAF patients. Patients with POAF after coronary artery bypass grafting presented with a higher, although not significant, proportion of ischemic strokes of the cardioembolic type.

Quality in stroke care during the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic: A nationwide study

Introduction:

Evidence-based early stroke care as reflected by fulfillment of process performance measures, is strongly related to better patient outcomes after stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). Detailed data on the resilience of stroke care services during the COVID-19 pandemic are limited. We aimed to examine the quality of early stroke care at Danish hospitals during the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Materials and methods:

We extracted data from Danish national health registries in five time periods (11 March, 2020–27 January, 2021) and compared these to a baseline pre-pandemic period (13 March, 2019–10 March, 2020). Quality of early stroke care was assessed as fulfilment of individual process performance measures and as a composite measure (opportunity-based score).

Results:

A total of 23,054 patients were admitted with stroke and 8153 with a TIA diagnosis in the entire period. On a national level, the opportunity-based score (95% confidence interval [CI]) at baseline for ischemic patients was 81.1% (80.8–81.4), for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) 85.5% (84.3–86.6), and for TIA 96.0% (95.3–96.1). An increase of 1.1% (0.1–2.2) and 1.5% (0.3–2.7) in the opportunity-based score was observed during the first national lockdown period for AIS and TIA followed by a decline of −1.3% (−2.2 to −0.4) in the gradual reopening phase for AIS indicators. We found a significant negative association between regional incidence rates and quality-of-care in ischemic stroke patients implying that quality decreases when admission rates increase.

Conclusion:

The quality of acute stroke/TIA care in Denmark remained high during the early phases of the pandemic and only minor fluctuations occurred.

Home care provision and nursing home admission after myocardial infarction in relation to cardiogenic shock and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest status

Background

Autonomy is of great importance for quality of life. There is a paucity of data on autonomy for those who survive myocardial infarction (MI) with and without cardiogenic shock (CS) and out-of-hospital arrest (OHCA).

Purpose

To examine the association between CS, OHCA, and need for home care provision or nursing home admission as a proxy for impaired autonomy in a first-time MI population.

Methods

Danish nationwide registries were used to identify patients with first-time MI (2009–2019), who prior to the event were living at home without home care and discharged alive. The patients were stratified according to CS and OHCA status. We report 1-year cumulative incidence of a composite outcome of home care provision or nursing home admission with competing risk of death and as a secondary outcome all-cause mortality. Cause specific Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with patients without CS or OHCA as reference.

Results

We identified 61,451 patients in the period with MI (by groups: −OHCA/−CS: 59,316, −OHCA/+CS: 1,597, +OHCA/−CS: 913, and +OHCA/+CS: 669). The 1-year cumulative incidences of home care/nursing home were 6.9% for patients with −OHCA/−CS, 21.1% for −OHCA/+CS, 5.2% for +OHCA/−CS, and 8.1% for those with +OHCA/+CS. With the −OHCA/−CS as reference, the adjusted HRs for home care/nursing home were 3.12 (95% CI: 2.78–3.49) for patients with −OHCA/+CS, 1.27 (95% CI: 0.95–1.70) for +OHCA/−CS, and 2.31 (95% CI: 1.76–3.03) for +OHCA/+CS (Figure). The 1-year cumulative incidences of mortality were 4.8% for patients with −OHCA/−CS, 10.0% for −OHCA/+CS, 2.8% for +OHCA/−CS, and 3.7% for those with +OHCA/+CS (adjusted HRs: 2.81 (95% CI: 2.55–3.10), 1.09 (95% CI: 0.85–1.39) and 1.81 (95% CI: 1.42–2.30) (Figure 1).

Conclusion

In a selected cohort of patients with MI, without previous need for home care/nursing home and surviving until discharge date, patients with CS were independent of OHCA status associated with less autonomy after discharge with a more than two-fold higher 1-year incidence of home care provision or nursing home admission. Further, patients with CS were associated with a two-fold higher 1-year mortality compared with MI patients without CS independent of OHCA status.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): The work was supported by Rigshospitalets Research Foundation, Master cabinetmaker Sophus Jacobsen and Wife Astrid Jacobsen Foundation, and Director Jacob Madsen and Wife Olga Madsens Foundation. The funding source had no role in the design, conduct, analysis, or reporting of the study.

High risk of cardiovascular disease in curatively treated patients with oesophageal cancer: a Danish cohort study

Background

The cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden among patients with oesophageal cancer (EC) treated with curative intent is unclear.

Purpose

To determine CVD incidence and all-cause mortality in patients with EC.

Material and methods

Danish national health registries were used to identify patients diagnosed with primary EC between 2008 and 2018. Each EC patient was matched with ten individuals from the general population. The primary endpoint was a CVD hospital contact (CVD-HC), either admission or outpatient contact. Secondary endpoints were all-cause mortality and five specific CVD endpoints evaluated separately: atrial fibrillation, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, perimyocarditis, and venous thromboembolism. Using registries, all endpoints were assessed up to ten years following the EC diagnosis.

Results

The study included 1,525 patients with EC matched to 15,250 individuals from the general population. Patients with EC had a post-diagnosis one-year adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of CVD-HCs of 6.1 (95% CI: 5.6 to 6.8) compared with the general population. During the next nine years, the risk of CVD-HC was comparable between the two cohorts with an adjusted HR of 1.0 (95% CI: 0.9 to 1.3) (Figure 1). Patients with EC, particularly those with prevalent CVD (29%) had a high risk of ischemic heart disease with a one-year HR of 6.2 (95% CI: 3.7 to 10.4). The risk of venous thromboembolism and atrial fibrillation was 14-fold and four-fold elevated within the first year after EC diagnosis compared to the general population. After EC diagnosis, all-cause mortality was, as expected, increased in patients with EC compared with the general population. However, prevalent CVD among patients with EC did not appear to be associated with higher all-cause mortality.

Conclusion

CVD morbidity was transiently increased in the first year following EC diagnosis compared with the general population. All-cause mortality risks were high but did not appear to be affected by prevalent CVD. The very high risk of CVD in curatively treated patients with EC calls for healthcare initiatives to advance preventive and post-treatment strategies.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Danish Cancer SocietyCarpenter Jorgen Holm and Wife Elisa F. Hansen's Memorial Scholarship

Experiences, perspectives, and practice patterns of pulmonary embolism follow-up in Denmark. A mixed method study informing the development of A sTrucTurEd INtegrateD post PE care model

Background

Practice patterns of follow-up after pulmonary embolism (PE) varies both within and between countries, and high-quality evidence to provide clinical guidance is lacking [1,2]. This study is part of the trial – A sTrucTurEd INtegrateD post Pulmonary Embolism care model (Attend-PE) aimed at developing and testing the effectiveness of a structured, integrated and patient-centered follow-up care model for patients with PE.

Purpose

To explore experiences, perspectives, and practice patterns of PE follow-up. Ultimately identifying and describing the opportunity space for a structured integrated post PE care model.

Methods

We performed a convergent mixed method study based on data from patient journey mapping including surveys, observations, and semi-structured patient interviews across all main hospitals treating PE in Denmark. An integrated mixed methods interpretation was conducted using joint displays.

Results

Main results are presented in joint displays in Figure 1 and 2. Observations and surveys were conducted at 18 hospitals including 12 in-depth patient-interviews.

The structure of care varied greatly. Patients expressed a need for early follow up and specialist care but at 18% of the sites first follow-up visit was not until 3–6 months after PE and 24% of the sites only had in-person contact with patients when follow-up echocardiography was needed. At some sites it was also highlighted that not all patients were referred to the post PE follow-up. anticoagulation clinics. Further, transition of care to the general practitioner was identified as a particular challenge.

All sites considered Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants the preferred anticoagulant treatment with low-molecular-weight heparins/Vitamin K antagonists as second choice. The possible need for extended treatment and reduced dose favored Rivaroxaban and Apixaban. The decision on treatment duration was most often taken at the 3–6-month follow-up visit, and patients described the decision on extended treatment as positive and reassuring.

Patient information (oral and written) varied greatly and was most often focused on anticoagulant treatment, while knowledge on PE in general, symptom management, and activity was scarce. Two sites offered structured group-based patient education, but unstructured patient education at the individual follow-up visits was most common.

Help and guidance on managing post-PE symptoms and returning to everyday life was perceived essential by patients, as it affected them both physically and mentally. However, none of the sites routinely offered or referred patients to rehabilitation.

Involvement of relatives was considered important but 33% of the hospital sites did not systematically encourage relatives to attend follow-up.

Conclusion

The considerable variation in structure of PE follow-up care demonstrated in this mixed method study highlights the need for a structured integrated post pulmonary embolism care model.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): The Danish Heart AssociationThe Novo Nordisk Foundation

The comorbidity network in older adults with atrial fibrillation: a Danish nationwide cohort study

Introduction

Individuals affected by atrial fibrillation (AF) often present with multiple comorbidities that challenge their clinical management and worsen the prognosis. Characterizing the network structure of comorbid chronic conditions in AF patients may provide insights to better tailor medical and care management.

Purpose

To examine and compare the network structure of comorbidities in older people with and without AF.

Methods

Cross-sectional data derived from the Danish National Patient Register (period 2012–2017) were examined. Patients 60+ years old by 1. January 2017 with AF were selected and matched by age and sex to non-AF controls. Chronic conditions coded according to the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision were retrieved and grouped into 60 clinically relevant disease categories for old age. Network analysis was applied to construct the disease networks and the centrality index of expected influence was measured to estimate the disease interconnectedness in each network. The difference in network structure and disease centrality between AF and non-AF patients was formally assessed through network comparison tests.

Results

A total of 96,117 AF patients (72 years old; 45% women) were identified and matched with 96,117 non-AF controls. The most prevalent chronic conditions in AF were hypertension (55.1%), large bowel diseases (36.4%) and ischemic heart disease (36.0%). A significant difference of global network structure was observed between AF and non-AF patients (p&lt;0.001) (Figure1). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, depression, inflammatory arthropathy, chronic kidney disease and peripheral neuropathy had a higher connectivity with other diseases in the AF vs. non-AF patients (p&lt;0.001). By contrast, hypertension, heart failure and stroke were more interconnected in the non-AF patients (p&lt;0.001). Among AF patients, network differences were further observed between age categories (60–79 vs 80+ years) in male and female subgroups.

Conclusions

Older AF patients exhibited a complex network structure of chronic conditions that differed from age- and sex- matched non-AF patients. The network-based identification of highly co-morbid diseases in AF can improve our understanding of AF-related chronic conditions and potentially enhance prioritization and a personalized care for older patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme

Trends and drivers of pharmaceutical expenditures from systemic anti-cancer therapy

Expenditures on medicine for systemic anti-cancer therapy (SACT) have seen large increases in recent years. The characterization of patients with high SACT costs is crucial to identify cost-driving factors, but little is known about the distribution of expenditures at the patient-level. We priced 260,834 registrations of SACT for 12,589 patients from 2008 to 2019 by combining them with product-level billings of EUR 142.1 million. Based on this, we defined high-cost patients as the 2.5% most expensive by accumulated SACT expenditures. We found that high-cost patients accounted for 28.8% of the total SACT expenditures and were observed across all major cancer groups except for pancreatic cancer. The risk of becoming a high-cost patient was increased for younger age groups, i.e., 18-44 and 45-64 years, for patients with BMI ≥ 25, and for patients with multiple cancer diagnoses, while no alteration of risk was observed due to comorbidities or sex. Changes in the characteristics of high-cost patients during the study period were found with an increased risk of becoming high-cost in later years for elderly patients and patients with lung cancer and a decreased risk for breast cancer patients.

Immigration status and utilization of secondary preventive treatment after ischemic stroke

Introduction:

The objective of the study was to assess use and persistence of secondary preventive treatment after ischemic stroke comparing immigrants and Danish-born residents.

Patients and methods:

A cohort of patients discharged with ischemic stroke (IS) diagnosis ( n = 106,224) by immigration status was identified from the Danish Stroke Registry between 2005 and 2018. We investigated use (claiming at least one prescription in 180 days post-discharge according to information from the Register of Medicinal Products Statistics) and persistence of treatment within 180 days thereafter using multivariable logistic regression and Fine and Gray models.

Results:

Overall, 82,078 Danish-born residents (80.6%) and 3589 (80.7%) immigrants with IS used at least one of the recommended preventive medications post-discharge. Immigrants had lower odds of use of anticoagulants and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB) (odds ratio (OR), 0.66; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.53–0.82 and OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.75–0.98, respectively) but had higher odds of use of beta-blockers (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.02–1.53) than Danish-born residents after adjustment for age at stroke, sex, sociodemographic factors, duration of residence, stroke severity, and comorbidities. The odds were most evident among immigrants originating from non-Western countries. Persistence of medication use did not differ between immigrants and Danish-born residents after adjustment for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities.

Conclusion:

Modest disparities in use of standard guideline recommended secondary preventive medications were observed when comparing immigrants and Danish-born residents with ischemic stroke. Furthermore, no differences in persistence of medication therapy were observed.

The Prehospital Stroke Score and telephone conference: A prospective validation

OBJECTIVES

The main aim of the study is to investigate the performance of a two-part stroke scale for screening and subsequent severity assessment combined with a telephone conference (teleconference).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

During a 6-month period, we prospectively tested the Prehospital Stroke Score (PreSS). PreSS part 1 is designed to identify stroke or TIA in a prehospital setting. PreSS part 2 is a stroke severity scale designed to identify large-vessel occlusion (LVO). PreSS was performed by emergency medical service (EMS) providers prior to a teleconference with a stroke neurologist.

RESULTS

Combined teleconference and PreSS part 1 were performed on 79.3% of all patients diagnosed with stroke/TIA, and 99.1% of the patients with positive scores were subsequently PreSS part 2 scored. PreSS part 1 and teleconference had a sensitivity to identify stroke/TIA of 89.3% (95% CI 85.7-92.2), specificity of 64.5% (95% CI 59.3-69.5), and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.83). Regarding LVO, PreSS part 1 with teleconference recognized 96.7% (95% CI 88.7-99.6) of all cases as stroke. PreSS part 2 had a sensitivity of 55.7% (95% CI 42.4-68.5), specificity of 91.5% (95% CI 89.0-93.6), and AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.82-0.90) for identification of LVO.

CONCLUSIONS

PreSS was feasible and the sensitivity for stroke/TIA and LVO was high to moderate providing an overall high precision. Almost all LVO cases were ensured acute stroke admission. The high specificity for LVO could be useful for determining transfers strategies.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class I evidence when evaluating PreSS combined with teleconference.

COVID-19 did not result in increased hospitalization for stroke and transient ischemic attack. A nationwide study

Background

The risk of thrombosis increases in infectious diseases, yet observational studies from single centers have shown a decrease in admission of acute ischemic stroke patients during the COVID‐19 pandemic. To investigate unselected stroke admission rates we performed a nationwide study in Denmark.

Methods

We extracted information from Danish national health registries. The following mutually exclusive time periods were compared to the year before the lockdown: (1) first national lockdown, (2) gradual reopening, (3) few restrictions, (4) regional lockdown, and (5) second national lockdown.

Results

Generally, admission rates were unchanged during the pandemic. In the unadjusted data, we observed a small decrease in the admission rate for all strokes under the first lockdown (incidence rate ratio: 0.93, confidence interval [CI]: 0.87–0.99) and a slight increase during the periods with gradual reopening, few restrictions, and the regional lockdown driven by ischemic strokes. We found no change in the rate of severe strokes, mild strokes, or 30‐day mortality. An exception was the higher mortality for all strokes during the first lockdown (risk ratio: crude 1.30 [CI: 1.03–1.59]; adjusted 1.17 [CI: 0.93–1.47]). The quality of care remained unchanged.

Conclusion

Stroke admission rates remained largely unchanged during the pandemic, while an increased short‐term mortality rate in patients admitted with stroke observed during the first lockdown was seen, probably reflecting that the more frail patients constituted a higher proportion of admitted patients at the beginning of the pandemic.

Evidence-Based Process Performance Measures and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Incident Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: A Danish Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Data on the association between quality of heart failure (HF) care and outcomes among patients with incident HF are sparse. We examined the association between process performance measures and clinical outcomes in patients with incident HF with reduced ejection fraction.

METHODS

Patients with incident HF with reduced ejection fraction (n=10 966) between January 2008 and October 2015 were identified from the Danish HF Registry. Data from public registries were linked. Multivariable regression analyses were used to assess the association between 6 guideline-recommended HF care processes (New York Heart Association assessment, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers, beta-blockers, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, exercise training, and patient education) and all-cause and HF readmission, all-cause and HF hospital days, and mortality within 3 to 12 months after HF diagnosis. The associations were analyzed according to the percentages of all relevant performance measures fulfilled for the individual patient (0%-50% [reference group], >50%-75%, and >75%-100%) and for the individual performance measures.

RESULTS

Fulfilling >75% to 100% of the performance measures (n=5341 [48.7%]) was associated with lower risk of all-cause readmission (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.68-0.89]) and HF readmission (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.54-0.92]), lower use of all-cause hospital days (adjusted mean ratio, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.70-0.76]) and HF hospital days (adjusted mean ratio, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.70-0.89]), and lower mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.32-0.53]). A dose-response relationship was observed between fulfilling more performance measures and mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.49-0.77] fulfilling >50%-75% of the measures). Fulfilling individual performance measures, except mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist therapy, was associated with lower adjusted all-cause readmission, lower adjusted use of all-cause and HF hospital days, and lower adjusted mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Fulfilling more process performance measures was associated with better clinical outcomes in patients with incident HF with reduced ejection fraction.

Use of reperfusion therapy and time delay in patients with ischemic stroke by immigration status: a register-based cohort study in Denmark

Background and purpose

Reperfusion therapy is the mainstay of treatment for acute ischaemic stroke (AIS); however, little is known about the use of reperfusion therapy and time delay amongst immigrants.

Methods

This is a Danish nationwide register‐based cohort study of patients with AIS aged ≥18 years (n = 49,817) recruited from 2009 to 2018. Use of reperfusion therapy (intravenous thrombolysis and/or mechanical thrombectomy) and time delay between immigrants and Danish‐born residents were compared using multivariable logistics and quantile regression.

Results

Overall, 10,649 (39.8%) Danish‐born residents and 452 (39.0%) immigrants with AIS were treated with reperfusion therapy in patients arriving <4.5 h following stroke onset. Compared with Danish‐born residents, immigrants had lower odds of receiving reperfusion therapy after adjustment for prehospital delay, age, sex, stroke severity, sociodemographic factors and comorbidities (adjusted odds ratio 0.67; 95% confidence interval 0.49‒0.92, p = 0.01). The lowest odds were observed amongst immigrants originating from Poland and non‐Western countries. Similarly, immigrants had a longer prehospital delay than Danish‐born residents in the fully adjusted model in patients arriving <4.5 h after stroke onset (15 min; 95% confidence interval 4‒26 min, p = 0.03). No evidence was found that system delay and clinical outcome differed between immigrants and Danish‐born residents in patients eligible for reperfusion therapy after adjustment for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities.

Conclusion

Immigration status was significantly associated with lower chances of receiving reperfusion therapy and there may be differences in patient delay between immigrants and Danish‐born residents in patients arriving to a stroke unit <4.5 h after stroke onset.

Ischemic Stroke Severity and Mortality in Patients With and Without Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Our objective was to investigate stroke severity and subsequent rate of mortality among patients with and without atrial fibrillation (AF). Contemporary data on stroke severity and prognosis in patients with AF are lacking.

Methods and Results

First‐time ischemic stroke patients from the Danish Stroke Registry (January 2005–December 2016) were included in an observational study. Patients with AF were matched 1:1 by sex, age, calendar year, and CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score with patients without AF. Stroke severity was determined by the Scandinavian Stroke Scale (0–58 points). The rate of death was estimated by Kaplan‐Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression. Among 86 458 identified patients with stroke, 17 205 had AF. After matching, 14 662 patients with AF and 14 662 patients without AF were included (51.8% women; median age, 79.6 years [25th–75th percentile, 71.8–86.0]). More patients with AF had very severe stroke (0–14 points) than patients without AF (13.7% versus 7.9%, P<0.01). The absolute rates of 30‐day and 1‐year mortality were significantly higher for patients with AF (12.1% and 28.4%, respectively) versus patients without AF (8.7% and 21.8%, respectively). This held true in adjusted models for 30‐day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.40 [95% CI, 1.30–1.51]). However, this association became nonsignificant when additionally adjusting for stroke severity (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.00–1.23]). AF was associated with a higher rate of 1‐year mortality (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.32–1.46]), although it was mediated by stroke severity (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.09–1.23], model including stroke severity).

Conclusions

In a contemporary nationwide cohort of patients with ischemic stroke, patients with AF had more severe strokes and higher mortality than patients without AF. The difference in mortality was mainly driven by stroke severity.

Development and validation of a model for predicting mortality in patients with hip fracture

OBJECTIVE

to develop a user-friendly prediction tool of 1-year mortality for patients with hip fracture, in order to guide clinicians and patients on appropriate targeted preventive measures.

DESIGN

population-based cohort study from 2011 to 2017 using nationwide data from the Danish Hip Fracture Registry.

SUBJECTS

a total of 28,791 patients age 65 and above undergoing surgery for a first-time hip fracture.

METHODS

patient-related prognostic factors at the time of admission were assessed as potential predictors: Nursing home residency, comorbidity (Charlson Comorbidity Index [CCI] Score), frailty (Hospital Frailty Risk Score), basic mobility (Cumulated Ambulation Score), atrial fibrillation, fracture type, body mass index (BMI), age and sex. Association with 1-year mortality examined by determining the cumulative incidence, applying univariable logistic regression and assessing discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUROC]). The final model (logistic regression) was utilised on a development cohort (70% of patients). Discrimination and calibration were assessed on the validation cohort (remaining 30% of patients).

RESULTS

all predictors showed an association with 1-year mortality, but discrimination was moderate. The final model included nursing home residency, CCI Score, Cumulated Ambulation Score, BMI and age. It had an acceptable discrimination (AUROC 0.74) and calibration, and predicted 1-year mortality risk spanning from 5 to 91% depending on the combination of predictors in the individual patient.

CONCLUSIONS

using information obtainable at the time of admission, 1-year mortality among patients with hip fracture can be predicted. We present a user-friendly chart for daily clinical practice and provide new insight regarding the interplay between prognostic factors.

Survival after aortic root replacement with a stentless xenograft is determined by patient characteristics

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to examine intermediate-term survival and reinterventions in unselected patients, stratified according to indication, who received a Freestyle (Medtronic Inc, Minneapolis, Minn) bioprosthesis as a full aortic root replacement.

METHODS

Data from medical records were retrospectively collected for patients who had aortic root replacement using Freestyle bioprostheses between 1999 and 2018 at 6 North-Atlantic centers. Survival status was extracted from national registries and results stratified according to indication for surgery.

RESULTS

We included 1030 implantations in 1008 patients with elective indications for surgery: aneurysm (39.8%), small root (8.3%), and other (13.8%), and urgent/emergent indications: endocarditis (26.7%) and Stanford type A aortic dissection (11.4%). Across indications, 46.3% were nonelective cases and 34.0% were reoperations. Median age was 66.0 (interquartile range, 58.0-71.8) years and median follow-up was 5.0 (interquartile range, 2.6-7.9) years. Thirty-day mortality varied from 2.9% to 27.4% depending on indication. Intermediate survival for 90-day survivors with elective indications were not different from the general population standardized for age and sex (P = .95, .83, and .16 for aneurysms, small roots, and other, respectively). In contrast, patients with endocarditis and type A dissection had excess mortality (P < .001). Freedom from valve reinterventions was 95.0% and 94.4% at 5 and 8 years, respectively. In all, 52 patients (5.2%) underwent reinterventions, most because of endocarditis.

CONCLUSIONS

At intermediate term follow-up this retrospective study provides further support for the use of the Freestyle bioprosthesis in the real-world setting of diverse, complex, and often high-risk aortic root replacement and suggests that outcome is determined by patient and disease, rather than by prosthesis, characteristics.

Effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and warfarin in atrial fibrillation: a Scandinavian population-based cohort study

AIMS

Using Scandinavian population-based registries, we assessed risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and bleeding with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants compared with warfarin in anticoagulation-naïve patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This historical cohort study included 219 545 AF patients [median age 74 years; 43% women; mean CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke or transient ischaemic attack, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, sex category) score 3.3] initiating apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden (1 January 2013 to 31 December 2016). The primary endpoints were stroke/SE and major bleeding. The median follow-up times were 9.7 (3.9-21.5) months for stroke/SE and 9.6 (3.8-21.3) months for bleeding. Apixaban and warfarin initiators were older and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores compared with dabigatran and rivaroxaban initiators. After 1:1 propensity score matching, three cohorts were created: apixaban-warfarin (n = 111 162), dabigatran-warfarin (n = 56 856), and rivaroxaban-warfarin (n = 61 198). Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using a Cox regression. For stroke/SE, adjusted HRs against warfarin were 0.96 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.87-1.06] for apixaban, 0.89 (95% CI: 0.80-1.00) for dabigatran, and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.92-1.14) for rivaroxaban. For major bleeding, the HRs against warfarin were 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67-0.78) for apixaban, 0.89 (95% CI: 0.82-0.97) for dabigatran, and 1.15 (95% CI: 1.07-1.25) for rivaroxaban. The results in the dabigatran cohort did not hold in all dose-defined subgroups.

CONCLUSION

In this large Scandinavian study among AF patients initiating oral anticoagulation, those initiating dabigatran, apixaban, and rivaroxaban had similar rates of stroke/SE to patients initiating warfarin. Rates of major bleeding were lower with apixaban and dabigatran and higher with rivaroxaban, each compared with warfarin.

Effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulation treatment beyond 1 year after venous thromboembolism in patients at intermediate recurrence risk

Effectiveness and safety of long-term anticoagulation treatment are uncertain in venous thromboembolism (VTE) patients at intermediate risk of recurrence. We examined the association between treatment beyond 1 year and outcomes in a Danish nationwide register-based study. VTE patients at intermediate risk of recurrence, that is, non-cancer patients with a first-time unprovoked VTE, who started oral anticoagulation treatment within 30 days and were alive 365 days after the index VTE were included and followed between 2007 and 2015. Exposure was extended (>365 days) or intermediate (91-365 days) treatment. Analyses were done using Cox regression on a propensity score weighted population. We included 18 609 patients with 7232 (38.9%) receiving extended treatment. Mean duration of follow-up was 2.6 years. Compared with intermediate treatment, treatment beyond 365 days was associated with a lower weighted risk of recurrent VTE (hazard ratio [HR] 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49-0.65) and all-cause mortality (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.72-0.90) and an increased risk of major bleeding (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.58-2.22). In conclusion, extended anticoagulation treatment (predominantly warfarin) beyond 1 year was in real-life settings associated with a lower risk of recurrent VTE and all-cause mortality among VTE patients with an intermediate risk of recurrence. However, an increased bleeding risk should be considered.

Predictors of disability in adolescents and young adults with acquired brain injury after the acute phase

AIM

To develop and validate a prediction model for disability among young patients with acquired brain injury (ABI) after the acute phase.

METHODS

Within a nationwide cohort of 446 15-30-year-old ABI-patients, we predicted disability in terms of Glasgow Outcome Scale - Extended (GOS-E) <7 12 months after baseline assessment in outpatient neurorehabilitation clinics. We studied 22 potential predictors covering demographic and medical factors, clinical tests, and self-reported fatigue and alcohol/drug consumption. The model was developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis and validated by 5-fold cross-validation and geographical validation. The model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Baseline assessment took place a median of 12 months post-ABI. Low GOS-E (range 1-8 (best)) and Functional Independence Measure (range 18-126 (best)) along with high mental fatigue (range 4-20 (worst)) predicted disability. The model showed high validity and performance with an area under the curve of 0.82 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77, 0.87) in the cross-validation and 0.81 (95% CI 0.73, 0.88) in the geographical validation.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a parsimonious model which effectively predicted disability. The model may be useful to guide decision-making in outpatient neurorehabilitation clinics treating young patients with ABI.

Lower perception of pharmacological treatment increases risk of non-adherence to medication

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Danish Heart Foundation

Background

A large proportion of patients fail to reach optimal adherence to medication following incident ischemic heart disease (IHD) despite amble evidence of the beneficial effect of medication. Non-adherence to medication increases risk of disease-related adverse outcomes but none has explored how perception about pharmacological treatment detail on non-adherence using register-based follow-up data.

Purpose

To investigate the association between patients’ perception of pharmacological treatment and risk of non-initiation and non-adherence to medication in a population with incident IHD.

Methods

This cohort study followed 871 patients until 365 days after incident IHD. The study combined patient-reported survey data on perception about pharmacological treatment (categorised by ‘To a high level’, ‘To some level’, and ‘To a lesser level’) with register-based data on reimbursed prescription of cardiovascular medication (antithrombotics, statins, ACE-inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, and β-blockers). Non-initiation was defined as no pick-up of medication in the first 180 days following incident IHD and analysed by Poisson regression. Two different measures evaluated non-adherence in patients initiating treatment: 1) proportion of days covered (PDC) analysed by Poisson regression, and 2) risk of discontinuation analysed by Cox proportional hazard regression. All analyses were adjusted for confounding variables (age, sex, ethnicity, income, educational level, civil status, occupation, charlson comorbidity index, supportive relatives, and individual consultation in medication) identified by directed acyclic graph and obtained from national registers and the survey. Item non-response was handled by multiple imputation and item consistency was evaluated by McDonalds omega.

Results

Lower perceptions about pharmacological treatment was associated with increased risk of non-initiation and non-adherence to medication irrespectively of drug class and adherence measure in the multiple adjusted analyses (please see figure illustrating results on antithrombotics). A dose-response relationship was observed both at 180- and 365-days of follow-up, but the steepest decline in adherence differed when comparing the two adherence measures (results not shown). Moderate internal consistency was found for the summed measure of perception (McDonalds omega = 0.67).

Conclusion

Lower perception of pharmacological treatment was associated with subsequent non-initiation and non-adherence to medication, irrespectively of measurement method and drug class.

Abstract Figure. Figre: Multiple adjusted analyses

Blood Pressure Thresholds and Neurologic Outcomes After Endovascular Therapy for Acute Ischemic Stroke: An Analysis of Individual Patient Data From 3 Randomized Clinical Trials

Importance

The optimal blood pressure targets during endovascular therapy (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) are unknown.

Objective

To study whether procedural blood pressure parameters, including specific blood pressure thresholds, are associated with neurologic outcomes after EVT.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study included adults with anterior-circulation AIS who were enrolled in randomized clinical trials assessing anesthetic strategy for EVT between February 2014 and February 2017. The trials had comparable blood pressure protocols, and patients were followed up for 90 days. A total of 3630 patients were initially approached, and 3265 patients were excluded.

Exposure

Endovascular therapy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary efficacy variable was functional outcome as defined by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days. Associations of blood pressure parameters and time less than and greater than mean arterial blood pressure (MABP) thresholds with outcome were analyzed.

Results

Of the 365 patients included in the analysis, the mean (SD) age was 71.4 (13.0) years, 163 were women (44.6%), and the median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 17 (interquartile range [IQR], 14-21). For the entire cohort, 182 (49.9%) received general anesthesia and 183 (50.1%) received procedural sedation. A cumulated period of minimum 10 minutes with less than 70 mm Hg MABP (adjusted OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.02-2.22) and a continuous episode of minimum 20 minutes with less than 70 mm Hg MABP (adjusted OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.11-4.75) were associated with a shift toward higher 90-day mRS scores, corresponding to a number needed to harm of 10 and 4, respectively. A cumulated period of minimum 45 minutes with greater than 90 mm Hg MABP (adjusted OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.11-2.02) and a continuous episode of minimum 115 minutes with greater than 90 mm Hg MABP (adjusted OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.01-3.54) were associated with a shift toward higher 90-day mRS scores, corresponding to a number needed to harm of 10 and 6, respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

Critical MABP thresholds and durations for poor outcome were found to be MABP less than 70 mm Hg for more than 10 minutes and MABP greater than 90 mm Hg for more than 45 minutes, both durations with a number needed to harm of 10 patients. Mean arterial blood pressure may be a modifiable therapeutic target to prevent or reduce poor functional outcome after EVT.

Death of a Partner and Risks of Ischemic Stroke and Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Nationwide Danish Matched Cohort Study

Background

Stress has been reported to trigger stroke, and the death of a loved one is a potentially extremely stressful experience. Yet, previous studies have yielded conflicting findings of whether bereavement is associated with stroke risk, possibly because of insufficient distinction between ischemic stroke (IS) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We therefore examined the associations between bereavement and IS and ICH separately in contemporary care settings using nationwide high‐quality register resources.

Methods and Results

The study cohort included all Danish individuals whose partner died between 2002 and 2016 and a reference group of cohabiting individuals matched 1:2 on sex, age, and calendar time. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and corresponding 95% CIs during up to 5 years follow‐up. During the study period, 278 758 individuals experienced partner bereavement, of whom 7684 had an IS within the subsequent 5 years (aHR, 1.11; CI, 1.08–1.14 when compared with nonbereaved referents) and 1139 experienced an ICH (aHR, 1.13; CI, 1.04–1.23). For ICH, the estimated association tended to be stronger within the initial 30 days after partner death (aHR, 1.66; CI, 1.06–2.61), especially in women (aHR, 1.99; CI, 1.06–3.75), but the statistical precision was low. In absolute numbers, the cumulative incidence of IS at 30 days was 0.73 per 1000 in bereaved individuals versus 0.63 in their referents, and the corresponding figures for ICH were 0.13 versus 0.08.

Conclusions

Statistically significant positive associations with partner bereavement were documented for both IS and ICH risk, for ICH particularly in the short term. However, absolute risk differences were small.

The association between initial opioid type and long-term opioid use after hip fracture surgery in elderly opioid-naïve patients

Objectives Long-term opioid use after hip fracture surgery has been demonstrated in previously opioid-naïve elderly patients. It is unknown if the opioid type redeemed after hip surgery is associated with long-term opioid use. The aim of this study was to examine the association between the opioid type redeemed within the first three months after hip fracture surgery and opioid use 3-12 months after the surgery. Methods A nationwide population-based cohort study was conducted using data from Danish health registries (2005-2015). Previously opioid-naïve patients registered in the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry, aged ≥65 years, who redeemed ≥1 opioid prescription within three months after the surgery, were included. Long-term opioid use was defined as ≥1 redeemed prescription within each of three three-month periods within the year after hip fracture surgery. The proportion with long-term opioid use after surgery, conditioned on nine-month survival, was calculated according to opioid types within three months after surgery. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for different opioid types were computed by logistic regression analyses with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using morphine as reference. Subgroup analyses were performed according to age, comorbidity and calendar time before and after 2010. Results The study included 26,790 elderly, opioid-naïve patients with opioid use within three months after hip fracture surgery. Of these patients, 21% died within nine months after the surgery. Among the 21,255 patients alive nine months after surgery, 15% became long-term opioid users. Certain opioid types used within the first three months after surgery were associated with long-term opioid use compared to morphine (9%), including oxycodone (14%, aOR; 1.76, 95% CI 1.52-2.03), fentanyl (29%, aOR; 4.37, 95% CI 3.12-6.12), codeine (13%, aOR; 1.55, 95% CI 1.14-2.09), tramadol (13%, aOR; 1.56, 95% CI 1.35-1.80), buprenorphine (33%, aOR; 5.37, 95% CI 4.14-6.94), and >1 opioid type (27%, aOR; 3.83, 95% CI 3.31-4.44). The proportion of long-term opioid users decreased from 18% before 2010 to 13% after 2010. Conclusions The findings suggest that use of certain opioid types after hip fracture surgery is more associated with long-term opioid use than morphine and the proportion initiating long-term opioid use decreased after 2010. The findings suggest that some elderly, opioid-naïve patients appear to be presented with untreated pain conditions when seen in the hospital for a hip fracture surgery. Decisions regarding the opioid type prescribed after hospitalization for hip fracture surgery may be linked to different indication for pain treatment, emphasizing the likelihood of careful and conscientious opioid prescribing behavior.

The impact of parental mental health and socioeconomic position on child preschool health

Background

Many children, approximately one out of four to five, live in families with parental mental health problems. Knowledge on the impact of other mental health problems than depression or anxiety is sparse as well as the impact of the father. Therefore, we aimed to examine the effect of maternal and paternal mental health on child respiratory illness.

Methods

A population-based birth cohort study was conducted including all Danish children born from 2000-2012 using the Danish nationwide registers. Two follow-up periods were created: From age 1-2 and age 3-5. Mental health was categorised in three: No mental health problems, minor mental health condition if handled in solely primary healthcare; and moderate-severe if handled in psychiatric healthcare settings. Child respiratory illness was identified by prescribed medication or hospital-based diagnoses. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using Poisson regression analysis.

Results

The analyses included 810,243 children. 26% of the mothers and 17% of the fathers were classified with mental health conditions. Children of parents with mental health conditions were more likely to have respiratory illness (10-12% vs. 7.7%). Adjusted IRRs revealed higher risks for children of mothers with minor (IRR 1.32 (CI95% 1.30-1.34)) and moderate-severe mental health conditions (IRR 1.48 (CI95% 1.44-1.51)). For paternal mental health, the IRRs were 1.14 (CI95% 1.12-1.16) for minor and IRR 1.14 (CI95% 1.11-1.17) for moderate-severe mental health conditions. The IRRs were a little higher for the children aged 1-2 years compared to 3-5-years.

Conclusions

Children of parents with mental health conditions were at greater risk of respiratory illness. This was evident for the mental health of both parents, most pronounced for the mother. Not only moderate-severe, but also minor mental health conditions increased the risk of respiratory illness.

Ethnic differences in incidence and mortality of stroke in Denmark

Background

Stroke is a leading cause of disability and mortality worldwide. However, studies on incidence and mortality of stroke hereof among ethnic minorities compared with local born are still limited.

Methods

We conducted a Danish nationwide register-based cohort study between 2004 and 2018. All cases of first ever stroke aged 18-95 years were included. Country of birth was used to construct ethnic groups. Age standardized incidence rate ratio (IRR) of stroke stratified by country of birth and sex were estimated with the Danish born as a reference group. Ethnic minorities were grouped as Western and Non-western for mortality hazard ratio (HR) estimates.

Results

In overall, ethnic minorities had a higher risk of stroke compared with Danish born. Particularly, the IRR of all stroke was estimated to be 8.3 times higher among Polish men compared to Danish born men (IRR, 8.32; 95% CI, 6.89-10.05). Compared with Danish born women, Pakistan women had the highest risk of all stroke (IRR, 2.89; 95% CI, 2.46-3.39). By contrast, Swedish women had reduced risk of hemorrhagic stroke (IRR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18-0.89) and Norwegian women had reduced risk of ischemic stroke (IRR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.72-1.06). Compared with Danish born men, all-cause 1-year mortality hazard for Non-western men was (HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.13-2.29) while for Western men was (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.90-1.29) among ischemic stroke patients. Among hemorrhagic stroke patients, 1-year mortality hazard for Non-western men was (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.39-1.47) whereas Western men had (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.04-2.10). Among women, we observed reduced all cause 1-year mortality hazard in Non-western (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.13-0.80) for hemorrhagic stroke whereas no difference in mortality hazard was observed for ischemic stroke.

Conclusions

Incidence and post stroke mortality appear to vary among ethnic minorities in comparison to Danish born. It may depend on the type of stroke and sex.

Key messages

The study contributes knowledge in migration and health. With good quality registers, we are in unique position to establish findings in Denmark, which has a growing migrant population.

Inequalities in heart failure care in a tax-financed universal healthcare system: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Aims

Data on socioeconomic‐related differences in heart failure (HF) care are sparse. Inequality in care may potentially contribute to a poor clinical outcome. We examined socioeconomic‐related differences in quality of HF care among patients with incident HF with reduced ejection fraction (EF) (HFrEF).

Methods and results

We conducted a nationwide population‐based cohort study among patients with HFrEF (EF ≤40%) registered from January 2008 to October 2015 in the Danish Heart Failure Registry, a nationwide registry of patients with a first‐time primary HF diagnosis. Associations between individual‐level socioeconomic factors (cohabitation status, education, and family income) and the quality of HF care defined by six guideline‐recommended process performance measures [New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, treatment with angiotensin‐converting‐enzyme inhibitors (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB), beta‐blockers and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, exercise training, and patient education] were assessed using multiple imputation and multivariable logistic regression controlling for potential confounders. Among 17 122 HFrEF patients included, 15 290 patients had data on all six process performance measures. Living alone was associated with lower odds of NYHA classification [adjusted OR (aOR) 0.81; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72–0.90], prescription of ACEI/ARB (aOR 0.76; 95% CI: 0.68–0.88) and beta‐blockers (aOR 0.84; 95% CI: 0.76–0.93), referral to exercise training (aOR 0.75; 95% CI: 0.69–0.81), and patient education (aOR 0.73; 95% CI: 0.67–0.80). Compared with high‐level education, low‐level education was associated with lower odds of NYHA classification (aOR 0.93; 95% CI: 0.79–1.11), treatment with ACEI/ARB (aOR 0.99; 95% CI: 0.81–1.20) and beta‐blockers (aOR 0.93; 95% CI: 0.79–1.09), referral to exercise training (aOR 0.73; 95% CI: 0.65–0.82), and patient education (aOR 0.86, 95% CI: 0.75–0.98). An income in the lowest tertile was associated with lower odds of NYHA classification (aOR 0.67; 95% CI: 0.58–0.79), prescription of ACEI/ARB (aOR 0.80, 95% CI: 0.67–0.95) and beta‐blockers (aOR 0.88, 95% CI: 0.86–1.01), referral to exercise training (aOR 0.59, 95% CI: 0.53–0.64), and patient education (aOR 0.66; 95% CI: 0.59–0.74) compared with an income in the highest tertile. Overall, no systematic differences were seen when the analyses were stratified by sex and age groups.

Conclusions

Living alone, low‐level education, and income in the lowest tertile were associated with reduced use of recommended processes of HF care among Danish HFrEF patients with a first‐time primary HF diagnosis. Efforts are warranted to ensure guideline‐recommended HF care to all HFrEF patients, irrespective of socioeconomic background.

Managing COVID-19 within and across health systems: why we need performance intelligence to coordinate a global response

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic is a complex global public health crisis presenting clinical, organisational and system-wide challenges. Different research perspectives on health are needed in order to manage and monitor this crisis. Performance intelligence is an approach that emphasises the need for different research perspectives in supporting health systems’ decision-makers to determine policies based on well-informed choices. In this paper, we present the viewpoint of the Innovative Training Network for Healthcare Performance Intelligence Professionals (HealthPros) on how performance intelligence can be used during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Discussion

A lack of standardised information, paired with limited discussion and alignment between countries contribute to uncertainty in decision-making in all countries. Consequently, a plethora of different non-data-driven and uncoordinated approaches to address the outbreak are noted worldwide. Comparative health system research is needed to help countries shape their response models in social care, public health, primary care, hospital care and long-term care through the different phases of the pandemic. There is a need in each phase to compare context-specific bundles of measures where the impact on health outcomes can be modelled using targeted data and advanced statistical methods. Performance intelligence can be pursued to compare data, construct indicators and identify optimal strategies. Embracing a system perspective will allow countries to take coordinated strategic decisions while mitigating the risk of system collapse.A framework for the development and implementation of performance intelligence has been outlined by the HealthPros Network and is of pertinence. Health systems need better and more timely data to govern through a pandemic-induced transition period where tensions between care needs, demand and capacity are exceptionally high worldwide. Health systems are challenged to ensure essential levels of healthcare towards all patients, including those who need routine assistance.

Conclusion

Performance intelligence plays an essential role as part of a broader public health strategy in guiding the decisions of health system actors on the implementation of contextualised measures to tackle COVID-19 or any future epidemic as well as their effect on the health system at large. This should be based on commonly agreed-upon standardised data and fit-for-purpose indicators, making optimal use of existing health information infrastructures. The HealthPros Network can make a meaningful contribution.

Predictors of patient-reported outcomes at discharge in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

It is well-established that heart failure has a negative impact on quality of life. However, little is known about patient-related predictors of health-related quality of life, anxiety and depression, symptoms and illness perception among patients with heart failure.

AIM

To study the association between patient-related predictors and patient-reported outcome measures at discharge from hospital in a cohort of patients with heart failure.

METHODS

We used data from 1506 patients with heart failure, participating in the national DenHeart Survey of patient-reported outcome measures in patients with heart disease. The potential patient-related predictors included demographic, administrative, clinical and socioeconomic factors. The patient-reported outcome measures included six questionnaires: the Short Form-12, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, the EuroQol five-dimensional, five-level questionnaire, the HeartQoL, the Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire and the Edmonton Symptom Assessment Scale. Data were linked to national patient registry data and medical records. We performed multivariable linear and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

In adjusted linear regression analyses we found that a length of hospital stay of >2 days was associated with worse scores across questionnaires, except for the Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire. Higher comorbidity level was associated with worse scores across all questionnaires, whereas low social support was associated with worse scores across questionnaires, except for the physical domain of the Short Form-12 and the HeartQoL global score.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified length of hospital stay > 2 days, a higher comorbidity level and low social support to be associated with worse scores across questionnaires at discharge from a cardiac-related hospitalisation in patients with heart failure.

Association of CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score with Stroke, Thromboembolism, and Death in Hip Fracture Patients

OBJECTIVES

Patients undergoing hip fracture surgery have a 10 times increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. We aimed to evaluate the association between the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, previous stroke/TIA [transient ischemic attack]/systemic embolism (2 points), vascular disease, age 65-74 years, and female sex) score and the risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality in patients with hip fracture with or without atrial fibrillation (AF).

DESIGN

Nationwide prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Danish hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Subjects were all incident hip fracture patients in Denmark age 65 years and older with surgical repair procedures between 2004 and 2016 (n = 78,096). Participants were identified using the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry.

MEASUREMENTS

We calculated incidence rates, cumulative incidences, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, stratified on AF history.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke 1 year after hip fracture increased with ascending CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, and it was 1.9% for patients with a score of 1 and 8.6% for patients with a score above 5 in the AF group. Corresponding incidences in the non-AF group were 1.6% and 7.6%. Compared with a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 1, adjusted HRs were 5.53 (95% CI = 1.37-22.24) among AF patients and 4.91 (95% CI = 3.40-7.10) among non-AF patients with a score above 5. A dose-response-like association was observed for all cardiovascular outcomes. All-cause mortality risks and HRs were substantially higher for all CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc scores above 1 in both the AF group and the non-AF group.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with hip fracture, a higher CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score was associated with increased risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and death. This finding applied both to patients with and without AF. Patients with high CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc scores had almost similar absolute risks for cardiovascular outcomes, irrespective of AF. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1698-1705, 2020.

Geographical variation in palliative cancer care in a tax-based healthcare system: drug reimbursement in Denmark

BACKGROUND

In Denmark, a tax-based universal healthcare setting, drug reimbursement for terminal illness (DRTI) should be equally accessible for all terminally ill patients. Examining DRTI status by regions provides new knowledge on inequality in palliative care provision and associated factors. This study aims to investigate geographical variation in DRTI among terminally ill cancer patients.

METHODS

We linked socioeconomic and medical data from 135 819 Danish cancer decedents in the period 2007-15 to regional healthcare characteristics. We analyzed associations between region of residence and DRTI. Prevalence ratios (PR) for DRTI were estimated using generalized linear models adjusted for patient factors (age, gender, comorbidity and socioeconomic profile) and multilevel models adjusted for both patient factors and regional healthcare capacity (patients per general practitioner, numbers of hospital and hospice beds).

RESULTS

DRTI allocation differed substantially across Danish regions. Healthcare capacity was associated with DRTI with a higher probability of DRTI among patients living in regions with high compared with low hospice bed supply (PR 1.13, 95% CI 1.10-1.17). Also, the fully adjusted PR of DRTI was 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.96) when comparing high with low number of hospital beds. When controlled for both patient and regional healthcare characteristics, the PR for DRTI was 1.17 (95% CI 1.14-1.21) for patients living in the Central Denmark Region compared with the Capital Region.

CONCLUSION

DRTI status varied across regions in Denmark. The variation was associated with the distribution of healthcare resources. These findings highlight difficulties in ensuring equal access to palliative care even in a universal healthcare system.