Evaluation of potential adverse events following COVID-19 mRNA vaccination among adults aged 65 years and older: Two self-controlled studies in the U.S

BACKGROUND

Our near-real-time safety monitoring of 16 adverse events (AEs) following COVID-19 mRNA vaccination identified potential elevation in risk for six AEs following primary series and monovalent booster dose administration. The crude association with AEs does not imply causality. Accordingly, we conducted robust evaluation of potential associations.

METHODS

We conducted two self-controlled case series studies of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273) in U.S. Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥ 65 years. Adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated following primary series doses for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), pulmonary embolism (PE), immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC); and following monovalent booster doses for AMI, PE, ITP, Bell's Palsy (BP) and Myocarditis/Pericarditis (Myo/Peri).

RESULTS

The primary series study included 3,360,981 individuals who received 6,388,542 primary series doses; the booster study included 6,156,100 individuals with one monovalent booster dose. The AMI IRR following BNT162b2 primary series and booster was 1.04 (95 % CI: 0.91 to 1.18) and 1.06 (95 % CI: 1.003 to 1.12), respectively; for mRNA-1273 primary series and booster, 1.01 (95 % CI: 0.82 to 1.26) and 1.05 (95 % CI: 0.998 to 1.11), respectively. The hospital inpatient PE IRR following BNT162b2 primary series and booster was 1.19 (95 % CI: 1.03 to 1.38) and 0.86 (95 % CI: 0.78 to 0.95), respectively; for mRNA-1273 primary series and booster, 1.15 (95 % CI: 0.94 to 1.41) and 0.87 (95 % CI: 0.79 to 0.96), respectively. The studies' results do not support that exposure to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines elevate the risk of ITP, DIC, Myo/Peri, and BP.

CONCLUSION

We did not find an increased risk for AMI, ITP, DIC, BP, and Myo/Peri and there was not consistent evidence for PE after exposure to COVID-19 mRNA primary series or monovalent booster vaccines. These results support the favorable safety profile of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines administered in the U.S. elderly population.

Risk of Guillain-Barré Syndrome Following Recombinant Zoster Vaccine in Medicare Beneficiaries

IMPORTANCE

Guillain-Barré syndrome can be reported after vaccination. This study assesses the risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome after administration of recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV or Shingrix), which is administered in 2 doses 2 to 6 months apart.

OBJECTIVE

Use Medicare claims data to evaluate risk of developing Guillain-Barré syndrome following vaccination with zoster vaccine.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This case series cohort study included 849 397 RZV-vaccinated and 1 817 099 zoster vaccine live (ZVL or Zostavax)-vaccinated beneficiaries aged 65 years or older. Self-controlled analyses included events identified from 2 113 758 eligible RZV-vaccinated beneficiaries 65 years or older. We compared the relative risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome after RZV vs ZVL, followed by claims-based and medical record-based self-controlled case series analyses to assess risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome during a postvaccination risk window (days 1-42) compared with a control window (days 43-183). In self-controlled analyses, RZV vaccinees were observed from October 1, 2017, to February 29, 2020. Patients were identified in the inpatient, outpatient procedural (including emergency department), and office settings using Medicare administrative data.

EXPOSURES

Vaccination with RZV or ZVL vaccines.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Guillain-Barré syndrome was identified in Medicare administrative claims data, and cases were assessed through medical record review using the Brighton Collaboration case definition.

RESULTS

Amongst those who received RZV vaccinees, the mean age was 74.8 years at first dose, and 58% were women, whereas among those who received the ZVL vaccine, the mean age was 74.3 years, and 60% were women. In the cohort analysis we detected an increase in risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome among RZV vaccinees compared with ZVL vaccinees (rate ratio [RR], 2.34; 95% CI, 1.01-5.41; P = .047). In the self-controlled analyses, we observed 24 and 20 cases during the risk and control period, respectively. Our claims-based analysis identified an increased risk in the risk window compared with the control window (RR, 2.84; 95% CI, 1.53-5.27; P = .001), with an attributable risk of 3 per million RZV doses (95% CI, 0.62-5.64). Our medical record-based analysis confirmed this increased risk (RR, 4.96; 95% CI, 1.43-17.27; P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Findings of this case series cohort study indicate a slightly increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome during the 42 days following RZV vaccination in the Medicare population, with approximately 3 excess Guillain-Barré syndrome cases per million vaccinations. Clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk, while considering the benefit of decreasing the risk of herpes zoster and its complications through an efficacious vaccine, as risk-benefit balance remains in favor of vaccination.

Severe Hypoglycemia Risk With Long-Acting Insulin Analogs vs Neutral Protamine Hagedorn Insulin

IMPORTANCE

Previous studies have found that the risk of severe hypoglycemia does not differ between long-acting insulin analogs and neutral protamine Hagedorn (NPH) insulin in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, these studies did not focus on patients 65 years or older, who are at an increased risk for hypoglycemia, or did not include patients with concomitant prandial insulin use.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the risk of emergency department (ED) visits or hospitalizations for hypoglycemia among older community-residing patients with type 2 diabetes who initiated long-acting insulin or NPH insulin in real-world settings.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective, new-user cohort study assessed Medicare beneficiaries 65 years or older who initiated insulin glargine (n = 407 018), insulin detemir (n = 141 588), or NPH insulin (n = 26 402) from January 1, 2007, to July 31, 2019.

EXPOSURES

Insulin glargine, insulin detemir, and NPH insulin.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was time to first ED visit or hospitalization for hypoglycemia, defined using a modified validated algorithm. Propensity score-weighted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. The risk of recurring hypoglycemia events was estimated using the Andersen-Gill model. Post hoc analyses were conducted investigating possible effect modification by age.

RESULTS

Of the 575 008 patients initiating use of insulin (mean [SD] age 74.9 [6.7] years; 53% female), 407 018 used glargine, 141 588 used detemir, and 26 402 used NPH insulin. The study included 7347 ED visits or hospitalizations for hypoglycemia (5194 for glargine, 1693 for detemir, and 460 for NPH insulin, with a median follow-up across the 3 cohorts of 0.37 years (interquartile range, 0.20-0.76 years). Initiation of glargine and detemir use was associated with a reduced risk of hypoglycemia compared with NPH insulin use (HR for glargine vs NPH insulin, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.63-0.80; HR, detemir vs NPH insulin, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.82). The HRs were similar for the recurrent event analysis. The protective association of long-acting insulin analogs varied by age and was not seen with concomitant prandial insulin use.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, initiation of long-acting analogs was associated with a lower risk of ED visits or hospitalizations for hypoglycemia compared with NPH insulin in older patients with type 2 diabetes in Medicare. However, this association was not seen with concomitant prandial insulin use.

Similar Breast Cancer Risk in Women Older Than 65 Years Initiating Glargine, Detemir, and NPH Insulins

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether initiation of insulin glargine (glargine), compared with initiation of NPH or insulin detemir (detemir), was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in women with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This was a retrospective new-user cohort study of female Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years initiating glargine (203,159), detemir (67,012), or NPH (47,388) from September 2006 to September 2015, with follow-up through May 2017. Weighted Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for incidence of breast cancer according to ever use, cumulative duration of use, cumulative dose of insulin, length of follow-up time, and a combination of dose and length of follow-up time.

RESULTS

Ever use of glargine was not associated with an increased risk of breast cancer compared with NPH (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.88-1.06) or detemir (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.92-1.05). No increased risk was seen with glargine use compared with either NPH or detemir by duration of insulin use, length of follow-up, or cumulative dose of insulin. No increased risk of breast cancer was observed in medium- or high-dose glargine users compared with low-dose users.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, glargine use was not associated with an increased risk of breast cancer compared with NPH or detemir in female Medicare beneficiaries.

Beverage Consumption Patterns among Overweight and Obese African American Women

The goal of this research was to assess patterns of beverage consumption and the contribution of total beverages and classes of beverages to overall energy intake and weight status. We conducted an analysis in a community-based study of 280 low-income overweight and obese African American women residing in the rural South. Participants provided baseline data including demographic characteristics, weight and two 24-h food and beverage dietary recalls. Mean energy intake from beverages was approximately 273 ± 192 kcal/day or 18.3% of total energy intake. The most commonly reported beverage was plain water, consumed by 88.2% of participants, followed closely by sweetened beverages (soft drinks, fruit drinks, sweetened teas, sweetened coffees and sweetened/flavored waters) consumed by 78.9% of participants. In multiple regression analyses total energy and percent energy from beverages and specific categories of beverages were not significantly associated with current body mass index (BMI). It is widely accepted that negative energy balance may lead to future weight loss. Thus, reducing consumption of beverages that contribute energy but not important nutrients (e.g., sugar sweetened beverages) could be an effective strategy for promoting future weight loss in this population.

Cytodiagnosis for pelvic tuberculosis

A 25 yr old married woman with complaints of lower abdominal pain for 2 months, was found to have a irregular nontender mass in pelvis, adherent to uterus. Her Papanicolaou smear was inflammatory. To confirm the diagnosis of either ovarian malignancy or pelvic tuberculosis made on the basis of observations during exploratory laparotomy, ovarian biopsy was taken. The imprint cytodiagnosis was tuberculosis. The patient was then managed surgically and the previous diagnosis was reconfirmed by histopathology. Imprint cytodiagnosis appears to be a valuable technique whenever facilities for frozen section are not available.

Evaluation of calcofluor white stain for detection of Pneumocystis carinii

A rapid calcofluor white (CFW) stain for detecting Pneumocystis carinii was evaluated prospectively. Eighty-nine bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) specimens, 21 open-lung biopsy (OLB) tissues, 2 induced sputums, 1 expectorated sputum, 2 tracheal secretions, and 1 bronchial secretion from 102 patients were examined for P. carinii cysts by both the CFW stain and a modified methenamine silver (MS) stain. Twenty episodes of P. carinii pneumonia were detected: 19 of these episodes were detected by CFW stain, and 16 of those episodes were detected by MS stain. Discrepancies between the two staining methods were resolved by review of the clinical histories and, in one case, by testing an OLB specimen. Neither staining procedure gave false-positive results with any specimen. More cysts were detected in CFW-stained specimens than in MS-stained specimens (p = 0.05). CFW stain is a simple, rapid, and inexpensive method for detecting P. carinii in clinical specimens and is at least as sensitive as MS stain.